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  2. BBasile
    About to get dumped on. Can't even really see the storm coming because the cloud base is only 300 feet. Can't definitely hear it, though.
  3. ineedsnow
    12z NAM going to flood
  4. Damage In Tolland
    Su far it’s gone exactly like I thought with nuisance rains in CT and big totals south and west
  5. ineedsnow
    you sure about that? 12z NAM coming in
  6. BxEngine
    The blob of heavy slow moving rain over the rockaways and the island beaches have exactly 10 mins to dissipate before the 2 hour NAM blows it. in a shocking turn of events the 1 hr hrrr is better than the nam.
  7. ineedsnow
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    What does ENSO state have to do with it? We know guidance has yet to catch up to the intensity of modern ridges because we just witnessed it last winter out west. ENSO state plays a role in dictating where the under-modeled ridging will set up, but it doesn't alter the fact that it is consistently under modeled. The whole "show me update data every season" is a cop out IMHO...the sky is blue, and I don't need data...either look upwards and check Google.
  9. moneypitmike
    pics?
  10. Met1985
    Should be a busy day today. Already storms developing this morning.
  11. weatherwiz
    I think its safe to say, that can be tossed and tossed very far
  12. WinterWolf
    Yup…CT in the thick of it. Soaking rains. Kev was hedging it stayed south..not happening with this one.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this.
  14. NEG NAO
    you have a chance of flooding rain very soon - Flood Warning says between 2 - 32 inches -lol FFW from KPHI problem today is these areas of heavy rain just develop very quickly
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's saying that ridging is underestimated in this modern era, so where ever ridging is denoted, it's highly likely that seasonal guidance will be too cold and low with heights in that area...regardless of where it is.
  16. Brian5671
    Probably. The 12z is even wilder-especially eastern areas.
  17. weatherwiz
    Goes very wild with the llvl jet
  18. Rjay
    This will be off by 5" in my area
  19. ineedsnow
    didn't even see your post.. either its drunk or someone floods
  20. ineedsnow
    12z HRRR going wild in some spots
  21. CoastalWx
    12z hrrr went drunk. wtf is that lol.
  22. Jns2183
    I am thankful for the 70's. I have all my windows upon and got my house temp down to low 70's. They haven't seen to make a dent in the power outages near me so I'm assuming it's pretty much a complete collapse. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get what you are saying...there is some hyperbole going on, but I also think that you should be a bit more measured with respect to your own tone, as well....while the position of that GOA low is more redolent of the stronger composite than the weak data set, it's also not very representative of the east-based composite, either. I would expect that the season would cool down beyond December extrapolating out. Weaker (left) vs Stronger (right) Modoki (Left), Basin-Wide (Center) vs East-Based (Right)
  24. dailylurker
    I can't wait for my 4th STW and warnings in a row that don't produce anything lol. .02 yesterday
  25. NEOH
    You don't see 15"+ rainfall estimates very often. The island area took a beating last night. We could really use more rain here locally... heaviest rains have been hit or miss.
  26. SnoSki14
    Loving the steady rains across Central NJ right now.
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