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29 this morning. Hard freeze expected again Friday night and Saturday high around 42. Last freeze here is usually end of March/early April. So figure a few more weeks before growing season begins
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You are 100% correct.
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Normal temps this time of year are fantastic with the late March into April sun. I’ll gladly take that right now. I’m ready for spring (NOT SUMMER). I have my limits
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Today's mid 30's feels SO much better than yesterday's mid 30's. Sunshine changes everything. -
The death ridge in early April won't help either.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, correct. Neutral/-QBO would be higher than nina/-qbo and Neutral/+QBO would be lower than nino/+qbo. -
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
Reposting some of the charts I posted previously. Your line doesn't look anything like the raw data from individual stations. There is no significant difference in warming between individual Chester County stations and the Philadelphia Airport. Of course cooling station moves should be excluded. That's why the West Chester plot ends in 1969. Per the table below, there are big changes in the Chester County station population that you aren't accounting for. In comparison, the Philadelphia airport heat island is mature and isn't changing much from decade to decade. If heat island is important, why ignore the movement of Chester County stations out of towns after World War II? -
I remember those vividly...had like 6" and then 8" to finish the best winter of my life in style.
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In addition to Fairbanks, cities such as Anchorage and Yellowknife, NW Territories as well as the area in between and surrounding have a chance to have their all time record coldest Marches. That’s ~2,000 miles long and ~400 miles wide area (~800K square mile area). Does anyone have a link to monthly records for Canadian cities and more specifically Yellowknife? Anyone have a link to maps showing historic temperature anomalies by month for Canada like we have for the US? Yellowknife in March of 2026: Mean temp March 1-23: -26C Normal for entire month: -16C March 2026 so far: https://www.predictwind.com/weather/canada/northwest-territories/yellowknife/march Normals in C: https://weatherspark.com/y/2362/Average-Weather-in-Yellowknife-Northwest-Territories-Canada-Year-Round
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As I recall, in order of most likely to least likely to have a SSWE during winter: El Niño/-QBO, La Niña/-QBO, El Niño/+QBO, La Niña/+QBO -
I do know what you mean on that....unlike other disappointments, like 12-5-03, PD II, 1-29-22 and even 12/96 round two to a degree, I wasn't even close this time. I missed 2' by like 40 miles and the holy grail by like 60 miles. It was only awful because guidance got it up here, and then pulled away at the last moment.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fishing for smallmouths for years on the river. Use 6lb and 12lb Fluorocarbon mostly . Currently 44 degrees. Looks like some more rain Friday. -
nice headed out lewes/rehobo way for easter... fingers crossed for a torch
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2.59” melted through the tipper here. Sad.
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I had hope that the cold front on Friday would at least bring some showers but it is looking more and more anemic.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The last 4 years, Stratosphere has been a huge hit with favored QBO state Nov-Feb. +QBO -QBO It doesn't automatically translate to AO state, although this Nov's SSW did precede more -AO conditions early to mid Winter. The last 2 March Stratosphere warmings have not lead to -NAO conditions +time. Typically Stratosphere warmings have a lag, and coolings correlate at 0-day -
meanwhile up here in ville, 9" of snow, and 1.5" of rain MTD
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Thursday night looks like another round
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My guess is that we will have a completely different stratosphere/SPV this coming winter given the anticipated +QBO/El Niño/+IOD -
felt like a january morning today..
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I noted this active wx pattern in my Holiday forecasts for April 1, and Easter weekend. Rough part is that I still can get some sn/ice out of this, especially at night/early morning.
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Nice day today with highs around 40. Looks like a mix coming for Wed-Thurs. Then a quick shot of cooler wx.
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Two storms between 22 and 24” probably would justify an A or close to it, but it also felt like only a 5-6 week blitz and not much more. It was cold in December into January but not a whole lot to show for it which left a sour taste in my mouth. Same with March. Also as greedy as this sounds, being 10 miles away from something historic kind of left you wanting more too. But I certainly will take all of this over the absolute garbage we’ve had recently. Once the snow finally came around MLK, it stayed into the second week of March. I guess a B+.
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March 24 1851: Minnesota experiences an early spring 'heat wave' with 60s and 70s common. For Tuesday, March 24, 2026 1912 - Residents of Kansas City began to dig out from a storm produced 25 inches of snow in 24 hours. The snowfall total was nearly twice that of any other storm of modern record in Kansas City before or since that time. A record 40 inches of snow fell during the month of March that year, and the total for the winter season of 67 inches was also a record. By late February of that year Kansas City had received just six inches of snow. Olathe KS received 37 inches of snow in the snowstorm, establishing a single storm record for the state of Kansas. (23rd-24th) (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A winter-like storm in the central U.S. produced blizzard conditions from South Dakota to western Kansas. Snowfall totals ranged up to 24 inches at Neligh NE, with 19 inches at Winner SD. Winds gusting to 60 mph created twelve foot snow drifts in Nebraska stranding thousands on the highways. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather from Minnesota to northeastern Texas. The thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, including one which injured five persons near Raymondville MO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Low pressure off the coast of Virginia brought heavy rain to the Middle Atlantic Coast States, and heavy snow to the Northern Appalachians. Cape Hatteras NC was soaked with 5.20 inches of rain in 24 hours, and snowfall totals in Vermont ranged up to 12 inches. Winds gusted to 52 mph at New York City. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - The storm system which produced heavy snow in the Lower Missouri Valley the previous day, spread heavy snow across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley and the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. Snowfall totals of 2.2 inches at Philadelphia PA and 2.4 inches at Atlantic City NJ were records for the date. Up to six inches of snow blanketed southern Ohio. In the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, snow coated the blossoms of cherry trees which had bloomed in 80 degree weather the previous week. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
