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super el nino banter thread
Santa Claus replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
sst’s show a strong cooling trend actually -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is what IEM has for mean hourly dewpoint in the summertime for BOS. -
Why does RDU always seem hotter than the other areas? Is it something to do with the drought?
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
For a certain segment of weather troll community, 95F and 70F dews is "just summer" and actual "just summer" weather is hyped up as the next coming of the year without a summer. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Air conditioning makes a big difference too. We didn't have it back then and it was tough but bearable. You couldn't do that today in most places. -
Just a general thanks to all the red tagged and experienced members analysis of yesterday's storms. Lots of great information and education on severe storms for our area. It is a fun read.
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thinking about the backyard snow people sitting there squinting at nino graphs looking for a tenth of a degree difference
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heading up today to Montreal and Mont Tremblant, to apparently experience the April we never had here. And actually have to be faster days I will take that in the heart beat. After playing around with a bunch of different styles I think I've settled on this one for the perfect style for vacation weather sending out to everyone in the extended family who's going up there. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Interesting...and for some, unsettling-
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Might just go to Brewster, NY today and hope to get lucky. Probably just go around 1 and wait there and then hopefully can make minor adjustments if needed but giving its a Friday and storm timing...traffic won't be fun
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The 09z RRFS pops a decent cell over MoCo around 20z but it's pretty meh otherwise. Looks for sure like any threat might be focused S and E of DC.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
More boos about the weather next week than Trump at MSG earlier this week? -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It seemed like all the storms yesterday at issues reading inflow from the rain core and essentially would choke themselves while the area around them played roulette with who is going to get to convergence from the competing outflow boundaries and who was going to get left in the dust. If you look at what happens when the storms congeal consolidate into a cold pool that cold pool axis pretty much a shovel throwing up all the warm moist air quickly upwards and technically that is what propagating it they original storms pretty much blow up die off while the cold pool constantly is pushing the warm moisture ahead giving the illusion of the storms actually moving. Yeah there is definitely a gradient to all this. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
As was noted up thread maybe the slightly cooler temps will help generate some severe if not at least more garden variety storms?
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Okay, glad I wasn't the only one as well thinking this. I was racing it home from Frederick and when I was coming over South Mountain you could see the storms pretty well, but getting close it was much less impressive looking. I think the storms took offense to that though, because they knocked out power for the second time in a week. Luckily this time only took the power company 3.5hrs to restore. Good winds, not too bad lightning, and some nice rain. I also am annoyed that due to the power outage I lost the data from my weather station for the storm. I guess I need to upgrade my station.
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We're teeing off at 7:30 tomorrow morning. Not a big fan of Saturday morning early anything frankly ... buuut, fairways under sun you could swear you can hear sizzling makes even 82 F a bad golfing experience.
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I come home bleeding from black flies and then the next day it’s all bug bites itching. It’s gotten real bad in these humid calm days. No breeze to knock the f*ckers back.
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Today is the first day that I noticed any mosquitoes. I did start at 6:00 though to try to beat the heat so my comparisons to other days doesn't mean much.
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Clean sweep: 611 Today's highs - hot in the city EWR: 97 PHL: 97 BLM: 97 TEB: 97 LGA: 96 ACY: 96 New Brnswck: 96 JFK: 95 TTN: 93 ISP: 92 NYC: 91
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Agreed. I'm stopping short of asking that myself, tho, just because there's too much subjectivity to what summer "should be" to really wanna even engage in that futile endeavor, but personally? I think next week is 'seasonally bn' - for older schoolers, they know that means that yeah ... below normal but within seasonal reasonability so nothing obnoxious. The thing is, it's like there's multiple aspects concurrently true. The pattern verifies as a below normal +PNAP structure more than less, but we end up warmer than the pattern suggests we should - while still being lower that summers have been on sunny days going back 20 years worth of Gretta's ovulation cycles.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@forkyfork I wonder what the models will show once this current WWB and the new DWKW that has formed does their “dirty work”? There is some major strengthening and warming about to come And once the +IOD gets going, it’s going to constructively interfere with the El Nino/Bjerknes feedback -
That dude was embedded within the line with 70-75 MPH straight line winds around it. Substantial damage caused by falling trees in Huntington, as well as the town of Andrews and Wabash, which are all located along US 24, basically the path that the radar indicated tornado took, from the town of Wabash to Ft. Wayne. I couldn't see anything from my house and wasn't going chase blind, but from radio traffic last night, if there was one on the ground, it went just north of town. NWS will be here this afternoon.
