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Kuchera map is notably (and unsurprisingly) less impressive.
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
82 and strong winds right now. 40% chance of rain and snow tomorrow. "Thunder in the Mountains" Rule looks like it is in effect. Buckle up! -
18z HRRR gives us the goods:
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Feeling a little dewsy in the draws.
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR is in for the entire DMV -
Toasty in south Sterling by the airport. 82.
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CEF hit 70 at 3:00. Progged high for the day was 62.
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Totally random, but sooo many people (myself included) have sinus infections. My moms doctor actually said she thinks one of the factors is bacteria released in the air when the snow melted started a big wave of those infections. Speaking of snow, the fact that a near-winterlong snowblanket protected the ground from much frost damage will combine with the heavy rain this past week to help the grass greenup quickly. You can already see some green emerging.
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Tornado watches up to the west of the Blue Ridge from about Luray northward.
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Methinks the ground may be a tad too warm for stickage. SnowTV at best.
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Looks like another bunch of shattered high temperatures today. So far, DCA hit 84, IAD and BWI 82. Records at all three airports for the date had been 79.
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Almost clear in DC, although we still might have some cloud deck coming in, according to vis sat. Already 84/54 at DCA, so it will be nearly impossible for storms to get down to the surface. The HRRR and RRFS are progging ~500 CAPE peak for DC, while the NAM nest and RAP are >1000. Usually, I'd lean towards the RAP, but both it and the NAM are initializing too cold (3 degrees or so), so I'll lean towards the HRRR and RRFF, which show a kind of isolated low-topped supercell event. Maybe some small hail.
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https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/satellite/img/vis_nj_anim.gif
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Made it to 81.3 now down to 79
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Another high of 80 today, can't wait for that front to get through here overnight.
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...And nams and others lol. I don't understand the surprise about any of this. Heavy wet snow for a brief period of time in March isn't remarkable. It will snow tomorrow, hardly anything will accumulate, and that's it. People who go by the wrong snow maps are the ones that are freaking out and that makes no sense to me. Snow depth on grass maybe and colder surfaces might be a half inch to possibly an inch. Nothing crazy at all.
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Here is the HRRR, 3K NAM and the WRF right before the storms move into the valley. Obviously nothing extreme here, but there’s definitely some spin to be worked with. Low to moderate CAPE wi .
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Check out the m/u 80's into northern VA and even into Delaware. Chilly eastern New England and LI and coastal NJ beaches.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Live reporting on the storms https://youtu.be/FJoVzDHD9tc -
other than the Euro/EPS, seems as though there’s been an overall north trend. Didn’t the Euro have a terrible performance with the EC bomb last month? Guess we’ll see how it does this time around
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Busting aside, luckily New England can also have snowy winters if departures are >1.0°.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
EVLINC64 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
YAAAAAAAAWNNN not much here with that6 1st Round but heavy Rain for 5 minutes -
Yep agree winter is done but with a transition to el nino , I am not sure how warm this spring will be.
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Weekly ice for March 9. Been a decent ice season. This is only the 2nd week that ice was below avg, and that being driven by much lower ice on L Superior.
