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  2. SnowDawg
    I just can't confidently believe in the Euro totals in GA and upstate with the NAM/RRFS continuing to be so dry.
  3. MJO812
    Insane
  4. MJO812
    Blocking continues
  5. Aleksey
    HRRR and NAM both give me 2”+ in NE GA and thats at 10:1. Ratios will be around 20:1 over here based off our latest NWS briefing that just got done. Any totals you fan multiply by 1.5-2 because ratios of 15:1 to 20:1. Sitting pretty over here [emoji3587] .
  6. Ravens94
    I mean this is rippage based on soundings.
  7. NorthHillsWx
    It’s insane to me we’re talking about a storm with coastal influence and possible 20:1 ratios. To say that’s rare would be a massive understatement
  8. sinterpol
    Suck me sideways.
  9. AGardiner87
    https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1A3p99WK5K/?mibextid=wwXIfr Lastest from Brad P!
  10. donsutherland1
    I don't know. Normally, one doesn't see such a pattern. More may have been involved.
  11. Baum
    Why not just WSW from noon to midnight in that county area for potential of 6” or greater?
  12. HWY316wx
    FFC out of Atlanta afternoon video is really good stuff!
  13. NC_hailstorm
    The long range HRRR has snow ratios at 17 to 20 to one,it's gonna stack up.
  14. Regan
    “More and more models”
  15. MJO812
    Jeez this is insane
  16. Berlin1926
    And south-central virginia
  17. jlewis1111
    Yup def a beach storm kitty hawk up to you guys.. Congrats
  18. Ravens94
    3k
  19. WinstonSalemArlington
    Ocean temperature gradient
  20. Ravens94
    I wouldn't use the nam for precip at all at this range. It's going to move every run
  21. wncsnow
    We cant have the ULL track as far north as the NAM and RFFS show or we will get downsloped plain and simple. Luckily the Euro, GFS (somewhat) and AI models have it going in a better spot for us.
  22. weatherwiz
    Guess we'll just call this the storm that could have been. I for sure thought this was going to come up the coast days ago but totally wrong on that. dendrites post this morning illustrated why it wasn't happening and those signals with trough, dPVA, and dynamics were there the whole time to tell the story.
  23. NCSU_Pi
    What's interesting to me about RAH's last product is that the dry slot is not apparent on the 90% low end, but does seem evident on the 10% high end. As if we're either getting a broad shield or getting bombed with comparative dry slots. (IANAM, so what do I know?)
  24. GBOVolz
    Maybe they just hadn’t updated it yet .
  25. Wxbear25
    is it me, or are isopleth's overlapping here lol This is the ugliest looking thing I think I have ever seen *edit - Ok, I see it now, the 531 perfectly matches the NJ coastline and the "overlap" is just perfectly timed to when they pinch-off from one another
  26. GBOVolz
    Here’s my Accuweather forecast. (Yeah I know lol) but it’s nice to see my % isn’t that far apart. .
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