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Hate to disagree but Feb 26 run and it continued. You were so upset at the blizzard and checked out.

NAM looks like ALOT of zr

Yeah i remember TWC graphics going from an all snow icon to the wintry mix icon knew we were about to get screwed. But it wasn't that bad after all. Kocin was nervous as hell on air. Even with the "meh" snowfall totals and shitty accumulations near the coast it was still truly a beast superstorm that completely stalled for days

Nam bumped QPF north but warmer. Not much snow.

12z RAP might have even been more violent than the HRRR. It has like 8-10” of spackle even on kuchera maps. It’s an isothermal blue bomb for pike region over to Scooter and BOS and north to Ray.

Will CoastalWx eek out another 6" "VIOLENTLY BEAUTIFUL" wet snow pasting? 12z HRRR thinks so! So borderline. The issue is between 850 and 700. Right on the fence for so much of the nrn 1/2 of MA. 1000-850 thickness ok. One thing of note that may make ern MA down to Weymouth a "surprise," the sfc pressure never falls below about 1028 mb at BOS, which very high for a sig snowfall/QPF event. And you can see the sfc high pressure wedge hold strong and try hard to push SW in ern MA during the entire event. Another thing, such high heights and thickness, so more moisture. In fact, the 12z HRRR shows a max of 1.80" rain/LEQ not far S of ORH. That is quite impressive for what amounts to a meager 1019 mb sfc low SE of ACK! And yet another thing, it is quite strong mid-upper level trof (500-250) that passes right over SNE, cold pool and all, and you can see what happens later in the event over ern MA (esp. NE) as the pcpn "hangs back" a bit. Sim IR shows a pseudo-common head. Just sayin' that given high QPF, the ideal track of the 500 trof, and the borderline temps, there could be a "wild turkey surprise" here for more snow than explicitly shown!

No, it was mainly rain here.

Yup, I remember I was checking out looking to take the first half of the month off, then everything collapsed southward for this week.

lol ive never seen 20" from a single storm (except 96 but i dont remember that) i thoroughly enjoyed that storm, despite only getting 16" ish inches. And the fact we got a full on snow and sleet blizzard for nearly 65 hours was pretty unique and memorable. Plus we got like 3 days off from school which never happened from a snowstorm. It was always a day off and maybe a delay the second if you're lucky. I do feel like if that repeated in 2026 there would be a lot of meltdowns on this forum. Not knowing anything about models and forecasting back then i think saved me a bit from being overly invested in huge amounts.

Like everyone, I do remember it trending north on each news broadcast, and seeing the rain/snow graphics along the south coast being introduced. I knew I was then toast as a young 17 yo weenie. Lets get this again but capture it about 75-100 miles south.

Gray squirrel is quite mild - ate a lot of them in my teens in NNJ, but my wife has less than zero interest. Never tried red squirrel. Haven't eaten bear, either, and won't kill a bear unless I've had some and liked it. Nice raw north breeze under thin clouds, GYX says 20% chance of snow tonight, 60% chance of muck tomorrow night. Bleccch!

Still had Raymonds mailbox pasted.

Yep. The minute I start seeing the low heights over the Maritimes in the spring, I know what that means here. Hoping somehow we can keep ridging and westerly flow.

It was hitting up here to Maine for a week

Even if RONI ends up peaking +1.5+, the DC area could still have a BN averaged winter based on the 2009-10, 1965-6, and 1957-8 analogs. What did these 3 analogs have in common? -NAO and -AO, both of which were lacking in nearly all of the other +1.5+ ENSO winters. It wasn’t the Pacific that made the difference as they almost always had +PNA and no -EPO/-WPO for all +1.5+ ENSO. So, a -NAO/-AO would appear to be the deciders. The major challenge though for getting a -NAO is going to be sunspots almost for sure still not getting down to low (say, sub 35/month). There hasn’t been even one -NAO winter since 1980 with a >35 sunspot avg! So, the odds would be heavily against a cold DC area winter should ENSO get to +1.5+. In that case, the best hope would be for a NN instead of mild DC winter. Your better hope for a cold winter would as you’d suspect be for a sub +1.5 ENSO winter.

11 years ago:

To me, the faint smell is on the edge of being perfumy. When it's much stronger it reminds me of burnt rubber. My one experience of fresh in-your-face skunk (animal control officer friend got nailed, entered his home while I was visiting) it was like having a stick shoved up my nose - overwhelming. He walked thru the door and instantly the stench filled the room. Looks like another snowstorm stays south, though it looks like we get the FRDZ mess tomorrow night into Saturday. Daughter is flying into PWM tomorrow morning, hope all goes as scheduled.

been a long time since a day like this

I'm so out on things I had no idea it was supposed to do anything tonight until my wife asked. First thing I look at is 12z HRRR from this morning and ummm.... winter storm warning incoming?

We have picked up 0.18" of rain since midnight and 0.50" of rain over the last 3 days. We will see more rain later today and tonight before we dry out a bit tomorrow. A couple more showers Saturday as we start our long awaited warm up through much of next week. We could see highs near 70 degrees by Tuesday.

models showing 1.5-2 inches of rain today-nice drought denter and alot of the snowpack will go...

We have picked up 0.18" of rain since midnight and 0.50" of rain over the last 3 days. We will see more rain later today and tonight before we dry out a bit tomorrow. A couple more showers Saturday as we start our long awaited warm up through much of next week. We could see highs near 70 degrees by Tuesday.

Man call it the glue factory or whatever but the Euro has had this nailed to your mailbox for 15 days

Spot on. I was going to bring this up yesterday, how it seems like every warmup that's been called for the last few months has been muted and/or delayed.

Could almost be a silent passage ... ? at some point along the way the DP sneakiliy sheds 10F. The wind is already 0+ mph from the N/NE and the ceiling arrival time is perfect for cold capping in the diurnal cycle ( won't warm up enough to notice a change) so it may be hard to tell precisely when the front slips passed.