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  2. Thunderstorm triggering - and also keeping in mind we'd more than likely be looking at a pre-frontal trough triggering convection. Sunday we more than likely would see the actual cold front as the trigger which goes into Scott's point about Sunday's potential and towards the coast
  3. Modelology vs meteorology. Where exactly is the cold air coming from if it’s all above normal north of Tennessee? It has to travel from somewhere on the way down right? Cold air can’t come from the pacific at California’s latitude. Which would mean at minimum, near or slightly below normal temps north of TN as it travels down? Yeah. i don’t buy wall to wall torch up here either. Maybe it’s 80/20, 70/30 or whatever. But the main reason that it’s blue in the South while dark red over the Great lakes is due to the uniformity of the airmass. 40s is well above normal for the Grest Lakes, but below normal for Louisiana.
  4. impressive to see Logan sustaining an 81 on a SE 9 kt wind
  5. are you talking about the front, or the thunderstorm triggering - i suppose you could get that pre frontal quasi dry-line trough thingy in that situation. That would actually be ahead of the better synoptic support - which I would not ever side with the NAM on synoptic timing dude. Just don't ...
  6. Like I said, December ain't so bad. Here are temps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=6 February and definitely March look better taking into consideration seasonal temps for the period. But as I said, entertainment purposes at this point. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=8 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=9
  7. I am buying the NAM timing...the NAM is usually the model which is a bit too slow. Heights really fall too mid-to-late afternoon, even on the GFS. That too me signals leaning faster with timing (well one reason)
  8. I think I'm safe now in declaring 34.8" as the 2025-6 snow total at my house. Could be a slight underestimate but within an inch or so. About the 3rd least in our 16 winters.
  9. Sneaky cold this morning at 51. 82 now and perfect
  10. Saturday will have showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon in western mass and then spreading east after about 5-6 pm. Could be a few decent boomers around. Looks like another chance of showers and storms Sunday afternoon in SNE particularly closer to the coast with some convergence.
  11. It has unfortunately been exposed often enough, times of misguidance wrt to drug and vaccine therapies (regardless of why) that it's naive and ill-advised now to rely on in-office recommendations, out of hand. You instead should nod thoughtfully and tell the physician not at this time. If the they push ... particularly in that sort of situation, then you respectfully decline and tell them that you will be completing some independent research 'like you always do' before arriving to any course of action.
  12. Saturday is dry for most of SNE Confidence continues to increase that most, if not all, of the daylight hours Saturday remain dry, though a brief afternoon shower cannot be ruled out northwest of the I-91 corridor as a front approaches from northern New England. Given summerlike warmth and modest humidity
  13. I wish that it was only 6 months long too.
  14. Hopefully Saturday is a flooder with training storms, especially south of pike!
  15. Today
  16. mm far as I can tell it's only the NAM doing that. Wouldn't trust it until more support ... but not impossible, no. I suppose if you really want it to be right so that you can engage and hopefully win another in the varied petty competitions over weather-related statements that goes on in here, there's nothing wrong with relying on it to make Kevin wrong. LOL
  17. Get out that tent and go for some-15F camping!!!
  18. Just had a yearly physical the other day. Doc told me I was on the cusp of what was apparently a not very good old MMR vaccine due to my age, and if I wanted a new one.
  19. Timing is speeding up even more. May end up being a south and east of HFD day
  20. Returned from our SNJ week last evening - #2 granddaughter's recital (plays flute/piano) and HS graduation, also saw the dress rehearsal of her school's mounting of "Annie". She had her blond hair dyed auburn as she played Annie. Got stuck in stop'n'go from south of Lowell nearly to Haverhill, no AC, car temp 89-90. 1,136 total miles. Last Saturday we had wind tossing twigs from the sycamores and temp topping about 65 - norm there for 5/30 is 78-80. While we were away, our temp ranged from 31 (late frost, perhaps Sunday morning?) to 84 (probably yesterday), and 1.02" rain.
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