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A+ day apple picking despite the doughnut line 59.9/39 off of a max of 63.6F

In the land of edibles and gummies, yes

0.0" so far and less than .25" forecast for the next seven days

Had to go to Easton for soccer and the foliage on rt 24 is coming along nicely. Lots of maples there.

Is this a real place?

Yes, I have had some pretty dry weather here this year but last night it poured from 7:30 to 10ish then it rained another half inch overnight. I do average 60+ inches of rain a year though.

At least the Ravens game won't be a quagmire if this comes to fruition.

Beautiful day - Love it Heavy drizzle continues , up to exactly 1.00 inch . 2nd highest total for an event since May.....

About a third of an inch here. But what a shitty day to get anything done outside. The original forecast here was for showers last evening into this morning then partly to mostly cloudy the rest of today, with the main event tonight into tomorrow. Much like last weekend. Glad I took half a day yesterday- a bit warm but got some outside stuff done.

.84" today. A perfect introduction to an El Nino cold weather season. Northern area's were slighted, but this often occurs with El Nino's.

We agree that the absolute 3.4 temp has been blowing away its record since summer on OISST. But a portion of that difference from prior records is obviously due to the globe being near its warmest on record: -Avg trop ocean warming since 1997 is ~0.6C. So, without any of that warming, 2026 OISST would still be warmer going back to Sep 1st. But the diff would be ~0.6 smaller. -Avg warming since 1982 ~~0.8C. So, it would still be warmer than 82 w/o the GW since then but would be ~0.8 smaller diff. -It has warmed ~0.3C since ‘15. So, even after taking into acct GW, it would still be blowing away ‘15. -It is pulverizing ‘23 as that was a much weaker Nino at this point vs the other 3 and there’s been some GW since then. -Also, keep in mind that cyclonicwx’s OISST graph has been ~0.4 warmer than NOAA’s OISST the last 2 months. They used to be within ~0.1 apart on avg. I don’t know why, but it’s possible Alex’s OISST has been skewed a few tenths higher due to a bug for all I know. -Even after taking into account both a possible bug in Alex’s graph and GW, ‘26 looks like it would still be at a record in 3.4.

Maybe they tried to execute the NAM in Tennessee.

Started clear then mostly cloudy from about noon -3. Then mainly sunny again

It’s perfect out there…pure sun and 69-70 degrees. No clouds here. Hopefully you cleared out.

Wow, what a beautiful day. The foliage this year is amazing in the Whites. If you any of you can get up there tomorrow, this is the day. Monday's fropa will take down many leaves but what a year this is.

1. The concept of RONI applies to all ENSO. 2. ONI is a good measure of the combo of GW and ENSO. RONI is a good measure of ENSO, alone. 3. NOAA officially currently has 1972-3 at +2.0.

I'm sure Will remembers the exact date too . I was surprised he didn't chime in during the nor'easter???

Any word on how long it will take Tropical Tidbits and Pivitol to update/reprogram their web sites and bring these new models online in the right positions and remove the old ones ? ?

Industrious. Slacker you are not.

Nino 1.2 really went for broke this past month. ECMWF September forecast and spread overlaid with verification.

front hovering over MD/VA