All Activity

UKIE remains a "no".

We will know in the next 45 minutes or so

This is very nice to see.

it did yeah, you're right...just dont think well see much of an improvement at 00z (also based on what canadian did) but well see...just speculating of course

king euro ai?

still haven't seen a screenshot of the 18z run that isn't a single ensemble member.

GFS

The UK/Euro it seemed for most of the 2018-2025 period would often go opposite directions of each other alot in the D4-7 range, but this winter there has been more a tendency for them to generally follow one another for sure

Oh God, what if it mixes again

A few things? I feel like it was just the thermals, lol

While some are still skeptical of it lol, 18z WeatherNext 2.0 trended west too.

Rooting for that ensemble member that has a 981 over OBX…

There’s really only one model we need on board and this place will erupt. All hail the KING, unless it’s jogging back east and then it’s anarchy!

It had no chance of making up here that run anyway.

You know NAM did do pretty well on a few things last week. Especially on Central Virginia

didn’t 18z Euro improve?

Good westward trends from GEFS last 24 hours

Early-Feb pattern looks good. -EPO/-PNA/-NAO/-AO is a great combo in February because the wave lengths shorten.

Really goes to show that we don't need much to get absolutely walloped. The bunching is pretty telling.

maybe some super amped solutions where the Carolinas get rain. Its been warmer today then forecasted. I wonder if air mass isnt as cold as modeled

I want to say convective feedback but I don't know enough and it might just be a weenie coping term. So maybe someone more knowledgeable can chime in on that double barrel solution.

Don’t forget the NAM at range..

More or less, it’s just finally keying in on a closer to the coast track and a more expansive precip shield, which rakes the east coast. Not necessarily moving north - you can see the nice halt on the south end of the blue.

Very different setup obviously, but I’m almost getting January of last year vibes with this one. Slow, consistent trends in our direction up until game time. Do we have an eternity being just under 4 days? No. But we don’t need an eternity.. nor are we starting the drive from our own 10 yard line.