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I see +NAO/-PNA

Yes. You went against the grain and said weeks ago that you thought the November stratospheric warming was going to be a weaker wave reflection event and the SPV was going to rebound and strengthen quickly again mid-late December. If that works out, then it will have been a very impressive call

39 here. One last leaf cleanup today and then setting a neighbors oak tree on fire. It’s still half full and I’ll be damned if I let it blow leaves over to my yard

The airports average 1-3" of snow for December, so expectations should be in check. It is our fourth snowiest month.

Yeah…run of the mill stuff for Novie standards.

So warm and dry. This is NOT good. Yes its NWS...so they cant be counted on these days. We are still in drought conditions in my area so I really hope we get some much needed precip this winter.

WB 6Z AI EPS Dec 8. Few hits starting to show up as early as Dec 4.

20.3⁰ for the low, coldest of the season. Everything is frozen, looks nice with the sun coming up. Clouds are beginning to roll in, going to make for quite the chilly day.

Let’s get a GFS landfalling cane.

It’s good that all of us using different methods had a weaker PNA for this December than the record +PNA La Niña mismatch last December following the stronger amplitude MJO 5 over +2.70 in October 2024.

Been meh morning lows. No real arctic shots.

Nothing too exciting through the runs for SNE…

Pretty nice run of the Euro AIFS at 6z.

23 here…coldest so far-many below freezing mornings this autumn.

21F here. So close to 1st teems. Coldest AM thus far this cold season.

Min 25.6° Lots of mid level clouds.

Amazing work to all involved in the project.

If Paul Roundy is correct, the 2nd half of December is going to have more -PNA/RNA than the 1st half

I guess it will be fitting that Thanksgiving is set to follow the same windy pattern we have seen all year. Mild Great Lakes cutter storm track on Wednesday. Then strong W to NW flow on Thursday. The one hope is that the strongest winds of around 40 mph peak after parade time. But you can see this year already has double the number of 40 mph gust days as any previous year at over 60. Most of the gusts since January have occurred behind Great Lakes or hugger storm tracks on W to NW flow. The one lone coastal storm back in October was one of the few days with a NE gust over 40 mph.

Five star review. Love being able to check out any storm or winter season with the click of a button.

27F, coldest thus far…and unexpected

You don't do well in ++NAO/-PNA either We may have to wait until the 2nd half of December for snowfall.

2m temps are probably too low given the Aleutian High pressure and neutral H5 over Alaska Dec 5->

29 degrees heavy frost this morning. Wind going to pick back up.