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  2. The way weekends have been going, I'm expecting much of Saturday to blow
  3. had a downpour for 30 seconds max about 45 mins ago. From nothing to a deluge and back to nothing. .03" Never seen it come down that hard for such a short amount of time.
  4. Sun is stronggggggg today. Very humid too. Storms starting to pop off to my sw.
  5. Congrats @jbenedet !! 1st American pope! I will change your name to Leo soon.
  6. Makes me skeptical of how they calculate this stuff. I'm more of an *in the moment* kind of guy, if the rainfall for the month (and even moreso the season) is above normal, it's above normal. Even the reservoirs are over 100%
  7. Yeah, its odd indeed. Parts of lawns around here cannot be mowed still due to the mud.
  8. This is to be expected with a strong southeast ridge, usually north and west areas do better with rainfall.
  9. This is weird with no hot or even very warm days at all (it hasn't hit 80 at JFK from what I recall.)
  10. I'm sure it will dry out again come June, wet summers are rare here without tropical involvement.
  11. You can get there that quick? Takes me 4 hours to get to Stow.
  12. But aren't we supposed to have stronger SE ridges too? Those generally establish a ring of fire that keeps the storminess to our north and west.
  13. The good thing is all these things will put a check on human overpopulation in a big way. Nature always knows best.
  14. So, earlier, NWS Mount Holly dropped maps on X showing amounts up to 3" over North Jersey. I replied with my skepticism, similar to what I did here. And their account replied to me with the following: "We have been missing out on better rainfall recently, but chances are looking better for a soaking rain tonight and tomorrow, at least from around I-95 and northwest".
  15. I’m super biased because I’m an east coast surfer and we get our best waves as a result of tropical activity. But I think your right. The peak of last season illustrates that perfectly. Water temps will likely support another hyperactive season, but it’s one piece of the puzzle. Let’s see where ITCZ sets up as we head into June.
  16. This helps a lot.... The google searches of "stein weather" "what is stein weather" "New England stein weather" were not as helpful....
  17. The roller coaster precipitation pattern. Either excessive rainfall or complete lack of. As the jet tends toward stagnant configurations. Fits the climate change forecasts and should only intensify.
  18. So umm.... how much of Saturday is ruined? Frustrating differences in guidance.
  19. I'm skeptical of upton's 70-90% chance of rain at least through tonight
  20. Possibly nowhere for some. It all depends on where the storms pop up and any banding might set up. These are tricky forecasts and modeling hasn't been great. I'd be skeptical of calls for area-wide 2" the next couple of days, but that's just my non-expert opinion. Storms are firing off in their favorite spots out to the N and W. For now that's where they'll stay - they could sneak a little further into the area later on. We'll see.
  21. I miss the old train stuff they had on display years back. Now they have one decomposing boxcar
  22. There is a Boston area met on various media outlets that is obsessed with droughts... When there is any hint of dryness, we are in Stein mode...
  23. Today
  24. Guidance has cut back on shower activity expected totals to .50" amounts through Friday, shocking I know
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