All Activity

38 degrees and ripping fatties in Augusta County! Starting to accumulate in the woods and pavement by the tennis courts and the top of cars.

We have this debate EVERY TIME there is a projected snow after a cold front and its exhausting. I've been out west and seen snow accumulate after an 80 degree day multiple times! It doesn't happen here as often for several reasons but that doesn't mean it can't. Unlikely and impossible are two very different things. And just because something has not happened does not mean it can not happen. One thing that has to be factored in, is it does not get to 80 that often during the winter, so the opportunity for this to happen would be limited so the fact it has not happened might just be limited sample size not a function of it being impossible. As we see more extreme temperature swings happening this kind of thing might become more common. It matters what the temperature is WHEN it's snowing...not the day before!

Honestly the orientation if nothing else of the precip on the models reminds me of some dynamic spring systems. Definitely eyebrow raising to get a Day 5 15%. I'm still not convinced it will be anything substantial, though. We'll see how it looks in NAM range.

Sleet and snow now mixing in here in Rockville

Not anymore

every spring i read posts about a bad season for backdoor fronts yet our last cold april was 6 years ago

Sounds like some sleet mixing in here in Pikesville.

Back to rain in Penn Mar with a temp of 34. Intensity driven at this point. Some times it tails off to almost nothing.

Rolling thunder ~1am 0.10" through 945am

NAM pummels richmond and points southeast

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Sunday - ArkLaTex/Lower MS Valley into the Middle MS/Lower OH Valleys... An intense upper trough will deepen over the Plains and shift east to the MS Valley on Sunday. From late afternoon into the nighttime hours, an 80-100 kt jet streak will develop within the base of the trough and overspread portions of the region. At the surface, an already strong cyclone will deepen further as it moves from the Lower MO Valley to the Lower Great Lakes vicinity. As this occurs, a strong cold front will sweep eastward across the southern Plains and much of the Midwest and Southern U.S., becoming oriented from Ohio to the FL Panhandle by Monday morning. While strengthening southerly low-level flow will develop ahead of the front, stronger Gulf moisture return will be confined to TX and the Lower MS Valley vicinity, with mainly 50s dewpoints expected with northward extent across the Middle MS and OH Valley regions. Furthermore, capping is expected ahead of the cold front, potentially limiting warm sector convection. Nevertheless, modest moisture and steepening midlevel lapse rates will support at least weak destabilization very near the cold front. A narrow line of strongly-forced convection is expected to develop along the cold front and move across portions of OK/TX into the Middle/Lower MS and Lower OH/TN Valley regions. Given intense deep-layer flow near and just behind the cold front, strong/damaging wind potential will exist within a modest instability/high shear environment. A 15 percent severe delineation has been included from the ArkLaTex into the Mid-South/Lower MS Valley vicinity. Depending on low-level moisture/instability trends, this area may need to be expanded north and east into a larger portion of the Middle MS/Lower OH/TN Valley vicinity in subsequent outlooks. ...Day 5/Monday - Southeast to Mid-Atlantic... Severe thunderstorm potential will likely continue into Monday as the intense upper trough continues to migrate east from the MS Valley toward the Eastern Seaboard. Intense deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread portions of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic. Meanwhile, 60s F dewpoints will extend from southeast GA northward through the Mid-Atlantic ahead of a sharp cold front. Pre-frontal surface troughing across the VA/NC Piedmont also will support backing low-level winds, leading to enhanced low-level shear. Depending on how much cloud cover and warm advection precipitation occurs ahead of the cold front, stronger destabilization may be inhibited. Nevertheless, at least weak instability is forecast ahead of a strongly forced line of convection along the eastward-advancing cold front. This activity alone could produce a swath of strong to severe wind gusts. A more conditional risk of supercells across the warm sector exists across eastern VA/NC, but this is more uncertain. Given damaging wind potential with the strongly forced linear convection, a 15 percent severe delineation has been added for portions of the region.

Yeah was thinking the same lol. Exponentially better here.

38 with sneet

I have to admit that it is very amusing that so many people are concerned with my grade for this winter.. .I just want to say that out of respect and admiration for all of you that I will let all of you know the day before I post my final grade for winter 25/26....ya know to let the anticipation build and to have all of you to have something to look forward to lol

Crossing the 40 degree mark, with sleet pellets on the deck

We are up to .47

Snow/sleet 36

A little sleet and wet snow mixed in with the rain in West Asheville.

Had a bit of sleet mixing in, but it's now stopped, even though radar is still pretty robust over the local area.

"Good" pingers... 42F

I was today years old after surveying all day yesterday when finding out about this potential snowstorm/blizzard. March gone wild. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

Look at DCA temps just fall off a cliff