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Just got nailed by a pop up cell on the tail end of this thing. Severe warned and ended up with pea size hail and some ~50 mph gusts. Best storm of the summer so far.

Differences from last year can't be a bad thing as it relates to next winter.

0Z UKMET: a little further north than the 12Z run; still has a TS NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 23.6N 94.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.06.2024 60 23.5N 94.7W 998 35 0000UTC 20.06.2024 72 23.4N 95.6W 997 39 1200UTC 20.06.2024 84 24.9N 97.9W 999 38 0000UTC 21.06.2024 96 CEASED TRACKING

Based on the weaker trend today for the potential SW Atlantic low including the brand new 0Z model consensus, it wouldn’t surprise me if the NHC were to lower the 7 day 30% lemon to 20% soon. I’ve seen enough to feel confident that there won’t be a TC from this. The 0Z ICON, GFS, CMC, and UKMET have no TC from it.

Topped out at 95° at both ORD and MDW today.

Topped out at 95° at both ORD and MDW today. ...2024 90°+ Day Tally... 4 - MDW 4 - RFD 4 - ARR 3 - ORD 3 - PWK 2 - DPA 2 - UGN 2 - LOT

The MCV ended up being pretty impressive with over 40 severe reports.

93 here before the storms moved in, and MLI made it to 91.

seems the bigger issue might be the longevity and the lack of rain.

that would be a feat.

should easily break the record high tomorrow at ORD given how temps performed today. 100 is probably just out of reach, though.

Yeah, I'm not sure anyone in SNE breaks records. Maybe CNE or NNE? I don't love high heat but I understand the "might as well break a record". I would be right there rooting for records but Greenfield has a big music festival in town this weekend that we are involved in. Any moderation would be welcome. At the end of the day I've survived mid 90's in the past and will do so again this week.

If it's going to be HHH I'd rather set records. We've done mid 90s before, no big deal. I remember golfing in 98 with high humidity a couple years ago, got one of those towels you dip in water and wrap it around your neck, worked well.

Columbus, GA, was the hot spot of all major reporting stations in/near the SE with 100 today.

I thought the operational GFS dialed temps back a bit too.

Dewpoint temps rising to 61, still cool/comfortable 65/61

It’s always all the small unforeseen factors that keep us from regularly getting two feet of snow. High-end is rare for a reason. I still think this will be a very impactful period, regardless of where it ranks. Multiple days of high daytime heat, with high overnights due to elevated dew points… you feel this is you are outside for a long period of time. Or if your job is outside. Hopefully folks can go home to a cool environment. The toughest is working outside or needing to spend significant time outside, then going home to another hot space.

Nammy is on another planet this week with high dews and less extreme temps. It’s more of what I envisioned.

89’d

2nd day of perfect wx here, its been abnormally windy too. Blue skies the whole weekend! Its the stuff I wish I could lock in 365 days a year, with the longest daylight.

Doesn’t seem as bad here this week than originally thought. Low 90s in the forecast. Then mid/upper 90s next weekend before it moderates. Better than models showed last week.

June has been just a bit different than last year so far. July was very hot here last year. Average high of 99F was just about all-time heat here. No rain either. July still looks warm, but much cooler, and definitely wetter. We might already be past our hottest days here. No 100+ heat looks likely in the near term. Some indications we may have a pretty cool period in August, which has implications for winter...but that's for another day.

As soon as that Meso tickled it's toes in the Lake influence, it died a rapid death.

Highs: PHL: 86 ACY: 81 TTN: 80 New Brnswck: 79 NYC: 78 TEB: 77 EWR: 77 JFK: 76 LGA: 76 ISP: 74 BLM: 71

I guess the 63/62 explains why the ferns are so nuclear in your area.