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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The lack of activity in December was due to the compressed flow the big negative anomaly out west, and the transient neg NAO node later in the month. I think the imperfect phases later in the season were cyclogenesis defects that are prominent in the absence of high latitude blocking.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    2009-2010, too. Its 2023-2024....my guess a moderate modoki el nino with above average snow from VA through ME.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Golf isn't my thing, so I'm out. I'll try for a more conventional GTG later in the fall.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Humidity really down...feels great.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its tame if the east coast doesn't get a cat 3
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Get his number?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully we can get this Pamela Anderson pattern during the cold season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't minded this summer at all to this point. Can't complain about some dews in July....it hasn't been bad.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, my area, too. I measured .16" at midnight, and got drenched, thereafter. Will have to check the gage when I get home tonight.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was surprised by how much it rained last night...poured for a while.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    There are some signs that this la nina may try to go more central based than last year's, which was heavily eastern biased. That would likely mean a pretty good likelihood of a better December and worse mid season relative to last year. Caveat being that la nina should also be less prominent, which inherently makes ENSO more of a wildcard.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, Cosgrove has been all over a subpar tropical season in terms of activity, but not necessarily level of impact, as of course it only takes one. He has been on quite a heater over the past few years. I strongly recommend his stuff.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think this will be like last year's la nina in the sense that it will not be as prominent a player across the hemisphere...IOW, we may see more variation in the pattern. It isn't going to be as pervasive a driver.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's going to be pretty modest next winter...its not a "game over" proposition. We just had a weak el nino a few years ago act more like an el nino...it can go both ways. That said, I wouldn't expect a monster mid atl snow season. Can't necessarily say the same for 2023-2024.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Count me out
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the subsurface is just insurance against la nina going nuts.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No worries, do whatever gets your rocks off....judment free zone this day and age.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is one for @forkyforkto link in OT
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just about to the time of year when 80s are climo.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 2010-2011 was my primary ENSO analog...I agree, there. In hindsight, I feel like a moron for mixing up December and January considering that 2010-2011 with the epic January was so high on my list of ENSO analogs.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, tomorrow will suck.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's about the ceiling for this time of year...lay out on the naked and hope to view an ominous cloud that will look not so ominous as it makes it over the ORH hills on approach.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't get my rocks off by staring at fat men's sweat stains like some....this is fine by me.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I may have to just move to Moose up
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