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  2. I just can't confidently believe in the Euro totals in GA and upstate with the NAM/RRFS continuing to be so dry.
  3. HRRR and NAM both give me 2”+ in NE GA and thats at 10:1. Ratios will be around 20:1 over here based off our latest NWS briefing that just got done. Any totals you fan multiply by 1.5-2 because ratios of 15:1 to 20:1. Sitting pretty over here [emoji3587] .
  4. It’s insane to me we’re talking about a storm with coastal influence and possible 20:1 ratios. To say that’s rare would be a massive understatement
  5. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1A3p99WK5K/?mibextid=wwXIfr Lastest from Brad P!
  6. I don't know. Normally, one doesn't see such a pattern. More may have been involved.
  7. Why not just WSW from noon to midnight in that county area for potential of 6” or greater?
  8. The long range HRRR has snow ratios at 17 to 20 to one,it's gonna stack up.
  9. Yup def a beach storm kitty hawk up to you guys.. Congrats
  10. I wouldn't use the nam for precip at all at this range. It's going to move every run
  11. We cant have the ULL track as far north as the NAM and RFFS show or we will get downsloped plain and simple. Luckily the Euro, GFS (somewhat) and AI models have it going in a better spot for us.
  12. Guess we'll just call this the storm that could have been. I for sure thought this was going to come up the coast days ago but totally wrong on that. dendrites post this morning illustrated why it wasn't happening and those signals with trough, dPVA, and dynamics were there the whole time to tell the story.
  13. What's interesting to me about RAH's last product is that the dry slot is not apparent on the 90% low end, but does seem evident on the 10% high end. As if we're either getting a broad shield or getting bombed with comparative dry slots. (IANAM, so what do I know?)
  14. Maybe they just hadn’t updated it yet .
  15. is it me, or are isopleth's overlapping here lol This is the ugliest looking thing I think I have ever seen *edit - Ok, I see it now, the 531 perfectly matches the NJ coastline and the "overlap" is just perfectly timed to when they pinch-off from one another
  16. Here’s my Accuweather forecast. (Yeah I know lol) but it’s nice to see my % isn’t that far apart. .
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