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Day 4 with a blanket of snow.

Latest HRRR doesn't get anyone above 32° - 34° degrees for a high temperature.

Very impressive. Do you think this will be the coldest outbreak of the 21st century in Florida?

NWS says 31. Guess your runnin hot

definitely looks that way, maybe some 60s before too long?

always a great combo

Very hurtful posts this morning

Yes, shaved my head for a couple of years...that isn't hair loss. I've done it periodically having been in the Corps.

also long as we have joe over at ORD slant sticking ever DAB- into a DAB+ we're golden

February 3 1989: Bitterly cold temperatures occur across Minnesota with lows in the 40-below-zero range in the north. 1947: A strong dust storm hits Crookston with winds near 50 mph. Visibility was reduced down to 300 feet. For Tuesday, February 3, 2026 1917 - Downtown Miami, FL, reported an all-time record low of 27 degrees. (David Ludlum) 1947 - The temperature at Tanacross, AK, plunged to a record 75 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Wintry weather was confined to freezing drizzle and light snow in the northeastern U.S., and light rain and snow in the western U.S. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Arctic air continued to invade the central U.S. The temperature at Midland TX plunged from a record high of 80 degrees to 37 degrees in just three hours. Morning lows in the higher elevations of Wyoming were as cold as 38 degrees below zero. Heavy snow blanketed southwestern Colorado, with 16 inches reported at Steamboat Springs. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A winter storm brought heavy snow and high winds to the western U.S. Up to three feet of snow blanketed the Sierra Nevada of California, and buried parts of northeastern Washington State under three feet of snow in five days. High winds across Washington State reached 75 mph, with gusts to 105 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Severe cold gripped the north central U.S. The morning low of 29 degrees below zero at Casper WY was a record for the month of February. Wisdom MT hit 53 degrees below zero. Missoula MT reported a wind chill reading of 85 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather over the central Gulf coast states during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in Alabama, including one which touched down north of Birmingham injuring fifteen people and causing nearly three million dollars damage. A tornado at Margaret injured eleven persons and caused a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Not you? Jesus just joking

split flows can be very active and if you look at tellies/longer lead signals, I'm not sure where the fairly slim part is coming from. -pna and MJO signals are a little troubling, but you just saw what a stout -ao/nao and favorable MJO got us, and they look to head back down after next weeks spike into + territory, so I'd say signs are mixed right now. IF one sees next weeks warmth and is writing off winter....oy vey. WAYY too early to cancel anything. Once a signal looks to be overwhelming in a bad way, then get your caution flags out.

Ok, that explains it. The original post made it seem you had a total loss of 2". 5" makes sense.

Raleigh will probably see token flakes and a glaze. I would suspect the decnt accumulations are most likely from Roxboro through Roanoke Rapids and EC through southeastern VA.

The 2020's might be what is skewing the means. There's more than just cc at work in those awful 2020's March's. There is also coincidence. Let's revisit this discussion in 5 years.

Hrrr+GFS = victory

The most impressive short term cold this winter in the CONUS has been the record breaking cold in Florida the last few days. This goes to my point a few days ago about the big temperature swings and smaller geographic footprint of the cold. So places like West Palm Beach with a very long period of record just tied their all-time warmest winter reading of 90° in late January before falling to their 6th coldest winter low of 30°. This is against the backdrop of that area and all the locations across the CONUS experiencing a much higher ratio of record highs to record lows. It makes the cold stand out more since it’s more of a novelty than the record warmth which usually dominates West Palm Beach was finally able to end their longest streak above 30° since 1989. Time Series Summary for West Palm Beach Area, FL (ThreadEx) - Dec through Feb Warmest Temperatures Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2025-2026 90 26 - 2022-2023 90 0 - 2009-2010 90 0 - 1948-1949 90 0 - 1941-1942 90 0 - 1927-1928 90 0 - 1917-1918 90 0 Time Series Summary for West Palm Beach Area, FL (ThreadEx) - Dec through Feb Coldest Temperatures Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1894-1895 24 0 2 1904-1905 26 0 3 1976-1977 27 0 4 1989-1990 28 0 - 1984-1985 28 0 - 1920-1921 28 5 - 1916-1917 28 0 - 1898-1899 28 0 5 1981-1982 29 0 - 1969-1970 29 0 - 1917-1918 29 0 6 2025-2026 30 26 - 1983-1984 30 0 - 1970-1971 30 0 - 1962-1963 30 0 - 1906-1907 30 0 Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 31 for West Palm Beach Area, FL (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Period of record: 1888-04-16 to 2026-02-02 1 13186 1989-12-26 through 2026-01-31 2 6787 1944-05-14 through 1962-12-12 3 3893 1929-09-29 through 1940-05-26 4 2584 1962-12-14 through 1970-01-09 5 2190 1971-01-21 through 1977-01-18 6 1796 1985-01-23 through 1989-12-23 7 1658 1899-02-15 through 1903-08-31 8 1413 1940-06-28 through 1944-05-10 9 1137 1977-01-21 through 1980-03-02 10 974 1889-07-01 through 1892-02-29

Thanks, Chris! 1. Indeed, it’s been such a warm DJ in the W 1/2! Thus, geographically as you showed, that makes it 7th warmest for the contiguous US going back 131 years. 2. But based strictly on population weighting or gas heating weighting, which are great measures of energy usage for heating, I’m sure you know it hasn’t been warm at all as it has been ~1F BN in the lower 48 thanks to the heavy pop. weighting of the E Midwest/Great Lakes to Mid-Atlantic/NE’s ~5BN easily outweighing the much more sparsely populated W 1/3 of the US’ ~6 AN. 3. Related to projected upcoming energy usage: yesterday’s natural gas price plunged an historic 25.7%, by far the most in one day since it started trading in 1990!! This was mainly due to the much warmer models in the E US yesterday going out ~3 weeks vs how they looked on Friday, the prior trading day. Here are the largest NG drops in one trading day since 1990: -25.7% 2/2/2026 -19.1% 3/18/2004 -17.5% 11/15/2018 -17.0% 6/30/2022 -16.7% 6/14/2022

I find this list hard to believe to be correct without any February 2015 dates listed on here.

Someone gets 4” and a couple streets over flurries lol

March is usually two distinct periods. The first two weeks in March in a typical winter you can usually expect to still have snow on the ground here, the last two weeks a different story. If you get it then it's usually not sticking around too long. Of course you do occasionally have months like March 2018 which you alluded to. I had snow on the ground virtually the entire month, but of course from March 2 to April 5 I also had 50 inches of snow, not exactly your typical March.

Chernobyl reference? If so that popped me. If not - it popped me anyway because I friggin loved that short series.

Great table. Perfectly illustrates March outside the hill country. 4 major snow events got obliterated within days in an exceptionally snowy March. I'm sure it was a lot of fun while the snow was falling. But the vibe is very different in March than it is in early February.