All Activity

Ok then find me any 5 year period where the N pac averages +50m like 2020-2025. Fuck find me a period that was even +40. You can’t. Because it was never warm enough to get those kinds of heights before.

Yeah. But then again we seem to be overperforming on minor events. If it rips hard for 3 hours, you can overperform.

I want the chuck vs psu live ppv

Dude we just had one of the coldest 3 week stretches in history, and it was the 2nd time that happened this Winter. It's not all lost omg! We are just in extremely bad Pacific patterns lately, in the wintertime. You're underestimating the Pac influence a little bit. More neutral is what you're looking for, not +450dm.

If we can’t snow without a EPO PNA ridge it’s a huge deal because a lot of our snow used to come withoit that. There was snow before 2017. And 2017 on has been our worst god damn snow period ever and your acting like that’s normal AND saying climate change is no big deal. You can’t have both of those takes they don’t coexist

^Pac ridge is about as unfavorable as a spot as it gets in the 20-25 plot.. it's a little further west in the 1970s, allowing some space for gulf of alaska negative anomaly.. our snowiest patterns are negative gulf of alaska, so those little differences are actually big.. it's fragile.

We’ve had this same confluence of crappy Atlantic and pacific before. The 1970s were an almost identical phenomenon. But look at these two anomaly plots. Why is now so much more red. Why Chuck?? It’s the same pattern so why is it warmer? has it occurred to you that the reason it’s snowing less is because when we get a crappy pattern it’s even more crappy now. About 40% of our snowfall used to come in flawed patterns. And those snows were barely food enough 50 years ago. We couldn’t afford what those 2 plots above show has happened! Yes we still snow when the pattern is good. But when it’s not good it’s hopeless now and you’re ignoring that. You’re pretending it’s always been this way. They getting snow requires the pattern to be perfect.

Ahh no. Sun is no where near August 10th. We still have more darkness than daylight. We are still in November sun. 6 weeks to the equinox. Sorry to burst your bubble.

PSU vs Chuck is like watching an unstoppable force vs an immovable object

All I care about is getting the forecast right.. why we don't snow anymore as the past is your own tangent. I don't think it's as big of a difference as you make it look, but I don't want to spend a lot of time arguing that.. since 2017 I've observed a downstream bias in medium range models with PNA. Adjustments and make a forecast accordingly, it has worked out so far. Want to guess what the high temps are on the storm day? 45 in DC? 42 in Baltimore? Feb 15-16

Advanced degrees are different. A bachelor’s it is incredibly difficult to fail out of if you keep showing up. Masters and PhDs and MDs do have a lot not mae it for various reasons. But the sad thing is we are seeing very few males in STEM. I have very few males in many of my classes now.

Still a bit of an unusual setup to get more than 3” or so.

August 10th?..sun is equivalent to late October today..August 10th is late April

@mitchnick I liked the look at the end of the 18z EPS as well & think it would have delivered a decent front end thump for southern PA on to the north if the run continued. 6hr snowfall on 18z Eps at 144hrs. Nothing in our area before that hour.

lol feels like Detroit is always involved in these https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/47882529/four-players-tossed-brawl-pistons-hornets-game

The tide is eventually going to turn the other way.

That is my untrained, snow muddled mind thoughts, as well. Still a lot of time, but I like where we are at. The warmup has backed off some. And who doesn’t like snow on snow? Haha. Let’s bring it home, even if it is the last one for the year. We did the cold better than expected this winter. Time to cash in on it.

Another under stated map

AMO? -AMO ibb.co/bR3LvKW+AMO ibb.co/KctZCPm-AMO ibb.co/wKX4YCC+AMO ibb.co/sFSwm0j

I think the end of the month and early next month look interesting, but until I actually see snow falling.this coming weekend I'm comfortable right here in the doo doo camp. The difference between me and some others not feeling the upcoming pattern, is that I want my intuition to be completely wrong. The way I see it, is if i'm wrong, everybody here that actually enjoys winter wins including myself. I'd rather be buried in snow than be right. I think this winter is far from dead just to be clear, which is a long ways from my DOA thoughts in November.

Thanks for answering a question I didn’t ask. But still waiting for you to answer why we keep seeing ridges that were unheard of in the past?

Reggie juiced up a decent amount for a lot of eastern SNE.

Reggie still like .4” here.

4.5-5.5 kemp mill area