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Madubuike done for the season.

1989-1990 was very extreme we went from record cold and widespread severe weather for Fall into early winter (December) and then historic warmth for January, February and March.

well the sun is out now so we'll make a run at 80

Snow in Spring is wonderful, it's when it's in the 40s and raining that sucks lol.

To be fair, last Fall was warmer than this but the Winter was quite cold, we just didn't get the precipitation timed quite right.

That gets me to 0.95” for MTD. There is a small band moving SW from S SC that may give me a little more soon.

The SE US dodged a potentially very deadly bullet. Whew!

Well 11-12, 15-16, 22-23 and 23-24 all had roughly Richmond tier temps right? In our bad years (and there are many more now), we may as well be a southern Virginia coastal town.

I think it depends on how you define "snowy." If you mean above the 1991-2020, then, yeah, it would be extremely bold to predict that. The atmosphere remains capable of fluke heavy snowfalls all the way down to the Gulf Coast, as occurred last January, where it is much, much warmer in the winter. But if you mean say 50 inches, then, yeah, I think that's plausible. Because those kinds of seasonal snowfall totals require sustained cold and frequent snowfalls. If we say New York winters have more of a historical Richmond, Virginia flavor, then 39" might be the conceivable top.

Most of this ENSO stuff is over my head, but I do enjoy reading Ray's and others winter forecasts and reasoning, and have for like 15 years plus. I learn, and if I even only "get" some of it, I come out ahead. Also, I am a big time winter enthusiast, you could say, it's my favorite time of year for a few of my favorite pastimes (surf, snowboard), and just having winter outside my window. I even like to shovel snow, ha. And for my landscaping company that I work for in Brattleboro, I do tractor snow clearing. It's fun. Anyway, this page was linked on Boston.com winter forecast article today. It has ENSO info, so figured it was OK to put here. I do not really like the forecast temp and snow this particular Web site (the one in the link) provides, but I am never one to "shoot the messenger." https://opensnow.com/news/post/noaa-2025-2026-winter-forecast

If we didn't have these highs building in wedges from the NE it would be really warm like the mid south. No true fall cold fronts showing up on the Op Euro through Mid October

Of course not lol

Still kinda learning about AI, but after creating a few neural nets and slogging through understanding activation functions, gradient descent, loss functions, etc, it makes sense why these models (whatever architecture they’re using) could perform well on handling all the dimensions and chaos involved. It’s pure math and stats under the hood. The challenge will be dealing with the black box nature of deep learning algorithms, though I know explainable AI is becoming a thing. Computational cost is another topic as well.

Get us a non-shitty Halloween, then lets slam into winter.

is that a serious question?????

Yeah it's always both now. Getting a BN normal month is like pulling teeth.

If only it were either or.

The warmth is better in spring when people are sick of cold from winter. It sucks to have it now because we're exhausted of the heat. It's like people complaining about a cold snowy spring but the flipside.

I'm not so sure. The PDO in 16-17 was essentially an anti-analog of 13-14. If anything, it may be a reason why it torched from November-February. The PDO is too far negative to be in transition. At best, we might have a 12-13 type deal. Maybe if it continues to rise through the spring, then we could call 26-27 a transition year, like 76-77 or 13-14.

2022-2023 on repeat. Seasonable December but no good storms, and then a complete blowtorch for the east for the rest of the winter. It's actually an excellent analog now.

Give me 70s and 80s in months its not going to snow much. You can enjoy the weather outside. September, October and even most of November, 40s and 50s and rain doesnt do much for me.

80's in October is sacrilege. I guess we are paying for August Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

I'm flummoxed by the state of Penn State Football. Last year, much was made about the passing game, specifically the lack of receptions by our wideouts. We go out and bring in 3 guys via the portal. Great. And yet, our passing game has become more anemic than ever. How in the hell does Kyron Hudson get shutout in prime time? Like seriously...how does this happen? The offensive line - they can't provide enough space for Singleton or Allen to do much of anything. Two really good backs who have no where to run far too often. Franklin. You know, you listen to Ryan Day, you listen to Dan Lanning, you listen to Kirby Smart, you listen to the head coach of every top team in the country and they talk about winning a national title. James Franklin talks about fan's expectations. He talks about the importance of being included in the conversation as being one of the top teams in the country. He doesn't talk about titles. It's like he knows he's an outside and he wants to be included in the "cool kids club" and that's good enough for him. It's not exactly a winning mentality. This team has a chance at being one of the most overrated preseason picks in recent memory. Though, they won't be on FSU's level last year, but you almost can count the Columbus school as loss, at Iowa seems scary right now, and can this team score enough against Indiana? I don't want to overreact but how good is this team, really? It's not like they lit the world on fire playing their first 3 games against teams that ranked 136 out of 136 on strength of schedule. Vent/discuss/counterpoint here.

Yea I am a hair under 75 as well

Why move to Florida when we can do sunny, dry, and AN without the humidity DJF?