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Not quite as good

Read my synoptic post from yesterday. It literally was the consensus of all models excluding suppression worries.

If PSU says the worst case is a 6 inch front end thump followed by sleet, ice, back to snow, and cold. Thats a pretty good day. Maybe not a historical storm, but still something to be excited about.

The one thing that I find absolutely amazing. All the (supposed) modeling improvements seen in the recent past, combined with AI being utilized in its infancy............... and there were models that nailed the blizzard of 1993 from 5 days out. That was 33 years ago!

For shits and giggles this is the gfs for both storms

We better pray that doesn't verify.

Can anyone help me understand - I really use this forum to follow along with everything but most of yall are in different places than me. I’m in Clarksville, so pretty much right on the KY border, north of Nashville. Is it looking like sleet/freezing rain for me as well, or I’m still in snow currently?

I find the h5 picture to be fascinating. Love me some vorticity.

I hurt myself today, to see if I still feel. I focus on the Euro, the only thing that's real What has snow become my dearest friends? Everything that I love goes away in the end

Let’s hope we are now seeing the northern most envelope of possible solutions and can shift H5 slightly south while just upping the precip when mesos are in range. I’m not worried about where we are at right now but more so if it keeps trending in the more amped direction. Todays gonna be a long day lol .

At no time was this even close to the model consensus.

For this storm and the one showing up a week later.

lol - MY kids - both now in their 20s - neither of them give a shit about weather. They are probably not even mine, now that I think about it...

Have been wondering that too, when the mid range attenuation would kick in. Models tend to lose 15 to 30% give or take as they relay through that range.

Hot pink is my favorite color the rest of this week! Those maps are almost unbelievable.

Looks to me like 1", maybe 2" of fluff here on the coast of ME

Not bad if you believe the gfs lol

Hot weenie action? .

I am in North Texas - Celina area. Looking forward to see how much ZR we get.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this ended up as 4” otg in my yard after rain/sleet/compaction etc. I’m probably in the worst place possible moreso than Richmond even.

Glad I'm on the same page with you all...I've started telling folks 8-12

So hows our 18-24 inches of cold powder looking with no mixing issues?

Those ensembles are still all over the place. Still a long ways to go with this one.

Told my friend group 6-10". Thought about going the CWG route and adding some boom/bust percentages...

We tend to get a lot of our snow in epic runs that happen sporadically once in a blue moon. This pattern has that kind of upside potential. I wouldn't put any qualifiers on it. Sure we need to get some luck, it could go sideways if things don't fall our way...(but by sideways I mean we just get some snow not epic totals) but this is the type of pattern we could score multiple big hits.