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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I would not worry....snow will get thrown back farther up there bc mid levels will be mature.
  2. Are you talking about the QPF charts, or mid level model depictions? if the mid levels trend east, and/or the system matures later, then yes.......but not because the QPF chart simply doesn't show big amounts. Models mainly resolve precipitation from low level forcing, but are not skilled with mid level deformation...vastly underdone.
  3. Exactly. The snowfall algorithm that I tout is superior with respect to distinguishing precip type issues, which is usually important for us. Most algorithms err by tallying mixed precvip as snow, which inflates the numbers. Mine does not to this, however, it is only based on the model, which usually will not resolve mid level banding properly. Thus it will miss the deformation axis to the NW of the low.
  4. Depends on the situation...generalizing algorithms is a fool's errand, so you seem like the right man for the job. I like it for resolving precip type, but not mid level banding. First Call...Final tomorrow. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/developing-coastal-storm-to-impact-area.html
  5. You guys will do fine...I just said that often we will see late bloomers target NE of you for most.
  6. I could see that...trend east is the easy part, but maintaing intensity while doing so is tougher...slower s stream is how you do it, though.
  7. Some of these latest graphics are reminding me of 12/9/05.
  8. Probably generous, then. I may splurge for premium F5 to get good UK clowns.
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