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February 1983 Megalopolis event was very good for my area (about 18"), but January 2016 was a fringe job....I got like 2" of pixie dust.

Wonder how my plants will take the frost this morning…

For my current location, you can probably exchange 1995-1996 for 2000-2001...my area now did much worse in the Jan 7, 1996 blizzard and much better in the March 5, 2001 event than my former locale.

Yea, I'm going to be against a -NAO at this juncture, but will see once I do my polar domain research and you get your index calculation in.

My area was a local min....the Worcester hills and Boston area down to the south short did much better. i was only likw 10-15" above average...pretty blah. Similar to 2013-2014 in that regard....those are my two most overrated winters...they both lack signature events.

Slight chill in the air but otherwise gorgeous morning driving into work.

44 this A.M. in Westfield, couldn't deny the hoodie this morning again, fantastically fall like

I’ll take that euro run…just keep the heaviest axis south of here. 1” will feel like Stein compared to recent weekends. Goofus is north of the St Lawrence. Best case for all. CMC splits the difference and floods NNE.

Hopefully October

Which is 99% of the time it seems for us.

44 this morning.

51 when I left the house. Beautiful morning.

42.4F. Last 40s for a bit?

Euro south again but gfs north. Still hoping it stays north.

42 degrees this morning with the high projected at 83 degrees. The deer come through early this morning, probably after a night of raiding people’s gardens.

So my May monthly rain total ended up being.... 12.99" One one hundredth of an inch short of 13.

If it’s gonna rain let it pour and let the dams break where they may..of course, as long as everyone is staying safe

it depends on how tropical season sets up

Ray you must have done really well in 1993-94 too.

January 2016 was like February 1983 on steroids. The added moisture with that storm was definitely CC induced, there was a research paper on it. 30.7 inches of snow with 3.00 inches of liquid equivalent at JFK

So we have a few that good winters for both of us. I only listed what I consider A winters. A few of the other ones you listed were B+ here, among them 2004-05, 2008-09 and 2000-01. 2003-04 also fits into that group.

48/40.

Negative PNA After the lowest daily PNA since 2017, 8 years, in May, the PNA is forecasted to fall below -1 again June would be the 4th consecutive month with negative PNA I rolled forward the March-April-May PNA and April-May-June PNA to the following Winter, to see if it leads anything. Surprisingly, there is no PNA signal the following Winter.. correlation is near 0 in the North Pacific. So to say that this Spring/early Summer PNA is going to lead the Winter is not completely right. There is, however, a NAO signal. Negative PNA March-June puts the probability at about 56-57% that the Winter NAO will be negative [correlation of below maps is opposite] US temps for the following Winter are neutral, for the -PNA rolled forward. About the best you can hope for given the occurrence.