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Not my first rodeo. "leaning below" I know I've ranted on these maps before, but I just always find them funny. I know what they're trying to imply, but they separate the probs into 3 categories (BN, N, AN) and slap a probability on each one and shade with whichever one is the highest. So they shade us in 40-50% probability of BN which translates to 50-60% (higher) chance of not BN.

I thought I was the one having painkillers. Open bar happy hour in CT it seems.

Below is the 2025 Chester County PA Climate Summary

What is wrong with CT?

Im good with it as long as no one starts a Storm thread outside of 7 days that's grounds for therapy.

Count me as not skeptical at all. Winter has had a great start. We will get our snow when cold fronts stall just to our south and east and waves of low pressure move up along them. We are already ahead of the pace of most recent winter seasons on snowfall and look to continue the pace by mid January. As I previously noted, there's a strong cold front which was timed for January 12th and is now timed for Jan 10th or 11th. Patience. WX/PT

They obviously think cold east outside of the Deep South and warm west.

Has anyone EVER seen them issue those maps with any of the grey shading for an increased probability of "near normal"? I can't recall ever seeing it. Instead we get that boring 33/33/33% of equal chances.

50-60% chance of near normal to above. Sweet.

He is dead nuts right. Can I suggest sunscreen and a big floppy hat?

Subforum on edge

Yup very cool to see. My uncle had a 70 or 71 skidoo he let me take out when I was a kid. Engine basically in your lap and exhaust hitting your chest, no suspension to speak of - good times!

Congrats

12z Euro has a good looking Winter storm chance on the 14th for us this run with a juicy system approaching from the south that passes underneath of us.

It's all good.

First of all Ken, that was a legit question to somebody who said one day of perhaps 60. And my only question was, I was thinking that was because we warm sectored on that cutter. He responded with yes, and it was dry too, so that was why. I don’t understand how that upset anybody, or turned into anybody keeping snow? So I don’t get your point. If it’s days and days of 55-65, I’d have no issues saying so.

It's very 12/5/09 vibes.

AMATT circle jerk it seems. Let em jerk

#southwestwindsmatter

Ya, I didn’t see anybody talking about keeping any snow on the ground. Scott through that in there, and I replied I didn’t care if mine melts. Then of course it was twisted into something completely different.

At this point rain would be a nice change of pace

I tossed the December cold because it came from Canada. What a cheap way to pull off negative anomalies.

Warm spells don't count if they're advected in on SW winds?

Circle of Trust 2.0