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This is by a good margin the weakest SPV on any run. If this verifies closely, this would be the weakest late Nov to early Dec SPV by a good margin since way back in 1987! We know that one month later there was a historic SE winter storm, which gave Atlanta 4” of sleet, very heavy snowfall in some other areas, and ZR down all of the way down here.

Per this EW run’s weekly 2m maps directly from the source, it remains a step down process from a mild E US start: Dec 1-7: mild Dec 8-14: cools some to slightly mild to normal Dec 15-21: cools to normal Dec 22-28: cold comes in around Christmas!

I'm surprised powder freak hasn't been rubbing it in our faces.

lol oh ha. Didn’t even catch that

It was fine last winter. We just couldn’t get the big storms.

12km NAM doing its NAM thing on us, look at all that 1+" purple!

Some more shots I took from May 10th, 2024 that I never went through:

Its winter incoming with the NS version of Will with Uncle Leo!!!

This isnt true at all. Down here i would be screwed but you wouldn't

Uncle Leo!!

I think he's making a joke about it looking like it says negative 16 inches, lol

Are the two tornadoes in 1927 the same tornado?

Funny thing is 2016-17 had a very good December. It was the rest of the winter that was mild.

Showing a fantasy storm for Nova Scotia already in the long range a good sign. Gfs 18z at 360 hours lol.

It's too bad it's not a month later or this would be a decent snowstorm, at least here. It's the rising-out-from-negNAO storm.

A bad or negative Pacific cannot be overcome in the northeast. Particularly south of NNE. If it’s hostile . A good to great winter is virtually impossible

yeah, given how coupled the stratosphere is, I don't think we're on voodoo alert with the nearly certain SSW... we should see an Atlantic blocking spell this month

Does the Pacific ever improve? Feel like it’s been a thorn in our sides for a decade.

50 would be nice.

45 for the high today. Farmingdale still gusting to 40. My neighbors grill cover…the metal part…blew into my yard last night. Crazy stuff

You think that’s low?

I think a lot of use are suffering from PTSD and a very skeptical despite what all the models are saying. '16-'17 was a year that we chased SSW and blocking all season long for it to end up somewhere else.

Yeah probably. Kevin is all distraught but it doesn’t have to be 15F either.

Thought this was funny. Tis the season...

Ginxy AI Will post