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Its a data bug. The reanalysis data up there for July and August is near normal. https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2075198146641051650

Looks like a very sharp cutoff across the metro area. Could easily be a situation tomorrow where Westminster has .3" and Parker has 1.5". Bummer that we're just a bit too far north to get in on the heavy action. Southern CO from the springs east is gonna get drenched.

Playoff baseball underway for the north and south-side! All road/away action for the first series. However if one or both of them advance and return home, there should be some perfect October Baseball weather during the weekend and next week!

@BroadWing3544were there any unusual reports that you saw?

Can't say that with certainty yet.

Like clockwork! Time for our deluge sandwiched in between dry stretches. perfect wx for watching some playoff Baseball

Hiking all day Sunday at Dolly Sods. I’ve been hoping for that south trend to end up being the correct solution.

can we all agree that after friday no more 80 degree weather maybe until next spring?

Another dreary dark cloudy day and the people who get paid to forecsst get it wrong again

Tomorrow will see partly sunny skies, along with temperatures topping out in the lower and middle 70s. Thursday and Friday will be unseasonably warm days to mark the start of October. Highs will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. It will turn somewhat cooler during the weekend and a strong cold front will likely move across the region Sunday or Sunday night. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.1°C for the week centered around September 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.83°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -16.10 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.287 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.4° (0.8° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

New GFS run is a complete cave. Glad this isn’t a snow storm or the 12z euro into 18z gfs would’ve made this place a bloodbath.

How... just how... This weekend showed signs that we've finally turned the corner and that the niño was actually kicking in. How is it even possible that it was yet another rug pull and a repeat of late May... Is there ever going to be a wet pattern?

Low 60, high 86. Dew point in the upper 60s most of the day.

Peak seems a solid week early for you? Perhaps drought is playing a role?

Sure looks that way.

Sure does. Getting on my grass tonight since this weekend will be out. .

Thanks for the details - much appreciated! We drove past a patch today in Portsmouth that were so bright and vibrant. Really pretty this year.

Looking like some more beneficial rainfall this weekend. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

"Swamp maples" are almost always red maples (Acer rubrum) on a wet site. The wetness lowers fertility and keeps the roots somewhat cooler than on well drained sites, probably causing that early turning (as you guessed). The color is common for most red maples (excellent this year), though there's a variety of sorts that turns yellow (also good).

Far NW winter coming

Is there a specific reason why the swamp maples always seem to turn early and be so vibrant? My simple guess is something to do with the moisture in their environment, but I was curious if there's some solid known reason. Or, am I just imagining they turn early to begin with