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Too much "toggling"

Rgem almost there

If the phase is cleaner and happens in a better spot/sooner, it’ll be better for us. We don’t want all these vorts ahead of the trough though, that’s what spawns these convective lows.

You don't say that!!

RGEM shunted east a little at the last second. Still a good hit for eastern folks but slightly less than 06z

Wetbulbs for Sunday 7pm, DC: ICON: 34F RGEM: 35F NAM3k: 33F ECMWF (6z): 33F GFS (6z) 32F

Looks like a deformation band from Northwest Massachusetts over towards the pope

they will probably mention the blizzard conditions possibility and have to go with a winter storm watch

a major factor for sure

Awesome trend on the RGEM as well

Even so still looks great for our area per the ICON.

Ohh they're at Morgan this year? Awesome! (I live not far from there). Yeah certainly one to watch...although on a weather note I'm not sure I like the idea of relying on that IVT...

Depends how quickly I can vanquish the wife and kids for the night I may try to get a jump on the H5 graphics today to save time.

i was talking about how it could be a sunny day without a cloud in the sky and we could still have a blizzard warning as long as there's snow on the ground and it's blowing it around causing the visibility to be 1/4 miles or less for 3 hours or more with sustained winds of at least 35mph?

So dirty. I hope you rain now.

NAM wasnt great but we still should see snow regardless. Not expecting much but a stat padder. Luckily with each day its staying power diminishes. Enjoy the sunshine its beautiful out.

Im wondering. All the models are showing a dual low. Maybe the models are adjusting to the low closer to the coast rather than the low in the ocean.

he's not out to lunch, but he is nothing special either. in that business, no one should expect you to be bullseye on anything; i personally don't care for his forecasts but he is far from terrible. its probably ok to have a little skepticism this time of the year.

OmG just admit you were wrong!

The issue with the idea of posting blizzard warnings later today was that the lead time is too long. Blizzard warnings are only posted when blizzard conditions are ongoing or imminent in the next 12-18 hours.

What time is late i gotta rest up

Indeed

MA forum says ICON goes negative too late...UH OH

We dont have brutally cold air to keep this south.

Well....if it has to snow let's do a repeat of this: Sorry, not sorry to those in Western CT and MA.