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  2. I ran out of pellets this morning. My wife better hope it warms up soon.
  3. Is the end of pellet stove usage in sight?
  4. Looks like @frdis about to get hit pretty good
  5. Looks promising for us based on radar. Still time for it to die out when it crosses over the river though.
  6. I see some stuff heading this way on radar but ofc its weakening and is hit or miss. 10% chance I get more than a few hundredths.
  7. Lucky you. Just spent an hour watering lol.
  8. See CoastalWx? Someone who appreciates the little things in wx. I never get sick of close CGs and wicked thund-AH! And MRGL svr was not fcst today.
  9. Stop downplaying convection! There is more to wx than just SPLUS!
  10. Even if heights are high over here, the low heights and cool in Ontario is going to mean lots of backdoor cold front risks.
  11. Huge supercell in central Texas with hail wrapping in the RFD, overhang, possible 3" hail. New tornado warning here
  12. Lol no for a minute though after this was taken I thought we might have a chance
  13. Front porch weather on this Mother's Day afternoon!
  14. Only pic I took my phone got soaked but had a few bigger ones after this... awesome day @weatherwiz lol
  15. Peas with dimes mixed in this is wild!! Yard flooded
  16. OK so I was able to only include NE states but it had to be limited to the current month
  17. Today
  18. Euro backing off of the heat coming later this week. GFS a little warmer but nothing big. Looking like quite a bit of cool (some 40’s) still in the cards heading into the later part of the month with eastern troughing back at it again.
  19. Nice tropical downpour came through my yard about 30 minutes ago. I see puddles and standing water. Wow!
  20. The daily data base is way to big. Still working on it
  21. May 1-10 is finishing with a mean temperature of 58.8° in Central Park. That is 1.6° below normal. Some additional showers and a thundershower are possible late tonight. Much of next week will see temperatures top out in the lower and middle 60s. Additional showers are possible on Thursday as a warm front moves northward. There remains a risk that the front could stall for a time. Friday could see temperatures return to the 70° or above should the front clear the region. It will turn warmer during the weekend. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 80° on Saturday and especially Sunday. In the long-range, there has been a shift in the guidance toward a near or somewhat warmer than normal second half of May. The probability of a warmer than normal second half of May has increased. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around April 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.42°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was +1.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.109 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.0° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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