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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, rare breed. ..probably helped that it was a two-pronged event.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had like 5-6", then some sleet and slot.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That event was excellent....I had like 20" over the two days...similar to 12/2019.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Eastern Mass got screwed in 12/30/00.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll aim for middayish....hopefully a threat to track, but I have a feeling December starts slowly and mild.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it's a horrible analog..flawed, sure, but there are certainly much worse.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    The PNA and PDO are not as highly correlated as many think.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    The last two years are def. decent analogs.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I want for October:
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I prefer 40s and overcast in the fall.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I believe there is some sort of negative correlation between October and the winter, while there is a positive correlation between November and winter. But the October snow argument is a myth.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree. I think 2000 evolved like that.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    CFS thinks I am on the right track for Novie:
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Perfect. That should do it-
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I need October to warm up in the east, and cool off in the west for my analogs to continue looking good.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    He has said he like 2000-2001 as an analog.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, you mentioned "now that October SAI is out", like it matters what it is mid month...maybe I read too much into it...
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    So 12/10 @ Funky's...
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mowed today
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are have way through the month....I would hold off on using the SAI.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/composites/printpage.pl https://psl.noaa.gov/data/usclimdivs/
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    We usually do Funky Murphy's...
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly how I feel. Everyone shuns it once they realize it isn't the silver bullet of seasonal forecasting. It's just another tool...like the QBO, etc
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    So wasn't conjuring up electricity hundreds of years ago.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's worth checking before you go through any editing trouble because believe it or not, there is actually symmetry between my concurrent analogs, and low ACE, high solar years.
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