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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 1995-1996 def. did....2010-2011 maybe a little bit, but it was def more N stream. It may have been a bit of a hybrid in the sense that there some southerly Miller B events.
  2. I get the Hadley Cell expansion....its real..not debating it. But you only seem to mention the past three ENSO events that have not really acted as expected. The weak el nino event of 2014-2015 went about as expected..so didn't the 2017-2018 weak la nina. I don't think the 2016-2017 event was that out of the ordinary either. We still have modest ENSO events that do in fact behave in a traditional manner....
  3. I would expect a northern stream dominated season.
  4. Yea, 2017 was solidly east based....this is more hybrid, like last year.
  5. I have heard some speculation that we may have an el nino like STJ.
  6. Some very, very interesting takes in here today.
  7. I want get together after I get back from Africa..been way too long.
  8. It's obviously peaked...as 8-9/10 post ERC systems have.
  9. Thank god the dewy rev is gone...I like the cold biased version better.
  10. Here is the source that I cited for those looking for more information on la nina structure. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/16742834.2018.1386538
  11. Very negative EPO, too...that was all pacific.
  12. Hey, I am def not rooting against that analog...lol Cosgrove was mentioning it last night.
  13. The weaker la nina is, the more chances for other variables to intervene.
  14. Not necessarily...on paper, 2010 was perfect...but those patterns lead more room for suppression.
  15. We are far enough north that lining up the slot machines with all $ doesn't always end well...the mid atl needs that.
  16. Stronger la nina correlates to a -PDO, not the other way around....huge Aleutian ridge forces a downstream western US trough.
  17. We are talking about a very negative PDO, 2014-2015 was very positive...that year was el nino, this is la nina, so you lost me on that. Believe me, I would be perfectly fine if things played out like that, though...
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