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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am a fan of the 6 hourly swipe...but I also have no issue distinguishing between total snowfall and max/current depth.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am so sick of the inconsistency with respect to snowfall measuring.....I had my 31.5" jack tossed in March 2018 after employing the same, exact technique and they took depth measurements, instead. But when it comes to a lake effect circle jerk, they all derobe to the big 22.7" discrepancy between max depth and 6 hourly swipes. I had a 6.5" gap and it was tossed. What a joke.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks for chiming in, Matt...love your stuff. The neg IOD and la nina should both relinquish their grip relatively early, per my research, since this is a stagnant la nina that has carried over from last year. They have more staying power when the atmospheric dynamics that foster the development of the ENSO-IOD development and coupling are still maturing, as opposed to largely an atmospheric imprint of last year's state.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Completely on the same page.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    And hips...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree, but the increasingly stout solar was part of my rationale, in addition to 2001 popping up as a sensible analog. I'm not worried about a furnace.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a a serviceable SWFE type second half after a bleh first half. I had a good January.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Can work later in the month, but it's tough to score in a less than pristine pattern with hostile climo.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Temper tantrums over a failed Tday threat lol
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Rain vs rain.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't expect much until like second week of month
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a mild early month of December, transition to a colder gradient look as the month aged. RNA is the word of the day for December.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Boat leaving Nassau...offline for the night.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Were there big snow runs?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty inconsequential. Maybe it peaks ar 1.2 instead of 1.0? That's why you give a range.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll take that pattern in December...string of coastals that early brings Cantore to ORH for TSnow orgies.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    WAA snows, SWFE, can even be Miller Bs if the EPO block is strong enough and well positioned
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is pretty much what I had for December.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Haha Nice little event on my Bday, yet I'll be in the Bahamas. Methuen will jack.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    The UK has been way too warm for winter all fall, as it was waaay too strong with la nina. Not sure if that is still the case...
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not specifically...but they are in my social media circle.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, man. I feel like adding a third 2020 and a 2010 alleviated some of the issues that began emerging with the composite later in the fall. The work of @OHweatherreally made it clear as to why it helped. I love coming to similar conclusions through different methodologies...its so cool and adds confidence.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, I didn't know we were going to Miami/Bahamas until like Tuesday....I was shitting myself and hardly sleeping trying to bang that out. She was starting to get annoyed. That is why I didn't go more in depth on how the analog composite has done over the summer and how it looks for Novie. I may do a separate post on that when I get back.
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