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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    We have just sort of stagnated in this compression induced meteorological purgatory of sort....once something, anything starts to change, that should "stir the pot", so to speak.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just my hunch, but I have a hard time getting out of this regime without some kind of storminess....you have to figure with two nodes of that magnitude relenting (NAO and RNA) there is going to be: 1) A ton of mass flux 2) Ample supply of cold built up put west.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I would have never guessed that. I would certainly continue to roll the dice with blocking in a la nina.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the pattern blows....I mean, NNE is salvageable, but nowhere in the east is doing well.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is the worst...no doubt....completely boring, yet not very comfortable and enticing enough for MJO to keep besieging us with ICON output and bedtime stories about phase 8. Just go 2011 and rip the band aid off...comfy numb.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can bank on that, at least.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any hope is like 1/10 and beyond...forget that.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its milder than the other two, but I think there would be plenty of cold near by in that look with the orientation of the PV. Could be a decent pattern with latitude.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, drizzle here...34.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll look tomorrow....gotta do Dec recap and January preview.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm all set with power outages on NY....keep it west.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run is all wrong.....shift the heart of that FU sliver about 12mi south, and that should cover it.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Long shot for SNE.....hard sell.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love how the guy "saved" by his latitude is complaining the most lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will, the main difference off of the top of my head with respect to those years is that they were descending easterly QBO and even flipped westerly late.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, those are the two exceptions.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you look at all of our ratter la nina winters, they were pretty much raging + throughout the polar domain.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I am not saying to buy that single OP run...obviously await ensemble consensus and then consistency, but that is a start. I think that is the right path. It just doesn't sit well with me that this season is a ratter.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its about wound up systems providing the impetus for mass heat flux to higher latitudes in order to facilitate a change to a more favorable pattern by raising heights up there. They also represent wave breaking events that can shift the pattern. The reason you don't hear about that with respect to blizzards near the BM is because we are usually already in a favorable pattern at that time.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you are a weather fan in the east, the HR hooked foul lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a perfectly valid point worthy of discussion, but it tends to get political and just derails weather threads.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally disregard that.....I misunderstood you. Completely my fault. I had already edited. Once it had actually worked out like that, yea....we got about what would be expected from that compressed flow.
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