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Let’s get 1-2” from the next 3 events.

There’s time but I’d like to see the Euro at least showing some kind of hit by tomorrow. Lots of potential and would make this winter one of the best.

I have heard so many times but it’s too warm only to have those people posting during the storm how much snow they are getting. The air the days before little warm but nothing wild and then cools the day leading in.

Jan 3 2022

Consult the chart

It goes down as one with average snowfall but impressive cold. Modoki Nino next year?

Yes, but as someone who has lived here long enough…it’s a caution flag.

Wolfie and snowcrazy preparing their posts now…get ready.

You have to remember that every met, aside from cyborg-Will, is human and also utilize defense mechanisms themselves

Jesus guys come on.

Honestly, the euro has been windshield wipering between no storm and storm. I don’t care about run to run shifts on op models at this lead time. Ensembles only until 84-96 hours

It's not. It's near the top for performance. I was mostly kidding above but we've seen the last 2 bigger storms miss to the S and E so it's possible but at day 5-6 anything's on the table

Interested in what the Euro AI ensembles look like compared to 6z.

It might be like 50 degrees prior, people act like it’s 90.

NYC winter

He actually is . He pretends he’s joking but a big part of him believes the Euro

you know where the door is Nibor

My post was completely objective. It got worse from 6z. If run to run shifts don’t matter, then what are we tracking? Also, I would put a lot of weight on the euro ai at this range. It lasered in pretty well at 7 days with the last system. That said, I never said I don’t think it’ll snow…just kinda weird to see all the digital snow hype at this lead time especially with the mild pattern leading in.

I still have full coverage in my front yard. Some areas still 4+ inches.

Everyone here agrees the 12z euro is right. Time to pack it up homie.

That stripe of like 0.75”+ QPF always seemed wild for the set up. The lower QPF seems to make sense. But part of me was looking forward to seeing what that looked like on radar.

Yeah I’m leaning low end advisory for the best stripe. Maybe someone lucks into 4-6” totals but I’d think those would be isolated if they happen at all.

It's a hell of a lot better than 0z - so it's figuring it out. It's been crap this year. It's smarter AI brother means much more these days. .

That’s it, weenie defense mechanism

bro euro is like the most horrible model