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Let's see I finished last season with **checks notes** 19.8". Eff last year.

Oh yeah I remember that. All the hype for that. Stupid.

Happy Groundhog Day!

Yeah I have mixed emotions of yes the few inches we got were nice and the chase was fun but at the same time missing out on the big one hurts. Where I am at for the remainder of this winter onward unless it is a storm that will make up for the dry slot I have no interest in it.

Pretty impressive late month highs/lows especially for a lowlander just off the Patapsco River. High/Low 1/25: 20.4/16.3 1/26: 26.6/19.7 1/27: 29.1/22.7 1/28: 30.5/21.6 1/29: 24.8/19.9 1/30: 23.9/17.9 1/31: 22.1/16

Probably early midnight highs and afternoon highs in the upper 0s and low 10s with that. I think 2023 was 5-10C colder.

What was your measurement this morning?

Sublimation.

ended up getting half that the whole month of February - just a tease, think it verified for NNE though

What's the full picture of that? I don't believe I've seen that portrait P.S. I'm gonna keep bugging you about watching the Beethoven docu-drama until you do

Mesoscale discussion imminent (flurries)

Bring it. We want that.

28 for the high after a low of 14.9 I have been using the Windy.com website for weather forecast plots for the past couple months. During the cold stretch, I have been comparing the GFS, ECMWF, and the ICON for highs & lows during the cold stretch. ECMWF and the GFS has usually been 3-5 degrees too cold for the highs and lows while the ICON has been more accurate and usually only 1-2 degrees off.

About a third of this forum waste time reposting shit posts found on X as if they really mean anything!

When this crap thaws its going to look like landmines attacked the roads. Worse than 2014 I bet.

Yesterday’s ski tour up at Bolton Valley yielded some great powder skiing, so with today being sunnier and warmer, my older son and I headed up for another tour on the Bolton Valley Nordic & Backcountry Network. I’d gotten a good bead on the conditions in the Bryant Cabin area during yesterday’s tour, so I took my son on the same general route today in the 2,000’ to 2,800’ range, and we just varied it up a bit as we sought out untracked areas. The resort reported a couple of inches of new snow overnight, so between new accumulations and settling, powder depths were similar to yesterday, with 14-15” on the low end, and 21-25” on the high end. It turns out that the wind slab and more condensed areas of powder I’d encountered yesterday were strictly in the higher elevations above 2,600’ or so, but it wasn’t really until I’d been through areas again today that I was able to confirm that. Similar to yesterday, we were skiing generally western aspects today, so leeward aspects may be unaffected with the wind slab. In any case, once you got below that threshold elevation where the wind had its effects, the quality of the powder took a noticeable bump up, and that was the case for every line we skied today.

The funny thing is I still enjoyed it. Last night was beautiful and reminded me of Jan 2014 and Jan 2022. But knowing the expectations and what was happening in the rest of the state cast an air of melancholy for sure. I am happy everyone else cashed in though, as I know many on this forum were extremely overdue for this kind of storm.

Lived in NE Wisconsin a few years it could be 15 degrees and the fluff snow would "evaporate" when it was 15 degrees but sunny There is a fancy word for this process lol

Going forward if it is not a big one that would make up for the dry slot I could care less. I have no interest in potential minor events for the remainder of this winter.

I got 7 in North Wilson (with maybe a few favored spots at 8) and it was an enormous relief, but I have to admit to being emotionally drained at this point. Together with the storm last weekend it's been 2 straight weeks of relentless oscillations between clown maps and rug pulls. Obsessive model watching; clicking refresh on my browser at 12 in the morning to see if anyone has posted in the last 15 seconds on this forum. Being a snow weenie in the SE is hard on the soul.

No kidding lol.

And many of us didn’t get a warning event .. that was a waste of a good pattern.

This winter has been tracking similarly to the last real consistently cold winters that we had back in 13/14 and 14/15, especially the latter. Main drivers then were heavily Pac influenced with a strong and persistently negative EPO and WPO much like we’ve had most of this winter so far other than when we warmed up for a couple weeks in early January. That alignment directs a continental source of cold air from Canada with no Pacific modification. The 13-15 winters achieved that without much help from any -NAO/AO, something we actually have had a good bit of this winter, and currently. The result has been a lot of cold in the east, and a historicially bad winter snow-wise in some parts of the west to date. So with that said, I’ll offer at least a little bit of hope. Starting to eye the following week after this week for some kind of period of modification after we probably get whacked with a couple days of arctic air comparable to what we just had next weekend. Looking at teleconnection forecasts right now, there’s a pretty sizeable shift progged to occur in the Pac realm occurring around the timeframe of that clipper and ensuing arctic shot. EPO and WPO both reverse to positive, and the monster +PNA we have reverses to negative. That combo will almost certainly inject Pacific modified air into the CONUS to some degree. How much negative NAO holds will probably have a hand in how that works into our part of the country. Nothing really reverses the -NAO/AO but some ensembles neutralize a bit more than others. So there could be some resistance here, especially with a solid snowpack in the Northeast. Resistance could in fact end up breeding more snow/mix events in our neck of the woods. But I’m currently thinking we’re looking at a milder pattern overall during that timeframe either way. And you can see the op runs of the GFS/Euro in the longer range sort of reflecting that shift. This week prior to the clipper won’t be all that bad temp-wise either, at least during the day. We will continue to have very cold nighttime lows with a deep snowpack and mostly fair weather (other than maybe Wed for some).

When does the data from air recon mission come in?