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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its dumb to utilize anything exclusively and base a forecast off if it. They are tools, like everything else. CFS def. isn't my favorite climate model, though lol
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hope people realize that the "first frost fast approaching" thread starter was not an offering of met insight....just a general climo descent reference to kick the thread off. People seem to like pointing that comment out lol wasn't debating the warm October idea.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I lost power for a couple of hours or so according to National Grid text
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shocking lol
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Funny how everything with a name flops, but the no names perform decently...like names are a curse.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Catch 22....I don't mind it because it provides an explosive baro zone.....odds are the cp is porked anyway with a deep easterly fetch.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Outstanding analysis IMO.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It can be, but not necessarily.....regardless, its nice to see the warm/dry pattern relenting to something more seasonable as the cold season begins.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kidding, Paul....just bustn' 'em. Can't wait to get back.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know you don't...its evident all winter long.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I was getting at with my comment earlier about how this would be perfect in winter....the nuances of these situations tend to fluctuate a lot as we near verification, though.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Firstly, you need to take a few more courses if you don't understand that mesoscale convection plays a very prominent role in determining who enjoys the fruits of the atmosphere in the capstone events that we live for as winter enthusiasts. Secondly, the northeast coast is very averse to severe weather relative to the rest of the country due to the stabilizing influence of the ocean.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends on airmass and time of year for cp, but prolonged easterly fetch is gold on east slopes.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's perfectly valid in this instance...I can see it with respect to claiming 8" of rainfall would be 80" of snow, but it's perfectly valid here...1-3' blizzard. I get it that ir you're but hurt and spew venom out your rear because SNE does snowfall better than severe, but get over it.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any severe delusions?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too bad this wasn't winter....wow, perfect set up for a blizzard.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel left out? What the hell do I care... I'm in Africa. And obviously the south coast gets it worse, but there are plenty of hurricanes that were very memorable in my area...just none within the last 35 years.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I always listen to the sermons about why I should buy into to big wind impacts in my region, and time and time again, sell, sell, sell. It takes a very specific and rare set of circumstances and this isn't it.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't followed this closely, but my guess is the outcome won't end up being anything extraordinary outside of potentially the immediate shoreline and the cape. I'm sure there will be plenty of extraordinary gust maps posted by the usual cast.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Edited to include November preview.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think NDJ is ONI peak.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    What goal posts moved? I referenced ONI in each of the posts that you quoted. Tag and bag this one....lord.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Buy.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last from me until outlook release hopefully next week. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/10/la-nina-comes-into-focus-as-more-active.html
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why anyone would panic over potential -1.1 ONI as opposed to -0.9 is beyond me...the overall character of the event is the same.
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