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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Icy Hot replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
12-1 am -
Getting some heavy snow squalls again. One of my favorite early winters since moving up here. The powder skiing today was Utah worthy
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I mean its a clipper they went extinct with 80's hair -
12/12: The little Friday clipper that could? Or won't.
Buddy1987 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Man I feel this with my whole soul. Growing up in CT pricing on everything, even back around 2012 was beyond outrageous (and far worse now). Moved down got established with my wife in SW Va.. just turned 38.. have 7 years left on the house.. vehicles paid off in May coming up and have managed to live a very comfortable life here. Property Taxes are a good 5-6k less per year easily. And to your point the folks here are super friendly and kind. Big shift from what I was accustomed to. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Decenber and January 2011 and January 2014 had several. I totally see your point though Holston. They are rare anymore. -
So we had a good projection but the problem is in 6 hours the examples will be very different. Won’t build on this run, won’t increase, and will revert back to 0-2. Thus , come verification time (if this is even employed anymore) the range of 0-4” will be confirmed
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It just really boils down to you not being happy with the climo of where you live. Most people don’t have ability to just up and move to wherever they want. You can’t expect Chicago to have the climo that you desire. I don’t even think International Falls or the U.P would work for you. Judging by your rants, I think you’re more of an Edmonton guy. I guess if becoming Canadian isn’t your thing then Fairbanks might work.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Up there? -
Or you on most guidance. The latest blend should relax some of those on the fringe on various model simulations. This appears to be a relatively small scale event, but still enough variation among the models, so we just cant know yet. Read enough AFDs and one will find the forecast offices prefer to go with the NBM at this range in these situations.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
He only has one real son and that's TBlizz. Two birds of a downy feather -
Lots of drifting snow in town too. One of those deals where you’re driving on clear pavement and then you hit a spot where the wind funnels through and piles up a snow bridge across both lanes.
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Yeah, it's been quite windy this week. Clocked 59 MPH on my Davis, but I am only at 7300'. The downslope has kept us quite warm too, with a low of 53 degrees this morning and a high of 59 so far today.
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Bryce and Steve brothers?
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Can you add "up here"? Kev loves that -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I think the getting shafted meter is rather high on this one. Certainly not a lock. That beside said, even 1" will look pretty cool w/the Christmas lights and cold in place.... 28F -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It truly is around a once a generation start based on the 70+ years of Mansfield stake data. It’s December 11th. It feels and looks like February. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
ILSNOW replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
21Z RAP -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Albedoman replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
you should be looking at the mesoscale models now. GFS is unreliable IMHO, especially with digging clippers for our area -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Meso event...lean towards meso models -
Doesn’t look like the most will involve you.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Plan on 3-5” 90 South and 2-4” north and you’ll know finals -
Will is right in that it won’t take much to get a nice 5 to 8 fluff job. It’s still mild water to the south so move that moisture north a little bit and you’re in the game. However, we’ve also seen these fast flow set ups go to shit as we get inside 72 hours so that’s always on my mind. This is different than the inevitable north ticks on some guidance from a short wave coming out of the Deep South.
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That’s right. I am your daddy.
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Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
Stormlover74 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
It went from like .5 to .75 to 1". By Sunday it'll be in line with the other models -
saying that a 30 day MJO 8 is supposed to happen is like saying that the 384hr GFS solution is going to happen lol
