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Unless we're going to suddenly spike into the 80s, a severe threat here just isn't happening. It doesn't help that storms at peak heating will be isolated, while convection will become more widespread after dark when we start to cool. I'd be thrilled to just hear thunder.

Hate it has to be like this but yea, the CAMs are less than enthusiastic about rain north of I-85. I hope they’re wrong but drought breeds drought. I’m happy for folks in SC and Georgia though. They need it just as bad as we do in NC.

Should be seeing some instability showing up.

It's raining!

(Unfortunately) Mine is growing just fine and the weeds are doing even better! A little bit every few days is all it takes. Too bad it doesn't do squat for the drought...

We've had breaks in the clouds this afternoon and humidity and temperatures have risen by 15 degrees.

More rainfall later. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Saturday's also looking wetter unfortunately at least on the euro

Some light rain here but can see the radar fading to crap. Probably won’t even be enough to get the pollen off my car.

Yeah I got only .06" from that round of light rain. Not enough to give the vegetable garden a decent watering. I see the models are showing another round of rain during the overnight hours, so hopefully we'll get more then.

The only problem with May snow is that for most of us it'll all largely be gone tomorrow

0.20” Wednesday morning / Columbia

Vermont is getting a mesonet! New Advanced Weather Station Will Be Part of Vermont’s ‘Mesonet’

wetness returns post doldrums?

.20" of drought-bustin' rains in the bucket today, 61F.

Giga-Nino is going to eventually crush the drought and wash away the barren ground of our yards after all the grass dies, dries up, and blows away in the next 3 months before the Nino kicks in.

Wouldn’t that be some sh*t

What a joke of an event. Will this drought ever end?

RAH AFD mentioning the possibility of losing QPF due to a "gravity wave". Wikipedia essentially describes a gravity wave as any wave where gravity is the restorative force, which describes a lot of waves. There is a section on atmospheric examples but it's very broad. Anyone care to share on what gravity wave means in the context of NC weather? Waves of moderate showers and storms will continue to be directed across the Carolina Wed evening into Thurs morning ahead of a back-door cold frontal passage slowly sagging south across the southern Mid-Atlantic. Precip chances may be negatively impacted by any gravity wave development during this time, which can rapidly erode precip generation in this type of pattern. By Thurs morning, the combination of frontogentical forcing and an area of low pressure rippling along the front will likely bring another round of widespread showers and isolated storms before shifting east of the area by late Thurs evening. Uncertainty in timing of the fropa is resulting in lower confidence in the development of an unstable air mass supportive of surface-based convection Thurs afternoon, which will be needed to realize any severe potential. Strong and increasing shear with height will be highly favorable for storm organization, but conditional on development of deep convection first. Storm total rainfall through Thurs evening looks to bring much needed rain to the area with the reasonable low-end from the HREF still producing a swath of 0.75 to 1" somewhere over the Carolinas. However, the experimental REFS paints a troubling alternate scenario with reasonable low-end amounts closer 0.25 to 0.5". With the potential for gravity wave development and more quickly eroding shields of precipitation, this scenario can`t be ruled out.

I wonder if we get some sun we see some instability this evening.

Just 0.04, hoping for thunderstorms this evening

Scott all excited about the 00z ECMWF coastal on Monday?!

0.00 for the day & month -- light drizzle 1.16 for April Firmly locked in the grip of the latest drought down here in the central Valley...

More developing in TN.