40/70 Benchmark

I couldn't care less if its in the 40s on xmas with no snowpack or storms...who cares.

It is..what is your point?

The last several pages summarized the fact that not much snow is expected in SNE...I'm not sure how you missed that.

You are being heckled because the notion of any locale in Mass being shut out with respect to seasonal snowfall within the next century is asinine. No one is rebuking the idea of GW in an of itself.

Get some met students to weenie tag your corpse once it snows that winter.

Deal. When he gets old enough to understand, I'll instruct my son to dig you up and collect on his 79th bday.

Yea, I would have been at peace with it on Monday if I lived there lol

Yes, and they never fell for it when it dropped far to the south. I am sure you are also right about low level cold hanging tough....just the mid levels that go to crap. I'm not suicidal lol Just frustrating because I knew right after I released the first map it was too aggressive, but anyway, I learned a lot today about what to look for in order to use soundings more effectively, so not a loss at all. Messing up his how we learn.

Long term still looks fine..just frustrated over tmw. Should have seen that coming, so rough start to the year for me. Even Kev was all over that

That is off IMO...gives KCON like 2"

NAM gives me like 1.5". Will and Scott nailed this trend days ago. Kudos.

21 pages for a patch of black ice on top of hairy hog hill

Yay...Boooiiiinnnnggggg...Santa's sleigh will see clean pavement before skidding into the Merrimack upon landing.

2018-2019 facing the south, 2019-2020 facing the east, last year facing the north, now facing the south again.

It just never fails here....I'm in mother nature's turnstile bending over in every direction...last year facing the north, this year the south with not a tube of lube for as far as they eye can see.

I'm so sick of this event.

Great

You were def right for the most part.....anything over 3" is looking like a longshot here now. I def jumped the gun on Wednesday....once I really checked soundings and everything.

You guys see the UK ensemble got added to F5? lol I'm excited to announce we have acquired another model, the MOGREPS-G! MOGREPS is an Ensemble based off of the UKMET/Unified Model (UM) from Met Office. It is available under the 'Models' menu for pro users. MOGREPS maps are limited, but it does have a nice radar product, temperatures, winds, dew points, humidity, pressure and SBCAPE/CIN maps. MOGREPS is a 20km resolution, 198 hour, 18 member mean. It initializes with 4D-Var assimilation and has 70 vertical levels. Our MOGREPS maps are available from 12z and 00z runs and update roughly around 19:30z and 07:30z respectively.

I still think my area is likely to get more than an inch.

Yes....

Its a piece to the puzzle...but there are other forcing mechanisms. Maybe all else being equal, hedge towards MJO comps.

So the grinch is in tornado alley...fine by me.

Too bad we couldn't drop omega, forky and torch tiger on a remote island with no internet....they could just fantasize amongst themselves staring at the sun all day long...maybe add snowman21 to the mix.

Sucks that you moved to St Louis