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I wonder if the extreme shallowness of this airmass back door) should have been a flag that the NAM was overstating the impact too much. The airmasses with backdoors are generally shallow but this one seems even more so than your usual. There is no secret that this time of year (and 99% of the time) you toss the NAM temperatures. But when you have situations like CAD or BDCF potential...well the NAM deserves alot of weight. But the low-level airmass in place is quite unseasonably warm and I guess even for early March, we have enough solar heating and mixing to either halt the BDCF or weaken it. If you follow MSLP evolution on SPC mesoanalysis you can clearly see either the boundary weakening or even kind of retreating. Despite the stronger heating though, we're clearly having trouble mixing so there is definitely something going on within the BL.
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East wind off the water, 59 F here. Enjoy it, inland guys.
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Ill send pictures.
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I was bustin balls… MVP of the fraud 5, lol
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Man that ran out of steam quickly.
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Best weather in SNE right here today…67 and full sun. I don’t think wrll be as warm as yesterday, but 70 plus is certain. We take.
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Folks, I just saw 86.5 on my thermometer at 12:07PM EDT!! It has since fallen back to a cold 86.1 lol.
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It is 64 here now!!!
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Quickly to 75 here now - outside shot of 80
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Mid 50s here. Solid AN day
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I happened to check the high temps for March and this is a bit like the mighty 1979; which Feb was insanely cold (departure -11.1) and snowy (the Washington Birthday storm...PD1), then very warm. Here's the high temp leaders: Of course, we still have half of March left to beat that 85, I suppose.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
May as well post the FV-3 while you're at it. -
12z today still has it. 86 to wet snow
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Yeah, it's 46 here with nearly full sun this hour even up here in the deeper cool air; water is again running out of the pack's lining the roads so melt continues.
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So sorry. My 14-year-old mix same thing; sudden illness and he was gone. Never easy. Cherish the memories. It's not forever even if it feels like it now. In my prayers.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Already starting to see a light coating of pollen on the car. Spring's version of the "car topper". -
I'll tell ya ...having the sun now winning over the diminishing cloud coverage is helping to offset that rude intrusion of colder air. Ironically, it cloudier where the cold is deeper up N, and shittier sky where it's SW of this boundary. Weird to have it clear where the boundary itself, is It's 45 here... not "nice" per se, but relative to what it could be on March 10 that is nice. Not ungrateful. Plus, the wind behind this boundary isn't appreciably gusting and so forth, so there's some nape quality remaining. It does seem that the momentum of the front is slowed.
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GFS got to get one more epic fail in before the end of the season.
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Hrrr now takes the convection further north like the nam is showing
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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GFS!
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I need 1”. Hopefully tomorrow night
