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While models have done well with the 6-10 day warm signals in recent years, the wind direction specifics haven’t been figured out until we have been under 120 hrs. We have had numerous 6-10 model forecasts in recent years with deep westerly flow and 100° heat forecast onto Long Island. But as we got closer to forecast time, more onshore flow shows up. So the areas in NJ away from the sea breeze have seen the strongest heat. This is why JFK to ISP haven’t had any 100° heat since 2013. All the recent 100° heat since 2013 has been restricted to NJ and Brooklyn and Queens.

NWS Point and clicks ? I mean is that what’s you’ve come to? Sad to see this happening

He's reconfigured Southern New England so many times Jersey might now be part of it.

That will come down a bit maybe mon and Tuesday will be correct day 9 and 10 but after we cool closer to average or slightly above

No sure why you say that? Explain? I dont see it in the means which I know are not necessarily reliable but all I can go on. I tend to see this coming heat as significant but July/August? Don might something more to say then what I'm seeing, which is reoccurring troughing in the east and maybe more ridging developing in the Atlantic, implying bouts of wetness alternating with humid heat. Typical above normal temp summer....but in the means but I cant think of 100. Modeling can be overexhuberant beyond a week. So I plan shorter term. Tuesday doubleheader softball hopefully gets in before the next bigger rain, and then the 24th, we may need to plan second game midday starting with a shorter count to avoid cooking our 70 and 80 year old players. That's how I plan.

Today Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Light east wind. Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Light east wind. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Tuesday Night A chance of showers, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 6 mph. Juneteenth A chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 5 to 7 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. West wind 6 to 9 mph.

Spotty light rain on this chilly April morning

00z Euro has 3000+ CAPE Thursday mid-afternoon and then storms roll though.

No 100 degree days at LGA in 1988, 1987 nor 1994

Next 5 days go from 70’s to 80’s to 90’s . Try harder ACATat

You never cease to amaze.

sounds a little like 1988 too. No 100 degree days in any of those years in NYC or JFK (dont know about LGA.)

Got a few small showers overnight with a grand total of 0.03" to add to the persistent mist this morning. Yesterday had a relatively small diurnal; 83/70 was the hi/low. The kicker was the max dew point hit 77F at one point yesterday. Just brutal As a heads up, would want to keep an eye out across Northern and Northeast WV down through Central and Southeast VA today. Soils are very much saturated or compromised in these areas, so the threat for flash flooding is heightened. Would expect some FFW to be issued by local offices later in this setup.

Ya looks great not to hot not to cold

People also gloss over the fact that the next 6 days aren’t very nice

1994 continued hot through July and August was close to normal for those west of the City - similar to 2024 i assume where onshore prohibited the heat from extending into eastern sections AT EWR there were 39 90 degree days. AT LGA 26 and NYC: 18 It also happened in 1987

We NYC thread?

Euro lost the 100s

We San Francisco.

Acatt loves the gfs

sounds a lot like June 1994 (although June 1994 heat was more widespread). Why did the heat abruptly end after June in 1994, Tony? I saw that Philly still had a very high number of 90 degree days that entire summer (although it didn't match 1993 which was historic everywhere), but why did the heat end early in NYC that year? I noticed that the records for today are from June 1994 (including a 101 at EWR?)

Not sure why anybody looks at the gfs anymore.

I think LGA numbers are inflated because of dense road traffic in that area (I see it all the time with my car thermometer, leaving Manhattan and entering Queens via the mid town tunnel the temperature rises at least 5 degrees and falls back down again when I get onto the Grand Central.) I've always thought both highs and lows in that area are highly suspect. Maybe NYC is not properly sited either, in which case, an average of all 4 sites (EWR,NYC,LGA,JFK) should be used for both the highs and the lows. BTW this extreme traffic issue in northern Queens started after the 90s.