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NAM is cocaine bear. NAM crossed the streams and is summoning Gozer the Gozerian.

This nam run is one for the history books wow

Nam has the equivalent of a category 2 hurricane off OC at 45h

966 mb @ hour 48

Epic look .

I think we break the record. I think we break 2006 and maybe 2016's record.

Checking in from the SE forum! I know it's the long range RAP model, but what a beautiful thing to look at. I feel like it did very well with our snow at the first of the month!

Looks like eastern Loudoun is stuck in between

He’s on the train like the rest of us.

Destroyed

News 12 basically saying 10-20 with locally over 24

This baby is right on my G Spot... Thing of beauty!

NAM is thinking BECS .

Cane gusts back to Albany !

You can never ignore that corridor of shit air screwing it up for many

Good morning everyone. Has forky posted a comment yet? Stay well and safe, as always …

Big time wind damage across SE MA and the Cape, coastal RI, and far SE coastal CT

Biblical nam run.

Marginal ... At 24 hours, prior to the amplitude setting up over the MA, the heights over the Florida Panhandle are 582 N, to 584-ish S, which is on the fence ... arguable a very minor stressing of that hypothetical rule. However, the other part of that, which is actually the more important aspect, the wind flags are < 40 kts on average. That means that the flow is not preconditioned to a compressed state. Such that as the S/W/phase going on over top in latitude, doesn't have the southern momentum being absorbed in the baseline velocity anomaly. Words get a bit pricey in that... but it has to do with whether a wind max is actually differentiable in the U component of the flow. For example, if the ambient velocity of the flow (U component) is humming along at 70 kts, and a powerful S/W with a 110 kts wind max up in Manitoba has it's sights set on the TV ... as it descends the stream lines, it's 110 -70 = 40 kts of differential. Not terrible. But, if the ambient flow is only 30 kts, that becomes a much bigger velocity left over to force jet responses. The sign that the former "robbing"/absorption is taking place, the vorticity begin to slope backward and the trough's axis into the southern flanks looks/bends back positive. Longer than I wanted... In this case, the marginal limitation is easily overcome. Arithmetically, this whole amplitude has vast momentum compared to a 584 dm hgts, with limited or 0 geostrophic wind anomaly.

Already 968 a bit east of DE

Im going with the positive bust. This isnt a typical Miller B waiting for the storm to bomb. Ton of energy dropping in with the ridge out west and the low has already formed in Georgia before moving up the coast. The NAM nailed the January storm , if it can verify like the pics below itll be like day 2 of 2016 without the cold air. Snow will accumulate when your in the heavier bands. Either way it will look epic falling.

Usually these things take longer to get cranking than modeled. I feel good about our timing.

Scoring in the evening is how we do it