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Doesn't really change anything using 1991-2020.

Party at the strait of hormuz.

Fossil Fuel Fridays! LFG

You'll door for sure.

we continue to be in the epicenter of these heat domes when they move east - a bit concerning lol.

A fixed, even (0.5C) scale shows our “cooler” area a little better.

We all know the earth is warming. No shit. Point being since 1995 combined with ocean its slower than what you posted I can manipulate data too Tip. Why the random 1950 to 2020? Let's be real you were looking for maximum effect in your post. I am one of the few who actually read your soliloquy daily, as you noted to Wiz earlier. Its not the first time you post random maps with no explanation

Im sure its random. After all, enso is just one piece of the puzzle. But the 1890-1957 timeframe still had plenty of up and down winters.

Interesting...coming off of the snowy 2010s where Detroit averaged 49.4" (snowiest decade on record), the 2020s so far averaged 37.8". This is very close to the 1950s 37.4".

In other words there is still time for things to change in one direction or the other...

Aside from the fact, the critique is misplaced. We in the Met and Climate community, who are not assholes and/or just fucking morons, already are aware that the oceans have absorbed 90+% of the warming that began actually since the Industrial Revolution. The oceans are intrinsic as a heat sink and modulator. Therefore, representing these warming(cooling ) graphics, respectively, already has that consideration embedded geo-physically.

They do. But the purpose of that was the atmosphere. You're extension of which does not invalidate it -

That used to happen every spring at my last house, I guess that's the price for living near woods.

The one thing to keep in mind with using ocean temps (especially present or very recently) are the changes ongoing within the PDO domain, AMO, and of course ENSO region. But alot of studies and data have shown SSTs have increased over the years (hence the development of the RONI to incorporate this signal). It is also very likely that we are now headed towards the negative phase of the AMO so naturally we *should* begin seeing the Atlantic cool.

Yeah, that’s what I have. I find it amazing that there were none for the 68 winters between 1888-9 and 1957-8. I wonder whether or not this is random, especially considering there were 7 over the subsequent 68 winters 1957-8 through 2024-5!

Flight home Sunday from DFW looking very doubtable as I look at SPC data.

Ocean temps don't matter I guess.

Ssts are 07 to 16 earth temps are 95 to 2025

Because sst datasets start in 2002 . Saying how much the earth warmed should include the ocean

it's ok, i still believe the flyers are going to make the playoffs this year...

That would be nice tho... So far we are spits and starts of green up around this N. Middlezex Co region. Lawns have some patches. The forsythia and lilac buds are swollen. Some of the random shrubbery have green-ish tints to the still barren stems. All large species trees are in nuclear hibernation - not buying it... We need the nights to stop with this < 35 bullshit. Just give us 40 for fuck sake. You know? And make it stick. 40 to 52 with highs 60 to 70+ with this solar should finally tune up the lawn mowers.

Last cold pisser for a while

Those stations I posted about from PEMN have soil moisture and temperature at 3 depths Plant Available Water. 10\text{cm}: Moisture for your Lawn. (Currently in a deficit/drying phase). 20\text{cm}: Moisture for your Shrubs and Garden. (Currently stable, near baseline). 50\text{cm}: Moisture for your Trees. (Currently very healthy and high). Watch moisture after it rains and during dry spells. They signal everything The rain past Sunday never even with dent on the deeper sensors. The upper sensor we already are below where we were on Sunday. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

hehhhhh I would encourage using larger hemispheric basis for determining back door potential in this case. I realize the modeling consensus - for now - is putting a Euro like solution as an outlier, but I really argue that a Euro like solution has a ton of support from both that larger synoptic perspective, but also in in the season trend. We've been dealing with a PV anomaly of varying strength.... averaging near 100 or 90 W by 60 N, for months. In all models, Euro combined, that still there out to 300+ hrs. That has been at times mirrored across the conterminous by warm heights S of ~40N. Larger gradient results. The flow between physically/necessarily faster than normal at mid and upper levels. Moving a stream of air faster than normal from Lake Superior -ish to the Maritime of Canada, is a very BD prone mean. That why we've seen a buck shot of BD's ... so it seems. I can't say this for sure, but it "seems" to me that we are above normal incidences therein, relative to date. I don't know if there is any climatology for numbers of BD, per date. So this is largely conjecture on my part. Be whatever that may be, I just base it on anecdotal accounting having suffered the vicissitudes of New England springs for that past 45 years of my life jesus. Anyway, being a bit flowering with rhetoric here but I think there's enough precedence both in spring climo, seasonal trend in play, and synoptic observable construct at large scales, not to be overly confident next week.

This is a warmer version of the 1950s and 1980s, though hemispherically speaking, it's more akin to the 1950s...so instead of 19.9" or 19.7, NYC has averaged 18.2 this decade. o