All Activity

His initial prognosis was 2-5 years to live. He lived for almost 20 years with this awful disease. He played like a Raven. What a fighter. RIP.

Bristol got absolutely hammered. Lots of flooding reports on social media. Euclid Ave looks like it got hit the worst.

It rained 1.3 inches here with that storm. Trees down. Leaves everywhere like it's fall.

Like a broken record. I should have mowed yesterday while I had the chance.

1.62" in 30 minutes at the Edgewood Mesonet site. That's a 1/10 year event according to ATLAS14.

.34 today... that includes the overnight rain

Same old places getting hit. I have a project in Ellicott City that I need to be dry tomorrow. Guess what's headed right towards Ellicott City lol. Of course my yard will stay dry.

That’s going to be too warm for “all snow” storms along i-95. If we could get that GOA low a bit west, the NA ridge a bit north or east, it’ll make room for a stronger and better placed trough over the SE with a pathway for cold enough air. It’s close to something good, but not quite what we need

Right now, Knox Co is under these… t storm watch t storm warning heat advisory flood advisory flood warning

Nope, right on time. Wonder if the 20” of rain this summer has done something

It's about to nail me, don't worry this will be the story of the winter .

GD storm is gonna slide to my north

Just tagging onto to 1234. More storms. This heat is really fueling these systems. Strong outflow boundaries developing east of the interstate in Cocke and Sevier counties

Severe storm just past Cvill is rotating anticyclonically

Late start?

Damn, nice pic. I wish i was retired, you lucky bastard.

Charlottesville gets hit with another severe storm. Sure that as soon as I arrive it’ll be the driest remainder of the year on record.

Seemed to be parked under a gully washer. Up to .77” now with a rate of 4.37. And there is more behind it. Have my submit a report up for the NWS when this has moved out. For sure will be over an inch.

@dailylurker Frederick bullseye!

Sounds about right lol. I honestly don’t know the exact details. Maybe @vortex95 does

75°+ dews will do that!

Current rate is 1.37” up to .24” already. Water is streaming down the windows the gutter cannot keep up.

CPC MJO update from today confirming the mid month constructive interference that was targeted and verified. Culminating in the current WWB activity. Also the difficulty in identifying the MJO due to the strong Nino. The propagation though the western hemisphere was making me think a recurving typhoon was possible as a consequence of that. But that looks like a failed idea on most recent guidance. So still waiting on that. A selection of the bullet points from the update below: • The strong El Niño continues to be the major influence on anomalous rainfall and tropical cyclone (TC) development throughout the global tropics. • During mid-August, the MJO began to constructively interfere with the strong El Niño similar to what occurred in July. • The MJO is expected to propagate eastward over the Western Hemisphere during late August and then shift back to the Indian Ocean by early September. • The strong El Niño and a favorable MJO are likely to result in multiple TCs developing over the East Pacific through the end of August. However, a robust monsoon response in the Desert Southwest of the U.S. is not expected. • High shear, associated with El Niño, will continue to inhibit TC formation in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic. • A wave-1 pattern persisted in the global upper-level velocity potential fields predominantly tied to the strong El Niño. • Although the strong El Niño is the main influence on the velocity potential anomalies, the MJO recently shifted east across the Pacific which led to the largest anomalous upper-level divergence in the past six months. • As the enhanced phase of MJO constructively interfered with the El Niño base state during early to mid-August, the RMM index exited the unit circle in Phase 6. • This behavior of the RMM based signal is very similar to the path taken earlier this summer. • Positive SST anomalies continue over the central and eastern Pacific, with anomalies now at 1.8°C across NINO 3.4. NINO 4 has gradually cooled during the past several weeks, associated with increased cloudiness over the region. • Remarkably strong positive subsurface temperature anomalies (> 2.5°C) persist across the Eastern Pacific. • Negative subsurface temperature anomalies have expanded eastward to near the Date Line. • A majority of GEFS and ECMWF ensemble members depict the RMM index remaining over phases 6 and 7 due to the strong El Niño. It is difficult to discern the MJO evolution during the next month.

There was no cellular data at the campsite unless it was between midnight and 6:00 am so I didn't get to post during, but did want to post a couple of photos I got from the trip: Hiking up Washington (with my "adult" children) from Lakes of the Clouds: Fox lean-to in Big Deer State Park. Vermont has the best lean-tos, hands down. Glad we had it too, it rained 2 of the 3 nights we were camping, and one of them was a full on thunderstorm with at least an inch of heavy rain:

I’m not that surprised. It was legitimately humid out again. That is the number 1 difference between this summer and the previous few. Mid 70 dews is gulf coast level.