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Gfs is drier though
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Lmaoo 3 days in ( only 72 hours since November ended )and someone already ready to throw in the towel on this winter lol
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GFS Model – Total Snowfall (10:1 SLR) for Southeast U.S. | Tropical Tidbits
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CAPS GOING NUTS RN
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GFS nearly identical to 18z
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I just took an invigorating walk at the park with middle to low 40s, dewpoints in the high 30s, and no more than a light breeze. This is close to ideal walking wx for me…well except for having the extremely rare snow on the ground to walk on. Nothing beats the soothing feeling of walking on snow!
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Without something to make it go negative us northern folk are screwed
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
A December to forget lol -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Did you really think that? -
2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2000-01 may have finished with average snowfall, but the way the season ended, with that epic snow bust in March, made that season feel like a disappointment. -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
JoMo replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
Winter Weather advisories out for parts of Oklahoma including OKC and Tulsa. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 18z Euro has a light upslope clipper around the 8th....need to keep an eye on that one. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Jns2183 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I hope someone good who has some distance can one day write an article about the absolutely no prisoners taken war I'm hearing pieces of going on up in state college. Pulitzer prize material stuff for the right person. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Late night Caps game and tracking a potential event on Friday…life is good y’all.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some nice trends on both the NAM and RGEM if you like frozen. To me, this also bodes well for future systems. It looks like modeling under-did the NW shield of the precip. So this super dry sliders which follow tomorrow night...might have a bit more juice. Good luck on overnight modeling to everyone. I hope someone gets an early season snow! -
Don- Thanks as always for your always interesting and enlightening stats.
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0z NAM was colder and more snow northern piedmont
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Even the notoriously cold biased RDPS has gone to all rain here..
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Latest LWX probabilities as of 9:15p has DC with a 84% chance of 0.1”+, 64% 1”+, 50% 2”+. Solid chances for DC and I’m ready to see my Christmas lights in snow.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I think it is coming this season. Not all of it but a-lot. More than average for sure. -
RGEM is worse. Shame, first letdown of the 18z-00z revival campaign
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Yeah only hope is our wave just does it on its own, nothing to work with ahead of it.
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That’s a good bump north in the 0.1” QPF line on ICON from 18z. Looks like it went from EZF to north of DC on 00z.
