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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yeah, if there are breaks in shear in the homebrew region (a big if), homebrew is likely the best chance at tropical genesis. -
I was about ten degrees warmer than you at that time yesterday, and got up to around 55 once the sun broke out yesterday afternoon. Impressive nonetheless. Cold cold late May day.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I would basically completely write off the mdr this season. Maybe something like 72 with potential for stronger systems closer the CONUS https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1972_Atlantic_hurricane_season#/media/File%3A1972_Atlantic_hurricane_season_summary_map.png . -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ive noticed that too...and im certainly NOT one of them lol. I love cold. But it goes without saying that "cold" and "mild" are extremely subjective terms. Cold in Detroit is different than cold in NYC, to say nothing of the difference between NYC and where you live, and so on. A mild winter here will still be cold enough to snow much of the time. This is why as always storm track/pattern is more important than just temps. I hear the east coast guys talk of their worst winters where they can count on on one hand the number of times it snowed. Its a lock that its going to snow here dozens of times...the key is will there be worthwhile storms? Will it be abnormally dry? And so on. - Today
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May 31 1934: Extreme heat impacts the Twin Cities, with highs of 107 in St. Paul and 106 in Minneapolis. Rush City reached 110. Numerous cases of heat ailments affect people and livestock. 1932: A heat wave hits southern Minnesota, with highs of 108 at Campbell, Fairmont, Faribault, and New Ulm. ^Note: Very odd wx for the time^ For Sunday, May 31, 2026 1889 - The Johnstown disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects and people. 2100 persons perished in the flood. (David Ludlum) 1941 - Thunderstorms deluged Burlington KS with 12.59 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Severe thunderstorms spawned forty-one tornadoes across the Lower Great Lakes Region and southeastern Ontario which killed 74 persons. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in New England produced wind gusts up to 90 mph at Worcester, MA, and Northboro, MA, and hail an inch and a half in diameter at Williston, VT. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Portland, ME, was a record for the month of May. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Hot and humid weather prevailed in the eastern U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Cape Hatteras, NC, reported their first ninety degree day in May in 115 years of records. "Dust buster" thunderstorms in northwest Texas drenched Amarillo with more than three inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather and torrential rains in northern Indiana, northern Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Saint John IND was drenched with four inches of rain in two hours, and Woodland MI was deluged with two inches in twenty minutes. Pittsburgh PA reported a record 6.55 inches of rain for the month of May, with measurable rain reported on twenty-five days during the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to southeastern Louisiana. The thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, including thirteen in northwest Texas. One tornado hit the town of Spearman, TX, causing more than a million dollars damage, and seven other tornadoes were reported within twenty-five miles of Spearman. Thunderstorms over northwest Texas also produced baseball size hail at Monahans, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Paducah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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Got down to 44 here this morning. Likely our coolest morning until the fall.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
So nice to consistently see this as we hit JJA now. Gone are the BN anomolies. Canada is furnaced so summer can finally settle in for good -
That reminds me, my grandfather started his in a grow room as well in the basement of their home. It was a room off to the side of the boiler room, so it stayed warm in there. Florescent lights hanging low over the flats. My grandparents were living in E Duluth (Lester Park) at that time (70's). They had a large lawn, so plenty of room to have a big garden. Mid 30's-40's across NE MN this morning. Near critical fire wx today with very low humidity inland. Makes for a larger spread in the diurnal range.
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Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
There’s not a great solution but I think the best one and one that makes the most sense is to give it all to BOX. But they would need to commit to actually spending time forecasting and caring about it . Theres enough smart people in that office that can work to understand the different climates . Going from hills to valleys to coasts . SW CT is basically NYC climate . They could do it the best out of the 3. Someone in ALB forecasting LES for the Dacks isn’t gonna have time to worry about rain and 42 in Groton. -
Something has to be done. Having CT divided up amongst 3 forecast offices has been a long standing complaint amongst emergency managers, media, etc. I honestly don't know what the right answer is. If I was king for a day every state would have their own NWS forecast office.
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Gorgeous out in the quiet Corner[. Right around 70F. .
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Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Oh really? I’m not sure how well that would work either . So NYC centric . No way they’d understand the unique micro climates around here . BOX nowadays just doesn’t seem to care about CT. It seemed like a no brainer to have the wind advisories for their whole forecast region with 46-50mph modeled . With leaves on trees that’s enough for the tree damage the state had -
hi all hope you're enjoying your Sunday. Looks beautiful out! Enjoy
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Gonna be hard to get some boomer hailers this PM with this May Gray Cirrus. Poop.
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Yeah 2008. I have a feeling that in the next 5 or 10 years Upton will be forecasting for all of CT. I think it's being talked about as a possibility.
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Anomalous Late Spring storm May 30 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Except that one time at band camp.. when you called out no icing for Tolland hills -
Was it as impressive as the 38.6 at 1:30 PM yesterday?
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I literally forgot that CT was in the CWA when I was down there.
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They never listen. You can show them charts until you're blue in the face. At least you tried to tell 'em
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Started most of my veggie plants back in early April inside where I have a small grow room. There's something very satisfying about watching a plant sprout and grow when there's still 4' of snow otg. Annual flowers and a few other things I purchase from a greenhouse in Negaunee where I work each summer. Of course, I planted most everything yesterday when the forecasted low for last night was 44, but it was one of those sneaky cold nights I worry about, with an actual low of 37 here. Thankfully I covered everything with a frost cloth to be safe. Two more night of lows in the mid 40's then the nights begin to slowly warm. Sun and mid 70's today. Have only had .75 inches of rain for the month. Pollen is thick on everything. Leaf out is about 60-70% on most trees w/ the exception of the oaks which always lag behind.
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Sampling of lowest mins across NJ this morning. Low of 43 here. So great to still be sleeping with the windows open. Back to a drier pattern again. Not much rain in sight next 7 to maybe 10 days. Thankfully no big heat either.
