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That storm cluster looks decent and better than guidance had at this time

Pablo Sandoval ran faster than the board has this week

Last few days or a week or so - have been seeing pretty frequent Cloudflare "Bad Gateway" 502 errors from the forum. Generally a refresh of the page loads it (albeit slowly). Anything going on?

Pretty Please! As always …… ( it took two tries to get the host error photo attached )

What about tough noogies?

Yep, the lag came back.

I was stating solid forecast concerns, that's all. And personally? No, debate/discussion is what this forum is all about. The content of your response by itself suggest you take it personally. How one goes from someone stating forecast concerns and caveats to "don't like the heat" is a non-sequitur argument. Mentioning fine details is not the same as nit-picking, and the details count in any science. You were mentioning how its looks good for sig heat at least from a 500 mb height position, but did not mention that 500 mb is not always a good proxy for sfc temps. "that 00z operational Euro run fully committed to a heat wave later next week .. LOL At least at 500 mb..." So I pointed out the omission. This is of value for others on the board, is it not? It is fact CPC and others often just look at 500 height anomalies, and run w/ temps based on that alone. And "tough cookies?" What kind of statement is that in a serious meteorological discussion? Don't degrade a discussion/debate w/ drivel phrases/terminology like that.

We are marching in the 250th parade in Philly next Friday. This is really going to be fun all costumed up in 100 degree weather with no shade. Not to mention a 2 1/2 mile walk.

Yeah it seemed to be working somewhat better before mid-morning but now it's as bad as ever

In case there's those among us that don't already know this ... It's more useful with MEX to cite the value of surpassing climo weighting, than it is to cite how those machine numbers are what they are, when looking at the deeper range. Example, KBDL-KFIT-KASH are as of this 12z cycle, all 9 to 12F above climatology from D6 to 7 ( which is also warmer than the prior cycle, btw -). That says something is significantly offsetting climate in the warmer direction, and offers support to the emerging heat dome in the guidance. KFIT GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/26/2026 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 SAT 27| SUN 28| MON 29| TUE 30| WED 01| THU 02| FRI 03|SAT CLIMO N/X 60 84| 61 83| 61 86| 64 86| 60 84| 64 92| 72 92| 66 58 81 TMP 69 75| 68 74| 70 78| 71 76| 67 76| 72 83| 79 82| 72 DPT 60 60| 61 60| 60 59| 63 61| 60 61| 64 70| 70 67| 61 CLD PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| CL CL| PC WND 3 6| 3 6| 3 5| 3 8| 4 6| 4 11| 6 8| 8 P12 13 7| 10 14| 12 0| 6 14| 12 13| 21 13| 15 15| 21999999 P24 19| 30| 12| 25| 20| 24| 22| 999 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 4 5| 2 11| 7 6| 3 20| 6 8| 16 22| 22 22| 20 T24 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 34 | 39 KASH GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/26/2026 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 SAT 27| SUN 28| MON 29| TUE 30| WED 01| THU 02| FRI 03|SAT CLIMO N/X 59 83| 60 82| 59 86| 62 85| 61 84| 65 91| 70 90| 65 57 81 TMP 66 74| 67 73| 67 77| 69 73| 67 75| 72 82| 76 80| 70 DPT 63 62| 64 63| 62 61| 65 64| 63 64| 69 74| 72 71| 65 CLD PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| CL PC| PC WND 3 5| 5 6| 4 5| 3 10| 4 5| 3 14| 6 11| 4 P12 11 9| 11 16| 9 0| 6 12| 11 12| 22 14| 15 15| 23999999 P24 22| 32| 10| 22| 19| 27| 23| 999 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 4 5| 2 11| 7 6| 3 20| 6 8| 16 22| 22 22| 20 T24 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 34 | 39 KBDL GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/26/2026 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 SAT 27| SUN 28| MON 29| TUE 30| WED 01| THU 02| FRI 03|SAT CLIMO N/X 62 86| 63 88| 63 89| 66 90| 65 88| 68 93| 74 94| 71 60 83 TMP 69 77| 70 79| 70 80| 72 80| 70 80| 74 85| 81 85| 77 DPT 60 60| 61 61| 60 60| 65 64| 63 65| 67 71| 72 72| 65 CLD PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC| CL PC| PC WND 4 7| 5 7| 5 7| 6 10| 7 8| 8 18| 10 12| 9 P12 8 11| 7 8| 11 0| 9 22| 21 13| 18 14| 13 14| 18 23 22 P24 17| 19| 11| 30| 26| 21| 19| 34 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 3 8| 3 6| 7 6| 3 30| 24 15| 14 22| 18 23| 15 T24 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 19 | 29 | 44

I tried the setting on my phone, unless there is something else I need to do.

No one in here 'takes 2 meter temps seriously'. We've been discussing the limitations and logical factorization in why those limitation exists, for years prior to your coming in here recently and picking people apart when they are merely tracking heat - a vital and necessary aspect of in the rudimentary forecast philosophy You're talking to wrong person in the first place. "GFSX MOS still shows no 90 explicity forecast E of a LEB-CEF-BDL line," a, was first of all already addressed hours ago by yours truly, and b, is just as bad a logic as using 2-meter temperatures as deterministic. Why? Because as you go out in time, ex machine numbers are heavily weighted by climo. That obfuscates when the signals surpass climatology, which this does and probably one of us in this conversation needs to get with that program, accept it, and stop nit picking because ..I don't know, you don't like heat? or don't understand the placement of nuance hyperbole or something Tough cookies

Still doesn’t work. How to eff up a perfectly good website 101 by college of dupage

Yea it's been janky as heck for several days. Wonder if Stormtracker spilled a mint julep or something in the rack?

Classic shit the bed scenerio right here

Only gonna be in the 90s here in sunny Vegas next week. Breeze has been kicking up here and gonna ramp up this weekend…big trough moving into the northwest which should translate east I’m assuming by next weekend which is when Vegas starts to heat up again.

Happy birthday Randy from your biggest fan! PS. Did you forget to pay the bill for the site?

Temps busting big time for those near/under the slow moving showers

I only need 1.6"

Worse for me today Larry!

I only need .30” to break 3” for June, but I’m not feeling confident. And this site is a disaster today. I’d write that in banter if I could get there.

The heat waves in the 1930's are very interesting. I read about them a year or so ago more in depth. Basically our poor farming methods out in the midwest were completely destroying the soil leaving it unable to retain moisture combined with a very dry and hot decade that was only made hotter because we weren't doing the methods we started using after the dust bowl era. It's also interesting too that there were some downstream effects from there constantly being so much heat over the US from this that effected Asia which is neat. But yeah the soil was basically unable to retain moisture which allowed it to get superheated compared to how it normally is. Then after that we started practicing more efficient farming which allowed it to not get as hot. Remember too the 1930's dust bowl era is mostly a US phenomenon besides the downstream effect in Asia I mentioned.

This has been building for ~9 months, with a dry fall, a bone-dry winter and a record dry spring. It will be many months until we get out. Barring a Matthew-level tropical system inundating the state (which brings problems of its own) I think the reasonable best-case scenario is to slow the bleeding until well into fall when the temps cool down and hopefully the super el nino southern stream ramps up.

From what I can see now, if we're going to make a run at scattered or event widespread 100s, Thursday is the best day to do it.

Trust me…we all know about pretty warm colors at H5 up here. But I think we sneak some good heat days in here next week with maybe some minor breaks in the intensity around the 4th. MEX is going to have climo heavily factored in at d7 too. I’d be surprised if the numbers don’t jump at 12z for a few of those days next week.