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  2. You do know it's not even December yet right?! It hardly ever snows around here this early unless you're far nw
  3. It’s the best brewery in the area. I love Troegs too but Evergrain is on par with places like Tired Hands, Equilibrium, and even Treehouse and Trillium.
  4. The 2 other stations on my street are nearly the same as mine. The 40.8 is off a little, ive attached my 2nd sensor as well. The month temp of 72 was when i was setting up the sensor like 10 days ago lol
  5. That works too - although all there beer taste the same to me
  6. I've seen a couple of those and don't know why. We haven't really had any blowtorches recently and the last couple weeks had 2-3 mornings that were below freezing.
  7. A nice Marriott with hotel bar? Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  8. Something must be wrong, east edge of Queens is between 32 and 36 degrees. How can you still be at 40?
  9. Both nights in beautiful Piscataway, what could be better!?
  10. 29 in Syosset now after 45 for a high.
  11. We actually talked about this a bit a few months ago with long term data- over the long term, a clear signal around the Front Range for more likely warmer year over year, but very inconsistent with overall moisture even though it does seem like every storm ends up drier than forecast, and there is a trend for warmer and drier Oct-Nov. A disproportionate number of the top 10 or so records that involve warm temps have been in the last 20 years, but other than being more variable, there aren't any real precip trends.
  12. I love troegs!!! It's also fun combining troegs and Hershey park Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  13. GFS maybe, GEFS not so much. SE ridge only really flexes around December 2-4 before the cold air starts pushing east. Definitely something to watch but I'm not too concerned right now.
  14. You chilled nicely. Im still at 40
  15. It’s a main feature of the pattern which has been stuck in place for the last 7 years with a brief relaxation during 20-21 and Jan 22. Very hostile Pacific pattern for snow in the I-95 corridor. Good patterns for snow produce classic KU benchmark storms which were in abundance from 2010 to 2018 with the much weaker Pacific Jet. Happened too many times for me to count from 2010 to 2018. Plus I started getting excited about the 20-21 winter during that October with my first successful use for the October MJO indicator for La Ninas. The most recent time was later in December 2021 after the highly amplified December MJO 6-7 stall that month which really pumped the Southeast ridge. But around the holidays the models started showing a legit MJO 8 for January 2022 which verified. So that was the last successful MJO 8 passage. We have had many model forecasts for phase 8 since then. But none have worked out due to interference from the WPAC warm pool. So I would like to see all the VP anomaly charts showing weakening forcing within week 1 near the Maritime Continent for the forecast to be believable.
  16. 18z GFS/GEFS shows a legitimate fail mode for us, and one that I'm always concerned about happening. The trough dumps out west, flexes the southeast ridge, and we just torch while the central and western US score. Hope this is just a fluke.
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