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Well well well I was looking at an older picture of the Woolly Camera. I reloaded it and man that place is a snow globe, with 4 inches on the Woolly Lot. That snow is blowing all over the place and visibilities are shot all to hell and back! Even the Village Level has an inch of snow and even there the snow is so heavy its unbelievable. You have to keep refreshing the damn camera! I was looking at what was likely a 5 hours old image. Well it's updated and that place is getting so fracking DEMOLISHED! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village At the Woolly Lot level snow is now coming down so fracking HARD that you can't even see the ground! They are just getting utterly DESTROYED by torrential snow that is being whipped into a milkshake froth! I'd estimate 4-5 inches on the Lot with drifts on the steps to 9 inches, temp is 26 and falling! The forecast for tonight WAS 9-13 inches. They just updated it to 14 to 20 inches! I am gonna stay up all damn NIGHT LONG! Its a gray froth, wind is simply BLASTING that heavy snow sideways so hard, it's a grey froth and piling up. In other news the line of impressive storms in Texas will clip us to the north in all likelihood I will end up with 5 minutes of drizzle/light rain. But that SNOW in Mammoth is UNDENIABLE! It is just POURING DOWN in a gray froth! Plow guy has arrived on the Woolly Lot at 3am Texas time. Snow looks to be about 6-7 inches deep. Still pouring down and blowing like a wild banshee!

Orange and red radar returns are directly over Mammoth. Mammoth has light flurries. It's 28 degrees with winds to 60 mph. Roads are mainly wet. I have never in my entire life, ever seen such a sucky suck COC winter at Mammoth. And while I am at it, THIS IS NOT CHURCH! COC is NOT spelled COC. It is C-O-C-K! Get this damned message board whipped into shape! NOW! It's high spring at Mammoth now. Snowpack on the slopes is thin. Skiers are being warned of hidden obstacles. I hope we get such a record, devastating super ultra El Nino this year, that Mammoth gets 240 feet of snow, and Buda gets 500 inches of rain. I am completely, utterly DISGUSTED with this suck ass winter in the Sierra. This winter is so horrible at Mammoth, with wet streets at 28 degrees with light flurries under stark red/orange returns, that we need to change the NAME, to the DMV Resort. The Washington DC Resort. Because even at 11,000 feet, Mammoth has light flurries and wet roads just like Northern Virginia in mid January. And it sucks gigantic GOAT BALLS!

Was driving through Grand Rapids yesterday and noticed the Grand River was awfully high. Same with local rivers and streams around my neck of the woods in Battle Creek. Going to be a humid summer.

Oh i agree with you,but at least we are seeing the tropical convection getting displaced in the upcoming days,we havent seen this in quite some time,which seems to be by a Rossby Wave in the EP and not WP

Drought guy! Only thing I have to add at 12:15am as I was walking through a park in upper Mont County today....stuff does appear to be dry, streams weak flow...perhaps Blatter problems. (RedSky?) Montgomery drought maps: Stuff is dry but not super smash yourself in the face horrible... https://www.drought.gov/states/pennsylvania/county/montgomery

1889-90 and 1892-93 both appeared to be very strong La Ninas, as well as 1909-10. The 1893 Nina was possibly the strongest on record. https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei.ext/table.ext.html

not looking long term guys. I just want to get through May. If I do not see a major pattern change where more gulf moisture infused in these cold frontal passages, we are really screwed. Every front is coming through bone dry as this progressive pattern is relentless. Folks, I cannot actually remember the last time when we had a stationary front over the east coast/mid atlantic with a barrage of LP shortwaves riding the front with temps producing warm enough to produce instability and thunderstorms. I am hoping May will bring this change or we are in trouble. Past history indicates a major pattern change in mid May.

Have a shot at our first 70 degree dew Tue or Wed. This would be less than a month after the blizzard on March 16th.

We did…but that set the stage for the next two winters(92-93, and 93-94) which started the big run. And then we had a shit year, and then 95-96 broke 93-94! Before all that started everybody thought the big winters were a thing of the past. That’s why I laugh at the pessimists now…I lived through the horror, and we came back stronger than ever. And we will AGAIN!

'91-'92 was a strong El Nino and we had Bob and the perfect storm leading into that winter. Unfortunately, snowfall around here was paltry. I wouldn't mind some anomalous storms again this fall but would hope the winter is better than back then.

This week back in ‘23 was very warm here… 70’s to 80’s to mid 90’s in the same week. It happens. Maybe the Pope can ride a wheelie to that shit..yet saying he’s never seen anything like this benign run of the mill garbage? What a dam JOKE!

Yeah, sure

For some reason I think it was ‘92..? But in April of ‘02 we had a banger heatwave where daytime highs were 90’s…cuz I had my Fatboy out all evening having a blast riding all over this area…was like a July/August night in April!!! Awesome!

73.4 here - mowed the yard for the first time, it was actually enjoyable.

Records: Highs: EWR: 87 (2011) NYC: 85 (1955) LGA: 82 (1955) JFK: 73 (2023) Lows: EWR: 29 (1976) NYC: 24 (1909) LGA: 32 (1943) JFK: 31 (2018) Historical: 1935: Severe dust storms across Iowa and Kansas closed schools and highways. Dodge City, Kansas experienced its worst dust storm of record, with dense dust reported from the morning of the 9th until after sunset on the 11th. The sky was almost as dark as night at times during the daylight hours. The thick dust suspended traffic on highways and railroads and also suspended most business in town. 1965 - Severe thunderstorms in the Upper Midwest spawned fifty-one tornadoes killing 256 persons and causing more than 200 million dollars damage. Indiana, Ohio and Michigan were hardest hit in the "Palm Sunday Tornado Outbreak". (David Ludlum) 1979: This day was known as "Terrible Tuesday" to the residents of Wichita Falls, Texas as a tornado rated F4 on the Fujita scale ripped through the city. A massive F4 tornado smashed into Wichita Falls killing 43 persons and causing 300 million dollars in damage. Another tornado struck Vernon, Texas killing eleven persons. 1987 - Ten days of flooding in the northeastern U.S. finally came to an end. Damage from flooding due to rain and snow melt ran into the billions of dollars. The collapse of the New York State Thruway Bridge over Schoharie Creek claimed ten lives. (Storm Data) 1988 - Sixteen cities in the western U.S., nine in California, reported new record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 95 degrees at Sacramento CA and 96 degrees at Bakersfield CA were the warmest of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Forty-four cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 25 degrees at Conway AR, 29 degrees at Dallas/Fort Worth TX, and 22 degrees at Ozark AR, were April records. Lows of 26 degrees at Hot Springs AR and 31 degrees at Shreveport LA equalled April records. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - While showers produced heavy rain over much of the northeastern U.S., heavy snow blanketed northern Maine, with 13 inches reported at Telos Lake. Strong southwesterly winds accompanying the rain and snow gusted to 68 mph at the Blue Hill Observatory in Massachusetts. Rainfall totals of 1.04 inch at Pittsburgh PA and 1.52 inch at Buffalo NY on the 10th were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Up to 67 today. Pollen palooza

Okay correction. It has just been brought to my attention that 99.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999 percent of the forcing in Texas will be 400 miles north of Buda. We Always Get Missed. Therefore I will see five minutes of drizzle. One thing I really CRAVE for, is a super El Nino with rain amounts about 99 decillion percent above normal for Fall and Winter 2026-2027. I want so damn much rain in south central Texas that the river that runs thru Austin ends up putting Buda under 150 feet of water. You know, I am so fracking crazy about humanitarian-disaster-level rains, that I actually wish the Cabal was still in power and they set out to destroy Texas with Biblical rains. They had the power. Now, that will never happen. I'd have adored that! Being in the news about a Harvey-like tropical storm that somehow had so much moisture and swirled over Buda for 9 months with meters of rainwaters. I'd have been out on a monumental historic jebwalk checking out water levels! I have always craved for a severe flood. I have been around for 62 years and I have NEVER been in a real flood. I am NOT thankful to g-d. The only thing that I will ever express gratitude for, is a devastating flood with many meters of water that I am in. I want a 9 billion, 999 decillion milennial El Nino in Texas this autumn. We need 70 percent of the people out of here anyway. I want severe floods like in The Bible. Too damn BAD I missed that. FUCK SNOW. I want Waterworld-like rain amounts.

He may have reason looking long term. I'm thinking a 4569 character multi paragraph mind explosion post....always welcomed of course. 53F

Fire warnings are going to go up soon, due to the dry conditions, if we don't get some rain soon.

Severe season didn’t even wave as she went by .

Looks like a pretty special week coming up in NYC.. High temperatures from Tuesday into Thursday will average 15 to 25 degrees above normal. NBM box and whisker plots are generally around the 25th percentile for the max temperature forecast. The median (50th percentile), is right skewed, toward the warmer side of the guidance. The experimental NBM 5.0 is also a couple of degrees warmer than the operational. The warmer scenario seems plausible, and even has metro NE NJ Wednesday and Thursday around 90. This would be close to 30 degrees above normal and record breaking for a few of the climate sites (see climate section below). The records going into this timeframe are quite high, getting into the heat wave of 2002. Several climate sites from April 16-18, 2002, reached 90 or higher for 3 consecutive days. Don`t see thathappening at this time. Additionally, there is the potential for an even longer period of days with record high minimum temperatures. CLIMATE... Record High Temperatures that could be reached: April 15: KEWR: 88/1960 KBDR: 81/1960 KNYC: 87/1941 KLGA: 86/1941 KJFK: 80/2006 KISP: 78/2024

This is likely the biggest western US trough ever experienced since records began! The same incredible Pacific trough that is bringing catastrophic snows to California ski resorts for the next three days, is the very same brobdingnagian trough that is bringing badly needed rains to the severely desertified regions of south central Texas tonight through Wednesday! There is a brobdingnagian blob of rain in W TX heading eastbound to Austin and will hammer most of central and eastern Texas.

There was an April in the early 90s, I think 91 where we had 90s at the beginning of April. I had just bought a bass boat and was thrilled to be able to take it out so early in the year.

For the NNE thread… We’ve had steady snow cover at 1500ft since mid-November. Snow depth reached 45” max a couple times, and spent over 3 months above 24”. This morning it was down to 3” and I expect it will be gone by Monday. Still 53” at 3,000ft and 61” at 3,700ft.

country roads, take me home