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This weeks drought monitor showed significant worsening of the drought in central and eastern NC. I can say looking at lake and pond levels it is as dry as it got during the summer, though with the time of year impacts are less. The creek through my farm has been reduced to a trickle and several ponds are almost dry. We need rain badly and big rain

He is a snake oil salesman, so many times has it not even worked out at all.

WB extended GEFS, dreaming of a white Thanksgiving.

Getting pretty close to peak in central MD I think. Probably next week for MBY?

Fog as thick as pea soup this morning.

Some frost on the roofs…but that was it..38 driving into work.

Well no one can complain about not having a fall this year.

Things to get used to this winter :

Beautiful morning today. Woke up early at 7am to study for my test at 9:30 and I'm glad I was able to catch the sunrise over Charlottesville. Had enough low level moisture to get some pretty scattering of the light and the fall colors are probably near their peak. Turned in my climatology literature review of Mid-Atlantic snowstorms relation to the PNA and NAO (which I'll post eventually in here) last night and can't wait to get this test done. I think I'll wake up and try to get some pictures of sunrise tomorrow. I won't miss the 7am darkness once daylight saving time starts in a couple days but I will miss seeing the sun rise.

Same. I think there's potential for some really exciting weather. Not just possibly big snow events. Big wind events, big rain events, crazy temperature swings. All fun stuff.

I feel better about getting snow if the models are showing rain 5 days out.

47 when i.walked out this morning.. felt warm compared to what its been

Looks like the San Diego weather continues well into next week.

CWG’s forecast is what you get if you assume a 2/3rds chance of a near shutout and 1/3 rd chance of a HECS. But that’s not possible in the real world so they end up with a number that I don’t think is particularly likely on its own.

I feel optimistic about this winter.

Hey the last time the Brewers went to the World Series, what happened the season after? A man can hope can't he?

The late weekend/early week rain has backed off to basically nothing but the second system looks robust

Winter cancel.

And the beat goes on

The fog has rolled in a lot heavier this morning.

37 this morning, fog is trying to roll in.

Yuck. Glad I'm headed out of the tropics for the winter. I've seen more snow in one hour where I'm headed then what's forecast for my area the entire winter lol

You’re going to have good days and a few not so good days. But it will get better! 35 degrees and slight fog.