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GGEM:

That Canadian run just shifted west about 50 miles

also this is not an all or nothing storm for NYC immediate metro - still can receive advisory or WSW from this - I would lean throwing in the towel regarding a MECS or higher though

Deform band, if it stalls/trains, is where you get 2'+ totals @ 3-4"+ an hr Wouldn't believe it here if I hadn't seen it happen in the Piedmont- 04' storm in CLT- you could literally hear the faint ticking of the snow it was falling so hard....Mom got 24" by the airport in Rock Hill I was up on North Face at Mt Crested Butte when there was nearly 10" in one hour- craziest thing I ever saw- chair ride up is ~20 minutes to the top- chair was clear at the bottom- ~5" deep by the time I got off

6-12 for Bermuda

GGEM gets NYC and BOS, but yeah, with comparatively pedestrian amounts.

Deform band, if it stalls/trains, is where you get 2'+ totals @ 3-4"+ an hr Wouldn't believe it here if I hadn't seen it happen in the Piedmont- 04' storm in CLT- you could literally hear the faint ticking of the snow it was falling so hard....Mom got 24" by the airport in Rock Hill I was up on North Face at Mt Crested Butte when there was nearly 10" in one hour- craziest thing I ever saw- chair ride up is ~20 minutes to the top- chair was clear at the bottom- ~5" deep by the time I got off

She’s alive! Oh Canada!

Deform band, if it stalls/trains, is where you get 2'+ totals @ 3-4"+ an hr Wouldn't believe it here if I hadn't seen it happen in the Piedmont- 04' storm in CLT- you could literally hear the faint ticking of the snow it was falling so hard....Mom got 24" by the airport in Rock Hill I was up on North Face at Mt Crested Butte when there was nearly 10" in one hour- craziest thing I ever saw- chair ride up is ~20 minutes to the top- chair was clear at the bottom- ~5" deep by the time I got off

Ukie basically goes due east from the Carolina’s lol

This has a chance to hit north as well. Need to start hoping this goes away.

12z GEFS

Deform band, if it stalls/trains, is where you get 2'+ totals @ 3-4"+ an hr Wouldn't believe it here if I hadn't seen it happen in the Piedmont- 04' storm in CLT- you could literally hear the faint ticking of the snow it was falling so hard....Mom got 24" by the airport in Rock Hill I was up on North Face at Mt Crested Butte when there was nearly 10" in one hour- craziest thing I ever saw- chair ride up is ~20 minutes to the top- chair was clear at the bottom- ~5" deep by the time I got off

I can confirm i moved from MD to Sunset beach NC last year was a mess they have 0 snow removal equipment and you outta see how they brine. This place will be a disaster for days lol. No salt no nothing. 4x4 isn't a big thing here either luckily I'll never own anything not 4x4 lol.

My condolences.

i thought i was crazy when i didnt see anything with reflectivity but could see if snowing outside. I did a little research and figured out that sometimes correlation coefficient sniffs out these low level pixie dust snows. Just thought that was pretty cool

fine with me - the commute this morning already sucked enough. Hoping we can squeeze out some accumulations these evening to make the commute even worse.

UK is possible. It keeps the southern energy its own entity longer and phases late. That balancing act between the low spawned SE of the NS lobe and that southern stream energy is going to be critical and give insanely different results. But UK has same overall setup

Seems too complicated for it’s usual N movement that’d help us.

I hope our Currituck friend can cash in.

You look like you’re in a great spot. Genuinely excited for you because there’s been so much pain lol. I know there’s a lot of anxiety coming with the next few model runs, but it would take a model failure on a cataclysmic level now. Unfortunately, still doable as we all know. But getting less likely! .

I never said it wont happen, just that the odds of getting two back to back storms that drop feet of snow is low. Just talking probability thats all. Doesn't mean that it wont happen.

Boxing Day was worse because it was hitting up north too.

no, lol

Just have to keep watching