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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That would fit the season, so it would not surprise me, but I think north of there....ORH through NE MA/SE NH.
  2. Completely agree...this is why I liked it qualitatively speaking.
  3. People are neglecting the fact that there is also northern assist reviving the southern decay late in the game.
  4. No. I like the placement of the higher amounts, thus qualitatively....I think the amounts may be a but high, which is a quantitative issue.
  5. Yes....EURO, as well. My point all along. Believe me, if I thought I was porked, I would not hesitate to admit that. Would it surprise me if it did end up like shit here, not at all, but I like the look of guidance at present. Forget the QPF gradient.
  6. I was going to say that, but it would sound better coming from you.
  7. Yup..... April 1997 and March 2018...two of my larges events. Dec 1992, also....though early season.
  8. GFS is not far off from blowing this up into a bigger deal...I don't think it will happen in time, but it blows up upon exit.
  9. I think the cut off will be north of the MA/NH border bc there is some mid level deformation to the north...especially later in the game.
  10. I get it...wasn't accusatory, either. Just reiterating/clarifying.
  11. I just want an inch or so....Just get me to 50" and Boston to 40"...all I care about.
  12. I'm not playing any mind games.....I think a few inches of snow is a plausible scenario given the pantheon of guidance at this time. That said, its tenuous and could certainly fail. I am the last person to ever bank on the anafront dynamic....
  13. I wouldn't be shocked...tough to ever trust these set ups, but you have to hedge against modeling pretty strongly to forecast nothing at this point.
  14. This is what I have been saying.....trying to tell high512, or whatever not to worry.
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