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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I could get like an inch or so in my area, which would be great this time of year.
  2. I would honestly like it to shred a bit...pretty precarious here as is.
  3. Yea, looks like a good period....I expect the signature event for the month to occur the week of xmas/New Year's, and then perhaps an even larger event in early Jan.
  4. I'm not sure who spiked a football, but I am under the impression that the ensemble mean is the course of least regret in the medium range. In the last threat, the mean also drifted well se....we do not see that here.
  5. Its prob like advisory snows north of pike, which is the outcome I have favored right along.
  6. Well, my bad...at this range I just check maps quickly, but I shouldn't have made definitive statements if I wasn't going to analyze the solution....but no way am I getting 10" like the wxbell maps. Those are trash.
  7. I would say 75/25 compromise towards the F5 map without analyzing soundings and everything.
  8. That map can be stingy at the surface due to low level warmth, but either way, it doesn't seem significant over SNE.
  9. This is why I am okay with the continued RNA in conjunction with an EPO cold load and high latitude blocking....I said yesterday that this is a pattern primed for your fabled NJ model deals.
  10. I love how people lie in the weeds and reveal they are out a couple of days beforehand. lol Awesome.
  11. I wouldn't read too much into it given that the EPS mean is virtually unchanged...actually edged north at 06z.
  12. I'd prefer it too warm for most of SNE at this point....I'll take my chances with precip type.
  13. Going to be an el nino next year, so I'll be SNE's bitch again....need to get up off of the mat this year.
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