Same page....been saying the Pacific is going to look better this winter than a lot of people think. The surface of the tropical Pacific belies what is going on right now in the atmosphere.
I think the eruption is also playing a role with respect to the dead tropics if you read some the research that raindance referenced.
It was raining pretty good at home, and pouring on my way in, until I hit about route 128....then the rain was just showery with nearly dry pavement in Chelsea.