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So much to work with. Got my attention now.

It’s having difficulty with phasing; you can see the jump from 21z to 0z. That doesn’t make a whole lot of sense; hopefully it irons out in our favor. I’m just glad the potential exists for now; we live to see more model runs!

NBM. @CAPE is the expert at that.

you would think this is meaningful, but the euro will somehow find a way when it’s been god awful all year

Mainstream media is going to have a field day with this the GFS their favorite model

Is this a 10 to one storm up here? Nobody’s been talking about the snow growth zone.

The RGEM (and therefore the CMC) at 18z, and the GFS at 18z, both made additional improvements at H5. I swear the Euro will probably be down in the Bahamas in about an hour

I can see towering clouds on the far SE horizon. It’s been a while since I’ve seen thunderheads on the horizon. A nice little echo S of Lansing.

Why would you waste 30 seconds on the GFS 4 days away?.

Who has the latest 9 model blend?

We need a serious American model. The gfs has become nearly unusable. Back 10 years ago when it showed a major storm 72 hours out…it was a near lock

I calculated my snowfall average where I grew up (near Brooklandville/Mays Chapel) from 2000 to 2019 and it came out to be around 27-28”. Of course it’s gone downhill since and I haven’t usually measured or even always lived in the area (life somehow keeps pulling me north), but I feel lucky enough that I had lots of good seasons to enjoy in my youth.

I thought they pronounce it "Ball-mer" up that way!!!

Somebody get her a glass of water, she's going to faint over the Gfs....HURRY!!!

a little late in the year for them to get a huge snow; we all analyzed this idea back in 2010, when they got all the snow; except for the last one in feb.....that hit north....the infamous snowicaine.

Where do we sign up for the 18z GFS to please verify for Sunday?

I see the temps starting at 33 and falling to 31 by 8PM

I think my sarcasm was lost. Anyone who thinks sby is getting 30, I have an island off the coast of Nebraska to sell them

The things I would do to make this happen

I'm just a lurker and a learner, but I am confused. I thought we weren't giving the GFS any more credit given its recent performance history?

What were the temps for the first storm in 2010? I am pretty sure that started at rain.

Crazy runs on GFS and CMC for MidAtl and coast 2-4ft possible. We luck out with some banding.

AI way east

Well, you know in Gilbert & Sullivan's "Mikado", the "piano organist" is on Ko-Ko's list for potential victims to be beheaded!! (BTW, "guy" in these lyrics as I understand it, refers to someone dressing like Guy Fawkes, for Guy Fawks Day. Silly Brits!!!) There's the banjo serenader, and the others of his race And the piano-organist — I've got him on the list! And the people who eat peppermint and puff it in your face They never would be missed — they never would be missed! Then the idiot who praises, with enthusiastic tone All centuries but this, and every country but his own; And the lady from the provinces, who dresses like a guy And who "doesn't think she dances, but would rather like to try"; And that singular anomaly, the lady novelist — I don't think she'd be missed — I'm sure she'd not be missed!