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Unusually strong Southern Hemisphere +AAO as their winter gets underway.

57.7F in Lanco with 0.30” of much needed rain. .

WB 6Z EURO has heavy rain moving through on Saturday.

It looks like a front will be stalling over our area late Friday afternoon and low pressure in the Midwest moves along the front and into the area. It looks like a slow mover. It could be a long duration, beneficial rain event. Let's talk about it here.

Low of 57 and .31” of rainfall. Amazing day ahead. I love where we live.

This is the same twin cyclone progression that lead to the massive WWB/westerlies and DWKW back in April. The SOI has also tanked again. Constructive interference from the MJO, ERW boost, SSTs and subsurface soaring, a Nino standing wave/-OLR has formed, +GLAAM off the charts, budding +IOD….the perfect storm. This El Niño is going to go off the rails strengthening next month, would not surprise me if it goes super in August….

Anyone notice the absence of wildfire smoke from Canada from season? I wonder what the difference is this year. More rain?

Good morning folks please place July forecasts below when you get the chance with the typical deadline of July 1st by 6z. I will be away for vacation from the 28th to the 5th of July so Ill do my best to compile all the values when I get back then. Ill try to do a quick update before I leave of what the results of June will look like around Friday (26th) since there shouldn't be major changes that occur.

I frequently drive to Richmond and noticed the same thing. We've done fairly well in this overall pattern - certainly a change from the past 2 summers (at least so far) which were bone dry. Beautiful, crisp morning today with a low of 47 (34 at CNWR). Hope to get some more rain this weekend before we rev up next week.

Andrea Michaels FOX43 · Follow ntoepdsSroti702t1910fuimh5t84umi3it95c07i2hltg1871ttag70tl7u · PA is leading neighboring states in tornadoes Not exactly where we want to be leading the pack, but so far, we’ve have 20 confirmed tornadoes in 2026. All 20 of those were this month (June), with more than a dozen of these happening two Sundays ago with the severe weather outbreak on the 14th. Most of these tornadoes have occurred along the western half of the state, but you’ll recall one of them was confirmed in Lancaster County last week. I’d also like to include that these numbers came from the SPC’s records. There were a few tornado warnings yesterday, so it’s possible that this number changes slightly in the days to come if any storm surveys are performed. I made this graphic and scheduled it earlier in the day, so I think that disclaimer is important, but it still doesn’t change where we stand.

1.64 total for the two days.

Whatever makes me you sleep better at night

I was at might dad's house burying my dead cat. Thunderstorms were coming and we needed a move on. I put him in his favorite blanket and we got a move on. Cat was in and out just before the storms hit. He was a great cat.

Thanks. That is important when comparing this event to historical ones. The big numbers in that graphic are obviously due in part to short period of records. Not to say this event is not significant, it certainly is, but records have to be analyzed based on POR, etc. Context matters.

Correct, I'm just talking about what exactly determines the PDO numbers. You can see it clearly looking back through the years.

It’s blatantly obvious at this point that this is going to easily be the strongest super El Niño since 1950 at the very least….likely the strongest in history

Ready for the mcs pattern to return next week

And earlier on Sunrise Highway in Westhampton as the rain was moving out. .

Yup. Centereach. .

58F, the mountain valleys always have the biggest ranges. Hottest then the coolest.

agree if we are referencing folks in the USA who have financial resources and air conditioning; elsewhere across the world? too bad, so sad

yeah, unfortunately; unfortunately because so much of social media is utter trash and out right false 64/64 IMBY, a bit humid but plenty cool, ACs off and widows open tonight and hopefully through the weekend?

Finished with 1.35”. Needed.