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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Crazy how we’ve got from non stop rain to absolutely no rain for 2+ weeks potentially. -
34 for the low
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Low of 36 with a bit of frost on our back porch roof.
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34 here this morning. The peppers and pole lima beans in my garden look fine. The growing season continues here.
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30°
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And you may find yourself, in a record Niño And you may find yourself, in a neverending ridge And you may ask yourself, “Why is Will still not posting?” And you may ask yourself, “What if The County gets no snow?” And you may tell yourself, “Greta is not my beautiful daughter”
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Since 2012, May-Sept 60-90N SLP anomaly has flipped for the Winter almost every single time. We had a strong 90N negative anomaly this warm season. 5/5 months. I think it has something to do with the arctic ice min in 2012, but that's a strong -AO signal for the coming Winter, or at least high pressure 60-90N most of the time.
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An E.T. the Extraterrestrial movie, also known as a Hollywood Halloween is on the way! If you saw the movie in 1982 you know.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That should lock in through December and much of January. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I high doubt we see the full reversal, but would be interesting. -
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Water dissolving and water removing . 55° bright and sunny . Same as it ever was...
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This was actually a very easy call. I could see it months ago that we were going to have a warm beginning of November, like 2020, 2022, and 2024. -
In a few days it looks like Falls Lake will fall below its summer low point of around 245.55 feet. It is now at 245.86 and dropping. I am afraid we could rival the 2007 lows if this keeps up.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
New run looks like my Dec-Jan composite -
That was yesterday
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It's like I freeeee riiiiiide, Forky really neeeds to get laid
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
eyewall replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
It was too late for Dolly Sods and the remnants of Isaias did a number on the higher elevation leaves but I hit some real nice spots near Monterey VA and at the Blackwater Canyon in WV as well as near Seneca Rocks (which is an awesome place color or not). These were all taken on 10/15 and 10/16. -
Heck of a way to run a Super Duper El Nino™
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Not here. Low month temp in May ranges between 21 to 30, median 26. For October it's 11 and 26, median 20. Hilltop vs. rad pit? Touched 19 this morning. On 29 Octobers we've gone below twenty 14 times, though only 3 times in the most recent 11 years. Didn't check the washtub ice until 10:30, still 1/4" thick.
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You struggle to frost, I struggle to get rid of frost. Wonder if we can go the whole day. 11:38am and half the yard still looks like this. North facing cold hollow, going to preserve snow well if we get any this winter. Thats the midday sun here, lol. Yikes. Wonder if it’ll crest the trees in another month.
