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Man that's a weird temperature distribution. Seems like you have a pretty scattered low level inversion considering the valleys are colder than the mountains?

An over-performer at last!!! Have received .60" since 6 am!! Temp. has dropped from 55 at 5 am to 43 at 9:55 am.

Models showing a pretty rainy Wednesday Thursday period. Let's see if it holds or fizzles

Yeah I noticed some TCU as well. Bit of humidity in the air so some instability certainly there.

Steady soaking rain and chilly temps. Nice

Ah heh. dude, you gotta do better than that gaslight attempt against someone like me. You're like a 5 year old thinking you're pullin' one over on your dad.

Those were CB's yesterday ... I noticed some of them crisp out into glaciation. The 800 mb was -2 C... which is pretty low freezing heights. Snow? no.. ha. Hail, probably. Yesterday we made it to 72 here up underneath those low freezing heights. All that was missing was CAPE. Because I'm a crushingly dweeby nerd, I hesitated in a moment coming out of Ace Hardware to be sexually aroused by a gnarly dark based CU that had a broadly expanding (est) 15kt top leaning E. It was transitioning to ice with snow falling way up there. Kind of like it was hybrid convection between cold virga CU and summer crispies. I also noticed that the base elements had a tendency to move right of the upper tier lean, indicative of some at least modest positive helicity. So given these obs... yeah... It was unstable and something was going to overachieve eventually with that sort of lapse rate in place. The cell he's talking about went by N of here and we had some 32-ish mph wind gusts and a temp crash just before sun set.

Did you actually look at the maps one asks self

More snow, more thunder…..Templeton is a magical place.

It will be interesting to see what the pattern does in June following the mid to late May warm up. So far it appears we are in a pattern similar the warmer 2015 El Niño mid to late May as opposed to the cooler 2023 one. The 2015 analog is showing up on the day 8-14 analog composite. 2015 was a warmer summer here than 2023 was. New York, Climate Division 4 Average Temperature June-August higher ranks warmer with 2010 ranking #131 warmest June-August 2025 73.2°F 120* June-August 2024 74.0°F 127 June-August 2023 72.2°F 103 June-August 2022 74.1°F 128 June-August 2021 73.4°F 123* June-August 2020 74.3°F 130 June-August 2019 73.2°F 120* June-August 2018 73.4°F 123* June-August 2017 71.9°F 97* June-August 2016 74.2°F 129 June-August 2015 73.1°F 118 June-August 2014 71.6°F 92* June-August 2013 72.9°F 115* June-August 2012 73.4°F 123* June-August 2011 73.9°F 126* June-August 2010 75.2°F 131 June-August 2009 70.7°F 64* June-August 2008 72.5°F 108* June-August 2007 71.6°F 92* June-August 2006 73.0°F 117* June-August 2005 73.9°F 126* June-August 2004 70.6°F 62* June-August 2003 71.7°F 94* June-August 2002 72.9°F 115 * June-August 2001 72.0°F 100* June-August 2000 69.8°F 33

Nada at my house yesterday. It was close though

Looks like 1.5 or so hours of warming vibrant sun before CT gets cirrus plugged by that PA rollback... Hopefully this stays S-SE of an HFD-BED line so it spares the Rt 2 folk but it probably fans enough mare's tails to keep our temperatures lower here, too.

Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (1993) NYC: 92 (1993) LGA: 96 (1953) JFK: 85 (1993) Lows: EWR: 36 (1966) NYC: 36 (1966) LGA: 42 (1945) JFK: 40 (1966) Historical: 1865: A tornado touched down in Philadelphia around 6 PM ET, killing one person and injuring 15 others. There was a considerable destruction of property, with 23 houses blown down, damage to the Reading Railroad depot, with the water tank, carried 150 yards. Fairmont Park was damaged to the amount of $20,000. 1882: A severe thunderstorm produced 58 mph wind gusts at the Delaware Breakwater. High tides swept away railroad tracks near Sandy Hook, NJ. Many ships were sent aground in New York Bay. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1906: 33 °F is the lowest temperature in May for Washington, DC that rose to 67 °F in the afternoon, and to 79 °F on the 12th. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1911: Record maximum temperature for Washington, DC for the date 94 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1913: Frost occurred with 37 °F in Washington, DC, Frederick, Md had 30 °F and Baltimore, MD had 40 °F. 1934: A tremendous dust storm affected the Plains as the Dust Bowl era was in full swing. According to The New York Times, dust "lodged itself in the eyes and throats of weeping and coughing New Yorkers," and even ships some 300 miles offshore sawdust collect on their decks. 1945: On May 10th and 11th 10.0 inches or more of snow fell over interior Massachusetts and the lowest barometric pressure for the month of May was recorded at 29.09 inches of mercury. 1951: Baltimore, MD recorded their latest snowfall on record with a trace. 1953 - A tornado hit Waco, TX, killing 114 persons and burying some downtown streets under five feet of fallen bricks. (The Weather Channel) 1966 - The 1.6 inch snow at Chicago, IL, was their latest measurable snow of record. Previously the record was 3.7 inches on the 1st and 2nd of May set in 1940. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - A very powerful tornado struck the city of Lubbock, TX, killing 26 persons, injuring more than 500 others, and causing 135 million dollars damage. It was the most destructive tornado of record up until that time, and came on the 17th anniversary of the twister which struck Waco TX killing 114 persons. A second tornado killed two others persons in Lubbock, and the two tornadoes damaged or destroyed nearly a quarter of the city. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1982: The second of three severe weather episodes occurred on this date through the 12th across parts of Oklahoma. On this date, severe thunderstorms produced 18 tornadoes across the western part of the state. One tornado touched down southeast of Altus and moved across Altus Air Force Base. In Altus, almost every roof in town was damaged by large hail. At the base, 70 buildings were damaged or destroyed, 30 airplanes were damaged, and 6,000 vehicles suffered hail or tornado damage. Overall, two people were killed, 60 others injured, and the total damage from this particular storm was more than $200 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983: A late spring snowstorm hit the western third of South Dakota on this date through the 12th. Snow amounts ranged from 3 to 10 inches and in some areas the snow was accompanied by thunder, lightning, sleet, and hail making for an interesting mix of weather. The heaviest snow amounts fell in the northern Black Hills although some areas in the plains had strong winds creating drifts high enough to make roads impassable. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced up to four inches of rain in southern Texas, with flooding reported from Maverick County to Eagle Pass. Evening thunderstorms in northern Illinois produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. Reno, NV, reported a record high of 89 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the High Plains Region. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 71 mph at Gillette WY, and baseball size hail was reported at Pecos TX and Fort Stockton TX. Fort Stockton TX was deluged with 7.75 inches of rain in less than two hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Unseasonably cold weather followed in the wake of a spring storm in the north central U.S. Seven cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Madison WI with a reading of 29 degrees. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Kansas, Oklahoma and the northern half of Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Texas, and produced high winds which overturned four mobile homes northwest of Abilene TX injuring ten persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Strong thunderstorms affected parts of the U.S. Great Plains. In the Hastings, Nebraska area, significant severe weather occurred, including very large hail, damaging winds and widespread flooding. Radar estimated rainfall accumulation locally exceeded 10 inches. 2005: Grand Island, NE set new 6, 12, and 24 hour rainfall records with 6.38 inches in 6 hours, 7.16 inches in 12 hours and 7.21 inches in 24 hours. Very heavy rain also fell in parts of northern Montana. Red Lodge and the surrounding foothills received 4.5 to 7 inches washing out some roads. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Spring is coming, and some needed rains Board should liven up a bit with stm potential.

Today’s weekly release has about as expected (due to the temporary pause in the warming) Nino 3.4 steady vs the prior week at +0.4. Nino 4 also remained steady at +0.5. Nino 3 rose slightly from +0.5 to +0.6. The more volatile (because much smaller) Nino 1+2 bounced back from +0.7 to +1.0: Midweek date…..1+2……..3…..….3.4..…..4 01APR2026 0.8 -0.3 -0.3 0.2 08APR2026 1.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 15APR2026 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 22APR2026 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 29APR2026 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 06MAY2026 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5

We have received measurable rain in 5 of the last 6 days across the county. Below normal temperatures are likely to continue today through Friday before we warm back to above normal by the weekend. The best chances of rain will be Wednesday into Thursday morning.

We have received measurable rain in 5 of the last 6 days across the county. Below normal temperatures are likely to continue today through Friday before we warm back to above normal by the weekend. The best chances of rain will be Wednesday into Thursday morning.

It's been 82 a small handful of early afternoons since early April... perhaps 3 with a smattering of 78s. The vast majority of times it has been less than 62 by varying sullenness. Not sure what the nocturnal biases have knocked out, but as Scott and I had noticed actually back in late March ( and still looks to be the case when cursory running down the numbers), we tend to be negative for 8 or so days back to back, then we get two 20+'s ...skewing the whole month positive. Figuratively speaking It's been a bullshit liar spring. Cold and shitty, despite sun at times and fleeting bombastic warm days. The small handful of 80 days we've seen thus far also had DPs less than 50... The dry air made them rad bleeders, tho. By the time old sol tickled the western tree tops we were already hemorrhaging. By an hour or so post the passage of the astronomical dusk boundary it plummeted to 60, and 38 by dawn. This is no way to run a real warm up and is, sorry to admit using this word which I hate ... fake. We haven't had the metallic warm feel to the atmosphere yet. It feels like warm winter days with high spring sun? Miss the evenings whence the wind is warm during the glome light period that summer lingers before the twilight. You know... pithy warmth. Doesn't even have to be hot for f'sake. Just confident your not radiating back to aching knuckles and stunted foliage. I think that changes soon enough. As I've advertised above and wasn't seemingly read by anyone heh it appears this week's the last of the gaslight pattern bs

May 11 1915: A waterspout is seen on Lake Mills. For Monday, May 11, 2026 1953 - A tornado hit Waco, TX, killing 114 persons and burying some downtown streets under five feet of fallen bricks. (The Weather Channel) 1966 - The 1.6 inch snow at Chicago, IL, was their latest measurable snow of record. Previously the record was 3.7 inches on the 1st and 2nd of May set in 1940. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - A very powerful tornado struck the city of Lubbock, TX, killing 26 persons, injuring more than 500 others, and causing 135 million dollars damage. It was the most destructive tornado of record up until that time, and came on the 17th anniversary of the twister which struck Waco TX killing 114 persons. A second tornado killed two others persons in Lubbock, and the two tornadoes damaged or destroyed nearly a quarter of the city. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced up to four inches of rain in southern Texas, with flooding reported from Maverick County to Eagle Pass. Evening thunderstorms in northern Illinois produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. Reno, NV, reported a record high of 89 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the High Plains Region. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 71 mph at Gillette WY, and baseball size hail was reported at Pecos TX and Fort Stockton TX. Fort Stockton TX was deluged with 7.75 inches of rain in less than two hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Unseasonably cold weather followed in the wake of a spring storm in the north central U.S. Seven cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Madison WI with a reading of 29 degrees. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Kansas, Oklahoma and the northern half of Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Texas, and produced high winds which overturned four mobile homes northwest of Abilene TX injuring ten persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Strong thunderstorms affected parts of the U.S. Great Plains. In the Hastings, Nebraska area, significant severe weather occurred, including very large hail, damaging winds and widespread flooding. Radar estimated rainfall accumulation locally exceeded 10 inches.

Although super jealous, im happy for those getting rain today. Total .08” from yesterday.

Got a gut feeling we won't see the sun in July. At some point it has to reverse course right?

logic ? LOL !

Upper 10's-20's (30's along the Lake) this morning. Record/near record lows again across the area.

We did finally get another 1012+ mb today at Darwin though only barely (1012.15) helping to bring today’s SOI down to -9.25, lowest in a week though still not a strong -SOI. However, Darwin SLP is forecasted to fall back very shortly. Looking ahead, the GFS not surprisingly (being that no other model had it) took away that tiny sfc low near Tahiti from its 5/12-13 maps and thus there won’t be those very strong -SOIs that an actual low would have generated. However, all of the models have general notably low pressure at Tahiti 5/14-6. That should result in notable -SOIs for those days. But because Darwin SLPs are also then progged to be somewhat BN, these won’t be as low as they could have been. Although Tahiti SLPs have been El Ninoish (- SLP anomalies) and will continue to be overall, Darwin SLPs still aren’t progged to be notably El Ninoish (+ anomalies). To get that, the N portion of the cold sfc highs coming from the cold regions to the south needs to extend more strongly further N into N Australia to get Darwin SLPs to go AN. They are forecast to rise back up modestly mid to late next week in N Australia on the N end of chilly high pressure, but it remains to be seen if they’ll rise that much at Darwin to result in a notably -SOI period then.

80s in May happen most years here - only 4 of 28 failed to reach 80 and the median for May's warmest is 85. As for this week, highs 50s-60s and frost advisory the next 2 mornings.