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I don’t even remember that one, so it must have sucked. Hell, I’m numb now, nothing can break me weather wise at this point

A southward shift on the 18z Euro vs 12z below.

Def quite a good change on the 18z eps

I’ve picked up a solid 4.5” in five hours. Looks like we will get a bit of a break here soon before the second band moves in and drops another inch or two. .

That's a nice archive. I always enjoyed your maps, but I love the added info

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7th-2022

I mean, sometimes I ultimately need to bail...happens, but we aren't there yet IMHO.

If I’m thinking of the right one, That 1/6/22 system did decent here..between 7-8”. You did even better I recall.

Boston has gone without anything measurable in 295 (296?) days... probably similar for you

I said I thought a storm was coming mid month, he replied that I always say that...do the math.

I need this like you wouldn’t believe.

Yeah exactly. I felt bad for Tblizz as I pounded and Tblizz was watching an ocnl flake fall from the street lights.

I think it would be a lot better if we saw *something* here this month. Ideally, if NYC saw 4”+ we would Be in ok shape because 4” is the magic number. That being said, lots of signs for a warm up after rhe 20th

Most won’t appreciate how anomalous of a signal it is to see accumulation outputs on models for the South Mountains and Brushy’s.

No one . Made up

Let’s get some snow first so we can torch it away.

If ifs and buts were candy and snow, we'd all have a merry Christmas.

EPS and AIFS-EPS both perked up

same general premise as 1/6/22 if you recall. that was a nice little Arctic wave

More than a coating out here! Hope it juices up more for the metros though and/or you all get a decent hit Sunday.

Let's lock it in and get the golf courses open. I'll pick up Tblizz's canceled ski week reservations for a song.

I applaud that you are very even keeled and stick your guns even though your thoughts might differ from the consensus.

Wouldn't mind a little warm up if it means recentering the mean trough west of here so we can get some big dogs. Mid December 2013 warmed up prior to the epic period that followed. This pattern is cool in like January or February to maintain..

Im assuming we get the warm air faster as usual so im not expecting much tomorrow. This weekend looks intriguing though.

Yeah this is roughly where the developing SPV and shortwave trough, that eventually slides under it, are right now. There’s lots of little tweaks in the flow that could help this or hurt this in the coming days. As others have said, the end result is we want more “curl” of the vortmax so we can punch that dPVA further north.