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Charleston IL spinner PT.

72 dBZ debris ball south of Indy, that is a mean tornado.

Wow that debris ball and growing

What the fuck

Monster debris ball and cc drop near Gosport IN

Yes, on the shore.

Pink debris ball on that cell near mount tabor

Bloomington IND college webcam for sickos like myself who love to watch frequent lightning. (time sensitive of course) https://cpf.iu.edu/weather-camera/index.html

Bingo. Without the MCS we probably have a Palm Sunday level outbreak

Nino 1+2 is +2.8c! July in strongly warm Nino 1+2 years August and September are near average historically, for most of the country. Maybe not enough examples. Let's see if we get a cool October. If the PDO doesn't shift to neutral by then, it counteracts this.

Spinner paradise!

So here are the last 3 runs of the HRRR 12/18/00z all valid 6pm Thu. Which one will be right? It's impossible to tell. Small details on the mesoscale can make a big difference as to storm mode. Either way, the timing for this is ideal. 0-3 km CAPE from central NH to CT is high as 150 at 6pm. And that is big for spinner potential and 150 is more than enough. Perhaps this is what we will get Thu. Li'l spin-ups w/ nice crisp titled CB vistas! Punxsutawney PA spinner 6/14/26. https://www.facebook.com/reel/1355336163205600

If this was winter I’d be stressing here, even at Day 5, ha. I can’t imagine the forcing would be this widespread but a couple strong systems for the time of year, tomorrow and Monday.

00z better. Seems like we’ll get temps near and over 80 which is key imo. Hodos are nice.

I’m worried about convection Rob. That happens so often in summer . Need to get this to noon Saturday still showing this to buy .

The fact we've managed to get a couple of big ones in what should have been a completely rained out event just shows how this event could've been something historical if things went a little differently

If anything it'll trend weak and north, models (non-mesos) love blowing up those meso lows in coarse grids. I could be wrong

we everywhere

https://x.com/saperstein21/status/2067062219938894259?s=46

If it doesn’t sink south

Rainy where? South of Fredericksburg?

Comical

you'll see 1" Monday AM