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As soon as the sun started ducking behind the tree's by me yesterday, temps started to drop enough to warrant a hoodie while being outside with the breeze.

No. The low at Mount Pocono was 48° as clouds moved in. Yes. For the Northeast it was the driest, but not for New York City. September 1, 1980-August 31, 1981 was the driest such period in New York City during the 1980s with 34.83" of rain.

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1970) NYC: 95 (1914) LGA: 93 (1970) JFK: 91 (1980) Lows: EWR: 44 (1997) NYC: 41 (1904) LGA: 47 (1962) JFK: 41 (1962) Historical: 1890 - A severe hailstorm struck Strawberry, AZ. Fives days after the storm hail still lay in drifts 12 to 18 inches deep. (The Weather Channel) 1913 - Des Moines, IA, experienced their earliest freeze of record. (The Weather Channel) 1946: A trace of snow fell at Denver, CO. This marked the start of their longest snow season on record at 263 days through 6/11/1947 when a trace of snow fell. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1956: Hurricane Flossy nears the Texas Coast 1961 - Hurricane Esther made a near complete circle south of Cape Cod. The hurricane then passed over Cape Cod and hit Maine. Its energy was largely spent over the North Atlantic Ocean, however, heavy rains over Maine resulted in widespread local flooding of cellars, low roads, and underpasses. (David Ludlum) 1974: Canadian high pressure brought record chill from the upper Midwest to the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Temperatures dropped below freezing for three consecutive nights damaging crops in areas. In Illinois, frost killed almost all of the soybean crop and 40% of the corn crop north of I-80. Total statewide damage was estimated between $200 and $400 million dollars. Necedah and Mauston, WI recorded their coldest September temperatures on record with 18° and 20° respectively. Other daily record lows included: St. Cloud, MN: 18°, Grand Forks, ND: 20°, Fargo, ND: 23°, Duluth, MN: 23°, Sioux Falls, SD: 24°, Rochester, MN: 24°, Madison, WI: 25°, Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN: 26°, Waterloo, IA: 26°, Green Bay, WI: 27°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 28°, Toledo, OH: 29°, Detroit, MI: 30°, Dubuque, IA: 31°, Rockford, IL: 31°, La Crosse, WI: 32°, Milwaukee, WI: 32° °F. (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1975: Hurricane Eloise made landfall in the Florida panhandle with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph and a minimum central pressure of 955 millibars or 28.20 inches of mercury. Panama City, FL reported a gust of 155 mph. Storm surge of 6 to 12 feet extended eastward to Port St. Joe, and tides 2 to 3 feet above normal were observed as far south as Tampa and Naples. The highest reported rainfall was 14.90 inches at Eglin AFB. Rainfall elsewhere to the west of the Apalachicola River ranged from 4 to 8 inches. Damage in northwest Florida was estimated at $150 million. About 20,000 people were evacuated in advance. Two weak tornadoes and several waterspouts were reported in the Panhandle. As the storm moved north, high winds and heavy rains led to power outages, damage and flooding. Parts of Alabama were without electricity for two weeks. The remnants moved through the Mid-Atlantic bringing flooding rains of 3 to 10 inches. Two miles south-southeast of Westminster, MD picked up 14.23 inches. The highest rainfall was a week before when Eloise passed north of Puerto Rico. Dos Bocas received 33.29 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983 - Forty-one cities reported record cold temperatures during the morning. Houston, TX, hit 50 degrees, and Williston ND plunged to 19 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hurricane Emily, the first hurricane to roam the Carribean in nearly six years, made landfall over the Dominican Republic late in the day, packing 125 mph winds. Emily killed three persons and caused thirty million dollars damage. A record high of 92 degrees at Miami FL was their fifth in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - An early morning thunderstorm produced baseball size hail at Plainview, in Hale County TX. Late in the evening more thunderstorms in the Southern High Plains Region produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Plainview TX and Crosby TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Hurricane Hugo quickly lost strength over South Carolina, but still was a tropical storm as it crossed into North Carolina, just west of Charlotte, at about 7 AM. Winds around Charlotte reached 69 mph, with gusts to 99 mph. Eighty percent of the power was knocked out to Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Property damage in North Carolina was 210 million dollars, and damage to crops was 97 million dollars. The strongest storm surge occurred along the southern coast shortly after midnight, reaching nine feet above sea level at ocean Isle and Sunset Beach. Hugo killed one person and injured fifteen others in North Carolina. Strong northwesterly winds ushered unseasonably cold air into the north central U.S., in time for the official start of autumn, at 8" 20 PM (CDT). Squalls produced light snow in northern Wisconsin. Winds in Wisconsin gusted to 52 mph at Rhinelander. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1994: A nor’easter wreaked havoc on coastal MD. 50-mph winds (gusts to 79 mph) destroyed 100’s of tents/vending areas at the end-of-summer Sunfest in Ocean City. Windblown fires burned several shops along the boardwalk; 9 foot waves flooded other areas. Damage up to $5 million. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1995: A strong cold front pushed across the Midwest, bringing with it one of the earliest freezes on record. In Iowa, temperatures dipped to as low as 24° over the northwest and sub-freezing temperatures lasted nearly eight hours. Crop maturation was behind schedule so this freeze caused significant damage, with soybeans the hardest hit. About $195 million dollars worth of soybeans were lost. Drought had already taken its toll on the corn crop so the freeze did not aversely affect the corn too much. Chicago, IL experienced their earliest freeze on record as the mercury dipped to 32°. The low of 29° tied the record low for the month of September at Dodge City, KS. Further north, Jump River and Cashton, WI head their earliest measurable snowfall on record with 1.5 inches and 0.5 of an inch respectively. Other daily record lows included: Rapid City, SD: 19°, Bismarck, ND: 20°, Aberdeen, SD: 20°, Valentine, NE: 23°, Fargo, ND: 23°-Tied, Huron, SD: 24°, North Platte, NE: 24°, Scottsbluff, NE: 24°, Grand Island, NE: 25°, Sioux City, IA: 25°, Norfolk, NE: 26°, Lincoln, NE: 27°, Concordia, KS: 29°, Goodland, KS: 30°-Tied, Omaha, NE: 31°, Topeka, KS: 31°, Des Moines, IA: 31°, Kansas City, MO: 31 °F. (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1998: Hurricane Georges moved across Hispaniola killing over 580 people, mainly due to flash flooding and subsequent mud slides in high terrain regions. Damage estimates from the storm exceeded $1 billion dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2005 - For the first time in the historical record, two hurricanes reached category-5 intensity in the Gulf of Mexico in a single season as Hurricane Rita intensified before making landfall (Katrina and Rita). 2006 - The tristate area of Missouri, Illinois, and Kentucky was struck by the worst tornado outbreak in the recorded history during the month of September. One supercell produced a long-track F4 tornado across southeastern Missouri into southwestern Illinois. This tornado traveled 27.5 miles.

The guy that has files that everyone wants to see for some reason ha ha.

Dews up, ACATT ass down tomorrow and Thursday. But actually most of the week looks liek dews could be 60+ in parts of SNE.

Stifling.

Tickets I see are at $450+. I know a family renting their house out for $5k for Thursday through Sunday. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

48.4 this morning. As for the shallow nature of fake cold, my old house was in a low spot in the area and radiated very well. My current house is on top of a hill and doesn’t radiate nearly as well. Not as fun

Enjoy it while we can. Looks kind of cold to start October.

I feel discriminated against

Or whatever old person name you can think of

GDM and Euro have a fish major

I attempted to make the threads this morning and they got removed. Why? Do they not want a new user making them?

Looks fairly dewy for time of year

Well the G female names are not without precedent up here. Gloria in ‘85 for example.

people fall for that every time a changeover is looming

This was a TC on the admittedly untrustworthy GFS as far back as the 0Z 9/18 run and consistently on runs the last couple of days, including some ensemble members. Also, the Icon and Euro have at least hints that this may turn into something.

The tropics are active now with three systems being monitored. This is the thread for the current orange nearing the Leeward Islands. The forecast for this wave is complicated, with more implications for land than our central Atlantic cherry. The signal for development is not as strong as the Atlantic cherry, but this morning there is a modest amount of convection. The key to this wave and its possible risk to land is that it is likely to stay weak as it pushes across the northern Leeward Islands, bringing rain and gusty winds, but it finds a potentially more favorable environment for development in the southwest Atlantic. While the GFS has led the way in signaling development, in its latest run it consolidates both waves in five days off near the Bahamas. Meanwhile, the Euro, which was more bearish originally, keeps both waves separate. It is critical to see how the upper level pattern over the east coast develops, and whether the strength and orientation is enough to kick both waves out to sea or create an east coast threat. This one is definitely worth watching.

Welcome to the sub fellow Met! Great position you have and a really important one at that. I was the Upper-Air focal at NWS Midland for 3 years before I moved back east to work at WPC. I loved the UA program considering its importance, and how often can you say you launched/worked with weather balloons as part of your job characteristics? This will be a great experience! As for the area, there’s so much to do around here, it’s hard to fit into one post. We are one of the best regions (VA/MD) for maintaining natural beauty with several counties enacting laws that dictate percentages of trees and greenery that need to be in place to maintain its image. We have several smaller parks, state parks, wildlife preserves, and Shenandoah National, plus Luray Caverns to partake for hiking/walking/biking pleasures. This area is also home to one of the most ethnically diverse populations in the world, so we have lots of great shops and festivals that celebrate it all throughout the year. And with ethnic diversity comes some insanely good food from everywhere. Seriously, whatever you are in the mood to try, I guarentee we have it. The local fare is fantastic and revolves around seafood, mainly crab forward dishes that will blow your mind how good they are. We could have a thread just dedicated to food in this place (paging @stormtracker ) How many areas do you know where you can visit the beach, a Bay, rivers, major cities, vibrant suburban life, pristine rural beauty, and multiple sets of mountains, and see it all in one weekend? It’s actually possible here. We are home to several major attractions through both states steeped in history. If you want to try different activities, there’s clubs galore and people of similar interests in whatever you could imagine. I could go on and on. If you ever have questions on specifics, I’m sure we can provide locations and ideas to basically anything. Welcome to the Mid Atlantic! PS: Sorry in advance for the traffic

lol

My house it at 385' but I typically have to drive over a hill that is just over 500' to get to the main road. To the point of how shallow the inversion can be it always cool to drive through it and have the car windows instantly fog up. There are times with freezing rain when I still have ice on everything and most of it has melted on the hill, which is only a half mile from my yard.

Yeah it’s time to break out the discussion with the trends continuing. Threads on both coming now.

The tropics are active now with three systems being monitored. This is the thread for the current central Atlantic cherry. There has been a strong cross guidance signal for days that a central Atlantic wave will develop. The models have actually been quite robust with this wave once it develops, in similar fashion to the rapidly intensifying Gabrielle. The AI ensembles, which have done a particularly good job sniffing the environment out, are particularly strong. Now, while the majority of guidance turns this out to sea without threatening any land masses, the amplitude and timing of a trough in the coming week will determine the eventual evolution, along with where this develops. I expect this to develop first if both waves develop.

GYX has us with a 50% of >0.25". We'll need a bit more to end the drought, maybe like the 5.54" dumped on Sept. 21, 1966 at NYC that ended the 1960s MA/SNE drought (though it was several wet months later before the end was confirmed). At the time, that deluge was Central Park's 3rd greatest daily precip, also the most for a non-TC event. Another full sun day, though w/o the frost - upper 30s for the low after the 30/29 on Sat/Sun.