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  2. He’s too far gone to see what is happening objectively. Nothing we can do but laugh and help him move…
  3. A top ten day like today followed by a rain day? Hell…….
  4. Yesterday
  5. NHC agrees, we have TS Bertha. .
  6. Had two severe warned storms today. Rain totaled 1.78", with some small hail and gusty winds with each one. Garden took a bit of a hit but nothing a stake and some rope didn't fix. Weather the next couple days looks cool, high in the 60's tomorrow with a low in the 40's. AQI of 101 should improve further tomorrow.
  7. Lee Goldberg was showing an HRRR model output showing 2-4" rain totals for NE Jersey, Hudson Valley, and SE CT tomorrow with NYC at the southern end of it.
  8. I'd love to respond to the so-called "leftism" comment but I know we aren't allowed to be political in the weather subforums (unless of course you support the side of the Epstein Administration). bring back PR and bring this "leftism" bullshit to where it belongs so it can be properly addressed outside of the weatherside
  9. Pretty much the same here. Just had to share my generator with 2 other family households to keep their chest freezers from thawing. Heated water bed saved my ass!
  10. This video was made five hours ago and the enhanced risk has expanded since, however I'm still always interested to hear Trey Greenwood's take over convective chronicles.
  11. Agree with this, we will see what NHC says though. .
  12. this is how i managed the 2011 Octobomb. Grabbed the Honda 2000 we had at work second day in. It would run the forced air heating system, I macgyver'ed in a temporary plug. After warming the house, the important functions were easy: coffee grinder/coffee maker, power vent water heater, and some temp lighting and phone charging; cooking was on the grill and the camp stove
  13. Pretty close to TS status if not already there.
  14. Getting hit by multiple storms this evening.
  15. It seems that NAO is far more malleable and influenced by the solar cycle and ENSO than the AO, so I feel strongly that the AO will be lower than the NAO this season.
  16. Mike Masco doesn't say but explains NYC weather
  17. Well, I do see an opportunity for some of that, but I'm speaking of the seasonal mean. it clearly will not be the predominate DJFM pattern.
  18. Saw a post on FB about three Tornado Warnings in the UP at the same time. A rarity for sure
  19. What model was the basis of this idea?
  20. Then again...clouds are one of our most common failure modes. I do think someone will get walloped tomorrow. But I might have been inclined to keep it at 30% with no CIG hatching. The CSU MLP guidance has not painted any 45% contour at all on today's runs. That said, the 30% on that guidance *is* centered over the DC region.
  21. I think its time for Mr. G to hang it up
  22. After a little break from the heat this week it's coming back next week. Up to 0.22" for the day.
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