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Yea, temps aren't nearly as prohibitive at your latitude.

Violently disagree with this. A torch is exactly that in late Dewst. Very warm pattern as we move into late week and into next week

Beautiful late August weather this morning. The clear skies were perfect to see the SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket fly by this morning on the southern horizon between 0537 and 0541 with a very visible jellyfish tail to it.

46.1 at 7 am

Having more sheared and faster moving TCs in EN summers is always more of common thing at least over the northern Gulf. Likely due to typically more intense ridging nearby. The weirdest thing to me was the north-easterly upper shear from the subtrop mid-upper High that was parked north of TS Bertha. Instead of the usual south-westerly shear which commonly keeps most convection on the northern/eastern quadrants. Bertha's convection was mainly in the southern quadrant. The only other time I remember seeing that was TS Don, back in 2011. Which also went into TX. Its LL and ML circulations were also displaced but both came into South TX. And not as much as Bertha's were. I figured Bertha was not necessarily a fully tropical TC. As the ML circulation deep convection from what I recall on lightning data was exhibiting some more frequent and intense (+)CG lightning over the Gulf, than normal in most TCs. A "colder" ML core would've had to been the culprit. By contributing to steeper mid-level lapse rates. Which typically results in more frequent and intense +CG strikes in any deep convection.

The rise in global temperature anomalies that began in June continues through the end of August in this gfs-based forecast. August will easily break the previous August record and is tracking as the fourth highest monthly anomaly in any month on this metric, fifth highest on ERA. End of the month readings are near the peak monthly value for this metric, 1.04 in November 2023. Note that anomalies are usually highest in the colder months. We'll see what September brings. http://www.karstenhaustein.com/climate.php

Unfortunately next week is looking hot p.s. After a morning like today I really don’t want to go back…

+2.9 up here at CON. Only 4 days BN and a couple of those were -1 and -2.

57 for the low imby. 35 canaan nwr.

It's almost as if they enjoy effing with people.

But but but the drought monitor says no worries. POS product. Meanwhile everything around here is as low as can be when it just has this area as abnormally dry. Earlier this summer under “severe” drought it was full as can be.

Yeah. Its been perfect cool season grass weather with rain practically every other day here. My lawn and all my plants have been just thriving. Mowing every 3 days at 3 inches and my grass has been literally growing an inch a day. Last fertilizer I put down was some purely organics just after july 4th. Also have hundreds of different species of mushrooms popping every other day.

I think it was last week dendrite noted that the majors were all between + 2.0 and + 4.0 above normal. Today Hartford is at +1.1 , Providence is at +1.2, Worcester at + 1.7. Even the outlier Boston is at 2.8.

Absolutely. Yesterday's beauty was -1.5 below normal at 81° and 59°. Nightly Lows giveth and taketh away.

Other than last weekend August has been near perfect.

There may be some gas left in the tank with this Nino. There is a possibility of ONI anomaly reaching near 3C if we can maintain this heat into the Oct-Dec timeframe, that will be quite the test for the next 2-3 months. Im not so sure we get much past 2.5C with RONI but will have to wait and see how the cold pool develops more. We have a nice +10 anomaly showing up and the 30C contour seems to be stopped at just west of 150W currently and some thermocline changes trying to show up toward the tale end of the gif. This is probably the bounce back after the KW in mid to late July and enhancement of trades again as we get into the first two weeks of September. This has been fascinating to watch that even this pronounced of an ENSO event has not produced much in the way of +IOD yet and helped in switching over to a +PDO state even for a short amount of time. I think the most impressive thing thus far has been how quickly this built up the temps and not necessarily the temps themselves. This will be documented as one of the fastest growing ENSO events we have seen with those record WWB's we saw early on. Now the question comes does this as some models try to produce even more strengthening or do we continue to see stagnation and then a decline. A lot of answers will show up in the next month.

Euro and GFS are (thankfully) staying consistent on a notable pattern shift over the state in the upcoming days with the westward retreat of the H5 subtrop furnace causing High this week. Which is about on schedule nearing the end of August. And allowing the southward-trailing express of shortwaves that have been staying mainly east over Louisiana the past several days, to invade more of TX. Latest 0Z HRRR and NAM tonight showing noteworthy H5 shortwave energy dropping south through the state on Wednesday, along with some modest DL shear. And even steepening ML lapse rates (closer to -8 on AI and IC models). Although, as is more common in EN summers, the cells look to be more high-based. Which could pose a damaging wind or more significant microburst threat if the afternoon summer TX heat can be taken advantage of. - - - On a side note regarding the summer heat & precip this year (compared to the infamous EN summer 2023 major record heat & drought), this EN summer in 2026 overall has been a heck of a lot more tame. Before the more substantial ongoing heat wave this week and last week, there has not been many daytime heat records to speak of in the state. On the contrary this summer in 2026 (at least near the coastal region), overnight warm lows have been the bigger headline overall. Staying above normal in the 80s all night for an extended period in July and the first part of August. Even around 85 F near the coast in STX a significant amount of nights.

Down to 56F in E CT with fog…great day once the fog burns off

...Northeast... A broad mid-level trough will continue to shift eastward toward the Northeast on Thursday. A weak surface low will move across Quebec with a cold front extending southward into the Northeast and eastern Great Lakes. Moderate instability is forecast ahead of the front with broad ascent supporting storm development both along and ahead of the cold front. Multicell clusters capable of damaging winds, and perhaps isolated large hail, are expected. A more focused region of greater potential may exist from central Pennsylvania into eastern New York. The potential for cloud cover across the region casts some uncertainty and therefore, confidence was not high enough for a Slight Risk at this time