All Activity

This is very acceptable for a mean at this range. GEFS and CMC ens are decent too. Pretty strong signal.

Agree, possibly even waiting till 00z Thursday. Have to get more sampling in the next few model runs and the players on the field.

There is definitely some merit to the Mar/Apr correlation of warm/cool or cool/warm. Its certainly not a guarantee. But in those few years where March is warm and nearly snowless, you can bet April will see accumulating snow.

Looks like we make it through yet another February without a trackable threat. I know RDU-east got that February storm last year but there have been so many blanks recently that it’s really becoming a spring month. This is most on the forums snowiest climo month and now it’s just a segway into official spring.

Hagerstown, MD had a week in January 1961 without snow cover. Martinsburg, WV had 6 days, from 1/8 through 1/13 with bare ground. Otherwise, snow was on the ground at both sites from 12/10 to 2/23.

There is an interesting relative max in the PNA that takes place 23-26th; it's nested in the midst of an ongoing submerged PNA. It's like an sub-surface sea mount with a buoy blinker to warn passing ships. Ha There's some other everyday reasons to suspect less coastal crawling big dawg solutions are favored, but that bold aspect about the zonal/W-E is big correction lean that's a pretty big one. Pig solutions at this D7-10 range also tend to lose amplitude as they are relayed inward in time. That's more than less an ongoing operational weather forecasting application aspect. But combining that with the former ... I tell you what, it would be ironic if this one fought off all those reason and work out for the better. There is still the relative PNA spike.

I just dont get into it. Been a great winter for the cold/snowcover crowd in the Great Lakes, so while most of the public is ready for a break, I hate the sun and melting snow. I am going to the U.P. later this week though.

31st consecutive day with snow cover here in Chesco - tied for the 12th longest stretch since 1894 and 17th overall.

Dude I’m watching it too. 130+m jumps are wild. Cannot even fathom it

They issued because snow thats been on the ground all winter traps pollutants like road salt/exhaust/etc and its melting without aid of any wind and instead a temperature inversion, so those pollutants are hanging in the air instead of mixed out from the wind.

If its meteorologically possible, we track it. Fuck an MJO. It isnt the master of the atmosphere.

He succeeded. It’s the most “popular” post lol

Pretty sure I’d die attempting the downhill ski jump.

Close to a blizzard on the ukie.

The NAM did a remarkable(well not for the NAM) 180 from one run to the next near gametime. The ICON was better lol.

Rare case where I am the one sitting pretty?... Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Complex the next week. We have the light snow NNE overnight, then the sheared narrow band of mdt SN Wed, and then what? GFS wants to do a pseudo-repeat of Wed on Fri, and then makes a weenie coastal. And the ECMWF puts all its eggs in the 3rd system Fri, and a big nothing-burger for the "CoastalWx wanna-be storm!" The GDPS/UKMET/ICON for the Sun-Mon coastal are in-between the GFS and ECMWF scenarios in various forms. So lots going on, and a rather "crowded" pattern for snow events. UA pattern fast W-E zonal first, and then amps up this weekend. Also, you can clearly see the later Feb transition to a more blocky upper-air pattern this week, w/ the main jet across the cntrl and srn CONUS and "loose" and "confused" flow along the Canadian border. So that further complicates things!

Starving for attention are we?

Ya if 02 happened I’d eat my boots

I'd take either one lol

A friend of mine in who knows the river well is worried about an ice jam in HBG.

seems like it's kick the can time for anything interesting around here. been a month of boredom since 1/25 MECS

Cmc ensembles show the coastal . Op is wrong.