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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ve been in this camp for days -
It’s colder at 66. .
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
MJO812 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
He thinks I am a weenie. -
4 runs does not make a forecast…however GSO cut in half from 10.0 to 5.6. Trend or wobbles we shall see… .
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AI Euro was definitely north with more mixing issues.
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Nobody knows what the exact totals will be. The max is a lot of snow and the minimum is an ice storm. Weather channel uses the NBM along with their own recipe for the apps. It’s not to be trusted. We need it to trend a tick or two further south. Right now we’re in a flux between Short range and Long range models. Tomorrow night we will have the best idea on what will occur. IMO. .
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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Don't have a whole lot of frames yet, but it looks like Euro AIFS has ticked back north a bit. -
Not that either.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Yanksfan replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
GEFS look great. North of the Op. -
An amazing run just 3 to 4 days out! I will say I'm very cautious of those totals but crap cut that in half and thats still one hell of a storm. So we have the Euro and the GFS. The next 48 hours will be telling of what this system could do. Honestly tracking this system had been a delight and fun.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Wait until the models catch up with the depth of the cold once we get closer and lucy shows up. -
This is the banter I’m here for .
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Tucker1027 started following January Banter 2026
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Some nice hits there too with a chunk of left leaning members. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Mark Mancuso was still hitting 2-5” in the interior at 630am that morning. I ended up with 18” (no clearing) in Auburn, NH. -
And that's with the awful 12Z GFS still in the mix, though it apparently is overwhelmed with all the other inputs that were still looking good. 18Z won't be in there until (I believe) the next NBM winter update cycle at 01Z.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
.4-.7" qpf throughout SNE gets plowable snow through CNE -
yeah you crushed it bro
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If you know mother natures number call her and tell her that we will take all she can give at this point. .
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My prediction earlier today that the 12z GFS was only a "blip" nailed it. GFS is back from 1.5" to a foot.
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Christmas?? Im still having ptsd from the January system where virga robbed us for the first 5 hours and then it snowed for an hour and then poured sleet. .
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I'd ask about Bernie Rayno but he's more of the office type. Cantore is the field attack dog. He'll sniff out the jack ahead of time.
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Great I better get ready here then to be buried!
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Big potential here imo . Good look up top, confluence out in front of the NS shortwave, surface HP to the north, a significant shortwave moving across the deep south inducing low pressure off the SE coast, and plenty of cold air in place. Also the possibility of a phase.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Prue11 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
The 12z trended a bit warmer I wonder if that will have any influence on how north the storm come?
