40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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What I was getting is that looks pretty similar to what I have for January.
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Its not going to be pretty and its going to be perilously close to a ratter...I get what you are saying. But I feel good about it working out. Maybe I am wrong...certainly have been before and will be again and again.
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Forcing over the maritime continent isn't going anywhere, but that is usually good in December...its thereafter that it goes to crap. I guess if you were looking for 2014-2015, or 1977-1978, then no....everything doesn't look great. But if you had reasonable expectations given the hand we were dealt this season, then I think it looks about as good as could reasonably be expected.
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I will agree that if the polar field doesn't work out this season, then we are cooked. I see no reason to suspect that, though. I would be surprised. The Pacific is not pretty this season...it should be a for a spell in December, but by in large...it won't be.
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Lower heights INTVO of AK is going to be a reoccurring theme this season...2011-2012 is a decent, if flawed analog...however, we should have good periods given the drastically different polar domain.
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My take on that is its correct, but rushed....as the evolution often is in the extended. You will see those blues around AK verify, but get pushed back towards the new year.
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It changes plenty if you were expecting a strong la nina, which some were.
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TBD.
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I wouldn't think it looked great if I lived in Taunton, either.
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I knew you would be the one to queef in my face. I'm talking about the next 45 days or so in the mean. Wait until after the holidays, load up a composite of 11/16 to 12/26, then talk to me. No one will care about your 3 mild days in early December.
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Good news...everything looks great.
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Next year? Sure...
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People got carried away with it...I even saw NewYorkMetrowx, which is very good, going moderate to strong....was like WTF?? -.9 to -1.1 ONI should do it.
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Love it.
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Opposite of how global warm has manifested itself on average.
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I had it in 2017.
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Someone in SNE (MA, CT, RI) will get plowable before Novie ends...that is my call.
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Well, in New England, anyway lol
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I'm optimistic we avoid that this year...hopefully the flip to crap is after the holidays. I feel like it will be the most widespread white xmas since maybe 1995.
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-QBO helps by making the PV more susceptible to disregulation. -
I didn't day it didn't grow. I said it wasn't enough to have to mow again.
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I don't think it's that type of season...maybe one or two in Dec?
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Cowboys are fine...just a blip.
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Probably 40-50"
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Yea, not sure why the angst...looks right on cue. I won't even bother with guidance packages until 12/1. No need for models now...I know where we are headed.
