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The clouds are way more of a problem than any smoke, it shot up to 95 here 30 minutes ago but it's been mostly cloudy since then and temperatures have dropped, even on a land breeze day, the clouds screwed us out of 100 today. Now I see why 100 degrees was much more common for the city and here between 1944-1966, it was much less cloudy and moist back then. I will say this is a busted forecast because NO ONE expected it to be cloudy today in the afternoon.

Kind of surprised at the 1630Z expansion of the moderate. Recent HRRR runs have trended toward less organized clusters as opposed to the high-end derecho on last night's 0Z.

it's baaaaaaaack

oh ok never mind

Bob Ross and his happy little clouds. (One either gets that or they don't)

That weather will include you two clowns too lol. Region wide. Isn’t this what you’ve been posting about for the last week? The start to August that looks great?

91/70 here

These always are wat overdone with convection involved .. robs moisture transport . They’ll be a narrow zone of a few inches but most likely NYC or NJ

Last winter the underestimation of the Southeast Ridge or Western Atlantic ridge occurred with the storm track. So the heaviest snows kept shifting north right up until storm time. But in previous winters it has been both storm track and the overall average 500 mb pattern.

I've seen the ICON do this at more times than I care to remember and it's seldom correct. The best way I can describe a cause - though it's purely speculation ... - is that it's really like that model confuses the Labrador current as an atmospheric phenomenon, such that when given any reason to turn the flow NE/E like most guidance are doing on Friday, it ends up with that plume of subsurface SSTs as an atmospheric tsunamis. Partially sarcasm there of course... it's more likely that it's got a bias in proficiency and speed to thermodynamically fix/couple the lower levels to the water

These smoke forecasts from the models vary quite a bit from run to run. So it’s much more of a trial and error process. Always have to check in the mornings to see how close to reality the HRRR and other models are doing.

we should bake, especially with the westerly sfc flow and should have ample sun

That humidity was just brutal yesterday. Looks like KABE got to a peak dew point of 77 which is fairly rare for this area. Good thing it wasn’t terribly hot or else it would have been completely miserable out there. Really looking forward to the arrival of the cold front on Thursday night…hopefully we get a good day or two of storms before that.

Oh please

it goes along with all the other forms of geoengineering like usage of toxic pesticides that is driving the mass extinction of vital pollinators. Not only that, other creatures have been geoengineering for billions of years-- blue green algae (photosynthetic bacteria) changed the composition of our atmosphere to make it hospitable for us to exist.

I always thought the clouds come in early when the wind flows from the S (sea breeze front) but now we have clouds coming in from the NW on a dry downsloping wind somehow too. Maybe we just have too much moisture in the air in this new era to expect a cloud free day with temperatures in the 90s-100s. I think thats why the extremes were higher during the 1944-1966 period with multiple 100+ degree heatwaves, there were far fewer clouds back then and of course less rainfall.

NW flow today and tomorrow means some dews mix out except for seabreeze locales. S coast tomorrow will have 70+ dews.

NW flow earlier cumulus clouds.

Yea I love how everyone just acts like pumping out hundreds of billions of metric tons of greenhouse gases is NOT geoengineering lolol

Lol ...well, there's that too. Different subject. I'm just sick of hearing the name "Bastard"i at all at this point after so many years of it and his unrelentingly irresponsible vomit. He's another candidate for a general all-purpose set to ignore by society et al - even tho such states of existence are unlikely. It's a numbers game. With 8.5 billion human being targets for his shit, there's going to be a sufficiently large number embedded in there that likes the taste of it no matter what -

they'll say humanity has already been doing that and causing a mass extinction to boot.

Cumulus - been sunny here today and hence the surge in temps. If for whatever reason that front can be delayed or have periods of clearing or sin on Thursday - we may get 4 (5 for some) days of the heatwave but that doesent look to be in the cards.

Tony it hit 91 here but then clouds came in, where did these clouds come from? It's oscillating between partly and mostly cloudy here now.

12z mav bakes tomorrow

also it totally disregards a million other effects on ecology, small and large