All Activity

Down to 35/31. 18z HRRR drops 4" or so here.

LOT has 69 in the point for ORD tomorrow, which is only one degree off the record for that date.

KFIT is prob kind of fake because they radiated so well earlier. ORH has been rotting at 29F dewpoint for hours....briefly spiked to 31F when rain moved in, but fell again when it tapered.

Probably less than one not knowing the local history might think. In this latest major snowfall there was an obvious difference in the radar evidence. ISP snowed for many hours while the north shore was dry slotted. In previous major snow storms where there was no such obvious differences in radar presentation, we still fall short of ISP in storm totals (usually significantly so), but the history is that a day or so later, we have equal or greater snow depth.

Dews have climbed here in N ORH county. KFIT at 33 now

Thanks donald…

The Euro had the same exact look for this past week at the same time juncture back in Feb and busted horribly (which I called out for its BS). Meanwhile, Chicago will be potentially breaking record highs in the coming days (including tomorrow). Anything hour 240+ is pure fantasy and don't really bother paying any mind to.

Your area has been warmer than the coast all day. Kind of like April and May

The EPS starts warming it back up again by the Equinox (3/20)….

the problem is how much QPF you waste before dropping below freezing

i might make a thread for it after tonight's runs

Nothing scream busting colder right now. Not overly impressed with the dewpoints yet in SE NH/E MA. PSM is 29F dew. Need that at least 4-5F lower. Or at the very least, 2-3F colder with a corresponding SFC temp drop so that it’s the same difference for wetbulb…if we’re trying to bust colder. It’s fairly close to most guidance.

If you throw out those two erroneous data points, the highest dewpoint ever observed at PIT prior to March 15th was 61 on 1/8/1998. We could be reaching levels of humidity on Saturday that are unprecedented so early in the season.

Yeah, I'd be curious what the snow depth difference is between the two the day after the snowfall.

Its coming?

Looks great to me!

The cold ? Its definitely coming but the magnitude is still yet to be determined.

Very breezy in Chelsea when I left work...right next to KBOS

The new HREF is going to have to fail miserably with the amount of zr it has south of pike in NE/ NW CT hills into N RI

I'd say!

Not riding this?

So out in CT?

One thing that’s really cool with the AguaceroWx app is it allows you to customize a Skew T. So when it generates a Skew T, you can actually change the temperature, DP, wind, shear, etc…. To see how that changes the parameters. For example if the SBCAPE is 1500 joules at 70 degrees, you can change the temperature to 75 degrees to see how that changes the CAPE. Pretty cool. .

That’s a really bizarre sfc temp map for early March

Im thinking ORH hills south of rt2 might be the best bet until they flip to sleet/snow