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I'd kill for 2016-2017 right now...featured about normal snowfall and I haven't seem that since 2017-2018.

16-17 had a very sharp cutoff right around PHL, which had 15 inches of snow that year (which was even below the 18-19 total). DC and Baltimore had about 3 inches of snow the entire winter, which puts it as one of the Top 10 least snowiest winters for those cities. I personally don't want that type of season again. The next time, the cutoff may be further north, and it may make 01-02/11-12 look like child's play.

The 5 pm advisory shifts the track of Chantal 40 miles west at Raleigh by Monday. Possible Va/DC impact slightly increases.

There are a couple of posters in this thread that are passive aggressively hunting that very response.

Okay I get your point. It’s never going to snow again.

I think it’s a great outfit. The most important thing in life is to have fun.

This dataset stands on its own. You can spin it, cherry pick "micro-areas", argue about its veracity or deny it exits. But in the real physical world- this dataset is corraborated by actual events and changes that one can visit, see and touch...that only this trend can explain. Lets continue to keep a macro view, shall we?

Screw that, I wanna chill on the Cape in dry weather.

Hopefully we stay cloudy and showery later this week from this

unbelievable 14"+ of rain in 24 hours in central texas, with some areas seeing 19" over 3days

I just gave a reason why it didn't snow despite a +PNA and -WPO....the PNA ridge was too far west. How am I placing too much stock in the teleconnections??? You are the one that just said it didn't snow despite a -WPO period last season.... I would argue that the subtropical ridge won't remain so robust should the WPO flip negative....we argee the west Pacific warmth is largely responsible for that ridge, which is synonymous with a +WPO. This is largely why the past -PNA\-NAO intervals worked out better.....they were -WPO.

It’s been a wild year and expensive year. It happened almost exactly a year ago. He was in the hospital for a week and before he came home we had to drive an hour each day to learn how to express his bladder. We really struggled with it so we had to hire someone to come over the first week he came home to help us. The first two months my girlfriend and I alternated sleeping in the living room with him since he can’t get into the bed anymore. He’s come along way, but unfortunately won’t ever get 100% but we do what we can to make him happy

Barn update. Should be done by summer's end. I recommend checking for paper wasp nests before sticking your hands up underneath trim, especially when you are at the very end of a 32' extension ladder. Only the second time I've ever been stung, and I can confirm that it still hurts like a m'fer.

WE blew some off last night at my friends but there was no debris in anyone's yard other than his which we cleaned up. Treehouse put on quite a display of fireworks last night. Every time we thought it was the finale they kept on going.

You're a mensch to take care of your dog after all that.

House across from my next door neighbor. There wasn’t a lot, but I’m sure the radius around him from there to here is a mess. When my next door neighbor on the other side set them off in 2020 I picked up about 100pcs of various debris over 3hrs on my property on the lawn and woods.

Great Lakes cutters, I-95 to I84 huggers, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks have been dominant since the 2018-2019 winter. This is what we have had with the much stronger Pacific Jet. With the Great Lakes Cutter track the fast Pacific flow carves out a trough out West and pumps the Southeast Ridge with an I-95 rainstorm. The hugger track has wave spacing issues due to too many short waves in the fast Pacific flow. So we get the brief light to sometimes moderate snows changing to rain. Then there is the suppressed Southern Stream low due to the fast Pacific flow having a kicker trough coming into the West Coast. This doesn’t allow the Gulf low like the one last winter which gave record snows to the Gulf Coast to turn the corner and come up the coast. Then sometimes the lows come far enough north for DC to get snows but not areas further north. So the fast Pacific flow effectively turns off the benchmark snowstorm track. I hope we can see at least a small relaxation of this pattern in the coming years even if we still stay warm. Would take a warm and snowy La Niña winter like 16-17 and a weaker Pacific Jet in a second if I could get it. Wouldn’t mind a 60° day before of after some of the blizzards that season. Now we just get the 60° days without the great snows.

Another black locust?

Who's fireworks debris ended up in your yard?

That's what I'm worried about..models and mets have been all over the map this year...days that are forecasted less seem to ovrrperform and vice versa

models don't have all that much-maybe .50 to 1.00. It will come down to how it interacts with an incoming cold front. But seems like in and out-not sure where this days and days of rain is coming from. -

So what's the deal with Chantals waste..is this a serious threat for heavy rain..surprised this board is crickets

Is the air quality alerts because of all the fire works smoke?

since when are temps taken at airports like newark and laguardia really accurate compared to central park..

Down near Baltimore and DC it was a snowy January. I had snow on the ground pretty much the whole month. They had a 8-10" storm further south than I think another 6" storm.. it snowed like 15 days through the end of January.. not a horrible Winter. I understand further north it was drier, but sometimes early in the Winter the STJ is further south.