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I'd take active over dry any day.
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I'm all in for WAD. It's WAW that scares me.
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Really cool. Interesting that White Plains was off by so much. That is a huge miss for that location.
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After I mentioned the CF passed by, winds went back to NE and gusting to 30ish. Lots of stratocu too.
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YAWN! LOL
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Persistent winds have kept us from going lower than the low 50's this week. Delightful days though.
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She didn't get the tornado, but did get a hail storm.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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sustained 20-25mph east wind for a few minutes here. Maybe higher?
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My back yard is filling up with leaves. Foliage maps say we're heading into peak, but at least locally, things were more vibrant late last week. Will probably get a second wave of color as different species begin to change.
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Practically calm here
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yes
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82/83 was east based too. It holds the record for max RONI SSTA at 2.4 in 12/82 & 1/83. We're close to that right now. Can't throw out that one. We'll be fighting temps all winter. That's a guarantee, but that's nothing new for the MA. Though December might yield a light fluke, we're probably waiting for 1/15 or later imho.
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Hard to argue
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I recommend this brand.
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Was this wind forecast? Worse than anything this month
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yeah, i'm over 40 done with the CAD life
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I mainly track ENSO for its effects on tropical cyclone activity but I do have some surface-level knowledge (emphasis on "surface-level") on its correlation with NA winter synoptics. From what I gather 1997-98 seems to be a prime analog this year given the strength and flavor/orientation of the Niño which isn't promising (torch city with very little resulting snowfall as a result). I would also think the comparatively greater magnitude and eastward extent of this event may be cause for even more concern this time around? Because we're at record levels in both cases: Hopefully I'm wrong and we do find a window or two where we are able to cash in within an established unfavorable pattern though.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
keep the snow talk at home and i won't hammer you people -
My niece was right in the middle of this one. Sounds like she and her property are ok. I'll let you know if she experienced anything bad or interesting.
