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  2. Nino 1+2 (keep in mind that this is non-relative) had a strong rise yesterday. Get ready for a tweet from Adam, Abraham, and/or others addressing this saying record breaking yada yada yada. Keep in mind though that records from 1982-3 and 1997-8 are based on weeklies, not dailies. Also, highest relative WEEKLY in 1983 was +4.6 and in 1997 was +4.1. Let’s see where the current calendar week relative 1+2 on Monday. It won’t be anywhere near +4.6 although it may get close to +4.0.
  3. Sorry, I wasn’t talking about why PG closed, it makes sense that they did. I said it’s dumb that VA and PA kids are out today but MD kids are not, bc of the holiday weekend
  4. Most anomalous snowfall of my life occurred in April 1997, which was an otherwise bottom-dwelling season.
  5. Should be 4th day in a row with 95+ here and MLI.
  6. This is an excellent point. Concentration on the seasonal mean is absolutely pointless for the individual weather events. Hell even the warmest winter of my lifetime, 2023-24, had a 10 day stretch of brutal winter weather. It can go both ways of course (a cold winter can be boring). But any weather enthusiast who is too preoccupied with a likely seasonal mean has done a disservice to his hobby that got him here in the first place.
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. He’s coming to a backyard near you starting today . More boredom
  9. 13 days of forecasts by ChescoWx and so far we have had better accuracy then the NWS point and click every day.
  10. 13 days of forecasts by ChescoWx and so far we have had better accuracy then the NWS point and click every day.
  11. Looks like 4 days in a row with dewpoints well down into the 50s at least. Great stretch coming up.
  12. dewpoints really dropping now down to low to mid 60's with north winds
  13. Agree Sunday may see clouds and showers east
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. Im not trusting any forecast for sunday. Expecting clouds and cool at beaches
  16. JMA seasoal will produce its first winter forecast this month. Last year it came out September 9th. So sometime over the next 5-10 days. https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/wmc/products/model/map/7mE/map1/pztmap.php
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  18. Today
  19. I get what he is trying to say, but can you be a little more scientific about it????
  20. I don't think the fast flow will be a large issue this year.
  21. That's where my head is at too. I was once ready to totally write off winter, but I think AN precip while we struggle with the battle zone for temps in southern and maybe central NE is going to be the theme of the season. And that can work out very well, but I'm guessing we need less of that fast flow crap and more active STJ. Problem with the stalled front is that way more often than not they just carry whatever develops OTS. Speaking my language. Hybrid would work just fine.
  22. The stuff in PA does look like it could target the area again. Not sure it will be severe.
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