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  2. CoastalWx
    I thought the same. Weak s/w will cause some slight cooling aloft too. I did see some models on and off show convection tonight so it’s possible.
  3. weatherwiz
    The HRRR may be a bit too aggressive with weakening that activity tonight. One big key I think will be how organized the cluster is as it develops across PA/NJ (does it develop a cold pool to sustain on?) and what we are looking at for MUCAPE. Kind of hard to see an organized cluster weaken if MUCAPE is still pushing 2000+ J
  4. A-L-E-K
    Clipper salvation winter 2026/2027
  5. MANDA
    Absolutely and that shows up well on Water Vapor images. Flow from Gulf / Cuba and east of FL / Bahamas pretty much due north. Deep moist flow. PW been running close to 2" last several days.
  6. BlizzardNole
    Awful. I looked at CoCoRaHS for Aug 1-6 and almost all of Crozet Co. is 3-5 inches while Augusta is half an inch or less. Hope your luck changes
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. CoastalWx
    He has become convectionly numb.
  9. WEATHER53
    Two heavy rounds yesterday especially the first one to total 0.65”
  10. rclab
    I remember the 2007 event. Some roof damage in the Bay Ridge area. I remember the low cloud/visibility that day. I keep thinking that a photo exists of the funnel cloud over the Narrows. The photo as I remember it was looking from north looking south. The funnel cloud stood out even though it was immersed in surrounding cloud. It’s probable I have events/years mixed up. As always …. .
  11. Torch Tiger
    Hopefully WCT gets trained again, keep their streak going of 5-10" events
  12. Damage In Tolland
    Hands felt like two balloons ?
  13. jlauderdal
    Welcome to Floriduh on a summer morning, thats what it looks like on the stat sheet.
  14. Layman
    There is no rain you are receiving Distant clouds show on the horizon You've thought its coming to you for days The leaves move just waiting for the spray
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I only knew bc Kev mentioned it in our group text, so sprang into action an got the gage out.
  16. kdxken
    Been working for three hours. Sweatball. Going to be the worst of the year.
  17. Layman
    Exactly the same here. Didn't even realize it happened.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I agree with that for the latter half of the season.
  19. LakePaste25
    I would expect lingering Nino 1+2 warmth well into next spring and summer. If I remember correctly, when 1+2 fails to cool down like that we usually get a weaker Nina rebound or just stay cold neutral. Would have to look more into the data.
  20. SUNYGRAD
    Definitely in line with CanSIPS and CFSv2
  21. bluewave
    Yeah, we got the record heat back in early July. This time it’s the high dew points making headlines. Straight from the tropics.
  22. nw baltimore wx
    I’ve got maybe 20 good years left. Let it snow.
  23. CHItoMKE916
    Clipper train
  24. MarcmmKU
    If we can finally eradicate the boiling oceans in the western pac and get a strong +PDO for the late 2020s it will be worth it, even if the coast gets 0 snow all winter long.
  25. MANDA
    The humidity / dews are what is making this stretch nasty. Temperatures are not crazy so if we can at least lose the humidity I think most would be happy. It is really swampy out there again this morning. Had .02" last night as a T-Storm clipped my area. Bulk of it slid by to the west into Sussex County..
  26. Today
  27. MarcmmKU
    I think the warmth will unfortunately be overwhelming for people near I95. You don't get a nino this strong without at least a 10+F month, and most likely all the storms will lack adequate blocking because the NAO will be very positive as well.
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