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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The Reservation Golf and Beach Club was pretty busy today. -
You didn't misjudge our old friend Tony. This is prob his 20th account. He's like herpies, we just can't get rid of him. I'll take his ridiculous overoptimism over Krs4Lfe and his stuck on repeat doom and gloom bs.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Chrisrotary12 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ve got 2 met degrees we can give away in a forecasting contest if you want. My god. Lol I know it’s the op and it’s the 18z run and patterns don’t equal snow, but sign me up for what the 18z GFS is selling. As Tip said, that the last half of January fails. Then we’re on to golf season! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
WTF? 40s all around me and my neighborhood is mid 30s. The cold air just wedges between the hills behind us and the Green River just to my east. I really just want to get rid of the ice in my driveway. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I guess it’s either climate change or a match of “glass half fulls” vs “glass half empties” in the evening around here. -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Weatheriscool replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One thing seems certain is that the next two weeks are going to be night and day different than this week -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You posted that my forecasts are too long and difficult to understand, that's why I posted that....just ball busting back, but if you had a seasonal effort, post it and let's compare... -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SJonesWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Jesus, the beer is overflowing in this forum the last couple of hours. must be happy hour. mmm beer. -
Still lots of options on the table this far out
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We got to 60°! Very cool. Almost more impressive that it was in a driving rain storm. .
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
At least the GFS lost its “congrats OBX” BS for the 16th. It’s now rightly back in line with all other major guidance. So how this will evolve is a lot clearer than earlier today… -
Here's a study from a few years back with a similar goal. How far will my climate shift in the future. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/02/190212120044.htm https://www.umces.edu/futureurbanclimates
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mreaves replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
As god intended. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yeah...now the GFS is throwing the 22nd at us ... get the f out here with that. i think we've covered just about every date between the 14th and 25th at this point... none of this shit can be trusted - not even standard amount for this range, either. Particularly bad with continuity. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I can school you just let you blow your own horn every thread you possibly can. -
You might want to reread the date on that map.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
tavwtby replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Meanwhile in weather, it's raining out washing the crap off everything... -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Those wave spaces are competing with one another. Remove either, boom. Not sure one or the other won't become dominant over the days to come - which one? no idea. But should that not happen, it won't be impossible the we either miss both, or end up with an event that's hardly worth a thread. By the way bro, ignore it -
Yep i think bluewave posted that in the main enso thread. Usually it was biased the other way, and this year has been different
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I sure hope not. -
I posted a map of verification scores a few pages ago, but there's a clear consensus of the Euro flexing the southeast ridge too often in the extended this winter.
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I said your red tag confers a cloak of expertise that is not deserved. I.E., Bachelor's degree ≠ knowledge & competence. I stand by that. People should be judged based on the quality of their contributions, not a presumption of expertise.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Right, and then watch it be a monster-east based event. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Hey, I never thought I'd be on the verge of 8 consecutive shitty seasons, but here we are....and for the record, I have utterly pantsed Webb so far this season.
