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Totally.....I would much rather worry about precip type, then watch Kev rejoice over the 2" every 3 days.

3.1° Glad this crap is gone soon

I don't think I'll need it......I mean, we aren't finishing the season with 10"...as bad as this stretch has been, we've been over 30" every year and I expect to do that, and then some with ease this year.

It's not common practice. Nick probably thought he could rest the starters and still win w/the backups. Also, showcase McKee who they'll probably entertain trade talks in the offseason. Everything pretty much failed...

I’m still thinking more mid month for anything that is sustainable. Maybe it’s two days earlier, whatever. I think we will be playing with fire regarding SE ridging, but at this point I think we’ll risk that with better QPF events vs these D-1” crap bag events.

The gateway to hell has seemed to be about Derry, NH....north of there, there is usually enough moisture and cold to snow....but south of there has perpetually lacked.

Good luck lol...

I think it looks good later this month for consistent winter with some warning events....I don't like it for huge snow bombs.

Does anyone still think the ACTUAL pattern looks good???

This is MacDonald Carey.........................................................................................

What is going on with kdix? I saw this one day last week same time in the am, these echoes will dissappear in a few min and I don't think theyre real.

I will say, the ability of mother nature to cram every orifice from just about every angle with a multitude of home improvement appliances this decade has been impressive. La Nina (mostly), El Nino, -AO, +AO, - NAO, +NAO, +PNA, -PNA, +EPO, -EPO, -WPO, +WPO, cold, warm...the one constant has been a remarkable dearth of snowfall anywhere within about 50 miles of the ocean, east of I 495 and south of rt 2 in SNE. The only good news is that we have paid our dues.....20's, 50's, 80's, 2020's......get it out of the way now and hopefully not have to grab my ankles for 10 consecutive years again until I'm no longer lucid enough to realize how badly it sucks.

Jesus...most deterministic guidance (I know) has about 1-2" of snowfall here through the 20th....if that were to ever happen, it's going to be difficult to reach climo around here....that would put me at around 10" approaching February.

I gotta admit I was really getting spoiled in early Dec with snow and rumors of snow. it was a glorious late fall. Now that winter is really here it feels normal again...comfortable like a old shoe

Let's get it started! Valid Friday. Could be a bit forced, but a touch more instability would raise the ceiling.

Following the storm track shift in 2018-2019, we were only able to generate KU tracks in December 2020, late January into early February 2021 and January 2022. The complete opposite of 2002 to 2018 when coastal KU tracks were much more frequent. Even during the 1970s and 1980s we would get KU tracks every few years. Like in 1978, 1979, 1982, 1983, and 1987. The difference back then was that EWR,NYC, LGA, JFK, and ISP didn’t exclusively need KU tracks to reach around 25” on the season. So my guess going forward is that if we don’t see a revival of KU tracks, then the major sites around NYC and nearby NJ will finish this year with below average snowfall under 25”. The colder spots near the North Shore of Long Island could potentially nickle and dime there way to 25” since they currently have the highest totals. But some of those spots may actually average closer to 30” between the major observing sites where LI gains some elevation. I don’t think anyone on Long Island is going to reach 30” without a major benchmark storm later in this season.

"Great"? Let me know when the great begins for me as I must have missed the first round of great.

Starting off January with an average temp of 24.6 degrees, low max of 15 and high 36. I know it’s only a few days but interesting nonetheless. Cold start.

Actually, I'm in the coal region of PA in Schuylkill County. I venture over here to read analysis, but rarely post out of my sub forum. Generally, we're colder than you guys in the metro, but I live in a row where I'm insulated both left and right, so I only have two exposed walls, but the house is 110 years old, so not a lot of extra insulation. Still, I'm fairly happy with our oil consumption all things considered. It could be worse. The single home across the street from me sees an oil truck every month in the winter.

It looks like the gfs brings winter back towards the end of the run. Hopefully we can get some moisture. It's bone dry for January.

13° here. Looks like the last single digits and lower teens for an extended period.. I'll take it.

I’m a vampire, don’t judge!

A lot of the problems that existed all season was the reason they lost last night, even more than Loop. No pash rush, poor defensive secondary (especially without Hamilton), horrific O-line pass blocking, penalties, etc. They were who we thought they were.

Both of those were Swiss cheese storms on the maps...both haves and have nots...There was a storm before the big Feb 83 event in January that year that I think was pretty solid 195 N and W