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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fox 29 in Philly posted the below graphic for Philadelphia at the PHL Airport regarding "heat wave" days. I have also posted the same analysis for Chester County since 2020. Of note 10 of the Chester County stations have had the same or less than the 7 heat waves at PHL this year over the entire 2020's! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Fox 29 in Philly posted the below graphic for Philadelphia at the PHL Airport regarding "heat wave" days. I have also posted the same analysis for Chester County since 2020. Of note 10 of the Chester County stations have had the same or less than the 7 heat waves at PHL this year over the entire 2020's! -
0.47" of rain yesterday. Stronger cell just to my S dumped 1-2". Most welcome.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
In the end one of two scenarios will probably occur 1) MCS activity is confined to extreme northern VT/NH and ME 2) MCS activity dives to our southwest -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Oh boy the excitement -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
These things are extremely unpredictable this far out, but there is some MCS potential on Tuesday...perhaps multiple MCS rounds -
Absolutely silent as a mouse this year. Maybe we can get something to develop in the Gulf late season but Cape Verde activity absolutely dead.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brewbeer replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
71/64, one more dry day before the dews drop back in for a bit the upcoming Saturday seems like it will be the opposite of the preceding Saturday, which I recall had several rounds of misery mist IMBY -
There's a wall of shear it will run into. I don't think this gets named at all.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Typhoon Tip replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not sure I see/agree there's much evidence that this ENSO isn't going to heat up more. -
I am on this Maryland Politics Forum and one of the threads was all these guys complaining about how awful women were and the thread author said "who even knows what these b**** C**** want... to which I replied, maybe not to be called that. 3 different guys responded calling me a f**. Did young men decide they never want sex again? WTF happened. And no that forum is not usually this toxic and the thread has now been deleted by the moderator but...jeesh
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Just a quick glance it looks like the temperatures are actually lower in Manchester. Bad calibration in concord? After you're done with those standard deviations maybe you can run a comparison of actual temperatures.
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Low of 62.9 this morning, my coolest morning low since June
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brewbeer replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
unlikely to have anything to do with clouds or latitude, solar is widely used in Europe where it is also cloudy it might have something to do with the price of power, which was 20 cents/kwh when I went solar 10 years ago, and is closer to 30 cents now I believe. how much is it up there ? should be less since you are closer to where it is generated (Canada). it might have to do with incentives, Mass has had tax credits and cash payments for SRECs (renewable power generated) for as long as I can remember. it might have to do with politics and the resulting "news" (media) that people consume; we have right-focused friends in the next town who were absolutely blown away when we shared with them our solar journey - they could not believe that we hadn't paid an electric bill in 10 years, had recouped system costs in their entirety in the 7th year, and have a credit for excess generation that is currently north of $600. they thought solar power was a "scam". for me going solar was part economic and also an acknowledgement of the environmental damage I am doing to the planet by my consumption. using and providing excess renewable energy to my immediate neighbors is one way I can help reduce my personal impact on everyone else -
Politics. Massachusetts in May had their first month ever where renewables supplied enough energy for the state.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I guess maybe for a small area...however, I feel like it may be tougher to pull with how much humidity is increased as a result of more moisture. I think higher nighttime minds may foil any attempt at a redux. -
2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I think that’ll be very hard as climo is still climo, but at this rate it’s on the board. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For those interested in the very early accuracy of the ChescoWx model forecasts vs. the NWS - so far with a couple complete days all model runs ran cooler than the NWS Forecast and the actual verified temperatures were cooler than the NWS Forecast with ChescoWx at least over a couple full days being closer to the actuals. But it is only a couple of days so we will keep tracking. The first column is the forecast run time with the green shaded being ChescoWx and the unshaded column the NWS forecast. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
For those interested in the very early accuracy of the ChescoWx model forecasts vs. the NWS - so far with a couple complete days all model runs ran cooler than the NWS Forecast and the actual verified temperatures were cooler than the NWS Forecast with ChescoWx at least over a couple full days being closer to the actuals. But it is only a couple of days so we will keep tracking. The first column is the forecast run time with the green shaded being ChescoWx and the unshaded column the NWS forecast. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
HRRR gone wild tomorrow -
might be another year of no hits on the US mainland
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
kgottwald replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Wonder if we can eke out a year without a single Atlantic hurricane! That'd be pretty exciting. -
It actually decreased from yesterday. It most likely won't develop at all thanks to the SAL & shear.
