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Another thing to share that I thought was interesting is just as it passed to the south, every single window in the house fogged up I figured you guys would know why. But said to my wife “it’s got to be right there, we just can’t see it with the hail and wind”

NAM fail today. Already 50 here. Another nice one on tap. Let's get rid of more snow piles

I do believe we negative 20s in June?

I’ve never seen a forecast for a (midnight) high in the 70s with frozen precip later that same day (in this region). Not in my 24 years of tracking weather

UUFFDA!! My 1.2" yesterday, 1.7" today, and possible 6+" of snow tomorrow night is all the excitement I care for. Tor's and giant hail not my cup of tea. Cool to watch, tho. Blessings to all down there.

It’s happening. Get on the bus. Go all in. 6 inches is my baseline for uva (based on GFS and prior temp forecast)

While I hope you’re right…I want the streets cleaned up so I can keep the truck clean. There is no way you can know this..and you know it. March has 3 full weeks to go, and with Mr. PV hanging close by…it may not be over. But I do hope you are correct. Beautiful morning here…so much for the NAM getting it right today with cool and damp. What a POS.

I started our December threads so I’m down to start our possible last of the season.

another warm day on temp with sun and temps in the 60's.

It's semantics, sure ... but I just thought it was interesting. I cracked that open this morning, thinking I'd see a BD yet that's a synoptic normal front. whatever, the flow is NE and rudely steeling yesterday's joy; no one outside this social media is either aware nor gives a shit about the differences. agreed -

This cannot be happening

+28 for ORH yesterday…that’s the highest departure since April 2023. I had to go back to Jan 2020 to find one higher. Of course they’re all positives.

Regarding the lake breeze, again I’m about 2 miles north and 2 miles west of lake village The lake breeze ripped through here and dropped it to about 52 degrees with stiff north winds Around 4 o’clock the stiff lake breeze relented and we made it to about 58 degrees By around 5 o’clock when I get back from picking up my wife we were at about 64 degrees and the neighbors flag was showing winds out of the E/SE. After the tornado passed just south, and before the next rounds of storms, the humidity came back and it felt like a stormy night But just before it hit, SE winds and it wasn’t very humid or juicy feeling out Anyway, just sharing. I was glued to the weather and being outside yesterday

it's not totally alone and eps did nudge south with accums in WI, this could in fact be your moment

Whatever you want to call it…it has more momentum on the BD angle of the front. The “cold” over upstate NY gets bullied out pretty easily by the WAA push.

Seems weird. They went off for about 90 seconds right when our phones buzzed. I know you know what you are talking about, just not sure I agree with it This morning has been a trip realizing how close it was. Definitely let my guard down due to how quickly the sirens came on and then turned off

I would agree. The remnant outflow was clearly visible on satellite for a long time before the cell interacted with it. It appeared to move south for several miles and then became stationary.

someone who is good lucky should start a thread...

When will watches be issued?

Someone mentioned last night that they shut the sirens off. That is the typical procedure. Once a tornado warning is issued, they sound sound the sirens, usually for 2-3 minutes, depending on the jurisdiction, then shut down. Another misnomer is that they sound them when the threat has passed. The sirens will sometimes be sounded a second time if it's a long leashed warning, say 15 minutes or more before the tornado actually gets close to the siren's warning area. As someone who used to work on them, you don't want to hear that for 15-30 minutes if you live near the siren.

lol GFS consistently giving us biblical amounts. Can’t wait for the inevitable cave. thinking 3-6 is a good first guess here

Watched that storm on HiRes Sat throughout its life and that was the most impressive sustained updraft with intense rotation up through 50-60k ft I've seen in our sub. I'm also curious how that early lake breeze that moved inland and stalled right around the IKK area affected it. That storm sure looked like it got rooted into that stalled outflow boundary that collided with the warm front. Some extra enhancement there? Thats a rare updraft for even TX hail country to be juggling 5-6 inchers 5 miles in the air. Truly epic updraft.

This is true remember last month when some well known not to be named METS online were discounting the chances of any snow the last half of February ?

Technically not a back door front. Not according to WPC's last analysis. It 'sa front coming down steeply from the N but it's not back dooring this is more synoptically driven than a meso-beta scaled BD effect. Also, with that high building ESE toward the Maritime the way it is modeled to do so means that there is no way to 'retreat' or really even mix out that mass prior to main frontal sweep early tomorrow. Case closed. enjoy you're dog shit New England curse.