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It’s what we do here. It’s who we are

It happened on his first birthday?

This thread is bizarro world

Lots of highs below zero . Chainsaws put away for quite some time .

we basically are unblocked from the west for 15-20+ miles, so whenever we have a west or NW wind, it is REALLY windy here. The cold just blows in.

those geese were like - i didn't fly south for this shit

18Z Euro would be a dream come true for some S GA snow lovers with a max of 1.2” at Douglas (see below). I’m not betting on that much accumulating there but we’ll see. How often has Douglas received 1.2”+? Not very at all as the ~120 year wx history shows only 5 times meaning a 1.2” snowfall there would be ~1 in 25 year occurrence. However, all five have been since 1973 meaning that would be a ~1 in 10 year occurrence over the last 52 years: 2/10/1973: 3.0” 12/22-23/1989: 3.3” 2/13/2010: 1.5” 1/3/2018: ~3” 1/21-2/2025: 4.5”

Our NWS uses the NBM. I don't know which Models are weighted heaviest within it.

It's gonna wind-shield wiper itself OTS

Why would i feel better, you can’t beat a master debater.

I’m ready to get NAM’d again. Vibes aren’t good.

Here's Asheville

“You chose poorly”

Well I think that's all she wrote with the warm up. 29° feels like 21°. Not a lot of 40s in the extended. Or 30s for that matter.

Yea, just limbs everywhere and very, very rigid movements.

Well -NAO's are happening much more frequently during, or after, Solar Min's than Solar Maxes. We had a Solar Max until Summer 2025, so there is actually a 0 to +4 year lag after Solar Max for cold season +NAO (0.25 correlation, or 62.5% of the time), and a 0 to +4 year lag after Solar Min for cold season -NAO (0.25 correlation, or 62.5% of the time). The lag after Solar Cycle has us in +NAO probability until Summer 2029.

Feel better?

I have heard that you are a master debater.

Of course

It is pretty cold at 925. No doubt it’ll be mostly snow N and W of 495 but I wonder if it’ll just be slushy crap outside the elevations especially during the afternoon. Boundary layer looks kinda warm after 18z. I’m not super enthused here. Best rates definitely west too.

Not without a snow pack IMHO.

57 still.

The last piece of the puzzle to make this my best work yet is the PV split in February....that would be the chef's kiss.

Back in the 90's I thought that area was snow central. 200+ a season lol. Same with Carroll County. Carroll County always jacked while my county would be pouring rain. You know "east of the cities" was a hell scape. That's when we use to get ocean storms. The past 10 years it's been luck over elevation. I'm sure here soon the worm will turn and I'll get driving rain while you brag about how it's the best snowstorm in years.

The NAM, HREF, and HRRR are going away in 2026 and will be the RRFS. Can you run one for KFQD?