Lots going on for me here in Uganda, but going to try to get things started on Sunday night. Past few days have solidified some doubt that I had. I'm feeling confident in my ideas.
Why do you feel so threatened by anything that potentially supports wintery outcomes? Bit more confidence in a Canadian warming at 2-3:weeks lead than ENSO state at 8-9 months lead.
I'm actually glad to see the steep drop in 3.4 because it was looking pretty modoki for a bit. People need to remember that this once every ten year drop occured with region 3.4 at neutral, so let's not get carried away.