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RDU officially hit 32 this morning, which is actually a day later than normal for the last 32 reading of the season. Actually impressed the airport got to freezing, after the extended heat of the past month+

"Summer-like warmth arrives early next week. Highs well into the 60s to the lower 70s Mon and potentially 80+ Tue. Duration of warmth is uncertain, with backdoor cold front lurking nearby midweek. Other than a few brief showers possible at times...dry weather dominates" What's not to like?

Fypfy

A warming trend is commencing. Temperatures will return to the 60s tomorrow. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week with temperatures peaking near or even above 80° during Tuesday through Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -32.74 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.247 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.5° (2.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Not good when so many areas are in drought, or near drought conditions.

Hilo, Hawaii is under an Ashfall Warning! https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=HFO&wwa=ashfall warning

All these folks that have ticks. How often do you get the yard sprayed?

Get ready 2 torch

I’ve been picking them off the dog and myself for almost 2 weeks.

Normal defines something as standard, typical, or average, conforming to a regular pattern rather than being abnormal or unusual. It refers to actions, states, or measurements that fall within expected, natural, or healthy limits. As a noun, it refers to the standard condition, or in math, a line perpendicular to another. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7] my interpretation in this instance: A typical spring back and forth temperature pattern with frequent bouts of rain, and thunderstorms including some early spring snow events. Interspersed with some spectacular weather days reminding one summer will soon be here in all its beautiful grandeur.

A Nino should make for a wet summer in a lot of areas which would help keep heat away. The country could use the rain.

I miss snow

On X today ABC Chief Meteorologist Ginger Zee answered a message I sent to her regarding the controversial NCEI temperature adjustments that have been made to the actual historical raw NWS Cooperative Data. Below is her response and a link with her "deep dive" report on the controversy. To be honest her report for the most part simply repeated the standard response saying "the science supports it" which is what you will always hear. For many folks with that answer from a professional meteorologist, they will simply nod their heads and say well if the science says it must be so. This in most cases will often stop any further questioning of the data. To Ginger's credit she agrees with my long-held stance in the video that science should always be questioned and evaluated. I certainly have questions and have to date not found any solid support for the consistent 2-to-3-degree chilling of the old data for every single year from 1895 through 2000. So, I will continue to question these adjustments. Science is always about questioning data not blindly following! https://t.co/e5CFYdO803 Below is my response to Ginger with the data to try and support any adjustments to the raw data. Thanks Ginger but you didn't get into the deeper detail as to the explanation for the changes made to not only the ASOS sites at Airports you mentioned but to the NWS Cooperative Observer Data. A case in point is the long running Coatesville 1SW NWS Cooperative Station data for the philly burbs of Chester County PA with data from 1894 through 1983. There are many reasons given for these post observation ad hoc adjustments. The most common are station moves and time of observation adjustments. Below shows that for this station NCEI chilled 86 of the 89 years between 1894 through 1982. Below are the station moves grouped by year. These were all within a couple miles in each case with annual clear consistent cooling adjustments applied to the raw data. The time of observation adjustment also is not relevant in this case as only for 11 years (1910-21) was the daily observation taken only in the evening. So how and why exactly was this particular station chilled so consistently across 97% of all years?

Super Nino coming

1st place problems

Two ugly losses to a lowly A’s team and two hits in last 14 innings . After the UConn loss. Not a great time here

define “normal”

63/17 What a time to be alive.

Next week is our I&A so it’s mostly PI planning related and it’s a big project…but still a lot of meetings. I feel for the developers.

Well we had to get you on the board. I mean it was 19-0

Been a good normal Spring thus far.

Low of 43, high of 70. Wind kept us from bottoming out.

Next Wednesday looks like it may be the day. I don't think the burbs but Philly maybe? 60F

global ocean temps from previous super el nino were cooler then what is forecasted to be this year super el nino. the 82 one global ocean temps were much cooler then normal..