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- Past hour
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24.5° Forgot to cover one of the plants in the field that wasn’t fully lignified yet. Oops.
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29 degrees.
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Bottoming out at 25F here, not bad.
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A very San Diego-like October in the Northeast.
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I'm starting to regret renting a place on the Tug Hill for the winter. I should of rented a place up Lake Tahoe. The high elevation out west seem to be the place to be this winter. Oh well. I'm sure the Tug will do better than where I live near Annopoils Maryland lol. Probably never get below freezing here this winter.
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26F. Coldest AM thus far this fall.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
During the end-Permian extinction about 252 million years ago, a supercontinent known as Pangaeaexperienced extreme climate disruptions driven by a 10-year mega El Niño episode. [1, 2] Key Details from Research Duration: Unlike modern El Niño events that typically last about a year, the warmest phases of this ancient event lasted up to 10 years continuously. [1, 2] The Panthalassic Ocean: This multi-year event originated in the vast Panthalassic Ocean (the super-ocean surrounding Pangaea), which was much larger than today's Pacific Ocean and absorbed immense amounts of heat. [1] Volcanic Forcing & CO2: Massive volcanic eruptions from the Siberian Traps doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) from roughly 410 to 860 ppm, collapsing ocean circulation and flattening temperature gradients across the super-ocean. [1] Mass Extinction Impact: The decade-long locking of severe drought, extreme heat, and raging wildfires devastated terrestrial forests, accelerated a global feedback loop, and contributed to the greatest mass extinction event in Earth's history. [1, 2, 3] -
Defintely the 1st half
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36.5 was the low . We Growvember
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I’ve seen that guy on there. He’s on Twitter as well. So many people don’t understand what happens here with Canada so torched .
- Today
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Hasn't really rained since October 16th. Unfortunately that streak looks to over by the end of the week. "There still are quite a few uncertainties and unresolved details typical of a day-6 timeframe specific to this system, including rain amounts, its timing and if the system can draw on a plume of subtropical moisture to enhance rain rates. Ensemble 24-hr QPF probabilities from Friday through Saturday show moderate (40-60%) probabilities 0.5" or more of rain with low to moderate (up to 30%) probabilities of an inch or more of rain. While temps should still run above normal and also run a touch humid (by early Nov standards), this looks to be the next really good chance at much-needed wetting rainfall.
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26.6° not far off of the low so far this season of 26.1°
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. They have absolutely sucked with this event. Embarrassing. The CANSIPS finally caved to the EURO, showing a +4.1C December peak now like the EURO has had for months. And it’s still dead wrong on the orientation of this extreme east-based/EP Nino -
26F so far for the low this am.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
One well-placed nor’easter can absolutely push the Lehigh Valley above normal for the winter. Allentown got 31.9 inches from the January 2016 blizzard alone. If a coastal low slows down where its heaviest snow band sits over the Valley and the cold air holds, that one storm can decide where we finish. preview.weather.gov My pop-up thunderstorm analogy fits. You can reasonably forecast that the afternoon favors thunderstorms and still have no idea at breakfast whose backyard will get drenched. El Niño gives forecasters some insight into the winter storm track. NOAA’s outlook this winter favors wetter conditions along the Eastern Seaboard, but it gives no seasonal snowfall total for Allentown. I’d take the regional odds seriously and be skeptical of anyone claiming in November that our region will finish below normal -
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