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Forecast Discussion SUNDAY JULY 27 2025 George BM is one of the foremost senior forecasters we have ever seen. No one can forecast storms like this force of nature. GBM is at it all day and all night on into the new day, will keep right on, displaying almost outright supernatural energy, stamina, and incredible insight into the vagaries of meteorology! George BM, this is one of your finest EVER! Thank you so much! This weather community would never be the same without you! In other news, Everyone stay safe and enjoy all the rains that have been falling on the DC Metro Region in the past 24 hours. Here's to more of the same overnight on into tomorrow!

A lot of metrics weren't super positive for the 23-24 El Nino, but we did have major +SSTAs and the global precipitable water broke 15-16's record, as much as 20% greater than the #2 year on record.. so some parts of that El Nino were indeed strong.

Flossie is now the 2nd major hurricane of the year in the E. Pacific

Well we squeaked out a 9th straight month of +SOI.. 2024 10 4.09 2024 11 6.55 2024 12 10.84 2025 1 3.47 2025 2 7.67 2025 3 9.60 2025 4 4.73 2025 5 2.64 2025 6 1.71 July 2020 to Feb 2023 we had 32 straight months of +SOI.. so the long term phase here continues to be pretty solid positive. It's coinciding with the PDO over this time.

Chased the tornado warning earlier, saw some gusty winds and close lightning. Still not a bad storm. I’m glad it happened now and not this Friday-Saturday.

Up to 40%

This place seems cool

I forgot to add 2023-4 MEI bimonthlies, which peaked at only +1.1 in ND: https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/ @LibertyBell

-The 23-24 season ONI trimonthlies maxed at +1.95 in NDJ: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/oni.ascii.txt -The 23-24 season RONI trimonthlies maxed at +1.50 in OND: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/RONI.ascii.txt

Well, just like with rome, good riddance to it.

I didnt do anything. it was like watching rome burn

Maybe we are cycling back to longer and more intense heatwaves in the East now..... it's frustrating for all those records to be from the 40s and 50s and 60s and for a few years in the 90s. We need to end the corn and soy subsidies in the MW, those crops ramp up the humidity.

.59 on the day here. Quarter inch this afternoon and evening.

Congrats you got OT shut down (finally!!)

.61 here

Hi

Total screw job here but I kinda suspected that was the case when it was taking the storm even longer than usual to get into E MA. My internal antenna told me the storm is weakening..Not whining just stating what eventually happened

Maybe that was the reason for some of the scorching summers we had in the 40s and 50s (that and all the nuke testing.) I know this idea has been floated around to explain the extremely hot summers of 1944, 1948, 1949, 1953, 1955.

1.66 of rain in Marysville today. We need a few weeks with minimal rain to dry everything out.

I'm glad we are finally getting a real hot summer here. I can do without all this rain though, I can't stand how bugs overpopulate in the rain.

with the extreme heat we had already in June (matching and even exceeding 2010), I'm optimistic about a -NAO next winter.

I don't know man, we've had massive flooding and a lightning strike just burned down a house near here tonight. I like my summers dry, wet summers mean more bugs and then I have to spray pesticides everywhere to kill them off.

I'm glad we exceeded 100 even with the wetter weather.

no that corn and soybean crap makes it much worse, increasing the humidity and turning the region into a sauna.

Trend south and jump over central/northern MD you mean? Boooooo...lol