All Activity
- Past hour
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0.01 northern Waynesboro - very heavy rain just to my south again... 1.24 for the 9 days of storms.. southern 3/4 of Waynesboro soaked repeatedly....
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Getting a good shower at the moment. Yard is starting to maybe show some signs of life?
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Bonus, kill off the Cyclospora parasites.
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My brother is out on a road trip for nearly a month. He sent me pics from Yellowstone. I bet he is baking in the heat, if he's not high up in altitude right now.
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More beneficial rain today and looks like a rainy week as well. I absolutely love this weather. Rain everyday and temps in the 70s.
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That's going to hurt, both literally and figuratively. Idk what this team is going to do at the deadline, except I'm sure it'll be something completely stupid. That I'm almost sure of.....
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Summer convection is so fickle. The plot of soil moisture anomalies is pretty textbook across the eastern half of the country. Tons of sporadic wet/dry signals within close proximity to each other. Only a few larger areas noteworthy for widespread wet top layer soil conditions. Need a broader synoptic scale disturbance to provide a more widespread convective threat followed by stratiform to get things to be evenly distributed. Could use one of those remnant tropical disturbances that have been lacking in these parts, outside that sweep over from Ida.
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Mountain West Discussion
gallopinggertie replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Bozeman also seems to have set a new all-time high today of at least 106 (previous record was 105). -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm just thinking a 82-83, 97-98, 15-16 monster North Pacific High low pressure may be a thing of the past. Those were monster troughs, Super El Nino driven. Does the PDO really make that much of a difference? -PDO strongest 3 El Nino's. A little different south of the Aleutians lol -
Gorgeous day to sit by and in the pool. Pool temps were about 80 degrees, which felt much better than last weekend's 90 degree pool temps. Hopefully next weekend I will have time again to sit poolside, in the pool.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well, that slow change may just be as a result of the fast warming. Give it some time before dropping the lifeboats.lifeboat. Edit: Iow, the atmosphere just may need time to catch up to a Niño that has warmed as fast as this one. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Maybe neutral in the Pacific. It's all High pressure at the very end Even a "Weak Nino" should be spinning up a low somewhere in the N. Pacific right now. We are obviously in a pattern that is more dominant -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree, but there are signs of troughiness forming in the east and ridging out west on the 12z Eps. You can see it happening if you put this link in motion. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps®ion=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026071212&fh=0 -
High of 84, well below the 92 forecasted. Had a severe warned storm move through that did not produce severe conditions but did drop .74" of much needed rain. Point up to 99 tomorrow. Gonna be brutal... currently 73.
- Yesterday
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2 flood watches in the past two weeks. Maybe some light showers.
