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Banding sig was north of us

Blowing and drifting of the snow down here, HRRR has 20-30 mph wind gusts

Agreed 100%

Looks like rapid spread into PA around noon EST, could be some freezing drizzle earlier than that. Maybe if you left very early (like 0400) you could make it to destination before the storm cranks up. This storm will tend to explode over a wide area rather than moving gradually, because it needs to saturate lower levels to get started. On the GFS hourly precip panels, it covers almost none of PA at noon and most of PA at 2 p.m.

Stop posting the kuchera nonsense

0z HRRR has 6” in Allentown and 4” down to Philly. Not buying it though…I’ve seen this before where the HRRR severely underestimates mid-level warm air. The NAM is about to come out and I’m pretty confident it’ll show something entirely different.

The NAM sniffing out those warm mid level temps this late in the game scares me a bit. Seeing the RGEM hold serve for the most part is def a good sign for an all snow event

What was wrong with the euro there?

Would have to ask @The 4 Seasons or @ORH_wxman .. I barely remember what I had for dinner yesterday

24/8 here general 2” of snow cover remain

anything in the past have any resemblance to this system? Seems to be a pretty unique setup, especially when looking at the block

Looks great for most of CT!

Temp free falling here.

Costco is supposed to deliver a TV between 245-445 … I hike it happens because bowl games are here.

Global models tend to Not do as well with warm mid level temperatures. We’ll see what the NAM says in a few hours, but these storms are known for producing sleet even far inland. Global models were quite warm with Friday’s event, almost all of them eaying around 2” for NYC but we were about 3-4 degrees too warm for that. That being said, it’s almost go time, so I don’t think global models should be looked at as much as the lesser models

I agree

I'm starting to think we might be good for 2"-4" in Greenfield. I need 3.25" to hit 10" for December which I think is average or slightly above here.

I'm going into work 2 hours early just so I can be done before 3 and get home. I have no doubt tomorrow night the roads will be full of the exact people that you don't want to meet. The ones that thing because they have an SUV that ice doesn't effect them, as they try to text and change Spotify while driving making them into lethal weapons in their tanks. They then will post to social media how it's the weather mans fault they wrecked. Last year I saw a lady complaining that they need to shut down all the roads so that there is no social pressure to go out, and in the comments it came out she was playing a game while driving as well as attempting to do makeup and that was the reason for the wreck moreso than the 2" of snow. Her response: "blocked!" Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Who?

Playing catch-up with the afternoon's models and noticing that the 18z GFS is the best short range (24hr - 36hr) run for the ENTIRE NYC metro that we've seen in a while. An outcome like that would really spread the love. It's probably a bit optimistic, but still fun to see!

Clear. Windy. 23.3°

HRRR 6-10 inches for NYC and LI.

The State House in Montpelier is looking nice.

Locally heavy snow potential Toronto to Hamilton ON Friday with lake-enhanced bands 10-20 cm possibly more around Oakville-Burlington.