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Pea soup fog doesn’t

Deep fog and low clouds.

Today will probably be the last shot for a while to get some much needed heavier rains. Models have us drying out again next few weeks in the is very erratic rainfall pattern with only lighter events possible. The warm spots will make a run on 90° today. Then a cooler pattern next week. 90° heat starts building to our west mid-month. So it’s possible we see more upper 80s and lower 90s again mid to late month. SEP 8-15 SEP 15-22

Smoke plume out there. Let’s kill the CAPE.

Despite being outside the green by some distance, I have severe in both my p/c and zfp. Please.

Family activity so any NOW thread for SVR-iso FF delayed til 830. Looks good for 1-3" I95 corridor iso 4. Few SVR 2P-8P. Welcomed rain a little further east than Friday.

Please. The lawn is toast at Pit2.

let’s go

But the storm track matched the warm winter pattern it was forecasting. The composites below are for the 20 days that .20+ of precipitation fell from Philly to Boston. The average temperature at Philly to NYC on these days was in the low 40s. So it was too warm for much snow with the storm track to the west of the I-95 corridor. The Euro seasonal precipitation forecast had above average near the Eastern Great Lakes matching the warmer storm track which verified. Plus there was major flooding in areas like West Virginia along this storm track. The Southeast ridge on the days when the wettest storms occurred was even more amplified than what the general seasonal forecast from the Euro was. Plus the warm departure on the heaviest storm days was significantly warmer than the seasonal temperature forecast. So in effect a warmer version of the seasonal forecast did occur through the storm track. The Pacific Jet was too strong and warm for much snowfall from Philly to Boston relative to the means. This has been a common theme leading to the record low snowfall near I-95 since 2018-2019.

Looks and feels like a big day

Deep summer 5 miler this morning.Felt great just the way most like it

9/7/23 was ok

Early September is a mini-peak for severe, often as good as it gets around here. 9/7/98 is a great example

Tors galore to be sure… but low clouds/ thick pea soup doesn’t scream stormy

snowman19 has been pretty accurate with his predictions. Don't underestimate him.

There is growing evidence that we may see a big shakeup and complete pattern flip by October to much warmer than normal and possibly much drier than normal as well. @Stormchaserchuck1 warned of this weeks ago….-PDO/-ENSO October correlation. The -IOD is magnifying those effects

Walked out the door this morning and it just has that feel in the air.. today could be a good day..

1st month to end up drier than normal since January

Water coming up.

Seeing this graphic, I now have a new catch phrase to go along with the "Tamaqua Split" (which applies here). It's called the "Schuylkill Sandwich"... It is correct, though, as I recorded 0.21" from the Thursday event, and it shows Tamaqua in the 0.10" to 0.25" gradient.

No. Conditions will become more favourable then so you are being too optimistic

0z GFS Op goes up the GOM from WC off TB 9/14, so la la land. GEFS appear to showing that dev thru mid run.

Highs (9/5) EWR: 88 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 TEB: 86 TTN: 86 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 LGA: 83 NYC: 82 ISP: 81 JFK: 81

I think there are a couple more. WX/PT