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I still think your December call was pretty damn good. I know your upset about the snowfall aspect, but if you look at the region as a whole, it wasn't *terrible*. This December is a big reason why I am not a fan of doing snowfall total predictions because there are too many wildcards that aren't necessarily related to the pattern but more dependent on small scale processes during system evolution. When you look at the systems which gave us the snows in Decembers...those aren't systems which are conducive to widespread, uniform accumulations, it was more contingent on how each system evolved. While different scales, it's like dealing with convection during the summer. We can have an active pattern for showers and thunderstorms but at the end of the day some areas may come out of it with hardly anything while some areas got slammed.

nope.. pope said yesterday it wont happen when I mentioned it..

Indeed. Unfortunately some folks misinterpret posts like that so I was attempting to add a crumb of context.

Yea, if you look at Cocorahs from Dec 21st the vast majority of sites had snow depths under 3" with most being 0, T, 1", 2" after the cutter. Montgomery went from 27" to 3" in a few days. Guessing that was mostly upslope fluff. I think as Jspin mentioned- Bolton, Stowe etc with higher El and more liquid in the pack probably held on better than most house sites which is not surprising.

If the county does decently sat/sun, that may solidify plans to head up later next week.

Didn't even take the tractor out the last couple days, Going let mother nature work her magic.

I honestly thought we would have done better for snowfall in December...man it was colder and LESS snowy than I thought. Figures-

Yeah I think we all know there's a reason these KUs happen once or twice every 10 years... or even longer.

Yeah, Don't sleep on Sat night Sunday up here.

I’m in the minority of course, but I am not unhappy so far. I know I got the 8-9” out this way that others did not, so that goes a long way, along with the constant cold, and 1-2” refreshers. So, it’s been a very wintry period here, with good snowcover. The cover will go after these next few days. But speaking for myself, not unhappy at all so far. If you largely missed out on 12/26, then I certainly understand the complaints, and I’d be there too. But I’m not in that boat at the moment. And if we pick up something significant in the next week or two…then this area will be in very good shape. If not, then we fall behind.

2z NAM looks like it may be icier for up north Saturday...also seems like the timing has slowed down a bit too.

I’ll say this, if we can salvage something on the 15th, it would go a long way in changing the tenor of this season. Still looks like a low chance, but not impossible.

It's a thought I've had too. I have to do some stuff for Anchorage so I'm always paying attention and after like the first week of December they've been largely below average and temperatures and its been active at times into western Alaska. I've said to myself several times man...this look for Alaska doesn't totally bode well for us. Just wish I've been able to really divulge deeper into everything, particularly the state of the PAC.

I hope everyone realizes my post was trying to make a point.....it ain't easy getting everything to line up for a BECS/MECS.

See this is crazy to me! 30" storm - 2 2 foot storms in a week - 0.9" for an entire season....all in the same place!

Heh... W. Europe actually positively correlates to eastern N/A in classic climatology. That may be changing based on everything over the last 20 years ..But the Alaska thing is true. The reason for these is just typical wave number spacing. When there is a trough in Alaska, there tends to be a ridge down stream. And vice versa... That all said, there's not really a silver bullet - I realize the idea of when in Rome is just to make conversation point. Still, we can't just signal some aspect and assume that's what's going on in a vacuum. Case in point, with a month's worth of oscillation between -WPO and -EPO...that implies sharing time/space in a ridge state over Alaska, yet they're snowy - so something else is playing around with it.

Paul Kocin cooked that metaphor up. He gets all the credit.

I still think we see the +TNH @Krs4Lfe, so I get the 2014 comparison...but devil is in the details.

Ninja.

EPS look still not bad to good in fantasy range, just need to get there

I would need to look at the phases with respect to seasonal intervals, but that may also have to do with why we couldn't buy a storm...usually stormy patterns for AK aren't so great here. The fact that it was early in the season may have allowed for colder conditions out here relative if it had occurred mid/late winter, too....wave lengths and MJO correlations change at different junctures of the season. Again, just a thought...won't look in depth at this until May for the postseason write up.

As an executive chef, I support this post.

Down to a trace of snow cover with 10% coverage. Patches of snow only in heavily shaded north facing locations. Will be gone by end of the day with much more sun than yesterday and the corresponding milder temperatures. Now we wait....

I was in Waterbury for the December 19th storm. I was sitting in a conference room at the State Office Complex and the wind was so strong it was pushing water into the room around the window seals. I would not call that "minimal damage" to the snow pack. Outside the mountains, it pretty much set us back to bare ground.

Usually when Alaska and Europe is having a fantastic winter, we aren’t. The lack of cold and wintry weather across US (aside from Midwest and northeast) has been astonishing. I know some accounts keep harping on “2014 is coming back” but this is the farthest thing from that winter. Just mild and dry as far as eye can see