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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that's mainly due to guidance initially trying to rush the MJO into phase 8, which I was always skeptical of.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, when you spend a month writing, you hope to not just flush it down the toilet when its all wrong lol As far as being upset, I think we are all angered by that which we can not control at one time or another....doesn't mean that I don't understand that I can't control it. Believe me, December is proof of the fact that I don't control it.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, you are off to a good start...we'll leave it at that for now.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    December was a complete loss form SNE points southward...that isn't really debatable. Again, its frustrating because the blocking materialized, but unfortunately, so did a record breaking RNA at the same, precise time.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It has, just a little further north than you had thought...Brian and Jeff are doing well. lol
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This seemed like a preemptive back pat, but perhaps I read too much into it.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Per my definition of it, I was right. Its going to be in the upper 30s on Xmas.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    A ratter this season would be unprecedented given the healthy episode of blocking that occurred in a la nina December. The naysayers can attempt to negate that with all of the subjective dribble that they would like, but that is simply fact. Again, there can be a first for everything, and our period of records is relatively small, but it is what it is.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    My melt was limited in scope...I'm not cancelling winter like 1717 and all of them. I'm just disgusted with December. No way we get out of this season without a very good stretch IMHO.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    The grown up egg nogg all polished off
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Folks just need to understand that there is a seasonal lag, so on average you don't get the harshest winter weather during the solstice in the mid latitudes.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    No doubt...agree.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice deflection....its not about how much you value snowfall in March, the point it that March is still snowfall season, whether you like it or not.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Riddle me this....Phineas gets suspended, but we never have reprieve from this dude's dribble....show the planet where that logic is applied.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    6 weeks takes us to the climo peak of the snowfall season, early Feb....there's like another 5-6 weeks left for snowfall beyond that.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is plenty of time for the season...I'm speaking of December. This month is over AFAIC.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the writing is on the wall, at this point....the verdict is in, and this month is guilty of sucking a$$ hardcore. We're onto January.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just insult to injury....what an absolutely, positively abomination of a month. Add this one to the rusted out coat hanger Hall of Fame.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure if the NAO takes a break from shredding every potential snow event, it will allow the one that sneaks through to come close enough for rain....after I miss the xmas eve mojo to the southwest.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's why I don't get invested in that light snow around xmas...its going to pork a portion of the region, and I have a feeling it will be here. CT probably gets it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sorry, Jay. Hopefully you get an opportunity here. Must be why Harv bailed on WHDH.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I'm sure that's right.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally agree.....regardless of ONI, this is the most impressive la nina since 2010-2011.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    ENSO ultimately always self destructs...whether it be via the walker cycle, or the MJO...this is why the opposite ENSO state is favored from year to year, all else being equal...especially for stronger events.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll have to look back through my blogs, but I think I saw research that a SSW can excite and subsequently stagnate the MJO, and as fate had it, it end up constructively interfering with that la nina base state we have been stuck in that Hoffman alluded to. That winter was also during the blocking drought....an NAO would have changed the landscape of that somewhat.
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