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Well, most of NNJ/CNJ (along/N of 78)/SENY just got some freezing rain over the last couple of hours, so those advisories were well placed. Everything here is coated with a thin glaze of ice, although salted paved surfaces are fine, but unsalted ones are a bit slick and probably worse along/N of 78 where more freezing rain fell. Temps don't go above 32F for most until 7-9 am, so be careful if you're an early riser.

And we back

It was coming down good when I went to bed but we only have a quarter to perhaps a half inch at most

And very snowy

Pretty wet

Not as bad as you think

If the Euro and Canadian show a similar snowy solution at 12Z - this snowstorm potential is real IMO since it would be only a few days away - hard to believe the current GFS would lead the way on this. The northern stream relaxing a little is key to prevent suppression. Also this time of the year you can get a snowstorm around here with marginal cold enough air and with the water temps in the lower to some mid 30's that helps also.......

Nice event from N CT, N RI through Taunton and north looks like 1-4 based on totals im seeing. If anyone has any reports anywhere in SNE lmk, ill do a map today, thanks!

Damn about 3” here.

How did the AIFS look?

I love being the lead overnight meteorologist when no is awake or believes lol Anyway this a a decent shift Till 6z

C

KBOS event tonight 1.6” season 41.1” Feels good to be back

Pretty dramatic increase in precip on eps

Plow Guy needs to get plowing STAT! The snow is rapidly getting deeper as heavy snow continues apace and more brobdingnagian elements of deep Pacific moisture continue blowing right up against the Sierran Cordillera! It's a massive conveyor belt coming up from the Pacific Ocean right up thru the Channel Islands and on into the Sierras then annihilating Mammoth Resort! That's a trajectory for much more snow than expected! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam EDIT: I just saw the plow. Boy if they don't get that snow plowed, it will just keep right on piling up. Snowstorms mean serious bisnass in the Sierra.

This is gonna be an interesting test for them.

Ya know... If you look at the last three runs of the Euro ( 12z, 18z, and now ) it has improved each time. So there's that.

Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.

Ai models probably don’t have the computing to forecast precise phases

based on this i expect wxbell to be like a 2-4 mean, which will still be an improvement

Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.

CMC looks good and the Euro is a monster with phasing and dynamic cooling ftw (along with EPS and AIFS-EPS and the AIFS jumped 100-150 miles north), but not the UK/GFS. I think we now have something legitimate to track, at least, even if the setup is still pretty marginal for snow in these parts. Ya never know and it seems like it's been a long time since we had a marginal pattern/setup deliver a threaded needle for us.

I think this is pretty simple but very complex for models. If it phases properly we have a good chance for white paste rain

I know, we just need to see some half-way consistency between cycles and not this back and forth ping pong. Also like to see AI get more bullish. But yeah, trends were clear at 00Z for the most part. Well see what happens in 12 hours. The runs give us the runs

Eps