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Yup, having a moderate shower here currently. Could have been better, as the earlier storm missed to the East.

You can’t penetrate that individuals mind with logic. Them is impervious to objective reality

Me too. Pathetic.

Brush fire threat? lol

Complete miss at home

Here is what the "doomers" actually say. Of the 366 simulations only 9 (or 2%) showed an ice-free state before 2030. Of the 366 simulations only 34 (or 10%) showed an ice-free state within 10 years. The median/median timing of the first ice-free state is 24/29 years. This puts the 2σ right tail at about 61 years or the year 2084. We have a LONG way to go (61 years) before we can declare this "doomer" prediction to "fall by the board" at the standard 2σ confidence interval. [Heuze & Jahn 2024]

lmao another year where raindances thoughts from the spring about the fall is the most liked post in this thread, and it's turning out to be opposite. Not saying it's wrong or anything, I just think it's funny. Last year the most liked post was the possibility of a +PDO transition, and October ended up having the most negative reading on record. Now the most liked post is about a possible El Nino lol. raindance is usually pretty sharp with his analysis though.

That outflow boundary that originated with the storms in SE PA and SNJ hours ago is initiating new storms on the upper eastern shore. A nice cell popped up around Chestertown and is heading in this general direction if it doesnt fall apart. With a 20-30% chance I didn't bother covering the mower. Maybe that was a good move lol.

Gonna miss MBY and barely rain here. Bust

The area between Pikesville and Columbia (Catonsville area) has been hit all year. All that I got was a few drops out of this storm.

Is this right from the university of Maine? looks like we’re presently a tick below 2012

Look at how much this cold pool is blowing up on TAO/Triton CPC usually lags a few days to weeks.

Emptied the bowl but play continues. What a joke.

I don’t believe he is aware of the origins and flaws of the chart. Moreover, he isn’t a troll. In the meantime, a photo from Stonington, ME where it got to 84. Portland hit a record-tying 91, but the heat was tempered here thanks to some showers and considerable cloud cover. The clouds broke during the late afternoon.

if you saw a strong storm, it was a top 5'er all day

18z GEFS actually really gets us cool Aug 1-7. Could open the month with a -3 to -4 first week, per the ensemble mean.

Am fairly satisfied with D1... plenty of svr and narrow streaks of 1-1.5". Even 100 at KEWR and daily RER's here and there. Letting late Sat-Sunday play out. Am confident pockets of FF-SVR, ,mainly NJ-LI... Buoyancy will pretty good, better Bulk Shear and larger PW near 2.4". Let's see what happens.

My wife said we had a Tstorm here, brief with a downpour, I wasn't here at the time.

Today was one of the best days of the summer, hands down. Perfect temp/dew, storms bubblin', can't ask for more. Top 10 at least

Lots of lightning in view here at oriole park. Looks like the bulk of it might drop between Baltimore and Columbia.

Reach for the backside then for a slice?

I love the HHH too, but you okay bro?

Good quality sounding booms off to my north (from Columbia). Also some building cumulus at sunset in N&NW skies. Radar has something to the north, heading SE-ward so it could be a good hit …. or a swing and a miss. Will know shortly.

Picked up .63” out of that. Decent downpour and cooled it off to 77. Had some good thunder and lightning as well. Power went out once but reset.

I figured you would be. Even I'm watching it down here to your SE. It's unusual for storms over Carroll County to effect my area. It looks like there's some outflow running out ahead of it. We'll see.