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The model which started this train has lost interest. Since the 12z ensembles are in, my 7 model blend has dropped to 5.15".

The one difference I would note and I'll use the last storm as an example. When I cleared the board at 10pm I recorded 15.8 inches depth as the snow had ended. The next morning there was another 0.5 so I added that for a storm total of 16.3. I'm sure if I measured depth that morning it was probably closer to a 15 inch depth.

My good friend Andy organizes and founded the Western MA Backcountry Alliance. (Also covers S VT) It's a great group of people. Check it out sometime. https://www.wmassbcalliance.org/

Waste your time.. We appreciate your input!!

The legacy EPS and the EPS-AI are getting stronger and stronger with the -PNA

This winter has been relatively boring for me, given I was abroad for the only significant snowfall. That said, the retention of this pack is fantastic, the best I've seen since 2015. Once I smashed through the crust I have a couple nice tracks through the cemetery and am able to cross country ski two weeks after the snowfall, and will be able to for the foreseeable. Sledding hills have been taken for granted and are mostly empty. Today was gorgeous for cross country.

If anything, the legacy EPS and the EPS-AI have gotten even stronger with the -PNA since yesterday

Ukie says don't even write off the pre-PD3 event lol Models breaking persistence too quickly has been a thing for as long as I've played this game. In both directions many times. Since most of our winters kinda stink it feels like that only works against us but persistence is a real thing and toning down warmth in the LR has been happening since early fall lol. It doesn't surprise me at all that guidance has been easing off the warmth part of the pattern. Remember JFM 2014? Day 15 warmth was a staple in guidance. Remember how it went lol? We need a pattern change or it will just keep being dry and cold. Looks pretty locked in that flow will be MUCH more active than its been for many weeks. Back off on the warmth and keep sending shortwaves our way every 3-4 days and we're bound to chaos/luck into something.

Repeat of February 2018 incoming

Friday night into Saturday morning looks like a sneaky little system. I could see us getting 1-2” maybe 3”

Massive town owned snowblowers still clearing snow from roads this morning in commack. Some 4 lane roads are still 2 lanes. poor job

Wow first I’ve heard of this.. Any other info on what’s going on? .

I think mid-next week (Feb 11-12) definitely bears watching. UKMET hinting at it too now. https://x.com/yconsor/status/2019130515606155376

Phenomenal day. Was 1st chair up. Made about 10 runs. Stuck to the groomers. Red chair is only lift running.

I mean, that could still end up being the case.

Trucks were still moving the snow piles around this AM in the parking lots. Like I said this snow would have a disproportionate impact because of the sleet driven into it making it a lot denser.

GFS earlier this morning showed something like this, so you know it won't happen. Will see next Wednesday Thursday

I feel your pain here in the city as well. Infrastructure is already bursting at the seams

That’s just mean

You can be sure that if this was/turns out to be a rainer, it will verify.

I'm not so sure? There is something about the look of the large-scale pattern trends, medium range guidance suggestions, and some historical time frames that peaks my interest a bit more than I would normally give to 10-day Outlook. Over the years I've always liked two February periods; Feb 3-6, and Feb 12-16? If I were a betting man, I might wager on this upcoming period ( Feb 13-15) breaking our way... In no way a hard and fast forecast and a complete failure is certainly on the table, but I'd spin the storm roulette wheel on that time period. Add to the mix that I have 2 incredibly important family matters to attend on the 14th could seal the deal... Lol

Yep, changes will happen.

I know, I've said this numerous times. I actually find your performace to be entertaining...but I know some do not. The bigger problem is there are now 100 others trying to do what you do...and it's hard to moderate them when one of the board OGs is doing it.

It's warmed up to 53 this afternoon and the snow melt at the Valley floor is almost done. Looks like the surface low has developed in NE Georgia, so a couple of low topped thunderstorms are likely as Buckethead just posted. It looks like a dusting to an inch this evening into early Thursday morning for most of us in the Mountains with higher totals in the Northern Mountains.