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Precip is way more large-scale than convective, so that's good. Fewer places for this one to escape too- nothing really to suppress it south or lift it north. QPF for me is now 0.65". I like this trend. Still not buying the QPFs over an inch though.

Gloria 85, had a sting jet as well. The strongest winds west of the center came under sunny skys after the center had passed. .

Human population growth also has to stop growing and I think we are well on the way to do that. In a type of poetic justice exposure to fossil fuels has strongly been linked to reduced male fertility. The clincher was that this reduced fertility is now spreading to the developing world. The faster the human population stops growing the better. And the higher fossil fuel prices get the better. And the faster the climate warms the better because it means less fossil fuel use for heating. I live in a fossil fuel free community there are no gas lines here at all. My question though is how much do plastics contribute to the problem? We already know that plastic pollution is a huge problem and microplastics cause organ damage but the corrupt fossil fuel cartels are banking on plastics to replace decreased fossil fuel revenue. The good thing is plant based plastics are starting to replace them. And lab grown meat is making inroads on animal farming and animal testing is being replaced by the much more accurate and economical organs on a chip technology. Better for the climate and better in a moralistic sense.

Today's Highs: ACY: 78 New Brnswck: 75 EWR: 74 JFK:74 PHL: 74 BLM: 73 TEB: 73 ISP: 72 LGA: 72 TTN: 72 NYC: 70

I'd say hot (mild) and wet. Boone is 50/50 on good snow or terrible snow in Super Ninos. 82/83 and 15/16 were both solid, but 97/98 and 23/24 both saw 2.5 and 2.7" season total respectively. I'll be surprised if we see any consistent cool weather until late December or January, at any rate. 3 of the 4 Super Ninos have been above average December including the record setting 2015. At the end of the day, though, 4 winters isn't a very big sample size and with this Nino being so ridiculously strong you can pretty much toss all the analogs anyways. I'm putting my money on Pacific air flooding the southern half of the country but that's just me. Better chance for widespread severe outbreaks than widespread snow.

I.e January 15th-20th at the earliest, lol

Where was the second one? How strong was the one that hit Fayetteville?

2.43" here. (Herndon, VA) 3.00" for October so far.

19 confirmed tornadoes so far. 2 EF2s

Yeah…good chance for the first CAA mangled flakes this weekend here. Time to get some wood pellets.

https://x.com/nwsmemphis/status/2109809283592606168?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg NWS Memphis showing a 40-69% fire weather danger hazard for the mid south region .

so apparently it paid off someone to hang around till November 3rd Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

in a little over 27 hours the Nam will be officially retired. Since June 13th, 2006 it's been our crazy uncle who was never afraid to swing for the fences. I figured the last day of its existences we should give it a little tribute as it did get the blizzard right. what are your best and worst memories of the nam? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

3.5" imby

If you're practicing for winter early, trust me when I say you don't need the practice. Geez, at least wait until it can reasonably snow throughout the area, and that will likely be a while this year.

Dry as a bone the next couple of weeks

Good thing for David Shitthauer that this video is copyright protected!

Canada torching bodes well for winter.

Front came through, windows open, back to our regularly scheduled autumn.

Check out the forecast discussion for Simon. One of the most fascinating ever written. Anything from dissipation to cat5 possible .

I really hope your right buddy.

Looks reasonable.