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  2. Cobalt
    Yellow Medicine County is currently having its 7th warmest start to the year on record (1895-2026).
  3. ChescoWx
    I have added some additionals stations within 3 miles of the Chester County border to enhance our climate data. The support and rationale is included in our latest study on the website. Thanks! https://chescowx.com/chester-county-area-3-mile-rule/
  4. Cyclone-68
    Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ, including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability and shear parameters will still be sufficient.
  5. ChescoWx
    I have added some additionals stations within 3 miles of the Chester County border to enhance our climate data. The support and rationale is included in our latest study on the website. Thanks! https://chescowx.com/chester-county-area-3-mile-rule/
  6. ineedsnow
    I'm thinking about it
  7. NorthHillsWx
    I don’t think we see a drop of rain for the rest of the month
  8. MJO812
    Eps shows the epo tanking next week before rebounding.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  10. Cobalt
    This is a thread dedicated to discussing and analyzing the temperature data available for Yellow Medicine County, MN (Population 9,477). it's warming.
  11. ChescoWx
    Over the last 25 years Chester County has shown minor but not significant warming....however PHL Airport is as always off to the races with warming.
  12. LakePaste25
    Just need a few pacific storms to take that sharp turn north out by Hawaii for cold air phasing, à la feb 1983. Tough when you have a massive warm pool of raging 30C convection to directly to the south but not impossible.
  13. roardog
    I swear they act like Canada is going to be filled with 50 degree air all winter so there won’t be air cold enough to be pulled down even briefly. Canada is likely to be a torch but a Canadian torch in the middle of winter is still cold enough for snow.
  14. ChescoWx
    No data is of course perfect but it is the best historical validated data we have from the time of record
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would argue the guys speaking in absolutes that there won't be are crazy.
  16. LakePaste25
    you guys are crazy trying to predict whether there’s going to be 1 big snow storm or not. There’s a reason I don’t do snow outlooks on a seasonal time scale. I rarely ever see anyone get those right.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Finally...
  18. ChescoWx
    Almost a 20 degree spread in morning low temperatures today within just a few miles across the area this morning. Elevation and terrain impacts.
  19. ChescoWx
    Almost a 20 degree spread in morning low temperatures today within just a few miles across the area this morning. Elevation and terrain impacts.
  20. bluewave
    Centered right under Nino 3 at +4.47 now. Starting to see a +30C warm pool bridge develop from Nino 3.4 over to the coast of Central America. Matches up with the record east based forcing for so early in an event.
  21. forkyfork
    i don't really give a shit
  22. Today
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fact, not opinion....1972-1973 and 2015-2016 are the only two intense El Ninos that did not feature at least one storm of over a foot in this area...and I'd take my chances with January 2016 again.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, I'm not picky...I'll settle for January-February 1983, December 23, 1997 or January 7th, 2024...TBH the 2016 blizzard is the redux I'd pass on.
  25. Itstrainingtime
    Oh, there will be input from him. And maps. And more maps. And even more maps. Love ya', @Blizzard of 93 Don't ever change.
  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  27. Cyclone-68
    Yes! My eyes are still rolling from it. At that point I just wanted to get back lol
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