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72/49, clear sky full of stars, what an amazing evening outside on the back patio ttonight !

We've had just fringes of things here, no hail and 0.11" rain since Monday.

That's a question for @WxUSAF or @MillvilleWx as they understand how atmospheric forcing causes pattern changes. I am at the point where I can tell you the pattern to look for and if models show it.

If we get a Super, record breaking El Nino for autumn 2026... we could have an amazing fall foliage year.

Could be seeing crisping lawns by the weekend. Areas of my yard not reached by the sprinklers are already starting to crisp. The entire yard was lush green as of late last week. Flower pots in full sun and community garden bed need watering pretty much every two days.

Another perfect day, maybe even the best of 2026 thus far. 26C/80F. There was not a cloud in the sky anywhere in southern ON/most of MI til dusk. This is now the 8th day; may be my fav wx pattern in a long time. With this immense amt. of sun for this region and long days I feel totally diff compared to just 3 weeks ago; I need to move to a diff climate for sure. The lawns around here are just showing the first signs of burning, just today I saw the diff within 8 hours - whew. The rivers were very high in early Apr now they're low.

We managed to hit 42.1º this morning. Much cooler than I expected. The station right below me directly on the river hit 40.3º. Wild. I was hiking up at Grayson Highlands yesterday and it was in the mid-40s all evening. Definitely an odd, but very nice day out for early June.

My El Niño intensity composites are pretty similar to his...few differences....notably, I consider 1972 as merely strong and 2009 as moderate.

Atlantic: 10/5/2 ACE 82

Maybe we got more than most - gusts to 60, scattered tree damage (some falling on SE winds, some on back side NW winds), and 6.41", greatest calendar day I've experienced. It looms bigger because the following 43 years have provided only dreck for TCs.

Pollen?

What an amazing early June day across the Mountains. It was 49 at the house this morning and warmed to 72 this afternoon. Humidity was non existent and it felt like an October Fall day!

Thanks for starting the thread!!!!!

There are growing signs that there could be severe heat in the June 12th-14th time frame.

86 was the high here today.

Top shelf pics! I am also quite Jealous of your cool dry temperatures. It's gonnabe MONTHS before I ever get to partake of good weather like that! ENJOY!

I absolutely adore this stuff. Its interesting.

Holy Crap! WTF!

What about if you join ICE? In weather related news, gorgeous top ten day here. Glad the pollen levels have come down from the last two weeks. I feel for our northern brethren who are in the middle of the worst of the pollen season.

8pm 73/47F Sunshine. Visibility is good but there seems to be some mid level smoke coming from somewhere?

pollen-out hitting hard!

Oops

Pollen can give children life long illnesses. It is legit

Machine learning to improve snow liquid prediction or SLR https://waterdesk.org/2026/05/machine-learning-snow-to-liquid-ratio/

May 2026 PDO: -1.76 MAM 2026 ONI: +0.5 MAM 2026 RONI: -0.1 Eric Webb finally updated his page: https://www.webberweather.com/ensemble-oceanic-nino-index.html He considers 2025-26 to be a weak la nina, and 2024-25 to be a 'maybe weak la nina' (borderline cold neutral/weak la nina), and lowered the strength of 2011-12, 2021-22, and 2022-23 to weak la nina (had previously been considered moderate), and upgraded 1892-93 to a strong la nina.