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00z GFS is the best case scenario. 8"-12" along I-95, 12"-16" immediate western suburbs. 16"+ west of US 15.

I take my kid to the Luigi Mangione Memorial McDonalds in Toontown every time we're there after the trampoline park or arcade. I'll consider a statue of where he was sitting similar to the Ronald McDonald statue in front of the old Playplaces victory enough lol.

Some here are complaining about the NWS. But most normies I know get their info from stuff like this.

To an extent. But not really. Models are a tool. If you have an understanding of atmospheric physics, your local climatology and what each model has an affinity for then they can be useful, sometimes very. Pattern recognition is also part of it. At the end of the day, models paint pretty maps, buts it the meteorologists/hobbiests job to make heads or tails of it. And like models each one has their own set of bias. But, at the end of the day, weather prediction is quite complicated and, honestly, downright frustrating at times.

Umm, has anyone seen Franklin?

Crazy cold Monday night: -8 F at 7 AM Tuesday morning in Hickory according to the 00Z GFS.

Lol. Tell the truth, you were always skeptical of the type of snow patterns that can happen up here, weren’t you?

It's salvageable because we only need models to be off by like 2C to get us back to a foot. Lot easier to get a 2C error than a .5 QPF error.

Kuch is a tad lower than HH , but we'd all still sign as depicted. taint line at 10pm sunday night cuts Lanco in 1/2, but thermals crash after and save the day. Trend is a tad warmer, but not unreasonable.

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1BXdxgyNfd/?mibextid=wwXIfr Brad P’s thoughts by location.

GFS has hardly budged. Either awfully hard or going to pull a massive W.

Updated d

GFS gets criticized a lot, but where it is bad is in midrange. Within 3 days it is good. With just about every model showing similar things, I think it is more right.

GFS ingested the Baja Recon data. Instead of waiting an hour, it became impatient after about 15 minutes and ingested MORE Baja Recon Data. Amateur hour.

Isn’t it common for these big storms for sleet to change back to snow ?

I’ll take my weather app for the win.

Lock her in!!

AiGFS was colder than 18z at least at 700, fwiw

Intense and quick hitter would be fine.

Yea these models are getting much much wetter. We are about to get smacked real good. Better get that ice melt!

I have seen so many snow events that were suppose to transition to rain/mix but temps just don't rise like modeled... Shallow cold is hard to model

GFS is just as good for RVA as last run. Even a little better.

Kuchie crush job

It sure did, as expected with it sitting on its own.

Bufkit