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Hate to say it because Scooter will just mock me with his passive aggressive one word posts but that's a snow blitz. We just want that Jan 20th week to snow every year. But hey Scooter Epicosity is saved for ya know big stormy periods. But maybe soon enough there summer boy. FYI New Englands 4 seasons are the absolute best. Ski Sun Surf we have it all.

100% agree!...

My personal favorite

Bridgeport, Islip, Central Park, JFK Airport, LaGuardia Airport, and White Plains all had highs of 41F (5.0C) today. If that holds, it would be the first time since November 21, 1998 that all six locations had identical high temperatures.

Couple nice beefy SWFEs in the extended on 18z GFS. EPS hinted at this too which is why it has been showing some snow in the 11-15 day. Would be nice to track some higher QPF systems. These less than half inch QPF events are getting brutal.

?where do you get 925 temps on 18z Euro

Yeah we do have to wait for the fast flow to slow down for larger events. One note, REGION WIDE foot plus events are relatively rare. In the 30 year low snowfall period there were 2 in 1978, 1 in 1983, 1 in 1994, 1 in 1995 and 1 in 1996. Only 3 in 20 years from 1970 to 1989. Ironically, the 1990s which were much warmer had the most. This is why I am not too worried with the current run.

Well I got almost 6 inches of rain this weekend so I must be getting buried with snow soon then right? RIGHT?!?

If we could get just a third of that this season we’ll all be above average. If not then we’re looking at yet another ratter. And at this point it’s been so bad for snow recently that it feels CC induced

Ya'll are gonna need to make sure your meds are filled for the chaos filled model madness coming this week

LOL @ who’s “confused”

pretty interesting AIFS ens for Sunday-Monday imo. Way more interested than it ever was for Thursday. GEPS really liked it too

Saw KDKA weather playing up lake effect and squalls from Wed Thru weekend. Also, the GFS looked loaded after day 10. Parade of juicy storms.

Euro is mostly rain for many. Torch at 925

More like rain

-EPO/+PNA actually leans dry, but it’s also a big dog pattern with that high-latitude blocking. With those AN precip anomalies in our region and the TN valley, I would be more inclined to think Jan 25-Feb 10 has big dog potential rather than cold and dry potential.

I like the -EPO and +PNA for down my way, but that might be too much of a good thing for some of you guys, especially the NW crew. Luckily for them it won't look anywhere near that good as the "warts" come into view as it gets closer. Pretty though.

In general I heartily agree. For every suppression risk we have 10x NW trend fails. I'm more worried about the general background state of dryness. As @NorthHillsWx had an excellent point earlier: if it can't rain even when it's warm, what makes us think it can snow? I got zilch yesterday in a warm, muggy airmass.

Odd, wasn't it? We always get pure snow every winter. Must be another Gfs error.

Truly think this is our biggest problem. The northern stream is very progressive right now, especially without better wave spacing, so we need something to jam up the flow a bit. Need some blocking over Greenland, a stout 50/50, or ideally both.

That’s one way to put it

What’s your final prediction for seasonal snowfall this year. I still think NYC ends up with 15 at most

I'm not throwing in the towel on winter just yet, but I have come to the conclusion that I may like snow a little too much to live here N and mostly East of Corbin usually do really well on these flow events, Corbin not so much, sharp cut off in London

Cold outbreaks usually trend less in intensity/extent at verification. Every once in a while that is a good thing for some of us. Last year during that epic Gulf snowstorm, E NC was originally forecast to get nothing as the system was suppressed to oblivion, but the last minute NW trend netted me 3 fluffy inches. The only cold outbreak that I can remember since I really started following weather that did NOT degrade to my knowledge was the Big Chill in late December 2017 early Jan 2018. That seemed to sneak up on me.