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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
also with the 50s for the weekend, the average for the stretch will be slightly above normal. its always hysterics -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
80 here with a dp of 71. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I can honestly live with this, as long as it's not the entire goddamned summer. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. East wind around 8 mph. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Friday Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Night Showers. Low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Saturday Showers. High near 61. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Saturday Night Showers. Low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Sunday Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Memorial Day A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%. -
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I did notice this morning that the local TV met in Altoona disagrees with the weather apps for the weekend, as the lowest she had Saturday going was 60-61. My Google App currently shows 49. -
heh... we did not... I was 61 until twilight glow ... 81 now
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0.79" of rain from shwrs/stms last night. 0.98" for a 2 day total. That helps, but still sucking hind teet for May as we have only a 1/3 of the 3.30" avg. 6+" in April was great for catching up from the drier previous months. Update: Fire 100% contained. Looks like a power line started the fire. Section of Hwy 61 that was closed will be opened again later today approx 8 pm.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Evidently based on pro mets I follow, having relatively cooler SST anomalies near Australia compared to warmer anomalies to the east of there will be crucial. For 2023, the models, which earlier had the nice E US trough/Aleutian low that we were salivating over, were then were erroneously forecasting cooler near Australia, which is pretty typical of El Niño. -
Friday and Saturday seem tough. Maybe Sunday and/or Monday? Curious how the fields take the water after how dry it’s been. If were rained out I’m going to hopefully go see the Mandalorian movie lol
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We need the robots to pull through for a best case scenario this weekend.
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No storms and a rainy 3 day weekend in the 40’s . Sounds perfect for our regions run of luck last 5-6 years
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Either way it will be mild, but we would at least have a shot at a decent stretch if you're right. So the +IOD wasn't that strong in 2015 and 2023?? -
Mine and the 3 others on my road all were between 94-95.
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Looks legit to me. They mixed out. There were random periods of overnight mixing across the region…like at MPV.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The coming winter season is goin to be a good test as to whether the absolute RONI value or the delta between it and the RONI is of greater significance. The key is whether or not we get that "La Nino" half-assed Aleutian low like 2023 again. -
I’ll take the under city east. .1”-.25” strong onshore flow will do it thing. .
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Almost 80 here at 8:44 am
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FYI… looks like we might get active this week. .
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Where was it headed, maybe if you let it get on the bus it would have taken it away from your neighborhood?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Latest CFS RONI peaks at +2.65 to +2.70 in OND, which would be a record high beating 1982: Latest CFS ONI is +3.25-30 in OND, meaning keeping the differential near 0.6: -
Is your sounding from WeatherFront? I’ve been getting monthly subs to different apps seeing what one I like. WeatherFront is what I have now and I like it. .
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any severe weather expected tomorrow with that cold front?
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