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  2. https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2117313687887171752?a=Zg5oH9FXThn1Pewn078&s=46
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  4. Today, Bridgeport, New York City (Central Park), and White Plains recorded highs of 66° and lows of 43°. Today is the first day on record that all three stations had identical high and low temperatures.
  5. Midwest Weather 3 hours ago · Another piece to the puzzle behind my high confidence in potential polar vortex impacts overpowering the strong El Niño pattern after the 20th of this month. We continue to see consistent signals for an extended period of negative NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) and AO (Arctic Oscillation) phases. The main thing currently fighting against this setup is the positive EPO (Eastern Pacific Oscillation), which is allowing milder Pacific air to influence the pattern. However, around the 20th, that is expected to trend negative as well, driven by the ongoing Stratospheric Warming Event. This would put all three major teleconnections in favorable phases for Arctic air to spill into the Midwest and Northeast. The image on the left shows a classic negative AO/NAO/EPO pattern associated with a disrupted polar vortex, while the image on the right highlights the negative NAO teleconnection. Interesting times ahead! See less
  6. Unseasonable warmth will prevail through much of the first week of November. Parts of the region will likely reach or exceed 70° tomorrow through Thursday. Dry conditions will likely persist until late in the week. The potential exists for a 1.00" or greater rainfall Friday into Saturday. Behind the storm, cooler but not especially cold air will move into the region during the weekend or early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.27°C. ENSO Region 1+2 breaks the all-time record while 3.4 ties the all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will peak either this month or December. The SOI was -17.56 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.384 today.
  7. Guest

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  9. Meaning all the numbers are stuff we haven’t seen before. This Nino is a beast. At least the desert SW is getting rain. Maybe too much lol.
  10. Today
  11. The winter weather advisory needs to be retired. Means nothing to anyone
  12. My numbers for October 2026- Averaged high was 70.3 degrees vs anormal of 66.9 degrees, a +3.4 degrees above average. The warmest day was the 15th with a record breaking 84.3 degree reading. Averaged low was 43.4 degrees vs a normal of 41.5 degrees, a +1.9 degrees above average. The coldest temp recorded was 30.0 degrees on the 20th. Overall averaged temp was 56.9 degrees vs a normal of 54.2 degrees, a +2.7 degrees above average. Total precip was 4.48 inches vs a normal of 2.70 inches, a +1.78 inches above normal. Wettest day was the 11th with 2.18 inches falling. There was 9 days with measurable, one day with a 'T' and 21 dry days. No snow fell for the month vs the normal of 0.1 inches. Highest wind recorded was 32 mph on the 18th, with only 5 days with winds above 25 mph. Two new records, the 15th with the record high and the 16th with a new record 'warm minimum'. A warmer than normal month, and VERY dry month except for the two days (11&12th) where 3/4's of the monthly total fell.
  13. https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/2117434135144804833?a=SLXDiWhz3HLWLAIi0cY&s=46
  14. Weather underground pretty much Friday - Saturday. 50s and 30s there on after. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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  16. Exactly. So someone arguing that global warming has ended March snowfall in NYC is just silly and shortsighted.
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  18. It's been bouncing in the -1 to -1.5 range, and the N Pac maps haven't really changed all that much. No real movement in the PDO yet.
  19. Yeah I liked snow advisories and heavy snow warnings
  20. https://x.com/Nam3kmModel/status/2117385020021313904
  21. forest fire in Monson.. https://x.com/WWLP22News/status/2117425576839459144
  22. I have no idea how they messed up the wording of winter type storms over the years. Seems like no one was confused 30 years ago.
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