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Likely strong tornado ongoing in IA heading toward southwest/west wisconsin

Don't even need ac lately

Big boy hail south of ILX

70/60 Tor Watch just issued for Central Indiana.

Agreed. The Euro and GFS AI models seem to be proficient at picking what systems will spin up and when. I'm very much excited about that.

Don't look now, but the HRRR looks like it's trying for at least some storms tomorrow.

Yeah it'll split around us. Front should get into northwest Tenn. Risk farther east and south is that subsidence northwest of the decaying TC squashes things. Then the said TC remnants are sliding deep south. That'd be nice in winter. Somebody has to say it, lol!

What a fascinating radar. Basically a string of supercells every 15 miles from Chicago to Wichita.

Got an emergency management confirmed tornado on the Logan County, IL cell. Also an LSR for a funnel cloud captured on a sky cam.

Word on the street is that the local water Authority is privately very worried about the groundwater situation. Drought guy may want to look into it (seriously.)

To be fair, one of them ended up being a confirmed tornado (as it law enforcement confirmed, not radar). In the beginning it was definitely outflow dominant though.

Just drove home from a Dr visit and despite all the pessimism I'm seeing a carbon copy of yesterday only stronger. The cloud deck was lowering quickly on my way home and the LLJ was just starting to pick up. Dews are slowly rising. I mean yesterday we had evaporative "steam" like you would have after a quick downpour on a 90 degree day as the sun comes back out. No sun and it was 63 degrees. Same thing right now. No sun and "steam" rising off the road and crops and its 66. Temp on my way home across 30 miles moving North went from 71 to 64 when I got home so the WF is coming N, just not as much as many would like. The stratoform clouds with the rain from the earlier wind bag were starting to break and streak, something I've seen many times before as a windbag gets mixed out. Could it still bust? Sure. But there's a train of Hook and Ladder cells from near LAF back to Kansas City racing East. Any of those gets rooted they're gonna spin up, just like yesterday but theres a lot more shear and energy through the column today and tonight. Still ain't callin it, at least through Central IN yet. There's way too much kinetic volatility out there IMHO.

ILX just slapping warning on every outflow dominate sup

Sign of very strong LL shear. I've seen it when arriving to the target area on nearly every chase day I've had when I've either seen tornadoes, or there were tornadoes in the vicinity but I missed them due to being dumb. Shame it will likely go to waste for anyone north of I-72 today.

The low-level clouds turboing by is just absolutely crazy

another 90F at DCA.

Looks like no major heatwaves in the extended for the GLOV area through at least the start of July. I’m feeling like Mother Nature will even things out and we torch pretty hard afterwards. Early July through mid-August will be the prime window to stack up 90s.

No Weather Hazards For Us

Nws initially had me extremely excited with there talk of an EML surging this far east out ahead of a potent system.. By the next morning, I was pretty sure they'd picked up the wrong pipe. It seemed to me that the NWS was much more bullish, with their forecast than the SPC. The spc definitely, seemed to use more cautious wording in their forecast and I don't believe they ever mentioned anything about an EML.

Aside from the cells near Springfield (which might be outflow dominant for now, though it seems to be becoming more surfaced based now) the area to watch are there cells here to see if they can remain discrete or semi-discrete as it moves eastward into a loaded environment. If it congeals into a line quickly, it obviously greatly diminishes the strong tornado threat.

Def had me fooled for a frame or two as well.

they got duped. most, if not all of that, is contamination.

It's in the billing

Pouring here right now.

Need a t warning on that Macon county cell