All Activity
- Past hour
-
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Let’s get a few derechos . Mow down forests , blow out windows etc -
Hrrr shows a half inch for parts of north jersey
-
There’s going to be an EML floating around and a decent chance of ring of fire potential somewhere in New England.
-
More brutally boring weather ^ lol. Looks like a good day to go crabbing. I'm hoping to sit on my screen porch and eat crabs later on while it's storming.
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nope. You're apparently centered on I95 locations. -
Actually welcoming some deep summer HHH although it'll make for less enjoyable outdoor activity next week. Let's at least get rid of the 60s-low 70s clamminess of late. Convection has been pretty meager so far in this area...maybe we'll crank things up in that dept.
-
Radar looks pretty wet, yet sun is out here in NNJ. 30% chance from NWS but futurecast radar looks like a decent soaking is coming... any short range models showing anything for this afternoon to evening?
-
Happy birthday, @mappy ! Have a great dancetastic birthday weekend
-
Definitely a tale of Stein and Stein nots this month.
-
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Union area had more rain in that storm last night than I’ve had all month -
all the rotting fat people in the streets will make the dews higher
-
Why does the board work all of the sudden after performing like I was using prodigy back in 1995?
-
Hard to imagine the actual temp hitting 110. Gotta believe the Euro is overdoing it a little bit. But 100 to 105 seems likely -- this is looking like one of our worst heat waves ever.
-
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
It’s hot to our north . Canada is warm. Dews -
And here we go.... note this is DC metro 34 35 36 560 FPUS51 KLWX 271157 ZFPLWX Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 756 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 DCZ001-271500- District of Columbia- Including the cities of Adams Morgan and Washington 756 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026 .TODAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms this morning, then scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 60 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Isolated showers in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 50 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny, hot with highs in the upper 90s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. .THURSDAY...Sunny, hot with highs 100 to 105. Heat index values up to 110. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 80s. .FRIDAY...Sunny, hot with highs 100 to 105. Heat index values up to 110.
-
gonna be a crispy July.. might have to just punt the rest of lawn season until overseeding. The 3" I got helps in the short term but it won't last.
-
He’s never left my house.
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The more rural observation sites are ranked just as high for the 90° day rankings as the urban ones. -
Lots of HP building in from north. No dews.
-
So after 3.4" of rain, we back to stein again? he's tough to shake
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
The ridge axis has continued coming farther east each day . Euro still playing catch-up. The retro back west is also less now do it may just stay HHH for some time . Instead of 98-103 like next week , maybe it’s 88-93 with dews -
Upton's AFD regarding the heat mid-late week: A highly anomalous amplified upper flow will be featured across the country from mid to late week, with a trough out west and a a high centered over the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Heights are greater than 594 dm, about 2 SD above normal, and 85H temps on Thursday on the latest 00Z GFS are at or just above 22C. There is still some uncertainty with the upper ridge strength and magnitude as disturbances round the ridge across the Northeast. The 00Z GFS is still supporting a convective complex dropping across the Northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, sending a back door cold front through the area. NBM temperatures for the long term were a few degrees too warm, especially for Thursday and Friday, most notably with a 105 high temperature near KTEB on Thursday. This seems too high with the aforementioned 22C at 85H. More realistic highs for NE NJ are upper 90s to lower 100s, slightly lower for NYC with the rest of the area in the middle to upper 90s, except cooler at the immediate coast. Slightly cooler readings are expected region-wide Friday. Record highs during this time are mainly 100 plus. So some pretty stout records are in place. If the NBM highs pan out however, they would tie or break records for Thursday. Max heat index values reach Heat Advisory criteria (95-99 for two days, 100-104 for one day) by Wednesday, with isolated readings reaching Extreme Heat Warning criteria (105+). Thursday will see widespread 105+ across the forecast area. Lower max heat index values expected Friday, with Heat Advisory possible for most places except NE NJ, NYC, and western Long Island, where Extreme Heat Warnings may be possible once again.
