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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
weatherwiz replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Ramping up the elevated instability…not a bad sign. Just have to see if we can muster up enough surface instability. It’s going to be a short window but not impossible. Some of the bigger events happen when you’re rapidly increasing instability just out ahead of the approaching activity -
It'll make the lack of storms today more memorable.
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Light rain so far but that heavy blob's headed right at me. Much of the city will have 3" easy when this is over.
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DCA at 88/77 - bleh.
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Insane storm. Lots of lightning and thunder and some of the heaviest rain I've ever seen and I don't say that lightly, very scary out on the roads.
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Hey Sparta. Sparta here too - over near the health and wellness center on 517 (Sparta Ave) We were out from 11:15 - 11:50 but it came back, and then blinked again. We're good for now, but the JCP&L outages are stacking up. Almost 30K and counting. I have a small station over here but nothing fancy, as well as an official plastic rain gauge since the electronic tipper is unreliable, sometimes it works, sometimes not.
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Agreed. I'm ok with not seeing tornadoes either. Shear is very high and dynamics would be enough for a significant tornado threat for our area if we had the instability to back it up.
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
Cyclone-68 replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Not that it necessarily means anything locally but at least it’s good to see lots of thunder activity on radar in multiple places -
Man, this is a Florida thunderstorm.
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Yep another round headed this way
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.44 from this morning thunderstorms -
I'm fine with rain and thunder. Don't need to lose power again
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I've seen how these events play out time and time again. We almost always need surface heating for several hours to generate a severe threat. The dynamics can overcome this to some degree but it won't be enough
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more heavy rain /storms heading this way in central NJ south of Allentown
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
weatherwiz replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
yup...that's the stuff to watch for this evening. As that activity approaches we may see some discrete develop out ahead of it. -
Very humid, muggy, and eye-irritating smoky again in northern Ocean County. Worst smoke for me in a few days here
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* Flash Flood Warning for... Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey... Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... Union County in northeastern New Jersey... Kings (Brooklyn) County in southeastern New York... New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York... Queens County in southeastern New York... Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York... * Until 200 PM EDT. * At 1153 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.7 and 1.3 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to locally 2 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The radar certainly looks more robust than what the NAM and HRRR were suggesting. What that means going forward, your guess is as good as mine. More thunder as another storm approaches from the west. -
Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
WinterWolf replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Some nasty stuff up around Rochester…wonder if that is what comes through here this evening? -
Don’t you ever get tired of downplaying every event before it starts? All of this is following the forecast thus far.
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Oh shit that was loud!
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South wind starting to crank up.
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These storms have been nice -- not the very strong wind that would cause damage, but lots of lightning.
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Getting strike after strike. This storm is blowing up
