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Jay's Wintry Mix has the most accurate daily forecast. He always goes with the model with the least amount of activity. He's right about 70% of the time lol. On a severe day all the Facebook mets are hyping it. He'll be like "Today looks mostly dry. A few spots could see a storm. Not Leesburg. Our bubble is strong." Then, later on he'll post a radar image of storms all around Leesburg. The housewives are bowing to him
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Sort of nice out now, 79F with a slight breeze and not nearly as humid as the past few days
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Interesting that they have the yellow this far east, because the models are showing very little activity for New Jersey today. Unlike yesterday when it was widespread, anything today would be very isolated. I'm having a cookout today and hoping it stays dry. I've loved all the storms in recent weeks, but we've had enough and can use a drying out period.
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The real housewives of Loudon County are going to be very upset.
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With yesterday's 91° high, 2026 has become only the fifth year on record for Central Park with highs of 90° or above in April, May, June, July, and August. The other years are 1896, 1962, 1991, and 2010. It is the only year that also included a high of 80° or above in March followed by the 90s in April through August. Records go back to 1869.
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Thanks Bro! I'll report this in my Newsletter. I've had 3.07 since July 1. Last year I had 7. 17" in July.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I’ve been on a mountain tops as a t-storm popped up and saw long hair float straight up. Immediately ran for cover, -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Juuussstt to the river . -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Shocked to see those areas in Slight. Shocked. Let’s get EWR another G65 -
0.08” at MSP yesterday. Extended forecast looks good temp wise, but could use more precipitation.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Just 0.10” yesterday. Everything is lush and green again after the past week. 74F/DP 73F -
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
WxWatcher007 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Yeah only .38” but the lightning was all I needed to see. -
You did say NE MD was the place to be yesterday.
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We ride
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Very well documented for decades...
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I believe you. Marietta had 5.8” iirc and you were sitting under it longer. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Guess you won’t have to worry about watering for a few days. Been a summer to Remember with all these near misses,then out of nowhere these heavy storms that just dump half foot of rain. I still wonder how much of your 7.52 ended up being runoff? -
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Todays storms might have better potential. The sun is out already and the atmosphere is going to heat up again and support the convection already on radar in western PA SPC has central , southern and western NJ is marginal risk area just west of the immediate coast. UPDATE -SLIGHT RISK NOW AND EXPANDED - MAP JUST UPDATED !
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Coming in after dark tonight they probably will -
Yeah yesterday seemed to skip over us
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Learn something new everyday. I've been noticing the Hawks have been getting louder. Happens every late summer. Always thought they were prepping for migration. Apparently not.
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Interestingly, there is pre-1894 data available. From 1873 forward there is daily temperature. I am somewhat awed by the level of scientific competency shown in these (and other) old records. Observer is hard to read, but not Jesse Green. Almost certainly there are usable archives at West Chester that would provide more information, including photos. Tracking this stuff down and building a story line would be a perfect cross-disciplinary project for a college intern. Would you mind if I had Claude run your method above on Chester County and nearby stations? The output would be a complete human-readable timeline for how reference stations are used to arrive at adjusted records for these stations--something the OP has requested numerous times. As I understand it the actual NCEI process involves matrix math, too complex for easy communication if you ask me; a manual method using your approach will be easy for anyone to understand.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Let’s collapse again
