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  2. weatherwiz
    You would think with the increasing dews and longevity of higher dewpoints (we'll say 70+) that would yield potential for stronger and more widespread events but that has not been the case. This is more thought so data could prove otherwise, but it also seems like summer cold fronts have a tendency to be weaker (which would make some deal of sense given a warmer Arctic). Just from memory though with the 90's it felt like these periods of excessive dews were much less common and we had to wait until like August to really get them. When we did get those hot and humid days the duration was barely heat wave criteria and it would end with a strong front, a big line of storms and then we would have a stretch of days with 70's to lower 80's and dewpoints in the 50's. We'll probably eventually cycle back but the dataset is so small its hard to say what the return rate for such a stretch is. Maybe there is a bit of luck involved too. It seemed like we timed good EMLs with fronts pretty well from the mid-to-late 90's and then went forever without a good EML event.
  3. forkyfork
    the cold has been concentrated near the pole while the mid latitudes have been on fire
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Normalized CAPE and 12z RAOB from IAD/RNK/PIT would argue skinny CAPE profiles. Shear is also pretty weak too, but the 1.8" - 2" PWATs would suggest isolated flash flooding is the bigger risk, especially around any surface boundaries.
  5. mayjawintastawm
    Aaaaand... I'm now in D4 drought, first time in my life I think I have been there. A 30 foot tall, 45 year old pine in my yard is dying from lack of water, trying to save it.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could totally see double digit + departures in December.
  7. CoastalWx
    I remember so many of those storms growing up when I was a kid. If not over me, then nearby. Even the 00s were good. I can't find a good scientific explanation, but convection has really been lame since 2015. Although I will say my hood has had a few doozies with wind damage...but I mean from an overall perspective.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good summer?
  9. MJO812
    Its disgusting outside
  10. SouthCoastMA
    86/77.5 things sticking to every surface
  11. canderson
    Yea it’s suffocating out - humidity level here is a whopping 76%.
  12. MANDA
    Don't know the exact number but I think numerous locations were between 115-120 at least. Was just nasty.
  13. JTA66
    I stepped outside so you don’t have to… 88F/DP 76F
  14. MANDA
    Same here. Never felt it more nasty HI wise before or since. It was stifling beyond words. You literally could not take 10 steps with starting to drip sweat.
  15. Stormlover74
    Heat index of 129 I believe
  16. NEG NAO
    should be interesting around here later today - expect severe watches and flood watches
  17. nw baltimore wx
    Well, clearly I’m more lazy than you.
  18. frd
    He did not post it, and I was lazy to dig further. My bad.
  19. nw baltimore wx
    ¡Excelente! ¿Dónde está febrero?
  20. Keith Central PA
  21. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  22. MillvilleWx
    If I order a cheeseburger and I bite into a SLICE OF KETCHUP, I am puncturing the owners tires. What in the actual HELL is that abomination?
  23. Keith Central PA
    The hottest day of my life.July 15th 1995..was at an outdoor party..temp 102 dewpoint 83. It was so hot I had to go inside,take my face and plant it on the AC for relief..Heatwave killed hundreds in Chicago
  24. frd
  25. midatlanticweather
    Super humid too. Need some triggers and storms should erupt once we get to a hotter temp this afternoon.
  26. bluewave
    +10 months have been fairly common during super El Niño events since 1997-1998. Areas adjacent to the +10s also had very high temperature departures. Regions with the most overlapping high departures across multiple months finished the warmest for DJF. But since all seasonal models default to general climatology due to long range forecast uncertainty, none of the months were forecast ahead of time to my knowledge. The most common locations have been from the Upper Plains and Midwest across to the East. December 2015 was the most extreme for the aerial coverage and magnitude of the 10+ area. As early as November 22, 2015, the EPS weeklies were showing just moderately above average temperatures across the Northern Tier for December. So the long range models gave no indication of what occurred. +10 months since 1997-1998 Dec 1997 Upper Plains to Upper Midwest Jan 1998 Upper Plains to East Feb 1998 Upper Plains to East Dec 2015 Much of East Feb 2016 Upper Plains Mar 2016 Upper Midwest Dec 2023 Upper Midwest Feb 2024 Upper Midwest
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