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Not sure if anyone posted, but those CPC temperature outlooks... woof

When it is 44 degrees and raining it is impossible to turn that into snow no matter what the forecast says.

Scottie, would this be a situation where you use kuchera instead of total snow accumulation since it's colder?

Hoping it’s more sleet than freezing rain Tellico .

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Will be a great test for the AI products. If they are over inflating qpf, it may be time to disregard them more often

My goodness.. all time record low in DC if it happened

Um... no thanks... h/t @snowchill in the Richmond thread. I'll take the snow of course... but not this lol

Solid snow squalls working through the area currently. Gusting 35-40MPH with +SN here at home.

We’ll see if it moderates some but even the ensembles are damn impressive. I know that we can do colder historically, but this is impressive.

If the current forecast holds they won’t have to do any rolling blackouts with how many people will be without power below I-40 .

It looks like the region stays cold the majority of that next week. More rolling blackouts from TVA?

Let’s hope it’s not a crippling ice storm with those temps coming. No warm up like the last major ice storm we had. This could be very ugly.

Let’s keep this going for a while. It’s snowing very nicely here. Mini comeback attempt underway.

With the near zero cold coming, it would potentially be a horrible situation. I feel you on the outages. We are frequent fliers on that here. As a mountain community, we aren't exactly high priority normally either.

EPS went crazy!

Looks like the UKMET and the AIGFS are phasing too early over Arizona,giving this a chance to be amped up,delaying the cold press,and letting it cut. If its going to phase it needs to over around the Rio Grande like the 12z Euro.Or you miss the phase and get a storm with either shortwave. Just my opinion.

As @Scottie16said...last thing our county needs. Lately if a squirrel farts wrong, Flec seems to lose transmission lol.

Massive cold dome with trough out west and SE ridge in place. This will yield a massive overrunning storm. Yes there will be a brick wall somewhere but good chance it ends up affecting areas pretty far north. Very PDII esque on AI models

The Euro is less QPF than other models, but would still have around .7 qpf as ice down that way, capped with some snow.

I think -16F is my record low since moving to Greenfield. Challenging that is impressive.

The last thing our county needs. .

Just had a random though that this is kinda similar to the January 14th 24’ storm .

With surface temps area wide in the 20s..that lights out recipe south of 40