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Unseasonable warmth will prevail through much of the first week of November. Parts of the region will likely reach or exceed 70° tomorrow through Thursday. Dry conditions will likely persist until late in the week. The potential exists for a 1.00" or greater rainfall Friday into Saturday. Behind the storm, cooler but not especially cold air will move into the region during the weekend or early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.27°C. ENSO Region 1+2 breaks the all-time record while 3.4 ties the all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will peak either this month or December. The SOI was -17.56 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.384 today.

Coping via strawman, many such cases itt

What about Jimmy the Greek?

Meaning all the numbers are stuff we haven’t seen before. This Nino is a beast. At least the desert SW is getting rain. Maybe too much lol.

The winter weather advisory needs to be retired. Means nothing to anyone

My numbers for October 2026- Averaged high was 70.3 degrees vs anormal of 66.9 degrees, a +3.4 degrees above average. The warmest day was the 15th with a record breaking 84.3 degree reading. Averaged low was 43.4 degrees vs a normal of 41.5 degrees, a +1.9 degrees above average. The coldest temp recorded was 30.0 degrees on the 20th. Overall averaged temp was 56.9 degrees vs a normal of 54.2 degrees, a +2.7 degrees above average. Total precip was 4.48 inches vs a normal of 2.70 inches, a +1.78 inches above normal. Wettest day was the 11th with 2.18 inches falling. There was 9 days with measurable, one day with a 'T' and 21 dry days. No snow fell for the month vs the normal of 0.1 inches. Highest wind recorded was 32 mph on the 18th, with only 5 days with winds above 25 mph. Two new records, the 15th with the record high and the 16th with a new record 'warm minimum'. A warmer than normal month, and VERY dry month except for the two days (11&12th) where 3/4's of the monthly total fell.

https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/2117434135144804833?a=SLXDiWhz3HLWLAIi0cY&s=46

Weather underground pretty much Friday - Saturday. 50s and 30s there on after. I'd take that in a heartbeat.

Picked up .33" today and yesterday.

Exactly. So someone arguing that global warming has ended March snowfall in NYC is just silly and shortsighted.

The entire region is on fire .

It's been bouncing in the -1 to -1.5 range, and the N Pac maps haven't really changed all that much. No real movement in the PDO yet.

Yeah I liked snow advisories and heavy snow warnings

https://x.com/Nam3kmModel/status/2117385020021313904

forest fire in Monson.. https://x.com/WWLP22News/status/2117425576839459144

I have no idea how they messed up the wording of winter type storms over the years. Seems like no one was confused 30 years ago.

Not sure how I feel about this. Like I get it with tornadoes that are on the ground about to destroy a town but blizzards are inherently dangerous so whats a dangerous blizzard?

Any nudity ?

Yeah, mainly noise level changes and the models aren't budging even with the early SSW. I think the cold will go to Europe and into the north pacific, reinforcing the pac jet from November through December. After that, things may become slightly more favorable and we may get a window or two where something wintry can happen.

New For 2026 -27