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One of the craziest FGEN signals I’ve ever seen off that 18z NAM. Like wtaf.

I'm working on trying to get you in on the fun as well.

Ok him/her. And you

I’m not sure. I feel like that happened in a smaller storm that froze at sunset.

Ouchie.

Any showers will depart early tomorrow. Highs will likely reach the lower and middle 40s afterward. Another storm will likely bring snow to the region Sunday into Monday. The potential exists for a major snowfall. At present, a 8"-12" snowfall appears likely in New York City and its nearby suburbs. Somewhat lesser amounts are likely north and west of New York City. A 12"-18" snowfall is possible across southern and central New Jersey and part of Long Island. Near blizzard and blizzard conditions are possible at the height of the storm late Sunday night into Monday morning. This is a dynamic event and large revisions may still be possible. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C. Neutral ENSO conditions are now developing. Neutral ENSO conditions will develop during the close of winter. The SOI was -2.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.386 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.8° (4.1° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5 below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 32.0°, but the forecast development of an AO+ regime could lead to a sufficiently mild outcome to result in a winter mean temperature that exceeds freezing. If a 32.0° or below seasonal mean temperature occurs, that would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below.

This is one of the dumbest FGEN plots I’ve ever seen on the 18z NAM.

Yeah, it’s been interesting watching the radar. Very narrow band of good snow. Glad Greenfield is in the heart of it. Localized goodies.

ICON NW!

Juno? Well who knew Dont tell Scott

I would like to congratulate metfan on his blizzard victory.

Nothing up the coast yet.

I remember it but it rained for me in Salisbury.

Best fucking winter since 14-15!

lmao you beat me to it, but mine had ZOOM

Just started and I’m not overly impressed

Coastal flood watches up

Yea Reggie not buying the hype yet.

Moderate pasting snow, 31°.

lol it's 70 degrees here. If 10 degrees means blizzard for North Carolina, and 70 means blizzard for the Eastern Shore.. looks like I've gotta be 105F leading in?

As I said earlier, these are the Greenfield bread-and-butter storms, more often than not. #wintervibe

It was 2006?

MAybe for the shore but 15" is week sauce for Berks and Chester county. MECS forum wide though.