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I wish I felt as confident here. Just got some January 2022 PTSD

Rap is the last standing bomb for most at this point. This is thru Monday 12z with more to come.

There will be an ultimate loser out of this on the western edge, but it's tough to say where. The norlun trough is going to be really important for you guys to hit max potential. I'm semi-bullish for areas of NE MD down along and east of I-97. I'm bullish af for areas east of Cambridge latitude. Delaware is the place to be for our sub-forum.

@40/70 Benchmark with 1.6 on the SREF... bet he is going to wake up the kids and his wife from how giddy in excitement he is going to be Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

I’m toying with the idea but also don’t want to be trapped. Idk. Might just have to suck it up

Yeah can’t rule out some 30-burgers. Someone gets stuck under a death band will likely see it.

10-12:1 Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Agreed. It’s gonna snow either way

West but way south

What kind of ratios are we getting with this? Is it a foot of cement or some fluff factor with it?

I did a morning update telegraphing that the numbers were coming up, and that should suffice for now. Won’t be conservative on the final, I think. Maybe 16-24” lollipops of 30… But we got smoked up here in Barrow last night and I have a ton of driveway clearing to do and my wife is all over me about paying more attention to the weather than her. So evening final call for me.

I stepped away from everything Tell tombo I said hello

That ain't breaking my heart either.Just get it west, I ain't choosy.

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2-29 inches. What a spread lmao

Given posts of how heavy the snow was, i was happy to discover it was pretty normal here.

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I think I’m in a good spot right at route in Cambridge, currently in the Alewife area. Seems 14-18 is doable .

What I’m trying to figure out is how intense bands will be at the outer edges, and where subsidence might also play with the influence of a low that intense bombing off the coast. having lobes of intense s/w energy in the flow should help make the precip field fairly expansive regardless.

No more Philly discord?! NAM usually follows the NMB member so expect the 12z NAM to be pretty tucked imo

Ah pulling out the SREFS I see. god speed.

Personally I'm good with the NWS going with the "average" model camp (8-12" NW of 95, 12-16" near/along 95 and 16-20" for the coast) from a public safety/trust perspective, since going with the low end model average and having something near the high end verify would have people not quite ready for an historic storm. They can easily bump down from the average camp if things trend that way before the storm starts and easily bump up towards something historic (the 10% high case) if the low end models bump up significantly. I am a bit surprised their 10% low end case is so low - that implies they still think there's a worst credible case for the system to go back to the Euro 2 days ago. That would kind of suck.

SREF continues to get more bullish. Crazy

I'm just stoked I don't have to sniff taint on this one!

This makes sense to me. We will see! Hopefully!