All Activity

A quick coating on everything from this little burst. Easily 1/2S @ 33.7*

I’m booking this IECS

Sure does. The airmass is in place to hit your 60 degree prediction but I wonder if there will be enough clouds and rain around to keep us just shy. Could be close.

yup we ice

Euro increases Augusta qp from .69" to 1.08" Saturday. More moderate rates east of cyclogenesis over Tenn./Ky.

It always works out when we're rooting for the storm to create it's own cold air

My one goal is to not git 60° in the winter. Looks like that is a pipe dream anymore.

Was out of town (disastrously) for Jan 6th but Jan 16th (?) storm was alright. Pretty boring weather year unless I'm blanking. Seeing aurora again on Nov. 11 might be the only other highlight I can recall.

Atlanta gets 8 inches of snow on this run and Myrtle Beach with 16 lol.

Rip

Yeah there is an increasing signal for icing across the interior this weekend. Going to be difficult to lift the sfc warm front north with flow becoming parallel to the front and you can see sfc winds even becoming more ENE across the interior

some said it wouldn't happen

thats closer but the temps would cooperate if the system bombed out earlier....

2022 was the last hurrah for Scooter…he cleaned up in the 1/7 event and then 3 weeks later near-jackpotted in the blizzard. Been nothing but the torture chamber since then for his area.

We do need noise though. You definitely can’t take them seriously but if we’re going to manage anything fruitful out of this pattern, we need the models to start baring out that fruit. Good sign of things to come hopefully. I love that we’ve also seen a few modes of winter weather. We have some overrunning outputs and some massive miller a signals.

That's awesome! I so wish I had a mind for that stuff haha

what the heck is he talking about. It took a step in the right direction

No dice - offshore (well - some precip). Really need more to get temps to cooperate.

WB 12Z EURO. Widespread rain still on tap for weekend.

Yeah that over performer we've talked about a lot recently that produced 20:1 ratios and over 4" per hour briefly here. Picked up 11.1" from that event https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2022 And it's also the 9th anniversary of one of my favorite storms of all time the Jan 7th, 2017 Blizzard. The last minute (<D3) trends were incredible and that is one of the only storms i can remember seeing true white-out conditions with 0 visibility and temperatures in the upper teens during daylight hours. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2017

Euro

this looks better than 00z at 500. No idea what surface looks like but kicker on the heel

Nice slug of moisture incorporated into the Friday/ Saturday rain maker now: WPC edging up precip forecast:

There’s an increasing threat this weekend over interior CNE.

He is talking this weekend