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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My guess is that its mostly southern stream again.
  2. Reggie seems to get it going a bit later, which may be why it doesn't tuck as much.
  3. Glad to see it east....its basically an ensemble member IMO.
  4. What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM.
  5. There is going to be an NAO this month....it was pretty convincing even in the analog data from the outlook, but I think you are correct to question the intensity. I agree that we don't want a huge block.
  6. I would take .7" and run, theoretically speaking, but I agree with you.
  7. Good to know that you aren't completely throwing in the towel on the day 13 event. Christ, am I relieved.
  8. I think the Euro has the idea, but is likely a bit too amped.
  9. That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5".
  10. All he brings to the table is a toxic blend of confusion and weenies.
  11. We have an explosively active pattern with cold on the horizon....there are worse situations at the onset of met winter.
  12. I would take the cut...hopefully Euro is right. Rain either way for most.
  13. Yea, I'll take the under on phasing with respect to this run, but also the under on SNE snowfall , regardless.
  14. Yea, I couldn't care less. This run just means we endure more erotic se wind bedtime stories from Kev, and more magic marker scribbling below an incoherent rambling about CAPE, from Wiz.
  15. Wolfie can title the thread "Pope's Read-Headed Step-Rainer".
  16. Ha, I had a celica for 9 years...just got rid of it a year ago. Loved it, but not suitable for fam life....AKA, wife held me at gunpoint to part ways with it when the first little rager was born.
  17. Yea, no issue with this assessment. I expect rapid fire significant threats on ole' man winter's assembly line 2 weeks from now. Buts its going to be a process, and just don't think we are there yet.
  18. I don't mean to impugn @jbenedet's efforts, either. He is a good met. Just trying humorously express my disagreement. It is def. possible for this to end up snow for interior SNE, but I'm not sure how one can portray that as the most likely outcome attm.
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