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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kevin, I am unable to make a new entry for some reason. I have done so in the past, but I am just not seeing anything with a new entry option....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    This event is neither east Pac, nor west....its basin-wide. That isn't changing.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Coldest anomalies are, and have been centered between 130 and 140W for a long time now. That should continue, and the eastern flank shouldn't warm too much. I think the region 4 will warm from current -0.9 to about -1.2 to -1.3, which doesn't change anything IMO.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mean of the ECMWF Nino 4 ENSO plume is about -1.3.. I don't see it getting lower than that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a bit dated, so perhaps its changed. I don't have an issue with region 4 getting to -1...that is not much of a jump.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @andyhb
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think region 4 is going to cool much more.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Someone prep the sig....
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    We should be really cranking by xmas IMO.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I would rather pass on the big s stream from the Gulf, and just take my chances with the N stream.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is some chance Zeta is more directly beneficial to NE snowfall.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was going to suggest this. Def.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    No. 1999-2000.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll drop in a little later.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, Will. I take a look at this later. I have to bookmark these so I can stop harassing people every fall. lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    If anyone could post the CFS and UKMET NDJ, or DJB la Nina SST anomaly map, I would greatly appreciate it. Thanks.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Could anyone in here post the UK and CFS forecast for la nina? I have only been able to find the plumes...I'm looking for the SST anomaly maps. Thanks.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see something like that this season. I really like 2000 as an analog, too....prob +3 on my big three list.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    To be fair, I think most have done poorly the past couple of years. I know raindance and Tom hit last year.....about it. But NOONE forecasted the level of atrocity that unfolded throughout January and February of 2020.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do people continue to commit intellecutal suicide by reading Henry?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree with this from what I have been looking at....my finished product should be out in a couple of weeks. How is your NAO formula this season? Positive?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've bee looking at la nina structure a lot this week. Its interesting because your winter forecast composite looks much more like a CP, west-based la nina.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank you. I think have above average confidence this season...cleared up any ambivalence today.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you guys nowhere to find the ECMW ENSO plumes? All I can find is SIPS, and it was discontinued last year.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    He is usually just before me...early Novie
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