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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Would go along with my theme of a late season revival.
  2. I meant snow. I couldn't care less about severe.
  3. But it's also becoming east based...in which case strengthening helps the winter cause.
  4. I def. wouldn't run from a strengthening la nina that is becoming more east based....2010 is already one of the better ENSO analogs and it could become even more appropriate....along with 1955 and 1970.
  5. Wow...2.02" here...we crush rain events in Methuen
  6. I didn't say SSW...I said strat warming, which goes hand-in-hand with a weak vortex. I think Dec will be good, though not particularly cold.
  7. Fun times for him and the few buried bodies...not for 99% of us.
  8. Well, if the MJO is low amplitude, I would assume it would default to the well established standing wave that has been in place over the maritime continent. We need the MJO to beging progressing, and/or strat warming. The later is not happening any time soon.
  9. With each thrust a heave of dog poop into the woods and surrounding lawns..
  10. Right. This makes perfect sense to me....its acting like a moderate event. I know he's just going to hurl school yard insults and block me, but I had to call him out and correct him on Twitter. He should stick to operational forecasting, as seasonal is not his niche.
  11. Yea, 30MB is strongly negative, but 50MB had been lagging a bit.
  12. I saw that....its not THAT much weaker....does he realize that this one is well coupled and is actually acting like la nina? Lol The SO MEI is -1.5
  13. Not impressed with DT's outlook...doesn't seem to have a firm grasp of la nina structure. He apparently doesn't understand exactly what a modoki is, since he insists on calling this one. He also seems to think that they are better for winter than EP events, which is just false. The only thing I agree with him on is the intensity...weak to marginally mod...so many have this too strong.
  14. I checked last night, and it looked like the last post was October 12th.
  15. The south shore plunges into snow mounds from roof tops 7 years ago, and I get this lol
  16. I'm sure the Methuen slump will end with this event...I'll jackpot...all drifting against my chimney from the neighbor's oak.
  17. This is what I have been saying...I was telling Corey that, who will also have to miss. This is especially easy for me to swing the first half of the season, while the fam is away.
  18. January looks great. February actually looks good for New England, IMO...we would do pretty well, but not the mid atl. March is marginal as the PAC deteriorates....NNE, inland and elevations favored, but with the NAO blocking signature, we'd be in the game.
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