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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
weatherwiz replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
My guess will be Lohrei 2026 1st Rounder (Boston's not Toronto's) If there is an extension involved then you probably see someone like Lysell added in -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Measured between 2.5 and 2.75" -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Modfan2 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Nothing yet here in the 395 valley, 37F and it looks it wants to snow -
Looks like 4.5” on the board will do it. Thankfully my lawn gives me 5” on the ground
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
well, you and others are doing fine, too. I mean we'll see? we've seen unusual behaviors where varying elaboration/coherence morph before there can be a realized event. That's been a thing in recency ( decadal ). The telecons come in and out of signal, doing so before there's been enough time to realize correlated events. fascinating if frustrating. So for now ...it is what it is -
Yep their point and clicks updated to give 1-2" to me. Next map should show the same.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Dark Star replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
2.5" final measurement in Garwood (central Union County NJ). Down to light flurries. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
hooralph replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Incredible. Probably at 1.5” on ground here in Riverside -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
sussexcountyobs replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Still some very light snow. 29.7° Looks like accumulating snow is over. Just measured 4.6" 24.4" for season with more to come. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
weatherwiz replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
This is really such a tough forecast, I'm becoming quite optimistic but this could still go either way. Outside of eastern areas really, we're relying heavily on the mid-levels evolving. If they don't really crank...that puts a huge damper moving west across the region into the interior. -
Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
WxWatcher007 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
East Hartford? Or do you mean Hartland -
January 16-19th: Rolling the dice
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems like the euro folded like a cheap suit to the GFS/rgem/ai models which had this idea earlier. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
wxsniss replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I wouldn't go that far. These are empiric in the sense of being based in historic data and probability. Obviously verification TBD, but through 12z today (with major deterministic models shifting towards AI), I agree with Jerry this is shaping up to be an unambiguous win for AI guidance. I agree a major weakness (see my dedicated thread on the topic) is that reasons for a solution are opaque. We have to reverse engineer how a particular solution is reached. Also mentioned in the dedicated thread, and eager to watch how this unfolds in the next few years: physics-AI hybrids are in development. -
Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
Ginx snewx replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
Damn son -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Today’s event may exceed what many of us get here tomorrow lol. -
obviously nothing is guaranteed, but that is what you want to see if you are big game hunting
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We can wish
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I’m looking forward to tomorrow’s white rain, but not as much as I’m looking forward to feet of prime-climo pattern.
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this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
cut replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
B's getting Andersson? What's the price? First rounder? I'm Rangers fan so my team in complete turmoil. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
IrishRob17 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
4.5" on the snowboard, 5" on the ground. 4.5" goes in the books as it's very light snow and settling in, doubt it goes higher in the board but we'll see in a bit, 31/29. -
8 -10 days out that's all u can ask for
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Another Coating of Snow Saturday - "It's all we Got"
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
About 6.5” east Hartford wow. -
Dumping now and piling up
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this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
