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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    http://indigetrx.com/# medicines from india to usa online
  3. should be back for you by Sunday and here by Monday. next week looks pretty solid.
  4. The North American pattern has looked nothing like 1997 to this point. 1997 had a cold November for much of the country. I’m skeptical that we see that same pattern this year. 1997 also had a wintrier pattern the first half of winter than the second. I’m also skeptical of that. We may very well end up with the same results as that winter when all is said and done but if the progression and the way we get there is completely different than is tough to say it’s a match IMO.
  5. Exactly, it’s pretty hard for it not to snow that far north in early January. By the way I am aware there were a couple coastals that winter where it was marginally cold enough to snow inland with enough elevation. I fully expect the same this winter. If you’re over 2,000’. .
  6. Snow is definitely the wild card as it is for any winter. But we will be mild.
  7. Throw in the state of the PDO into the mix too. I haven't followed too closely the progression of the PDO since spring/summer but it seems to me like the -PDO has re-established itself to some degree...can't really strong Nino's with this degree of PDO regime.
  8. Greta is an idiot…you see what she’s doing now. She’s a goof…you deal.
  9. The 6Z UKMET brought it back way NW to within 300 miles of NC though not quite as close as the UK runs 0Z 10/14 through 6Z 10/15 that were only 200 miles SE of NC. That now means that for the first time that ALL of the latest runs of the major globals have it affecting parts of the E coast. I wonder if this should have its own thread in the SE forum soon since the threat for a major impact on at least E NC has increased substantially. It’s also being discussed in the main tropical thread because it may very well turn out to be ST or hybrid.
  10. Go for a warm winter and you win more often than not. That’s just the new Greta regime now. Deal.
  11. Early Jan 1998 icestorm in New England and eastern Canada
  12. 97-98 wasn't that bad inland like here in PA..Snowstorm around New Years was snow in PA and rain on the coast..5 inches in late March in NYC Metro.. Snow is much harder to predict than temps. No doubt it will be warm, but like you said perfect timing is the key.
  13. I agree to a point. Record strong niño forcing is a concern, but there’s a relatively SSS there. It’s hard to see a path to a very cold winter, but snow is a wildcard.
  14. The 6Z UKMET brought it back way NW to within 300 miles of NC though not quite as close as the runs 0Z 10/14 through 6Z 10/15 that were only 200 miles SE of NC. That now means that for the first time that ALL of the latest runs of the major globals have it affecting parts of the E coast and it may very well end up a ST or hybrid. @jconsor@vortex95
  15. Why put me in with Kev and Brett? I actually anticipated a decent winter last year. I just love going against the ACATT narrative and breaking the hearts of weenies.
  16. That can't be ruled out, though probably rather localized. These setups are always extremely trickly...you have to respect the dynamics and you don't need a ton of CAPE but you need enough to combat the shear, otherwise the updrafts just topple over and it prevents vertical growth (big reason why these end up as low-topped events). One big discriminator in these events producing damaging wind gusts on a larger scale versus rather isolated is steep low-level lapse rates which we'll lack today.
  17. I can, can’t, could, and couldn’t give 2 effs.
  18. Level 1 rating on the @Kmlwx scale
  19. I would think that warm advection might be enough, even without a lot of sun....
  20. Tomorrow is looking like a dreary windy cold Fall day with temperatures stuck in mid 40's.
  21. CAD cloud wedge slowly eroding. My guess is noon at the earliest, 1.16pm is my call. Temps will jump 20F in 90 min and Bel Air will be the jackpot today even if they only see 5 min of sun. DC split with one decent cell going south over Orange
  22. I dont understand why some weather hobbyists and people who are employed in the meteorology field want it to be sunny and warm/hot/humid all of the time...how dull and boring is that?? Lol
  23. "Future Arctic winter sea ice is likely to shrink by around 1 million square kilometers (386,000 square miles) more than previously thought, after researchers used clues from a warm period 6,000 years ago to improve the reliability of climate models." https://phys.org/news/2026-10-winter-sea-ice-loss-underestimated.html ( https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-026-02123-w)
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