40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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+2". 4" on the season.
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Yes.
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Guidance is going to waffle...that is what guidance does. Just gotta trust your gut and preseason work...and both tell me we do okay this month. Maybe I will be wrong...it happened alot the past couple of years. We'll see.
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Agree.
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Holy shit...that is awful. Well, at least we are vanquishing that bad regression karma quickly.
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Looks like some NAO... Been over a year now since I have had a warning event...12/4/19....longest stretch since probably 2012, at least.
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Its active with no se ridge, so let's see what happens. I get that it won't be pretty, but if there is still cold to be had, it can still snow on the front end of these systems...especially as climo grows more conducive.
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NAM en route back to earth.
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If I had to pick a spot for some accumulation in SNE, its the N ORH hills....no shock.
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There are two competing elements....sure, interior elevations stand the best chance at having a colder boundary layer to support snow, but NE locales have a greater likelihood of achieving the dynamics to overcome a marginal boundary layer. My guess is its mainly a NNE deal...best of both worlds.
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Opposite impact from what looks to evolve, though...it strengthens the PV, which is believed to be what happened last season. Assassinated many outlooks.
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NAO east showed up a lot in my analog composites.
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I am thinking more Maine, but we'll see. I expect a lot of systems like that this season in which its a race for them to develop. This is why Maine should clean up. I will get some of them, but not this one IMO.
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It would just prolong the wintry appeal...systems that try to gut due to higher se heights would get squeezed under and redevelop as miller B. Perhaps SWFE, as well, if they fail to redevelop fast enough. 2010-2011 had that....but as we saw that season, it will go to crap once the blocking abates.
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Exactly my issue.
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I'd take that over the OP for my hood.
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....of the for inbred cave folk in the northwestern Allagash...
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Well, lecture the state of Mass, with whom I am employed.
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All of SNE will end up with the Poopoo platter in this one.
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Agree.
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But you also consider a likely compromise of other guidance, and I think that is realistic.
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Crushing hit is N NH/NW ME mts, as expected.
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It looks like the 12z EURO run is 6"+ for the N ORH hills and N Berskshires, and 2-5" for the rest of the hills. The wxbell clown map is awful.
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