All Activity

On the HRRR, the temperature at RIC starts at 36°F when the precipitation arrives, then drops to 30°F before it ends. There is about a 1-2 hour window to accumulate before tapering off. I believe the GFS was the first model to highlight the idea of a farther southward expansion of the precip along and east of I-95 in Virginia and over towards Hampton Roads.

I was just thinking the same thing as per overperforming. Snow accumating quick right now. Temp holding steady at 28.2

2 degrees below forecast rn. 36/30 AND can confirm wet bulb is 33

Based on radar, expecting precip to start within the hour.

Based off mesonet data, the wet bulb temp is 32/33 degrees for everyone west of I-95. It won't take much to bump this down below more once things get started. It looks like we might waste very little, if anything at all, on getting all frozen.

Should be a good omen for areas further East that the I81 corridor is getting snow. The last few days that area was in a dead zone on Models. Should intensify for areas East of Frederick pretty quickly. Good luck to everyone tonight.

Yup starting to stick here

Ok so it's snowing here already... Temp still 34°F, not sticking, but really pretty in the street lights.

If it's a reload period with a definitive end period, that's fine. We all get worried when things just go zonal for weeks on end.

Decent rates have finally made their appearance.

In Union Bridge already? That's great honestly. Very happy to see things going right to frozen once precip starts.

29 w/ moderate snow solid coating on all surfaces expecting an over performer here

That's a crazy gradient between Hagerstown at .9 and the Catoctins at over 5+. About a 15 mile treck between the 2

The post snowfall downer after the tracking upper is a thing. I find going on a hike, taking pics, or something can shift the mindset.

"Welcome to the jungle,we all know why your here" Here's to a good luck first post.

Yes. I am a sissy when it comes to going out on ice. I like 6". Preferably 8" of clear non slush ice. The young bucks were out there today. And drilled over the whole lake. 5" of solid clear ice.

The frozen ground definitely made a big difference. Down to 33 here and the patio and some of the sidewalks are snow covered. So we won’t lose any qpf later.

Looks to be some nice bands setting up just north of the county.

Just got back from a holiday get together in Manayunk, could have sworn I saw a flake in Blue Bell. 34F/DP 28F

Passing an inch here with steady light to moderate. Roads covered and 29ºF. Next couple hours are going to make or break the event here I think in terms of whether I can score a solid advisory event. Some of the better enhanced banding over Pittsburgh should translate over this way in that timeframe. Downsloping hasn’t been too much of an issue so far here being right against the Allegheny Front. Should also note starting to see the enhancement of the precip in the Sus Valley as well on CTP and LWX radar.

And the Euro AI showed it first I believe. You sent me the snow map, though it was an even more impressive storm initially on the AI.

PFFT?

Lol man I hate you