All Activity

Abbreviated translation…… hotter and humid than he’ll summer coming for the next 3 months with no breaks.

From this range you assume the standard corrections. As Scott was saying, the NW flow is likely to offset - this appears to be ( at this time...) trying to take a S/W plateau slab of desert kinetic air and sending over top. This is not initially a Bermuda/Gulf delivery. 99/63-ish more so than 89/76. The other aspect that I think Brian hit on is that normal model magnification may normalize some. A standard heat wave is still going to be a score for modeling and recognition from this range. We'll see how things evolve in guidance I will say though that the ensemble means of all 3 remain impressively amplified, above 594 circumvallate 500 mb ... in fact, it's not even clear it ends but really just loses coherence by virtue of normal member meandering way out in time - there's still arguably vestiges of it there beyond 300 hours.

Will be camping in Maple City MI this weekend. Bring the sky booms

Might actually squeeze out a nice weekend for once

Everyone should get a good tank of gas next Monday

why not GFS is only a few degrees lower

Well, you won’t be needing a blanket.

HI at 11:45 am is bigger than 4pm

Damn only hit 69 here

these euro temps will not verify...

Today the Thursday severe threat is still there but the worst looks to be in the eastern 1/3 of the state due to timing issues out west.

106.

95 with the incredible vegetation growth this spring. It’s as deep and dark into the foliage as it’s ever been. I would love to see JFK and LGA hit like 105 and the park is 95.

Yeah. This is pretty great. But for next week, wouldn’t mind some 92/58 type stuff.

Euro has 107F, 105F, and 108F next Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday lol. Here is Thursday:

Today ended up sun and near 80. Certainly none of the doom and gloom TFlizz was calling for yesterday

Pretty nice one out there today.

Love me some heat with low humidity. Alas, that probably won’t verify for very long.

Without looking back at the specifics from that time I feel like the 12Z euro almost has a July ‘95 look to it.

More than .5" my friend just outside New Cumberland just told me. I am at nada. If it were snow, I might murder something lol

TWICE THE MERCURY!

Yep. Pouring in downtown Baltimore too. Hoping this is making its way north of here as well to the drier areas in Balt and Harford counties. Really beneficial after the relative whiff over the last three days.

Probably will have fans blowing on it to keep equipment cool lol

I'd have to defer to Ricky on this but every model is suffering from convective feedback, I really don't know how to forecast this one. Verbatim most models are significant but there is a feedback that is amplifying the winds, how much of that is true I don't know.

We'll see how PSEG and other NJ suppliers hold up after all these data center's that have already been taxing the system.