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That Detroit area guy will be disappointed. This setup definitely giving nighttime QLCS for his area... Tornado thread deifnitely looks legit baack towards WI / IL / IA though...

Up to 68 with rain incoming.

mild active spring taking away the sting of the dull back end of winter

best climo?

76F/DP 60F Cloudy...if the sun pops out, 80F+ with ease.

Bit of an appetizer ahead of likely busy next few days Mesoscale Discussion 0395 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1103 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026 Areas affected...portions of extreme eastern Iowa into western...central...and northern Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 131603Z - 131730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Some hail (possibly over 1 inch in diameter) may occur with gradually intensifying storms over the next few hours. It is unclear if these storms will pose the greatest severe risk this afternoon, or if the greater risk will occur with later storms. DISCUSSION...850 mb troughing is underway across the Plains states into the Midwest, with 15Z mesoanalysis showing the northeasterly terminus of a LLJ currently positioned along the IA/IL/MO border. Here, an 850 mb Td gradient exists, with modest WAA likely supporting the gradual intensification of elevated convection within this regime. The 12Z ILX observed sounding and 15Z mesoanalysis depicts 700-500 mb lapse rates in the 8-8.5 C/km range, contributing to MUCAPE approaching 2000 J/kg. These storms are encroaching on a region of stronger 500 mb southwesterly flow, driven by a departing upper trough over the eastern U.S., which is resulting in 30-40 kt of effective bulk shear ahead of the storms. If storms continue to intensify, it is plausible that at a hail threat may materialize over the next few hours, with some stones potentially exceeding 1 inch in diameter. Short-range high resolution ensemble guidance is providing mixed signals regarding the evolution of this convection. Some deterministic CAMS show that the ongoing storms eventually consolidate and develop into stronger supercell structures in northern IL by afternoon. Other guidance members depict the ongoing storms oscillating in intensity, while stronger storms develop later. As such, there is an appreciable degree of uncertainty as to the evolution of the longer term severe threat with these WAA storms. All this being said, convective trends will continue to be monitored for the need of a WW issuance. ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 04/13/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN... LAT...LON 40829153 41349115 41809076 42269021 42318942 42178872 41918839 41478835 41028850 40608866 40238895 40058932 39988999 40039043 40249121 40829153 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

off to the races-70 here

70 here now-partly sunny winds kicking up a bit

went ahead and started a thread

figured it's probably due, almost a lock that someone in the sub's gonna see some action today or tomorrow. primarily hail/tornado risk.

Sun breaking out…67. GWLH.

58 here with the south wind. So much for 70s .

Pavement in Greenbelt approaching “fully wet”

sun out now. see lots of blue

Sun breaking through. 60.

After Saturday being absolutely perfect, yesterday was warm but once again crazy windy. I recorded a 65MPH gust yesterday afternoon and spent about 5 hours straights with winds gusting over 40MPH on a consistent basis.

In / out of the clouds

76 / 58 here CNJ

Records: Highs: EWR: 92 (2023) NYC: 90 (1923) LGA: 89 (2023) JFK: 85 (2023) Lows: EWR: 26 (1940) NYC: 25 (1874) LGA: 31 (1950) JFK: 30 (1950) HIstorical: 1877 - The second coastal storm in just three days hit Virginia and the Carolinas. The first storm flattened the sand dunes at Hatteras, and widened the Oregon inlet three quarters of a mile. The second storm produced hurricane force winds along the coast of North Carolina causing more beach erosion and land transformation. (David Ludlum) 1927: A tornado wiped out the town of Rock Springs Texas, killing 72 persons and causing 1.2 million dollars damage. The tornado was more than one mile in width and destroyed 235 of 247 buildings, leaving no trace of lumber or contents in many cases. Many survivors were bruised by large hail that fell after the passage of the tornado. 1934: Winds atop Mount Washington New Hampshire, averaged 186 mph for five minutes, with a peak gust of 231 mph, the highest wind speed ever clocked in the world at that time. In a report released by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), that record was toppled in 1996 at Barrow Island, Australia during Typhoon Olivia. The new world record is now 253 mph. The 316 mph wind speed recorded at Moore, Oklahoma on 5/3/1999 logged during an F5 tornado was not recorded at ground level. 1945: A series of significant tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois. Antlers, Oklahoma were nearly obliterated by a massive F5 tornado that zigzagged from southwest to northeast across the town. 69 people died in the twister. Another tornado killed eight people in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. The disaster was overshadowed by the loss of President Franklin Roosevelt, who died suddenly at his vacation home at Warm Springs, Georgia. 1955 - The town of Axis, AL, was deluged with 20.33 inches of rain in 24 hours establishing a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - A major spring storm quickly intensified bringing blizzard conditions to much of the Northern Plains Region. Up to 18 inches of snow was reported in North Dakota, and in South Dakota, winds gusting to 90 mph whipped the snow into drifts fifteen feet high. Livestock losses were in the millions of dollars, and for some areas it was the worst blizzard ever. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in northern Texas produced wind gusts to 98 mph at the Killeen Airport causing a million dollars property damage. Two airplanes were totally destroyed by the high winds, and ten others were damaged. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Low pressure off the Atlantic coast produced high winds across North Carolina, with gusts to 78 mph reported at Waves. The high winds combined with high tides to cause coastal flooding and erosion. About 275 feet of land was eroded from the northern tip of Pea Island. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms in central Florida produced golf ball size hail and a tornado near Lakeland FL. Fair and mild weather prevailed across most of the rest of the nation. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in central Oklahoma and north central Texas. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced up to six inches of golf ball size hail along I-40 near El Reno, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Okarche. Thunderstorms over north central Texas produced softball size hail northwest of Rotan, and high winds which injured two persons southeast of Itasca. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2004 - The latest measurable snowfall on record hits Jackson, TN, causing six traffic fatalities. 2006 - The University of Iowa campus is hit by an F2 tornado. The storm severely damaged many buildings in the area, including a sorority and a local church. No fatailities were reported in the storm that caused more than $12 million in damage.

Up to 73 despite mostly cloudy

Thursday's a lost cause... Not surprising. It's April. Not sure what part of a April 15 anyone's expectation would be any different - to the straw man... When I saw the model sale over the weekend for 6 or 7 days of unabridged 20+ dailies while maintaining a polar boundary as stationary from S ON to a Bar Harbor Maine, I pretty much was going bah ha ha ha. No purchase here. I'm sure it could happen... but just circumstantially with both numerical climate, the recent many weeks of trend, and my own hatred from god, that too much weighted dice.

Dust bowl

I'm mid 60s already at my stations, we'll be in the 70s in no time.

I saw that lol.

Just as I post this we start getting the breaks of mackerel sky.