All Activity

Yep huge change

Naw I'm snow starved. Lets get buried from Dec to March.

March not a winter month

12z Euro op brings the cold in towards the end of the month.. hope the EPS follows

Very changeable weather here today..sun then a few minutes later wind driven rain and some pingers mixed in. Then sun again. Then back to the wind and rain showers again. Each time the temp drops some more.

I'm inching towards that mode lol. Give me a month and then I'll be ready, though I'm actually going to be on the west side for a couple weeks from late Dec to early Jan, so I fully expect a nor'easter during that time.

Yes exactly. He keeps pushing the BS rhetoric. That forecast he posted is pretty close to where he should be for mid November. Guy lives on south coast of CT, and acts like it’s Florida. When you live there, it’s a different world from the inland areas…takes longer to frost and freeze there most times. Yet he makes it seem like it’s some weird phenomenon lmao. Such BS.

I'm game with a few hours of TV Snow.

Why would you not want snow? There’s nothing to do outside with leaves done . You’ve lost half a winter month by then . Short enough already

we're so cooked

Followup: here’s the average temp. anomaly of all Decs, Jans, and Febs for -ENSO winters since 1983-4 with a -PNA in Dec: Dec (all had -PNA with avg. -0.99): slightly warmer than normal E US (most pronounced SE) and very cold N Plains/Rockies: Jan (all had +PNA with avg. +0.76): slightly colder than Dec Chicago S and E but Plains not as cold: Feb (all 11 PNAs dropped back down with Feb avg. PNA of -0.19): other than SE/TX, this is easily the warmest of 3 months averaged out in the E 2/3 of US with warmest SC to NE:

Took me 3 hours to go from river head to Commack. The LIE was a total disaster. It’s normally a 35 min ride

We still have enough cold air. We may lose a few inches on changeover events, however offset that with more intense storms with higher moisture. In theory, IF the SE Ridge is truly more powerful, less suppressed events. I don't think we will average less snow than 1970 through 1999, and if we do it will be due to randomness.

Much of this week is actually even a bit below average, except probably towards the end of the week ahead of the next system.

Islip is like 5 miles from the water. West Hampton is much closer to the water and is the best radiator on the island

Looks like it's leftover scraps from the healthy vort in the Desert SW. Could be onto something.

Bro..enough with your BS. That’s where you should be. You’re losing all credibility with your nonsense. More frosts than can count, and a few hard and killing freezes here. GWDLT!

Central part had 10 inches of snow between two systems in March.

It’s breezy out there!

I have to finish reading your outlook Ray (I've gotten through your MJO analysis) but I don't think it can be stated enough how phenomenal of a writer you are, your wealth of knowledge, and how easily you're able to explain things.

This wind is nuts. Was going to take a little break from class work and clean the gutters but I don't think I'll be going on a ladder in this

Talk to me when the EPS shows that

Just sitting back, smiling

Don't look now, but the NAMs want to make it snow Tuesday late afternoon and evening along Mason-Dixon.

Obviously all the details TBD, but it seems like every operational run the last couple days has some big Arctic outbreak happening or on the way Thanksgiving weekend. Out west and Plains favored, but plausible some cold gets to us behind a rainy cutter.