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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the SSW kind of messed things up that year, but I know what you mean.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    02-03, too, no?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Odds are weak el nino next year, congrats New England, moderate, congrats east coast.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    @StormchaserChuck! @raindancewx What are your thoughts on this...thinking way ahead during the meteorological down time.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sucks. I knew this would be an RNA winter in the mean, but it's about identifying the periods of volatility...I identified December with respect to the PNA, and I was wrong...right about the blocking, but the record RNA had screwed us out of this month.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mid atlantic forum is already 9+ pages deep into the January thread.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The fact that you guys are 9 pages into the January thread on 12/22 says all you need to know about December
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice post.....there will probably be a mid winter reprieve, but I do expect more of that this season.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I agree its a positive auger for the rest of the winter, though frustrating at present.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lucky the N stream was able to capture the way it did because the PNA ridge is a bit east of ideal.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wasn't dry for all of NE. I had near 100".
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is OT....but I am pumped over this, so just a sneak preview into my thought process heading into next year. Here are the el nino seasons following multi year cool ENSO years: 1957-1958 1963-1964 1968-1969 1972-1973 (super el nino, so huge asterisk) 1976-1977 1986-1987 2002-2003 2009-2010 2014-2015 2018-2019
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...in terms of snowfall, just that it won't be horrible....not saying it promises a huge season.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    30s in my area....IDK about down there.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think this big NAO block validates the idea that this is not going to be a rat season...its just some bad luck that it isn't baring fruit in terms of snowfall at this juncture, but looking back through data, I can't find any ratter seasons that were healthy la ninas and had a significant neg NAO in December. I know some will say 1989 and 2001, but they were cool neutral.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't have to be snow around here.....especially if its the NAO that caves first.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is going to some enormous mass flux when that does indeed happen, and there is potential for a very large event.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally agree...zero doubt. The only way out in my mind if for either the NAO or RNA to relent a bit, which will eventually happen...just a matter of when. In the mean time, its like mother nature has us in a head lock and we are just waiting to be let go-
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    You mean the illusion that its a panacea?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thing is, if it were a lock, then I would take some solace in that....but odds are it won't be a uniform distribution in the sense that the entire region will get it. That's why I just look past it.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, tiny snowcrazed Tim. God bless us, each and every one of us.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why cancel it over snowshowers? GO
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, he's not wrong, either. I'm bored at work just melting like a snowbank on NYC in the dead of winter.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    First of all, even if they did cut west, front enders would mean more snow than this. Secondly, its not just a longitude thing....if the RNA or the NAO ridges were weaker, there would have been less of a gradient. Regardless, record RNA is difficult to overcome.
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