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It completely misses us on Saturday, so hopefully it has something on Sunday.

Nam 0z run Saturday first wave way north, in my opinion this will make the frontal boundary way more west for Sundays developing storm! Let's see the run isn't even near done!✅

It's a QPF issue. It goes from dumping over northern Middle to dying imby, but it bumps back up a little bit east of 75 and down towards Knoxville.

25 to 45.

Nam night be more west

Nam I think will be ticking west

Absolutely. I know how fortunate I was. But I think we can get a bone thrown at us now. We’ve paid our dues.

Nam 0z run Saturday first wave way north, in my opinion this will make the frontal boundary way more west for Sundays developing storm! Let's see the run isn't even near done!✅

Yeah, noticed that. It just scattered the Shield out after getting past I-75. Could be suggesting a mild tounge of sorts with maybe a mix or some rain . I didn't look at QPF . It would answer to whether that's the Case. A couple other Models are showing the quick drop off as well.

nam is way NW with the moisture. Maybe that helps Sunday night

Kickers, shitstreaks, one destructive battle after another

I want to marry him

That was rough

Won't last long but <1/4 mile in heavy snow right now. Very quickly whitened up the ground. Wish this could stay around another 6+ hours lol.

Denver: warmest December since 1933 Fort Collins: record warmest December

Of course…….I’m supposed to travel to Nashville next weekend. .

Excellent. Now we’re cooking.

Ok! Leno with a beauty! It’s close at least now.

Reached an afternoon High of 24 here. Had there been Snow Cover it would of stayed in the Teens. Currently 15.

I think a lot of all the angst comes down to one thing. Expectations. We watch the pattern, it is good. Something shows up 2 weeks out, awesome. Next run shows 15-20 inches in spots and many getting 7-12, people start buying in. It closes to 10 days, and although one (or even two) models show SOMETHING, it isn't the 'big one' and those expectations start to slid. Then *poof* one model has a snizzlefest, majority go OTS and one is a cutter, chaos. A minor model brings something back at day 4, then a major shows promise, we buy in again. Day two we have cold/dry air as there isn't even a storm anymore. I think the best thing (and what I have decided to do) is watch but don't buy in until day 4 at max, and then only if half the models have SOMETHING showing that appears to have a bit of consistency.

I don't understand the NAM just pasting northern Middle and S Kentucky, then a hole just develops over me and @Kentucky. Someone in another forum mentioned that the precip holes were a known NAM mistake. I hope that's correct. Of course the NAM is on an island anyway with the system so who knows what will happen.

We will appreciate it that much more when the next good stretch of model wins return as good winters turn great. Just have to MC Hammer pray it comes back in our lifetimes…

00Z NAM looks a little warmer across NC than the 18Z

I would wake up and a thread went from page 14 to 47 overnight. That’s when you knew you had a good 0z cycle. Now, I go to bed with things looking hopeful (like last night) only to open my phone’s weather app upon waking up to see a partly cloudy icon on the day of the supposed storm.

Just got my first look at models since the 06 run. This winter blows. lol