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12z ICON total QPF and 10:1

WB 3K NAM: let's go!!!!! Compared to 6Z

I know everyone here loves snow and if you're like me, you wonder what super snowy places are like in person. I've been mentioning the Tug Hill a lot lately and probably annoying to some lol. While we wait on a cool down i figure I'll share some pics from my 2026 Tug Hill vacation/chase. Have you ever wondered what it would be like to hike at night on a snowmobile trail, on 6' of snow, on the Tug during a full moon? I took this picture at 1am. I was standing on at least 5 feet of packed snow. Earlier that day we received 30" of fresh. The groomers keep the trails perfect.

RRFS, FV3, and HRW sisters are all on board for a few inches across much of the forum. This is getting interesting.

It’s the NAM tho. Altho it’s supposed to be deadly with thermals. None of these models are to be trusted.

PD III Let's go!!!!!

12k has similar totals in the same locations.

That’s honestly how I feel, if we don’t score in the next 10 days. I don’t think that’s unreasonable. I think people underestimate how quickly March can become hostile down n this area

is that a clipper later this week?

Not to me. I said it days ago. Wasnt understanding why this was stuck in the south. NAO lifting out says come north to me, and wasnt adding up for it to drift aimlessly due east. I am surprised it took so long for some majors to latch on, but I'm glad they are.

More north bumps should be coming . Right up to go time . This also will help with the late week frontal boundary and colder solutions as it will push the boundary farther south . It’s all tied together

It has the highest elevations zeroed in for sure.

Gotta like that globals and now at least the nam have modeled a sharper NS dive and interaction with the southern energy with a well-timed 50/50ish low. Today will be quite interesting.

We know how the Nams nailed thermals for 1/25, maybe they're right this time. P.s. I know there's more to it than thermals (e.g. storm intensity, etc.) , but you should still get my point.

It’s ok down here. But northern crew gotta love it.

Great to see the NAMs joining the GFS this morning! The last big storm a few weeks ago, the NAMs did well at least with thermals, hopefully they continue & lock in later today.

All good. Just busting some chops!

yeah we are close here. as is it's 1-3 inches

Hey they still got 2. I'll take it

it will look like even more is on the ground because there still will be a thick layer of ice/snow underneath it plus side streets here are not fully plowed closer to the curbs with some cars still stuck in the ice

People also forget the first part delivered like 4 to 7 inches.

A 25 mile bump gives me warning snows.

Welp the NAM, HRW-FV3 suite, and RRFS are all showing real solid hits now

Ive been up since 130 im.at work