Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. My guess will be Lohrei 2026 1st Rounder (Boston's not Toronto's) If there is an extension involved then you probably see someone like Lysell added in
  3. Nothing yet here in the 395 valley, 37F and it looks it wants to snow
  4. Looks like 4.5” on the board will do it. Thankfully my lawn gives me 5” on the ground
  5. well, you and others are doing fine, too. I mean we'll see? we've seen unusual behaviors where varying elaboration/coherence morph before there can be a realized event. That's been a thing in recency ( decadal ). The telecons come in and out of signal, doing so before there's been enough time to realize correlated events. fascinating if frustrating. So for now ...it is what it is
  6. Yep their point and clicks updated to give 1-2" to me. Next map should show the same.
  7. 2.5" final measurement in Garwood (central Union County NJ). Down to light flurries.
  8. Incredible. Probably at 1.5” on ground here in Riverside
  9. Still some very light snow. 29.7° Looks like accumulating snow is over. Just measured 4.6" 24.4" for season with more to come.
  10. This is really such a tough forecast, I'm becoming quite optimistic but this could still go either way. Outside of eastern areas really, we're relying heavily on the mid-levels evolving. If they don't really crank...that puts a huge damper moving west across the region into the interior.
  11. Seems like the euro folded like a cheap suit to the GFS/rgem/ai models which had this idea earlier.
  12. I wouldn't go that far. These are empiric in the sense of being based in historic data and probability. Obviously verification TBD, but through 12z today (with major deterministic models shifting towards AI), I agree with Jerry this is shaping up to be an unambiguous win for AI guidance. I agree a major weakness (see my dedicated thread on the topic) is that reasons for a solution are opaque. We have to reverse engineer how a particular solution is reached. Also mentioned in the dedicated thread, and eager to watch how this unfolds in the next few years: physics-AI hybrids are in development.
  13. Today’s event may exceed what many of us get here tomorrow lol.
  14. obviously nothing is guaranteed, but that is what you want to see if you are big game hunting
  15. I’m looking forward to tomorrow’s white rain, but not as much as I’m looking forward to feet of prime-climo pattern.
  16. this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  17. B's getting Andersson? What's the price? First rounder? I'm Rangers fan so my team in complete turmoil.
  18. 4.5" on the snowboard, 5" on the ground. 4.5" goes in the books as it's very light snow and settling in, doubt it goes higher in the board but we'll see in a bit, 31/29.
  19. this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...