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I guess there was dime sized hail in Sterling MA earlier today
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
We badly need some rain here. Mammoth may get absolutely hammered from Saturday to Saturday. That seems to signal better things(precip wise) when they get it going. Looks like we might need a snow cam watch posted for Mammoth.- 164 replies
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Man I really thought we'd go 2 straight days without wind.. What was I thinking...:/
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- april showers bring may..
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down to 49 here really dropped once the winds picked up
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Or a day later. Freeze watch in effect for tomorrow night here. Forecast low of 29 here tonight and 31 tomorrow night/Thursday morning.
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Strong CAA currently. Gusting to 38 at JFK and 39 at EWR. Should be pretty uniform low temps near the coast .
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- april showers bring may..
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Nothing new...
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I've noticed, and i've been pulling for you. It's great you're seeing a doctor. I have no idea what's wrong with you, but I can tell you that depression and anxiety go hand in hand. Its the anxiety that can have profound and completely unexpected effects both mentally and physically. I only say this because I'm sure you have a lot of worry about what the f*** is going on which is only compounding what is going on . You know, man, if you ever feel helpless and trapped i'm only a pm away. -
What the kid do now?!
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Central PA Banter (Banter Less?) Thread
Voyager replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Bumping this thread to ask if anyone on the forum is at all interested in steam trains. If so, I'll post some really cool information! - Today
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It also is peaking earlier than normal, so may be coming down towards moderate by Winter. Hard to say
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Looks like the last day of winter is actually tomorrow...finally.
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Violence in Weymouth earlier
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2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Latest SSTA in 3.4 is +.2C as of 4/1. Gotta have a lot of things go right for those +2C tri-monthlies, though there is plenty of time if they do. In the meantime, the trades are progged to hold east of the dateline through the 15th-17th of the month. -
I'm good with that.
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Sleet and a house shaking rumble, wtf!
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In Wake County you need a miracle no matter the setup.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
47F Pumped about falling below freezing tonight. Not many, if any, left. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Headed to Texas Thursday. Weather looks decent there - 60 lows, 80 high. Sunday might be a washout though. -
I’ll be lucky to hit 40° after a low near 20° and wetbulbs will be below freezing. There may be some open spots, but I think some will survive.
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What are you forecasting to happen in 6 months to Yanks?
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I know I'm a little early on this, but since it's quiet for the time being and winter is all but finished, I thought I'd look forward to next winter a tad. With the predicted El Nino currently in transition, let's peek at Pittsburgh's recent history when it comes to such an ENSO environment. I've been plotting recent history on this only (since 1990) because I'm just not sure how valuable older data is, even though it shrinks my sample size. Generally speaking, we do the "worst" re: snowfall in El Nino-based winters as opposed to the other two possibilities (La Nina or Neutral). Average snowfall for this period is 42.5" over the entire term (1990-2026). 10 Neutral Phase winters, 5 being above average and 5 being below. Max = 76.8" (1993-94) // Min = 17.2" (1990-91). Mean is 44.75" (Highest) - 50% chance of above average snowfall 11 El Nino Phase winters, 4 being above average and 7 being below. Max = 77.4" (2009-10) // Min = 16.3" (2023-24). Mean is 39.65" (Lowest) - 36% chance of above average snowfall 16 La Nina Phase winters, 6 being above average and 10 being below. Max = 74.5" (1995-96) // Min = 17.6" (2022-23). Mean is 42.72" (Middle) - 38% chance of above average snowfall Again, those percentages are based on small samples so not hugely important, but you can see the odds of better-than-average are generally even across El Nino and La Nina. Difference in snowfall averages is, perhaps, more relevant, with El Nino winters offering the lowest average but highest maximum and widest range. The strength of the ENSO doesn't necessarily seem to matter independently. For example, our El Nino high snowfall was coupled with a 1.6 anomaly, while the lowest snowfall was a 1.9 max, both "strong" El Ninos. No different with the La Nina (-1.0 anomaly high snowfall, -0.8 anomaly low snowfall). This is a much smaller sample, but if the >+2.0 anomalies that are predicted do occur, we have two examples since 1990 and both are poor snowfall winters. 1997-98 - 24.2" (2.3) 2015-16 - 29.6" (2.6) I don't know if that will mean much as it's only two years worth of data, but it's something to consider if a "super" El Nino comes to fruition, at least in terms of how to set expectations. I'll revisit some of these numbers come the onset of next winter, once we know exactly what kind of ENSO type and strength we're dealing with, but at least there's some light reading for anyone here in the quiet of spring.
