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Maybe you two ought to get together tonight!

Well at least it did tick the right way at 18z...now we'll see if that's all we get for the day or if we can get even a tick or two better. Or maybe I'm just a lunatick

FWIW the 00Z RRFS at 84 looks like the GFS down in GA as far as having precip being much more west. Its been largely awful though this winter season though its done okay on some systems.

CAPE storm back in 2022. GFS was the only one giving that storm a chance up until like 54 hours out. Euro jumped from nothing down to Virginia Beach all the way to 8"+ in DC in maybe 3 runs.

Might as well been. It's been a long time. It never does right. It just doesn't make sudden jumps normally. Unless it's the wrong way.

2026

When’s the last time the euro went from no to snow? 2003?

Some heavy snow moving through Ontario tonight. Toronto could see upwards of 8". The latest HRRR is showing 12" by tomorrow.

Prep for a cold pool

Really nice bump west on the GEFS.

I’m feeling a pants tent for tonight’s 0Z Euro.

I doubt it. I will be glad for you, but I wouldn't care.

I'm telling yall, go to bed before the Euro. Wake up relaxed and ready to fight on another day. 6z prob gonna break hearts too. It's usually always those two.

I don't wanna hear it. The northern suburbs of Baltimore have been the region's snow anus for many years now. Don't try and steal our crown from us! ;-)

Oh I’m not running with it, just noting it moved west along with the other 0z guidance is all.

There's a kicker out west that should keep this to our east otherwise this would probably trend too far west.

Agree it’s the Ukie so not so important in that regard, but that’s more than a couple ticks. And it’s another piece of guidance that moved west imo.

There's heavy west lean potential here. Doubt it's done trending

Agree, You know it’s coming.

I’m not going to go into dissecting the uncle but if you want to run with it, Go ahead, It’s not very useful.

While all the focus right now is short term which isnt a surprise, cant help but feel good about where we're are headed later this month. The period from Jan 27-29 probably holds the best potential of the season thus far. AO flexing, epo still on roids, tpv being pressed into the NE, waves coming out of the west. Ens seem to be in good agreement attm. Let's get an appetizer this weekend to set the wheels in motion, then we can goon over late month if the looks hold.