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Funny thing is, gfs keeps doubling down even slight improvements each run....but its not like other guidance is trending bigly the other way. There has been very slow/subtle shifts across other guidance even giving a slight nod to the GFS. I dont think the GFS is 100% accurate by any means, but a 6hr change in timing of the shortwave in question on other guidance and boom the GFS suddenly has legs. We'll see. Being a betting man Im putting the mortgage on the gfs being the outlier though.

You're right -just messin. Not sure when the cuts happened but if you remember last year right around this date it might've been the day before today as we were heading towards possible snow, the GFS was always two or three cycles behind the Euro. And then it would line up. This is longer than that right now.

NAM is running. If we can’t even get a NAMing out of this threat then that just makes the GFS even crazier.

8.9" with 8.50"+ 2" sleet the following weekend and it's been cold as Mars

Very few winters have seen most of the potential be realized...

You feel that way until you are no longer being teased and it’s real lol then you dive right in

Take the politics to the banter thread ffs.

You can scroll back and discover how inaccurate your statement is if you'd like. Or just write whatever you want. You do you! .

We’re all in on watching and waiting for this hunk of junk to fold. Just watch though. 18z will triple down. All chips, house, car, wife, maybe even its firstborn.

Sometimes it is best to appreciate what you have as opposed to wishing for something better...

What do the weather betting markets have for accumulation odds and amounts in DC?

Lol. It was never on the same level as the Euro but it's never been this bad.

The teasers are exhausting. Like a week of an emotional roller coaster will leave anyone feeling fatigued coupled with a little sadness when it ultimately fails

Okay, yes that's the timeframe I was thinking of too. I was thinking that event was more isolated than what you described but I guess I am thinking of the area that got a foot, which I believe was a narrow swath right over the heart of Manheim Township, which is where Horst resides. Yeah, I would love to find that article again. The LNP search engine is doing me no favors ha.

Because you’re HEATMISER… I’m @ ~5”‼️

S&E of Philly

I think a lot are over this winter with all the wasted potential and constant teasing. I’m def hoping for an early spring.

Sup DT? What about before the budget cuts? Lol

I think it is time they take the operational GFS behind the barn and put it out of its misery. It has no support at all for the crazy snow totals it is spitting out for the MA. Within 72 hours, it is off its rocker. .

Maybe he's compensating for something?

I did say to my wife, “damn, I feel like we live in Stowe village” lol

I don't think the models showed a huge snowstorm a few days out. Maybe about 8 days ago, one or two models were showing a snowstorm. From what I have been following, most models have been south and east since this Monday. Most probabilities were low. However, I feel your pain. I was hoping things would trend westward.

Same with 2016! 6 straight days of crushing after crushing and we were squabbling over getting a foot and getting 2, lol

I was at 3" yesterday. How do you have more snowpack than me?

18z the party is over. book it