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  2. With so many pieces involved, it always was going to be.
  3. Going to be a nowcast event it seems. Still sticking with my call though.
  4. Like you said, day 10, so who knows. Feels like it makes sense to lean warmer though unless there ends up being a massive Greenland block.
  5. Hourly is a smorgasbord of p-types up here. 4.2" of snow, just to get washed down a drain by 1+ inch of rain and mid-40's. Yesterday's storm will be the better of the two. Spring needs to get here asap
  6. Soon as I’m out. They pull me back in.
  7. Reading the blizzard warnings in these. would be epic to experience one of these midwestern blizzards one day. True blizzard stuff
  8. Need it to slow down enough to get the midnight snowfall. ATP we're just running back Thursday
  9. Had a cool visitor today, a "Leucistic" red-tail hawk. When I first saw it at a distance, I thought it was a snowy owl, but then he perched right behind the sugarhouse and saw it was a raptor. Supposedly they're pretty rare. short vid here:
  10. fun to watch the shift in guidance today… much of 12z guidance shifted north, except the euro, which shifted south. now, much of 18z guidance is shifting south, and the euro has doubled down to shift even more south. zero surprise over any of this.
  11. Ensembles don’t really look all that warm out past day 10 but who knows.
  12. GFS, RAP, and NAM slow the front down a bit and push it through during peak heating now.
  13. 62 for the high. The most boring posts.
  14. So does CTP. My forecast says snowfall accumulation of less than one inch, which to me says that they think up to an inch could be possible.
  15. Today
  16. We will see new tiers of percentages. Remember they now have even higher percentages for wind to account for those days when it's widespread and almost certain - but the max intensity is like 58-65mph. I think 60% wind outlooks will become a lot more common with this new outlook strategy.
  17. I’m in the middle Tennessee area East of i65 .
  18. Defintely Would be awesome
  19. That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.
  20. I'd think so as well, but wouldn't be surprised if they go mod for wind in the morning update.
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