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  2. Yes!!!! Back way back these type storms used to almost destroy the SouthEast AccuWeather forum. People on either side rooting for it to trend there way and having complete mental breakdowns when it trended west or east and they got the shaft. Though it seemed more times than not they tended to trend NW each day a little bit all the way up to the storm breaking a lot of especially south Carolina hearts but making a lot of East Tennesseeans happy. Those were the good old days before American WX.
  3. Well, I can tell you this. Whatever falls is definitely gonna stick.
  4. Euro AI be all like this when we down on storm chances
  5. Something I've noticed with all the EPS (and GEFS) runs is that the individual members have been noticeably clustering towards the western edge of where the ULL forms
  6. That looks quite a bit more favorable than 12z. A lot more runs that are dumping 1”+ of QPF around Boston and even metrowest. There’s obviously still plenty of scrapers and whiffs. I’m not sold yet but 18z Euro suite was def good.
  7. I don't think I would be sold on any run right now.
  8. We went from 12 good hits for E MA on the last run to 20 or so on this run. I got my microscope out.
  9. Yesterday
  10. Back home sweet home. 12 degrees. Ran into a wintry landscape in southern VA. Only difference is down that way the entire pack IS a glacier. It is about 4-5" of ice. Incredible.
  11. What the Euro solution here just showed was similar to the explanation I stated with the 84-hour NAM. Confluence weakens because the so-called potential kicker is held at bay and the trough access being further west allows this to bomb out and come north. This the overall type of signal that people want to see.
  12. Usually the convective lows are correct when a bunch of higher skill guidance is showing them. So this is the way to get crushed…have it get sling shotted around to the north and blast us.
  13. nothing really changed. looks decent to good for E-SE NE, but otherwise ....concerns
  14. If it can get to Roan Mountain State Park…I may drive.
  15. Not gonna lie..having flashbacks to an ULL that looked good here but last minute parked its self over upstate SC..got zilch here. Can't remember year tho.
  16. Didn't see an 18z euro snow map posted yet, only saw the AIFS. here's reg euro. it's a tick NW of the AIFS, and smokes the boston metro area.
  17. There is a better chance of NYC getting 36" of snow this weekend then that happening.
  18. Anybody have a GoogleAI update? My new washer is hurting my wx model slush fund.
  19. Hopefully we get another tick nw tonight. Need some consistency. Can't afford any more ticks se
  20. Totally understandable. That last one hurt and I’m already chasing the next one going all in [emoji23] .
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