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00z GFS... Its still there for next Wednesday

I'm really liking that storm mid week next week Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

GEFS too. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbour?

552 is peeling off in montana.

If GFS is right with long range progression I will be walking to Hart-Miller Island

The RAP is comin' in hot.

The first wave on the 5th is not a true Clipper it originates in the southern plains and appears as a LP in the Mid-West at least on the 0Z GFS - and moves almost directly east to the Mid-Atlantic coast

Fair enogh. 12:15-12:30am

Thst was actually funny 00z AI bundy on deck

SE thread excited about nw move

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 701 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 VAZ007-009>018-WVZ042-301215- /O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0002.260130T1200Z-260201T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson- Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Mercer- Including the cities of Independence, Flat Top, Galax, Marion, Bluefield, Pulaski, Floyd, Wytheville, Radford, Pearisburg, Blacksburg, Whitetop, New Castle, Tazewell, Troutdale, Volney, and Bland 701 PM EST Thu Jan 29 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Friday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong winds Saturday night into Sunday will result in blowing and drifting snow...reducing visibility at times.

Baja Low week coming up soon?

Definitely not a healthy hobby. Most people get or not get snow without looking at 45 models a night

Brief flurries in Florida? Cold in Key West? Looks like it could stay in the 50s all day Sunday down there. The low is strangely placid looking on GFS considering the dynamics in play. Sea temps either side of FL must be pretty close to 80F.

What will it take to get those sweet purples to come down to CHS...?

I haven't been on here in over in 6 or 7 years, maybe more. who knows. blue turd still bringing the derp huh?

Too many models to keep track of with what times they run and at what frequency.

It's there but much weaker but its actually a little better compared to its 12z run.

Temps are already down to 11 at my place tonight. Is there an observation thread set up yet? Should stayy to see flakes here tomorrow morning.

Really?

Formerly know as the RUC. Aka the original hires gangster. Also the best short-range model during the last minute north trend for the Christmas storm 2010. Which happens to be my primary analog for this system.

The local EMS page is running MRX's 1 inch graphic.

I guess we won't be the 51st state after all. Looks like North New Jersey, Adirondackia and Catskillsylvania beat us to it. Oh well 55th state then.