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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll be raking all day tomorrow...sick day ftw. I usually like to wait until they are all down, but tomorrow will be perhaps that truly warm day and I can't pass up that opportunity.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree, however, this can work...seasons like 1969, 1956 and 2011 are examples of that.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Scooter has alot more grey now
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's the awful 2011-2012 winter.....I remember we were taking pictures with a toaster
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    His sanity
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    You guys are swinging too wildly to extremes....it still looks okay moving ahead. Odds are never great at plowing in November around here.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree. I said going into the month that we had a greater than climo shot at significant snows, but that doesn't mean it has to pan out, and odds are still against this doing the deed HERE. Somewhere.....more likely, sure.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good luck. I never had any interest in that...maybe you can pull off something.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, its not vanishing art this point.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    He does tend to act like the PV is all that matters...very linear forecasting.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My critique of him is that he is more of a researcher than a forecaster.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://www.wcvb.com/article/winter-weather-outlook-boston-massachusetts-area-2021-2022/38258335 Sounds a lot like my forecast, though I maybe a bit cooler in December and milder in January. He has 50" for Boston, I think I had 45-55".
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see December ending up a bit above normal, but its not going to be a torch. He must feel the PV is going to be disrupted late season, which is also my call.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I went into the seasoning envisioning some of those -PDO/NAO 60's seasons, though obviously modified.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like the 1983-1984 analog.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know....I was thinking the same thing...I can see that more for like 1997 or 1982 with individual, freak spring blizzards.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would say out of that awful group, fear 1953 the most.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    We aren't having a 2011. The vortex isn't as strong.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the RNA is why there was a sharp snowfall gradient N of NYC....not unlike Feb 1969.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    How often do we see huge signals dampen as they near?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly think 1995 is a good analog to start the season...main difference being that the PNA may not be quite as robust...we'll see. That would be more of an issue for the MA in terms of snowfall, and mean that it probably wouldn't be as cold overall.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I buy it. Maybe time for subscriptions in a week or so.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, October and early Novie were very mild. Strange because I also anticipate a bit of a STJ presence this season, which is one peculiar trait for a la nina season that that year had.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This pattern reminds me of that.
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