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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jesus...may have to break from the winter outlook to tackle pre-winter shenanigans....that would be a first.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks too tucked, unless its stacked?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great call if it works out.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I would rather pass on the big s stream from the Gulf, and just take my chances with the N stream.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is some chance Zeta is more directly beneficial to NE snowfall.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was going to suggest this. Def.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    No. 1999-2000.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll drop in a little later.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, Will. I take a look at this later. I have to bookmark these so I can stop harassing people every fall. lol
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    If anyone could post the CFS and UKMET NDJ, or DJB la Nina SST anomaly map, I would greatly appreciate it. Thanks.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Could anyone in here post the UK and CFS forecast for la nina? I have only been able to find the plumes...I'm looking for the SST anomaly maps. Thanks.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see something like that this season. I really like 2000 as an analog, too....prob +3 on my big three list.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    To be fair, I think most have done poorly the past couple of years. I know raindance and Tom hit last year.....about it. But NOONE forecasted the level of atrocity that unfolded throughout January and February of 2020.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do people continue to commit intellecutal suicide by reading Henry?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree with this from what I have been looking at....my finished product should be out in a couple of weeks. How is your NAO formula this season? Positive?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've bee looking at la nina structure a lot this week. Its interesting because your winter forecast composite looks much more like a CP, west-based la nina.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank you. I think have above average confidence this season...cleared up any ambivalence today.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you guys nowhere to find the ECMW ENSO plumes? All I can find is SIPS, and it was discontinued last year.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    He is usually just before me...early Novie
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I dont know why I can't get mine that detailed....this is all I can get
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like the other site better, but too bad it doesn't go back that far.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that's all I have, too. Thanks.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    One interesting thing that I am noticing is that 1970-71 is listed as a mixed-basin-wide la nina in my data set, but the forcing was definitely more like an east-based event, and it isn't close. What is the best site to access SST archive data? Tabular weekly ENSO data only goes to 1990, which pains me.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That must be the Feb 10"er that I recall in Wilmington....one worthwhile event in the second half IMO.
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