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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't factor that in. I did last season
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will adjust, but the outlook is graded as is. Anyone can get an A if you are spoon fed the answer sheet.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't disagree with any of that.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I finished today. Just going to take until the weekend with the snowfall forecast....no sense burying it on election week.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    What signal are we abandoning, anyway? Wasn't November always supposed to get mild??
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Believe it or not, we had warm winters before you became sexually fixated on fleshy, pulsating Hadley Cells.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It really is in an incredible resource with some gifted minds. I am humbled by the exchange of information each and every season. The fact that someone like myself, who has been math and science deficient my whole life, can compose a coherent winter outlook is largely a credit to these forums.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do think that we will see some the pig this season, but not wall-to-wall, like last year. Later in January and February IMO.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    2" was one of the lower totals, but I will take that on 10/30.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was confused, too.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Difference is its not a pig...its RNA, which is expected...especially early season.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure ACE is done for the season.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I used that piece extensively in my outlook. I have this season as mixed, but a tad east of totally neutral.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think strong ONI peak is pretty questionable...weekly data, sure.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Canadian is also the most central-based of all guidance, IMO...so that makes sense that it would support the southern PAC ridge.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/11/catastrophic-hurricane-eta-nearing.html
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only one I would hate is 1999.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    @griteater No coincidence that most of the N PAC ridge composite winters are ep la nina seasons...and most S PAC members are co la nina seasons.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hate to be redundant, but 2007 represents a great compromise both with respect to the ep vs cp la nina continuum, as well as the N PAC ridge vs S PAC ridge composites.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree. I don't buy the N Pac ridge composite, however, I don't think it's going to be as flat as some the eastern US terds, like 2011, either.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I second this....incredibly informative. Still trying to wrap my mind around the QBO stuff.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Last time Pat's scored 28 points in four games? Fall of 1995.....I like that winter analog lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, 15.4 last night...must be near a record.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    17....jesus
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