All Activity

here we go! getting a little windy, still a few hours to go.

72

72°

80 at home today

Any Tor threat with this is if a surface low can spin up with a strong enough W/NW flow (or super cell outflows, unlikely but non zero). Hell (hehe) the current surface low looks more like a strung out wave. Theres a stout SW around 700mb racing east out of Kansas/Nebraska with a surface reflection but even with it there's no backing flow yet. SPC addresses this in their latest write up. Backside elevated hailers with this moist HOT lol, surface air being flat out jammed upwards into the very cold air aloft by the strong CAA a bigger deal. Might see hail once every couple years where I live, seen it twice in a little more than a week. Last one (similar to this setup) covered the ground completely. Me know likey hail

Overcast but truck reading 70…feels fabulous.

77 here. 50 along the waterfront

Seems they're fighting seasonal change, huh I've seen something like this every spring around this time frankly going back years. It would be an interesting discussion to have with the modelers at NCEP...but it seems as though their physics are not integrating for steadily increasing heat input into the system. They just take whatever they see in the initialization, and then out in time they end up too cold So by the time we get to mid April the sun is like mid August. Hot as hell on sunny days. Sometime between now and 2.5 weeks .. I mean give it up. Only once or twice do I recall an air mass cold enough to offset that, way back prior to 2000 ... and these patterns in the current model depictions ain't it.

Thanks Dendrite. Ass here now with overcast.

That is amazing! Good for him.

Good way to start the season! My son had one last summer. Only 16 yrs old too.

A guy my son is playing with got a hole in 1.

76 now

77 push push

77! perfect!

Idk what's going to come of next winter, but this Stormsurf link has a lot of info and I've posted it before. Watching it the past 10-14 days, I'm not seeing off the Cfs links the things that were showing up back in 23/24. First of all, the SSTA graphs are starting to show a much weaker Nino. Likewise, as Chuck's mentioned, the SOI ain't cooperating. But what I find more compelling is the 3 month MJO forecast. The westerly wind anomalies represented by the yellow/red, seem to be stuck west of the dateline except for a brief intrusion east mid/late April-mid May. Moreover, there remains pockets of blue (easterly wind anomalies) scattered east of the dateline through the end of the forecast period in late June. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html I know it's early, but if that forecast doesn’t start showing some substantial changes, strong or super Niño forecasts look like a tough sell.

75 in Dumont, Nj

It's funny, I was actually thinking about including your name in the post because, I realized we've been on the same level atleat in the terms of this topic. But then I figured I better not speak for @Itstrainingtime. There has been days i've gotten up and to check, and it's been scaled back.But it's very few and far between and it's generally done in the early morning update.

Don't knock it till you try it. nah, -10F and sunny (no wind) is the best.

69 here

That western heater is just bananas. Hottest March temperatures in Salt Lake City… it’s like the whole past week is up there. The ski areas getting all sorts of weird wet avalanches they’ve never seen before.

68 here

Ahh cubs opener fly over Loud af

75 now

Just got buzzed by something fast and loud, very strange