Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
  • Posts

    73,720
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, the OES is what porked me....there were also a few interior events that hammered ORH, which I also missed out on. I was caught in the middle...I rained with the coast, but didn't get the OES.
  2. I listed 2010-2011 and 2020-2021 as the two best ENSO analogs in terms of structure.
  3. This is the alternative mode of trolling now that guidance has caught on to what will actually transpire.
  4. The 06z GFS shows this well. Again, long shot...yes, but possible.
  5. While perhaps not the favored outcome, you do realize that major Miller B cyclogenesis is still possible, correct? Take a look at the 1968-1969 season.....1970-1971, as well.
  6. Sure....but with the plentiful supply of cold air in Canada will ensure that it will at least begin as snowfall....and if the cold is pervasive enough, the system could triple point to the coast and be predominately snowfall.
  7. Well, I went basically normal snowfall for NYC....don't get me wrong, I'm not calling for 1996 seasonal totals anywhere...but I think its going to be a departure from your typical nina snooze fest climo to close the season is what I mean. Should be some big cold shots and decent snow.
  8. Waaaaay OT and ahead, but next year should be watched for a modoki el nino.
  9. Partly my gut, but also based on a lot of researching analog years...... I think that PV is getting absolutely nuked beyond the mid way point of this season. Its going to be a wild second half...JMHO.
  10. I feel like mid January will go to crap as we await the strat to lead the way for the second half.
  11. My feeling on the first one is a SWFE that taints into CNE...just a guess.
  12. Jesus, the OP GFS went ballistic with snow for holiday week....spiked egg nog for all on that run.
  13. I haven't really looked at this yet, but my guess would be a couple/few inches to a mess for us.
  14. Well, yea...I was just saying...he said the EURO is a NNE deal, but that is wrong. Maybe it ends up that way, but that isn't what the 00z EURO implies.
  15. Eh....lets see it happen first. Plus my monthly call as a whole left a lot to be desired...too cold and missed the extreme RNA. I'll be happy to see the snows ultimately come to frution, though.
  16. All three ensemble suites are in really good agreement on a few inches of snowfall around the holiday period from about I84 points N.
×
×
  • Create New...