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It’s not that different. I’m the comp the ridge is more in the wpo area but the downstream trough is very similar and that’s what’s more important. That north pac ridge has just gone up and hasn’t yet caused the deep -pna that will eventually wreck our pattern. I do think we see a warmer period than guidance is showing AFTER PD weekend. But you’re acting like that ridge goes up and immediately eastern US torches. First it needs to cause the PNA reaction then a couple days later we torch. There is a window first. We don’t have any arctic air to work with though it’s a split flow with marginal air so that’s the issue. The pacific hasn’t had time to impact us YET there. It will soon after. Then for how long before we recover becomes the next question and I agree with you probably by the very end of Feb.

Got to 16 today. Not bad.

Well, WE could tell you are a dullard.

Yeah, it's more about disqualifying a theory than proving something new.

Apparently Sam Darnold has never won against the Patriots and in one of the pregame shows, they hinted at Sam Darnold beating the ghosts.

Still my biggest storm of all time. I ended up with 35 inches. 35 miles east of me in Danbury it rained much of the storm and I think they ended up with around a foot. NYC with 21 inches.

Seeming like 3-6'' in Leb too.

Problem with that comp is there is no consistency. It includes some of our snowiest El Niños and some of the least snowy. The mean is just an average of radically different years. I don’t see a pattern that’s useful there. Could be 1964 or 1995 lol. Actually I think on the whole snowfall would be above avg in the subset

Saw Flushing Bay completely frozen over. Little Neck bay too. Haven’t seen it like that since January 2018. Most bays along north and south shore are completely frozen. Been a while since there’s been that much ice out on the sound and south shore. There was some last year, 2025, during our cold late Jan- early Feb period. Same with late Jan- early Feb 2019. But haven’t seen it to this extent since 2018 and 2015

^Much, much different Pacific. Just consider that medium range models don't fully factor in the downstream pattern of PNA. I've seen too many times over the years. This was an easy one, +450dm N. Pacific ridge. Your composite doesn't have a +450dm N. Pacific ridge lol. I don't really care about what happens with the storm - whether it's here or there, but it probably will be in the 40s that day because that's the longwave pattern, starting much earlier.

Maye seen some ghost

Aren't you a conservative? Personal responsibility right? Don't depend on all the assholes in the world when it comes to your kids. Oh right, you don't have kids. You are just pretending to care. Any new dick jokes?

No no no. Nice try but you don’t get to own every permutation of fail. Of course it’s probably going to fail, almost all our threats fail because it’s hard to get a snowstorm here. Way more had to go right than wrong. You can’t say the problem is it’s going to be too warm then claim a win if the storm gets suppressed lol You might still win with the too warm idea anyways. Frankly every one of these Hudson high threats the last 10 years has ended up too warm. This look used to work. We’ve had so many awesome wet snow paste bombs in this type of pattern. But they’ve gone extinct and every recent example ended up rain. Does this work anymore? Because some of our best snows were in this comp but lately it’s been too warm for this setup to work

That was before I had an interest in weather so it just skipped over my mind. Was there a blizzard warning for that one? I heard it was like a wet, heavy 20” of paste after quite a bit of rain. Heard it was a bit windy too

We couldn’t tell.

You’re going to compare a weather board with 200 posters to something seen by over 20 million kids. Seems like you’re the bright one.

High of 37, low of 22. Currently 27/7. I am tired of being shocked constantly.

And yeah, I am really smart.

Not necessary man. Many of us have been here on this board and eastern going back 15+ years now. Let's just move on....

Back when BTV radiated... they used to put up some impressive lows. -18F at BOS is the most impressive though of those.

lol you are so predictable. What the fuck is with you and 150K? Simpleton.

Exactly.

Ok Sam.. Don't fuck it up

Nobody is as smart as you. We all bow to your intelligence and over 150K a year making ass.

Well..