All Activity
- Past hour
-
Finally got a chance to finish the 2025-26 snowfall forecasts. In the orange are the actual season totals, in blue are totals that were forecasted under the actual snowfall that occurred. Everything in white is a forecast that was above actual totals. Red indicates the winner. Error points were done that every 0.1" away from the total was 0.1 of a point. For instance Boston was 62.8" this year, if you had a forecast of 40" that would be 22.8 error points or if you forecasted 80" your error points would be 17.2. NYC and Boston surprised folks the most this year which granted large error points. We will set this up again around November forecast timeframe. I will add Consensus and average for this as well going into the next forecast time (Average will be based on 1991-2020)
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
raindancewx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For the 100-180W subsurface, Mar-May, 1997 and 2026 are nearly identical Year March/April/May 1997 1.17 / 2.17 / 2.01 2026 1.36 / 2.24 / 2.00 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/index/heat_content_index.txt -
Sky was covered in chemtrail clouds today for the first time in a long time. I guess that means we'll go wetter in a few weeks to months.
- 105 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- let the flood gates open
- oh thats where the moisture is
- (and 1 more)
- Today
-
Told you it was a dry pattern. Imagine if it wasn't El Nino. May is our cloudiest month, total clear sky days last month (23/31 or something) is a giveaway.
- 105 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- let the flood gates open
- oh thats where the moisture is
- (and 1 more)
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It just got very windy out of nowhere. East winds at 35. wtf. -
I always wondered if the large scale effort to eradicate it here led to it spreading even faster. It probably did. There used to be a group of landowners with like machetes walking along the river through Stowe hacking the stuff down and collecting it. Probably just led to it being washed downstream even faster or moved somewhere else.
-
Moderate to heavy rainfall finally coming down here. Temp a balmy 64 degrees.
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No, this does not look like 2015 at all. It was never this east-based Here is what Paul Roundy has to say; -
The biggest problem I see, around here at least, is how well-intentioned homeowners unintentionally spread it. They cut it, bag it, and bring it to municipal compost sites, where viable fragments can get redistributed. Even mowing, cutting, or moving plant material can spread it if stem or rhizome fragments survive and easily reestablish.
-
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-
MAV is 87/88 at BDL Th/F.
-
Quite a bit of lightning and thunder here. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
-
- 105 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- let the flood gates open
- oh thats where the moisture is
- (and 1 more)
-
2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I'm getting a nice shower this evening. Grateful for the rain! -
Ha, I get 2 minutes of peas yesterday and I’m super excited. Denver is like, hold my beer. Clearing 8-10” of hail. https://www.instagram.com/reel/DZD5k9YCv2F/?igsh=bTRxaW93OHF1d3Jp
-
Invasives are a zero sum game. Blackberries take over a native meadow, multiflora rose takes over blackberry, porcelain berry takes over the multiflora rose. I do get a bit of satisfaction seeing anything take over multiflora rose. But In the end you lose.
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think it's been pretty established by now that the summer will be back-ended and July and August should be warmer. Still beats 50s and 60s. Also looks like a potentially tropical system will be in the area on Monday. If it stays to the south, it may get warmer just by virtue of the sun being closer. -
Yes, started July 1, 1973
