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I feel like a DJF mean is going to be deceiving this Winter. There’s going to be a lot of fluctuation from November straight through to March even though the overall trend is warm and wet. My expectations are low enough where anything will be a pleasant surprise. Regardless of temps and snowfall there’s a high probability of it being an interesting winter season for weather to follow. I don’t see a repeat 2015-2016 happening which was just total boring shit weather almost bell to bell.
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Made it to 82 ahead of the clouds, now mostly cloudy and down to 79
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The other thing that scares me a little bit is how that trough pretty much centers on the Bering Sea. Ideally, you want that a little further south of the Aleutians. Anyways, not trying to be negative just a couple things that sort of makes me pause a bit. But on the good side as I said that Canadian ridge would help in the west, and that also screams an active pattern so we take what we can get I guess.
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At the moment Accuweather has Central Park receiving 2.28 between 2 and 12 noon. Sunday. As always ….
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Yeah, that ridge in Western Canada would work. And I know you know this, but those reds in Canada with a trough pretty much mean much warmer than normal Temps there, but that’s still pretty cold by our standards obviously. I think some people see that and think blocking, but that’s a trough there. So that just means warmer air.
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Imho, you're in a great location based on current seasonal modeling. But the jackpot, again based on modeling, would definitely be higher elevations and the other side of the BR Parkway.
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I am so tired of 65+ degree dewpoints. It seems that we can’t even catch a break outside of Monday for next week.
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Wonder if Charlottesville could do rather well with that sort of setup. I’m far enough west where I rely on a slightly more inland track for coastals than NOVA. As a side note, I think for my climatology class I’m going to be doing a semester research project on storm tracks based on El Niño vs La Niña and the different patterns you need to get snow in each. Will be done by December so might help with the upcoming season.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Although looks like for once I may get a decent drink. Can’t narrow down the jack yet. -
tough when the trolling doesn’t have the desired effect
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December 8th
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
NWS issues a flood watch amid a Stein Warning. -
Ugh it's gross out. 70F dp, not a breeze to be found, overcast. Mosquitoes and gnats out in force.
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for mt pleasant, fwiw. I'll go november 28 for cincy
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
HoarfrostHubb replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
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Mid January 1983 I had 20.2" followed by a frigid week, including a day with a high of 10 and low of -5...then in February, I had a 17" and 20.3" event in the same week, for a peak depth of 26". I would sign up for that in a heart beat and think it's totally feasible this season in short bursts.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
As OCD as I am, I would never, ever do that -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
ma blizzard replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
OWD 39 last night .. not bad -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Lava Rock replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I'm surprised given how anal you are about your yard Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
