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Why is it always the GFS starting crap, bruh lol

In theme with the record shattering heat in the west-central US, I eye Flagstaff AZ to find they got to 29C/84F yesterday the 20th! The WUN avg shows 12C and the daily record of 21C...beat the record by 8C/18F+!?

Screwed 6 ways from Sunday

I'm not convinced that the Pacific circulation goes so far into El Nino. SOI this March is way higher than all other Moderate+ El Nino's (later in the year) on record (since 1950). This is March SOI rolled into the max ENSO time of year.. this is a +NPH-feedback pattern in the Hadley Cell, and slight cooling on the equator. April SOI, however, makes a much bigger difference:

I wouldn't mind the QPF but keep the snow in ski country at this point.

The previous earliest 3 consecutive day stretch of 105 days was May 2-4, 1947.

NAM is little snow too. Not complaining.

The warmest March on record for the CONUS, 2012, is going to be broken by quite a lot this March. Here is how Apr-May 2012 evolved:

Still 75 at MLI as of 9pm. Hard to believe it was in the single digits just 4 days ago. Amazing turnaround for sure.

I'm in short sleeves at 930pm in March. Less than a week after having a historic blizzard. What a strange month, even for March. It's frankly kind of unnerving just how warm it is outside rn.

Low of 54, high of 82. Much warmer today than the last 2.

Weird, weak arguments. The primary urban heat island effect is at night. Also 40/50 states - lines are arbitrary and without a map they all disappear.

Haha HRRR is almost no snow here…mix to rain.

Just compare the standard deviations for the cold in Alaska, versus the heat in the southwest Whichever is of greater magnitude wins the debate

Nice bike! Got out for a great long ride up in farm country with the crew today. Perfect weather.

Definitely calling in sick Monday and staying up north. No way I’m driving back from N Conway in a snow storm.

Shhh, those who know, don’t say.

“Only” 107° for Yuma today. 6 100°+ readings for March there on record coming into this year (max 102°) and their last 4 days have been 103-106-109-107.

3rd straight 105° at PHX today. They had one (1) 100° reading ever in March going back to 1895 and they’ve pulled 102-105-105-105 the last 4 days.

Todays: EWR: 60 / 48 (+10) NYC: 59 / 49 (+10)

Everyone is blowing away their records equally as impressive though. I don’t think the UHI has much to do with this…especially on daytime highs.

Brutal year for bridger. But they need to shut it down. Some recent bad winters there have me wondering if that place may ever go bankrupt.