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Upton still has a 40% chance of snow Sunday night - I have no opinion at this point .

Oh, I know what you meant lol.

Can we change the title to Presidents No Potential?

It's about the same here..but I think I'm running a local min due to bad luck with the past couple systems, specifically last weekend. Wouldn't be surprised if places like Ptown have higher depth. And I guarantee PYM northward does.

Are you sure? Why is it that the Wikipedia page on the subject: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outgoing_longwave_radiation doesn't discuss ENSO? The chart that's there doesn't seem to follow ENSO cycles: Keep in mind we're not talking about radiation *into* the atmosphere here (what I think is most affected by ENSO), we're talking about radiation from all earth elements (including the atmosphere) out into space (outgoing longwave radiation). Though I haven't attempted any kind of mathematical correlation - I thought ENSO cycles were generally much longer duration than what's in that chart.

Not a lot, honestly.

Not to nitpick, but as recently as 6z today (and for most of its recent prior runs) the Euro AI showed us hardly getting any precip from the storm. That isn't exactly deadly.

only 5-10" pack left here. some bare spots already showing along the road embankments!!

stolen from the mid atlantic forum... euro AI EPS trending cooler as well and backs up the OP. It'll be fun to watch until 18z

i love the euro twins but we need some other models to get on board.

Is there any other model support for Sunday? We need an February 1983 repeat

In @bncho YOU TRUST (with making threads)!

NWS kept updating the amounts during the storm.

I am posting the 12z ensemble guidance below from the EPS, CMCE, and EPS AIFS. The EPS AIFS has actually been quite consistent with its precip field in recent runs.

Except for weathernet lol

This is the real money trend. Does it continue? Idk

We are so Back!

Crazy how it’s the wettest model now

heh... I meant Climate Change ... bored and hoping to start a fight

But half my hood is sun drenched so like I tell Kevin, soon I’ll be taking the longer way home away from elephant man looking pack.

This made me laugh too hard

You posted 6z...12z is even better!

You know how fresh powdery snow is sometimes referred to Champaign? When at this time of year sun shines on the snow pack and it shards back like that, that should be referred to as "Chardonnay"