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Next week is our I&A so it’s mostly PI planning related and it’s a big project…but still a lot of meetings. I feel for the developers.

Well we had to get you on the board. I mean it was 19-0

Been a good normal Spring thus far.

Low of 43, high of 70. Wind kept us from bottoming out.

Next Wednesday looks like it may be the day. I don't think the burbs but Philly maybe? 60F

global ocean temps from previous super el nino were cooler then what is forecasted to be this year super el nino. the 82 one global ocean temps were much cooler then normal..

+1

Low of 35 at 6:55am.

Yeah... I can feel the moisture being sucked out of my skin

First tick of the year on me in the books

Two years ago we were all reflecting on the second total solar eclipse in seven years. Now I look up and see boring. Only 19 more years until the next big total solar eclipse in the South. August 2045 will offer six minutes of amazing!

Rain Saturday night was an Easter miracle. I don't see much more for a couple weeks. Might be able to get some quality precip late April but delays would not surprise me. Gotta chip away at what will become a significant SER and Mid-Atlantic ridge. Then getting into May (note weeks 3-5 are notoriously awful forecasts) charts show WNW flow and only normal precip. Meh. Weeks 3-5 are considered the un-sweet forecast range beyond daily extended forecasting yet not covered by reliable seasonal signals. Hope for all our yards is El Nino signal kicks in quickly in June. Normal heights and seasonable moisture would open the door for summer thundershowers. We'll see if / how the drought impacts dewpoints though.

60.2/17 Bone dry

Memphis Pyramid Effect.. or the Great Wall of the Mississippi River.. or a stubborn Southeast Ridge. My chips are on the latter. Frustrating!

First time since October I don't see an arctic airmass moving southeast in the long range. Seriously.

Are the only super events 1877-78, 1982-83, 1997-98, & 2015-16?

These are the mechanisms causing the record-breaking WWB and accelerating El Niño development:

59 for high it seems. S wind increasing.

81 and brisket-y here outside Dallas.

Too easy

I just hope the Euro Ai is correct and not the GFS. The GFS rainfall is dramatically different and much drier.

I’m currently thinking the under on the NS and H forecast.

CSU is out with its first forecast for the upcoming season, which will be here before you know it. With a Super Niño on the table and the current SST distribution in the Atlantic, I’m strongly bearish on the upcoming season. Last season was the first in quite sometime without a major U.S. landfall. We will see if there is a chase opportunity this year. I take the under currently with the NS and H projections above.

Sounds great.