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Maybe for you.

Euro is absolutely horrific. Non event

Icon is by far the worst global and the NAM at 84 or extrapolating past 84 should be weighted 0%. I'd say that regardless it's a terrible model in the short term let alone 60 or 84hrs out. The Euro/UK being OTS is the real concern, not the NAM/Icon powerhouse.

Add the Euro to the “nuisance event” category. It just doesn’t want to budge.

Gefs was with the euro but it shifted way further west.

This run

The Gfs stalls the 500mb low over Ohio and then tracks it down over Virginia Beach. Not gonna help if its over Central PA.

Nice trend. I'll pencil us in for a good 4-8" tomorrow night after further bumps southeast tomorrow.

Not really. We have the ICON showing a nuisance event at best, the UKMET gives nobody anything more than flurries, and the NAM was going to end up pretty weak too. The models are split close to 50/50 right now on the outcome.

Drunk Unkle agrees with it. The AI euro shifting west was huge though.

0z isnt an off hour

Outlier right now

Aifs eps is also further west

Still interesting to see how the ai version is much better than the op. Who wins euro classic or euro hip

It's out to sea. Maybe a hair east of 18z.

Models continue to sag southeast with the snow event.

Is that a general statement, or a specific one pertaining to this run, I only have it out to 66 on Pivotal lol

If you’re comparing it to 12z it’s better. But 18z was overall better than the current run.

It started off better but that piece of energy over the great lakes ended up farther south which doesn’t allow for the amplification we need to have this thing climb the coast.

This is what I saw in differences and I was like, this would be good

We can worry about surface later, we take any move towards the good

this is why randy does it, not me it was also better at the start, slightly better seperation, but the +PNA ridge more broad

Op is ass

Great pbp…

Synoptic wise its better but surface sucks