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6z nam digging farther west and closing off over the Tennessee, Bama, and Mississippi border at 84! Would be a great run for us afterwards

Ratios are 17 to 20:1 on the NAM across the state as snow is falling. Just south of Nashville, and in NE Tn from earlier snow, 4-6 inches have fallen at 84 and it's still snowing over the eastern 2/3rds of the forum area. Alabama and Georgia are in the game.

In response, we are getting nammed, almost state wide by 78. Looks like the RGEM.

The NAM is winding our energy up over Eastern Kansas/Western Missouri at 06z, 72hrs, at 78 at 0z it wasn't quite wound yet and was over SE Missouri.

This is Feb 15 like

Agricultural nightmare. Frozen pipe city. Gonna need a lot of plumbers, fire sprinkler peeps

Post your February forecasts, due to storm situation will extend penalty free deadline to 06z FEB 2nd. I may change my mind but to start us off, -5.5 _ -6.0 _ -6.5 _ -6.5 _ -6.0 _ -5.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0

The SLP was actually East this run. It’s just doing ULL things in the foothills. .

Deeper and further west. We're so close.

Stick a fork in it?

Goal post will tighten later today - crazy thing is they are already very tight. Very minute changes are causing pretty large surface differences. H5 trended better across guidance today. We can only hope the surface follows suite tomorrow

Agreed - calling for a repeat of those storms is just a bit premature! The GFS vs. the world disconnect is really frustrating. Hoping for a consensus tomorrow.

Jeff Huffman @HuffmanHeadsUp Here are the top 15: 1. 20160123/1200 2. 20101226/1800 3. 19960108/0000 4. 20100303/0600 5. 19960216/1800 6. 20210202/0000 7. 19890224/0000 8. 19800303/0000 9. 20020103/1800 10. 20090120/1800 11. 20220129/0600 12. 20090302/0600 13. 20040310/1200 14. 19830311/1200 15. 19891224/0600 ------ FYI, he's with Baron Weather, a weather radar firm in Huntsville, Alabama.

It’ll be interesting to see how things look at 12z tomorrow as new data is ingested fully Certainly encouraging to see every model trend west up top at 0z. Perhaps the downstream impacts of that will show itself tomorrow and beyond. Perhaps it won’t.

Yup… Euro trends back east after trending west the run before. Not a good sign. I’m ready to jump again… sigh… .

Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill

What about the other 2 he doesn't mention?

I know everybody is either depressed or biting their nails, so I thought I'd show this heartening tweet https://x.com/HuffmanHeadsUp/status/2016378076901281901/photo/1

I had chatgpt make this

EPS still looks good.

Thank you for your service

As Gen Z would say, my hairline is already "chopped".

Likely out on a biggie? Yep. Can we still get 3-6” of fluff to add to the 6-10” glacier pack around the region? Also yep. I’m personally not one to sneeze at 3-6 of additional powder in deep winter. I know we’re all big dog hunting, but let’s keep our climo in mind when setting expectations. We *could* end this weekend with over a foot of snowpack CWA wide with more chances on the horizon. That’s fantastic in a niña

I'd rather be where we are now than where we were at 12z or 00z last night. Have a good sleep y'all.