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WxKaren

I’ll be the weenie. Winter might be fading quick

Can’t say I’m surprised. Feb-Mar usually torches during a Nina, with a few exceptions. In fact this was baked into my winter outlook.

Jesus you guys are weenies. It’s over and it’s been over.

Viener Schnitzel for all.

Actually a big shift on the ICON EPS

6z ICON bumped north but still south.. Icon EPS has some hits FWIW ... seems like this storm is all or nothing

Now is akin to the "summer's back is broken" time we have every August. The steady march to spring picks up speed.

WB 6Z ICON

It’s ok. We did pretty good this winter. After the big storm last month snowman19 disappeared for a few days. Then the brutal cold came ( his forecast flopped) and he still wasn’t present except giving out weenies. Now that the pattern has flipped he’s back to his trolling ways. Still a daily limited poster though which is good.

Thats what the teleconnections showed.

WB 0Z AI EPS at Day 5. About 40% with a hit.

I sure did. Sorry.

Looks like an Archambault event….

Euro continues to show a shot at 60s Feb 19-20.. Sounding is 67F around DC

Well, the problem is Will is an ass and posted an hr270 24hr snow map so that’s not for this weekend…

Man does the long range look bad on long range models.. +EPO has the chance of making it warmer than average the last week of Feb possibly into early March. The Euro weeklies are warm through March 15th. MJO going through Phases 3-6 is a warm composite in late Feb/early March

a bit souther but much colder.

The Alberta Clipper currently affecting the area had already dropped a half foot of snow at the house as of early this morning, so it was certainly a day to hit the hill. This morning’s snow had some heft – there was over a half inch of liquid in it, and that’s much denser than the snow we’ve typically been seeing over the past few weeks. We’ve had a pleasant return to more seasonable temperatures in the 20s F, which meant it was a good day to get back to some lift-served turns. Up at Bolton Valley, the Timberline Quad was running for the first time this week, so I started my session there and got a nice sampling of the snow. Accumulations were similar to what we’d seen down in the valley, but with a half inch or more of liquid in the snow, it was a decent resurfacing. There was even a little mixed precipitation that snuck its way into the snowpack, but thankfully it was minimal enough that it was inconsequential to the skiing. The main tenor of the conditions was set up by that relatively dense powder – it was surfy, and it felt like it would have been a great day to get out the snowboard. Off piste in unracked areas the snow is quite deep, and you need decent pitch to make the best of it with the additional of this new shot of liquid. The untouched powder is a bit upside down with this new denser snow on top, so that’s a great situation to pull out your fat skis or snowboards. It was snowing steadily the entire time I was on the mountain, and it continued to snow throughout the area for the rest of the day and now into the overnight, so the snow consistency will be changing. Now that the backside upslope portion of the system is coming through, we’re getting much bigger flakes and drier snow, so that should reset the powder gradient for tomorrow.

Terrible post 2010-2011 wasn't a below normal winter. Even 2015 wasn't bad. You must be related to snowman19.

I’ll take my 1” and love it. We’re back.

WB 0Z EURO

All of the models are too warm with their surface temps for this weekend..and here's why: Their snow cover estimates are too aggressive with melting. They're assuming typical snow density and compaction. They can't handle the slow pace of north facing snowcrete melt-off. Please hit the hot dog emoji

Spunky for a newbie to open a thread; but we need some new energy!!!!