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Not sure what they’re using for normals at MHT because the climate records didn’t start back up there again until ASOS took over in 96 or 97 there. So they would technically be outside the 1991-2020 window. Maybe they’re using 15 year normals there while everyone else is on 30?

Yeah no thanks. I was just coming on here to post that lawns in my neck of the woods by looking green and lush thanks to 5 or so inches of rain in the last 30 days. And of course the slightly less murderous sun angle. It is a nice change of pace from the last several Augusts, which I think have been pretty crispy. But I think in some ways heat that bad in early September is worse than heat that bad in June or July. It doesn't hurt as much because the days are shorter and the sun's not as strong, but it just doesn't feel right.

Can't beat this weather with a stick. Sunny at 57 this morning. Just can't ask for more to close out August.

Yep. If we are going to add any ACE to August will have to come from 96L and that is struggling this morning. I'm still taking the under on the CSU 2026 seasonal ACE of 50.

Almost hard to envision that meteorologically. Had to be a very blocked pattern with a negatively tilted trough axis just west of the region and a gyre spinning off the coast drawing in cold, moist air from the north Atlantic.

Something is up with the MHT records. Theres been ongoing discrepancy between the two, but this month is glaring. MHT is 0.4F for Aug. Avg temp is warmer than CON this month, so I dont think its just a warm sensor

ha, didn't think it would happen with the 8:00 update lol

"On the 233rd consecutive day of rains, I fastened the business-end of the noose to Sally-Mae's tree house and donned thy rubbers for added weight"

August 2026 continues to close on the monthly temperature record. The gap is now larger than 0.1°C. The daily mark has fallen for 17 consecutive days, the fourth longest such streak. All of the four longest streaks and 15 of the 16 longest ones have occurred since 2023. The single exception is February 24-March 7, 2016 (13 days), which is in a three-way tie for 7th longest.

No way.

So much for the +10 everyone forecasted, right?

June 1903 at BOS…holy hell at that stretch around the solstice

Check out that JJA for all sites. Absolutely unreal. It’s hard to imagine that happening today.

My dream-August, that's what.

Brutal

Excerpt from my latest Pacific work...shoutout to @bluewavefor some of the graphics: Summer 2026 Ground Truth Still Somewhat Redolent of Cool ENSO Although it is true that forcing and gradients are comparatively weak in the summer relative to the cold season, there is no disputing that summer 2026 has diverged from the intense El Niño composite, which validates the disconnect between the tropical and mid latitude AAM data. The theme of this summer has been ridging and much above normal temperatures throughout much of the CONUS. This is in stark contrast to the summer pattern preceding other intense El Niño events, which featured a prevailing trough and much cooler temps across much of the CONUS. Here is the 2026 individual summer season compared to those preceding the past four strong El Nino events, which have gotten progressively warmer : Some of this difference is likely attributable to the general pattern of expanding ridges and shrinking troughs that is a byproduct of climate change. However, since the pattern this summer is essentially the diametric opposite of the one in the summer composite preceding intense El Niño, it is fair to wonder if the developing intense El Niño is continuing to face more MC competition than is readily apparent. Note the similarity to summer 2026 with the summer composite preceding strong La Niña events. Obviously it isn't a perfect match, as there are higher heights over the northeastern CONUS in the La Niña composite (left), but the argument could be made that it is a stronger match to 2026 than the intense El Niño summer composite.

Coldest Aug on record for CON is 1903. What in the sam hell is this? One day above 80° and only 82°.

Summer 2026 Ground Truth Still Somewhat Redolent of Cool ENSO Although it is true that forcing and gradients are comparatively weak in the summer relative to the cold season, there is no disputing that summer 2026 has diverged from the intense El Niño composite, which validates the disconnect between the tropical and mid latitude AAM data. The theme of this summer has been ridging and much above normal temperatures throughout much of the CONUS. This is in stark contrast to the summer pattern preceding other intense El Niño events, which featured a prevailing trough and much cooler temps across much of the CONUS. Here is the 2026 individual summer season compared to those preceding the past four strong El Nino events, which have gotten progressively warmer : Some of this difference is likely attributable to the general pattern of expanding ridges and shrinking troughs that is a byproduct of climate change. However, since the pattern this summer is essentially the diametric opposite of the one in the summer composite preceding intense El Niño, it is fair to wonder if the developing intense El Niño is continuing to face more MC competition than is readily apparent. Note the similarity to summer 2026 with the summer composite preceding strong La Niña events. Obviously it isn't a perfect match, as there are higher heights over the northeastern CONUS in the La Niña composite (left), but the argument could be made that it is a stronger match to 2026 than the intense El Niño summer composite.

1991 and 2018 also on the dewy list.....1991 was a strong El Nino with essentially neutral PDO and 2018 weak El Nino with decidedly negative PDO....both made my extra tropical Pacific analog composite.

Still a shot at top 5 warmest August at CON

Interesting that two of those "low dew August" years on top, 1957 and 1982, lead into strong El Nino events...the bottom "dewy August" list is comprised of predominately cool ENSO...yet here we are, heading that list. Tell me that the extra tropical Pacific is still at odds with ENSO without telling me-

The NHC will be reducing the probs on that wave in over the next day, just like we saw last week

Good assessment....that's where I'm at.

I don't agree...see where we're at in a few months. If we're still deeply negative, then I'll acquiesce, but I anticipate getting to around neutral.

Yeah this was one was timed absolutely perfectly and in the photos the sky looks lighter than it actually was of course. It was super bright with high contrast.